Cnotes 2021-2022 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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Dunkel

Monday, January 17


QLQoTWe.png
 

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MONDAY, JANUARY 17
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


MIN at COL 03:00 PM
MIN +214
O 6.5

+500 +500

MON at ARI 04:00 PM
ARI -131
O 5.5
+500 +500

LA at SJ 04:00 PM
SJ -109
O 5.5
+500 +500

CHI at SEA 05:00 PM
CHI -102
O 5.5
+500 +500

PHI at NYI 07:30 PM
PHI +176
U 5.5

+500 +500

NAS at STL 08:00 PM
STL -125
U 6.0
+500 +500

PIT at VEG
VEG -104
O 6.0
+500 +500
 

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JANUARY'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

01/17/2022........8-6-0.........57.14%...........+8.70
01/16/2022........1-1-0.........50.00%............-4.60
01/14/2022........4-2-0.........66.67%...........+9.00
01/13/2022......7-10-0.........41.18%...........-48.70
01/12/2022........4-1-1.........80.00%............+4.90
01/10/2022........4-2-0.........66.66%...........+9.00
01/09/2022........2-2-0.........50.00%.............-1.00
01/08/2022........5-9-0.........35.71%............-34.55
01/07/2022........2-2-0.........50.00%..............-0.50
01/06/2022.......9-10-1.........47.36%............-15.60
01/05/2022.........3-1-0.........75.00%...........+10.00
01/04/2022.......11-5-0..........68.75%..........+26.70
01/03/2022.........1-0-0........100.00%...........+ 5.00
01/02/2022.........7-3-0..........70.00%...........+11.75

TOTALS............68-54-2..........55.73%...........- 19.90


BEST BETS:

01/17/2022........5-4-0...............55.55%.......+3.00
01/16/2022........1-0-0.............100.00%.......+5.00
01/14/2022........1-2-0..............33.33%.........-6.00
01/13/2022........2-7-0..............22.22%........-27.40
01/12/2022........1-1-1..............50.00%........-0.50
01/10/2022........3-1-0..............75.00%........+9.50
01/09/2022........0-2-0..............00.00%..........-1.00
01/08/2022........1-7-0..............12.50%.........-33.50
01/07/2022........1-1-0..............50.00%.........- 0.50
01/06/2022........4-7-1..............36.36%.........-18.50
01/05/2022........1-1-0..............50.00%..........- 0.50
01/04/2022........4-4-0..............50.00%..........- 2.00
01/03/2011........1-0-0............100.00%.........+ 5.00
01/02/2022........3-0-0............100.00%.........+15.00

TOTALS...........28-35-2.............44.44%.........- 50.40


01/17/2022
 

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack:

— Purdue 96, Illinois 89, 2OT— This seemed like a Final Four game.
— Wyoming 77, Nevada 67— Cowboys are a surprising 13-2.
— NC-Wilmington 86, Charleston 78— Seahawks are 3-0 in CAA.
— Wagner 95, FDU 64— Seahawks shot 67% inside the arc.
— Weber State 78, Idaho State 61— Weber is atop Big Sky at 5-1.
— Arizona State 64, Utah 62— ASU was a horrendous 3-12 on foul line.

Quote of the Day
“People give effort to what is important to them.”
Unknown

Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Ben Simmons play his one year of college basketball?
Hint: His team didn’t make the NCAA tournament

Monday’s quiz
Tommy Maddox was the Steelers’ QB before Ben Roethlisberger.

Sunday’s quiz
Before Saturday, Cincinnati’s last playoff win was in 1990; Boomer Esiason played QB for the Bengals that day.
(Really obscure trivia: Cody Carlson played QB for Houston that day)

********************************

Tuesday’s Den: What are Final Four teams made up of?

13) Last four national titles were won by a #1-seed; last national champ that wasn’t a #1-seed? Villanova, six years ago- they were a #2-seed.

12) eFG% (FG%, but where a 3-pointer counts as 1.5 made baskets) seems to be a big indicator of NCAA Turney success.

Last four tournaments, nine of 16 Final Four teams were in the top 40 nationally in eFG%; 12 of 20 were in the top 100. Last three national champs ranked #1-19-7 on eFG%.

11) Depth means very little; last four years, only one of 16 Final Four teams was in the top 150 in bench minutes for that season. Longer TV timeouts, refs calling fewer fouls fuels that theory.

