Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros 10/16/2021

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The Houston Astros are 53-30 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Boston Red Sox who are 43-38 on the road this season. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Luis Garcia has a 42% chance of a QS and Nathan Eovaldi a 39% chance. If Luis Garcia has a quality start the Astros has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 55%. If Nathan Eovaldi has a quality start the Red Sox has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 46%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Alex Bregman who averaged 2.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 65% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Kyle Schwarber who averaged 2.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 56% chance of winning.
Visit AccuScore.com for free detailed ATS and Totals Trends.ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 37-44, 46% -1112 Houston Astros Home Games: 53-30, 64% +1808 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 3-5, 38% -162 Houston Astros Home Games: 5-6, 45% -105
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 47-34, 58% +268 Houston Astros Home Games: 51-32, 61% -106 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 5-3, 62% +29 Houston Astros Home Games: 8-3, 73% +193
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 32-38, 46% -980 Houston Astros Home Games: 35-32, 52% -20 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 7-1, 88% + 590 Houston Astros Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60
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