10) Last four Final Four’s teams, by seed #:
#1— seven
#2— two
#3— three
#5— one
#7— one
#11— two

9) Defensive eFG% is also a solid indicator:
— 13 of last 16 Final Four teams were in top 100 in eFG% defense
— 8 of last 16 were in the top 50.

There are always exceptions, which is what makes handicapping interesting; Baylor won the national title last year- their eFG% defense was ranked #121, but they ranked #4 in forcing turnovers.

South Carolina made the Final Four in 2017; I wouldn’t have bet on them with your money, but they got there as a #7-seed. Like Baylor, they were strong at forcing turnovers (#5)

I have 17 categories on my chart here; 14 of the last 16 Final Four teams were in the top 11 nationally, in at least one category.

8) 3-point shooting has become more and more important; last three tournaments, 9 of 12 Final Four teams ranked in the top 50 in 3-point shooting %age.

7) Teams that get a lot of their points on the foul line don’t get to the Final Four much, adding to the theory that refs call fewer fouls in March Madness.

Last four tournaments, only 1 of 16 Final Four teams (that 2017 South Carolina squad) ranked in the top 100 in %age of points scored on foul line. No other team ranked in the top 150.

6) Strength of schedule is an indicator; 12 of last 16 Final Four teams ranked in top 50 in strength schedule; Gonzaga’s two Final Four trips are two of the four schedules that fell outside the top 50 (72-89).

Today’s Gonzaga program is like UNLV was thirty years ago; very big fish in a small pond.

5) Does experience matter? 12 of last 16 Final Four teams were in top 100 of experience; only 6 of 16 Final Four teams were in the top 100 of continuity.

Sadly, there is no metric for TALENT; good/great players win championships, in any sport.

So what teams, at this point, figure to be favorites in March:
4) eFG% leaders:
— Gonzaga
— Purdue
— Davidson
— Loyola, Chi

Also, Oklahoma, Kansas, Arizona, Kentucky

3) defensive eFG% leaders:
— Indiana
— LSU
— San Diego State
— Arizona

Also, VCU, USC, Gonzaga, UConn

2) 3-point %age leaders:
— South Dakota State
— Davidson
— Purdue
— North Carolina

Also, Colorado State, Michigan State, Loyola Chi, Murray State

1) Teams with most experience:
— Providence
— Florida
— Texas
— St Bonaventure

Also, Buffalo, Seton Hall, SMU, Drake

These numbers will change over the six weeks; we’ll keep an eye on them before we predict who will be in the Final Four
 

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WASHINGTON is 21-23 ATS (-20.4 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the last 2 seasons.

OTTAWA is 8-3 ATS (4.7 Units) in home games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (7.2 Units) in road games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 7-19 ATS (-11 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

NASHVILLE is 21-11 ATS (9.3 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

MONTREAL is 0-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) in road games against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.

FLORIDA is 0-7 ATS (-8.5 Units) in road games against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against in the current season.

TAMPA BAY is 103-50 ATS (27.9 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NHL

Tuesday, January 18


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Carolina @ Boston
Carolina
Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Carolina

Buffalo @ Ottawa
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Ottawa
Ottawa is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Ottawa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Winnipeg @ Washington
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Winnipeg's last 10 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games at home

NY Islanders @ Philadelphia
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games

Vancouver @ Nashville
Vancouver
Vancouver is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Nashville
Vancouver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Nashville's last 11 games when playing Vancouver

Montreal @ Dallas
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Florida @ Calgary
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games
Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Calgary's last 13 games when playing Florida

Tampa Bay @ Los Angeles
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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TUESDAY, JANUARY 18
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


BUF at OTT 07:00 PM
OTT -212
O 6.0
+500 +500

WIN at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS -134
O 6.0
+500 +500

NYI at PHI 07:00 PM
NYI -124
U 5.5
+500 +500

CAR at BOS 07:00 PM
BOS -127
O 5.5
+500 +500

VAN at NAS 08:00 PM
NAS -120
O 5.5
+500 +500

MON at DAL 08:30 PM
DAL -334
U 5.5
+500 +500

FLA at CAL 09:00 PM
FLA -134
O 6.5
+500 +500

TB at LA 10:30 PM
TB -199
O 5.5
+500 +500
 

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JANUARY'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

01/18/2022.......6-10-0........37.50%..........-43.85
01/17/2022........8-6-0.........57.14%...........+8.70
01/16/2022........1-1-0.........50.00%............-4.60
01/14/2022........4-2-0.........66.67%...........+9.00
01/13/2022......7-10-0.........41.18%...........-48.70
01/12/2022........4-1-1.........80.00%............+4.90
01/10/2022........4-2-0.........66.66%...........+9.00
01/09/2022........2-2-0.........50.00%.............-1.00
01/08/2022........5-9-0.........35.71%............-34.55
01/07/2022........2-2-0.........50.00%..............-0.50
01/06/2022.......9-10-1.........47.36%............-15.60
01/05/2022.........3-1-0.........75.00%...........+10.00
01/04/2022.......11-5-0..........68.75%..........+26.70
01/03/2022.........1-0-0........100.00%...........+ 5.00
01/02/2022.........7-3-0..........70.00%...........+11.75

TOTALS............74-64-2........53.62%............- 63.75

BEST BETS:

01/18/2022........3-5-0...............37.50%.......-12.50
01/17/2022........5-4-0...............55.55%.......+3.00
01/16/2022........1-0-0.............100.00%.......+5.00
01/14/2022........1-2-0..............33.33%.........-6.00
01/13/2022........2-7-0..............22.22%........-27.40
01/12/2022........1-1-1..............50.00%........-0.50
01/10/2022........3-1-0..............75.00%........+9.50
01/09/2022........0-2-0..............00.00%..........-1.00
01/08/2022........1-7-0..............12.50%.........-33.50
01/07/2022........1-1-0..............50.00%.........- 0.50
01/06/2022........4-7-1..............36.36%.........-18.50
01/05/2022........1-1-0..............50.00%..........- 0.50
01/04/2022........4-4-0..............50.00%..........- 2.00
01/03/2011........1-0-0............100.00%.........+ 5.00
01/02/2022........3-0-0............100.00%.........+15.00

TOTALS...........31-40-2.............43.66%.........- 62.90


01/18/2022
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:

— Seahawks fired DC Ken Norton Jr; there have to be scapegoats.
— Kansas 67, Oklahoma 64— Sooners lost four of their last five games.
— Davidson 63, VCU 61— Wildcats are 15-3, haven’t lost since November 18.
— Dayton 68, St Bonaventure 50– 12-6 Flyers are least experienced team in country.
— Kansas State 66, Texas 65— Wildcats were an 11-point underdog.
— Florida State 79, Duke 78 OT— Duke lost two of three true road games.

Quote of the Day
“I think what will help us is to run out of a tunnel and play in front of fans. I think it’s hugely demoralizing to our guys to play games in empty arenas when there’s 80,000 people at the Rams game yesterday.”
UCLA basketball coach Mick Cronin, whose Bruins play at Utah this week

Wednesday’s quiz
Scottie Pippen’s son plays for Vanderbilt; where did Pippen go to college?

Tuesday’s quiz
Ben Simmons played his one year of college basketball at LSU.

Monday’s quiz
Tommy Maddox was the Steelers’ QB before Ben Roethlisberger.

*******************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

13) October 2008, I went to the Tennessee-South Carolina football game in Columbia; game was at night, we sat in lawn chairs in a field all afternoon, watching a big-screen TV that was in the luggage compartment of a Winnebago. There was a satellite dish on the bus. Fun day.

Three things I remember about that day:
— Had Church’s fried chicken for first time; it is great fried chicken.
— I had never met the guy who owned the Winnebago; he owned arcades throughout the south. At one point, he looked at me and asked, “Where you from? You talk funny.” I told him New York and asked him to pass me some more fried chicken.
— We spent about an hour that day discussing the merits of a QB who was still in college; my friend knows more about football than I do, but on this point, I was right.

Matthew Stafford is a really good quarterback.

12) I was very happy for Stafford Monday night; he gets the monkey off his back with his first playoff win, now he can just relax and win some more games.

11) Rams 34, Cardinals 11:
— Rams led 14-0 before Arizona had a first down.
— Murray threw a horrendous pick-6 to make score 21-0.
— Rams were 6-13 on third down, Cardinals 0-9.

10) These are the top two seasons ever by an NFL receiver, in terms of yardage:
a) 1,964 yards— Calvin Johnson 2012
b) 1,947 yards— Cooper Kupp 2021

Two great receivers having great years; the common thread?
Matthew Stafford was the QB for both of those teams.

9) Kupp had 848 yards after catch this season, 78 yards more than anyone else.

8) Las Vegas Raiders fired GM Mike Mayock after three years as GM; Raiders were 25-24 in Mayock’s tenure. Hope he goes back on NFL Network; he does good work analyzing players.

7) Last 11 times the Dallas Cowboys were in the playoffs, they fell short of the Final Four, the conference championship games. Last time they made the Final Four was 1995, when Barry Switzer was their coach and they won their third Super Bowl in four years.

Will they let another team hire Kellen Moore as their coach or will they fire Mike McCarthy and make Moore their head coach? Interesting decision.

6) I’m officially sick of the Manning family; enough already. Eli never said a freakin’ word when he played; now you can’t shut him up, unless his brother is yakking.

It’ll be interesting down the road when Eli Manning comes up for the Hall of Fame, how his 111-111 regular season record will be judged. He won two Super Bowls, but 111-111 isn’t a first ballot Hall of Fame resume.

Jim Plunkett won two Super Bowls, also had a .500 regular season record; he ain’t getting into the Hall of Fame. Manning will get in, but shouldn’t get in on the first ballot.

5) QB Hunter Johnson was Clemson’s 3rd-string QB in 2017, then transferred to Northwestern, where he played four years. Now he is going back to Clemson, where I’m assuming he’ll be the Tigers’ QB next fall. College quarterbacks have become nomads.

4) Miami 85, North Carolina 57— Yikes, ugly loss for the Tar Heels, who are now 12-5, 4-2 in ACC play, but only 2-5 against top 100 teams.

3) Iona 86, Monmouth 85 (OT)— Rick Pitino’s Gaels are 15-3, 7-0 in MAAC; at some point this coming spring, some big $$$ school is going to come after the 69-year old Pitino to be its hoop coach. Would he leave Iona to venture back into the big time?

2) Timberwolves 112, Knicks 110— Couple minutes after this game ended, maybe two minutes after, Karl Anthony Towns(Minnesota’s best player) is standing on the court, talking to someone on a cellphone. Never saw that before.

1) We live in a fickle society; there is the old saying “We’re with you win or tie, but we’re not that crazy about tie” Teams that win get praised or ignored; teams that lose, well everyone should be fired/traded.

Hell, Bill Belichick was taking grief on social media last weekend. Guy made the playoffs with a rookie QB this season; that doesn’t happen a lot, but he hasn’t won a playoff game the last three years, so the natives are restless. Forget the six Super Bowls he won; that was all Brady.

I once was an assistant high school basketball coach; guy I worked for is a great guy, he said something that stopped me in my tracks. We won our first game of the year, lost our second game by a lot, and couple of the players didn’t react to it very well.

The head coach says in the locker room after the game, “Well, it didn’t take long for the rats to start jumping off the ship” Had to hide my face, it made me laugh, but he was right. We live in a fickle society.
 

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NEW JERSEY is 3-20 ATS (-18.9 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.

NY RANGERS are 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.

ANAHEIM is 3-24 ATS (-19.9 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons.




NHL

Wednesday, January 19


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Arizona @ New Jersey
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
New Jersey
New Jersey is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
New Jersey is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona

Toronto @ NY Rangers
Toronto
Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games on the road
NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Rangers's last 8 games at home
NY Rangers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto

Colorado @ Anaheim
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim
Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack:

Six of the best freshmen QB’s for college football next season:
— Connor Weigman, Texas A&M
— Ty Simpson, Alabama
— Cade Klubnik, Clemson
— Nick Evers, Oklahoma
— Devin Brown, Ohio State
— Drew Allar, Penn State

Quote of the Day
“I don’t feel like I’m under siege. It’s not hard to do my job; I’m very focused on the task at hand. I’ve always been that way.”
Lakers coach Frank Vogel, whose team won an NBA title two years ago

Thursday’s quiz
Over the last 25 years, only one NFL team hasn’t won a playoff game; which team?

Wednesday’s quiz
Scottie Pippen’s son plays for Vanderbilt; Pippen Sr went to college at Central Arkansas.

Tuesday’s quiz
Ben Simmons played his one year of college basketball at LSU.

********************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud………

13) 2009 NBA Draft, Minnesota Timberwolves had picks #5-6; they took a pair of guards, Jonny Flynn from Syracuse who played only three years in the NBA, and Ricky Rubio, a Spanish guard who didn’t come to this country until two years later.

Rubio is in his 11th NBA season, on his 4th team. He’s been a good player, but Minnesota has made the playoffs one time since that draft. If they had to do all over again, Minnesota would take the player who was the 7th pick in that draft.

Guard from Davidson, Stephen Curry. You may have heard of him.

12) When Florida State beat Duke Monday night, it was their 13th straight overtime win, an all-time college hoop record.

11) There are still states where high school basketball doesn’t have a shot clock; basketball without a shot clock can be hideous.

In 1979, just before ESPN and seven years before the shot clock, Duke led North Carolina 7-0 at halftime. At one point, UNC held the ball for 11 consecutive minutes, because Duke wouldn’t come out of their zone defense.

February 1980, I was on the bench of a conference tournament game at the D-III level that went 4 OT’s; the team that won the opening tap in the first three OT’s held the ball for the last shot all three times. Not fun to watch.

That was the same night the American hockey team upset the Russians at the Lake Placid Olympics, so while we were sad about losing, while everyone else was happier than hell. Not a great night.

Anyway, basketball needs the shot clock, even in high school.

10) Rutgers 48, Iowa 46:
— 48-46 WITH a shot clock? Oy.
— Teams combined to make 8-40 on the arc. Yikes.
— Rutgers outscored Iowa 24-14 over the final 18:04.
— Lot of rebounds: Rutgers outrebounded Iowa, 49-38.

9) Marquette 57, Villanova 54:
— Marquette made 13-29 on the arc.
— Villanova led by 9 with 10:53 left in game.
— There was a TOTAL of only 7 foul shots in this game.
— Marquette has won five in row; this win will be strong on Selection Sunday.

8) Kentucky 64, Texas A&M 58:
— Aggies were 1-22 on arc, 5-13 on foul line, only lost by six.
— A&M shot 57% inside arc, led this game by 13 in first half.
— Kentucky is quietly 15-3, 5-3 vs top 100 teams.

7) Alabama 70, LSU 67:
— Alabama outscored Tigers 21-9 on foul line.
— LSU scored 55-58-67 points in its three losses
— These teams play again March 5th in Baton Rouge.

6) Was reading where Miami Hurricanes’ new coach Mario Cristobal is having trouble hiring a new offensive coordinator; back when he coached Justin Herbert at Oregon, Ducks threw the ball only 47% of the time for those two years. Turns out Cristobal is something of a control freak.

You have Justin Herbert, you throw the ball. A lot.

5) Georgia QB Stetson Bennett is coming back to Athens for his senior season with the Dawgs, which means JT Daniels is back in the transfer portal. Daniels started out at USC, transferred to Georgia, was there two years, now he’ll be somewhere else next year.

Funny thing is, I’m pretty sure Daniels will play in the NFL someday, and pretty sure that Bennett won’t, but he won a national title with the Dawgs so he is a legend now.

4) There will be scapegoats; Seattle Seahawk fired defensive coordinator Ken Norton Jr after Seattle went 7-10 this season, their first losing season since 2011.

Seahawks were 40-25 in Norton’s four seasons as DC; he has a pretty long history working with Pete Carroll, so chances are this move came from the front office, not Carroll.

3) Tennessee Titans won/covered their last eight games, when they had 8+ days to prepare; Cincinnati Bengals, in their franchise history, are 0-7 in road playoff games, so Joe Burrow has some history to overcome Saturday in Nashville.

2) Eric Weddle came out of a 2-year retirement to play for the Rams Monday night; how much does he get paid? Players get paid for the regular season, not the playoffs; would be curious how much Weddle gets for playing this month.

1) I’m not a big fan of the Monday night game in the Wild Card round; creates a short week for the game’s winner. If a team from one coast has to travel to the other coast for the next round of the playoffs on a short week, that’s a pretty big disadvantage.

All the NFL cares about is making more $$$ and if the Monday night TV game creates more revenue, then it’ll stay. When in doubt, it is always about the money.
 

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PITTSBURGH is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

COLUMBUS are 1-15 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

DALLAS are 1-9 ATS (-9 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

PETER LAVIOLETTE is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp (Coach of Washington).

WINNIPEG is 33-24 ATS (13.3 Units) against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances over the last 2 seasons.

FLORIDA is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

COLORADO is 176-152 ATS (38.9 Units) in road games against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances since 1996.

VEGAS are 34-9 ATS (19.5 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

SEATTLE is 3-13 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.
 

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NHL

Thursday, January 20


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Washington @ Boston
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Dallas @ Buffalo
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

Columbus @ Philadelphia
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Columbus's last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Columbus
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Columbus

Ottawa @ Pittsburgh
Ottawa
Ottawa is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa

Winnipeg @ Nashville
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
Winnipeg is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Nashville's last 11 games

Florida @ Edmonton
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Florida's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing at home against Florida
Edmonton is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing Florida

Colorado @ Los Angeles
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Colorado is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado

San Jose @ Seattle
San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Jose's last 15 games on the road
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Seattle's last 17 games at home
Seattle is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games

Montreal @ Vegas
Montreal
Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vegas
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Vegas
Vegas
Vegas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Vegas is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Messages
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THURSDAY, JANUARY 20
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


OTT at PIT 07:00 PM
PIT -309
U 6.5
+500 +500

DAL at BUF 07:00 PM
DAL -215
U 5.5
+500 +500

CLB at PHI 07:00 PM
CLB +106
O 6.0

+500 +500

WAS at BOS 07:00 PM
WAS +166
O 6.0

+500 +500

WIN at NAS 08:00 PM
NAS -143
O 6.0
+500 +500

FLA at EDM 09:00 PM
FLA -157
U 7.0
+500 +500

COL at LA 09:30 PM
COL -178
U 6.5
+500 +500

MON at VEG 10:00 PM
VEG -303
O 6.0
+500 +500

SJ at SEA 10:00 PM
SJ +102
O 5.5

+500 +500
 

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JANUARY'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

01/20/2022.......12-6-0........66.67%.........+28.30
01/18/2022.......6-10-0........37.50%..........-43.85
01/17/2022........8-6-0.........57.14%...........+8.70
01/16/2022........1-1-0.........50.00%............-4.60
01/14/2022........4-2-0.........66.67%...........+9.00
01/13/2022......7-10-0.........41.18%...........-48.70
01/12/2022........4-1-1.........80.00%............+4.90
01/10/2022........4-2-0.........66.66%...........+9.00
01/09/2022........2-2-0.........50.00%.............-1.00
01/08/2022........5-9-0.........35.71%............-34.55
01/07/2022........2-2-0.........50.00%..............-0.50
01/06/2022.......9-10-1.........47.36%............-15.60
01/05/2022.........3-1-0.........75.00%...........+10.00
01/04/2022.......11-5-0..........68.75%..........+26.70
01/03/2022.........1-0-0........100.00%...........+ 5.00
01/02/2022.........7-3-0..........70.00%...........+11.75

TOTALS............86-70-2........55.12%............- 35.45

BEST BETS:

01/20/2022........6-6-0...............50.00%........-3.00
01/18/2022........3-5-0...............37.50%.......-12.50
01/17/2022........5-4-0...............55.55%.......+3.00
01/16/2022........1-0-0.............100.00%.......+5.00
01/14/2022........1-2-0..............33.33%.........-6.00
01/13/2022........2-7-0..............22.22%........-27.40
01/12/2022........1-1-1..............50.00%........-0.50
01/10/2022........3-1-0..............75.00%........+9.50
01/09/2022........0-2-0..............00.00%..........-1.00
01/08/2022........1-7-0..............12.50%.........-33.50
01/07/2022........1-1-0..............50.00%.........- 0.50
01/06/2022........4-7-1..............36.36%.........-18.50
01/05/2022........1-1-0..............50.00%..........- 0.50
01/04/2022........4-4-0..............50.00%..........- 2.00
01/03/2011........1-0-0............100.00%.........+ 5.00
01/02/2022........3-0-0............100.00%.........+15.00

TOTALS...........37-46-2.............44.57%.........- 65.90


01/20/2022
 

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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 7-pack:

Cincinnati Bengals’ road playoff history:
1970— L0-17 @ (Baltimore) Colts
1973— L16-34 @ Dolphins
1975— L28-31 @ (Oakland) Raiders
1990— L20-10 @ (Los Angeles) Raiders
2011— L10-31 @ Texans
2012— L13-19 @ Texans
2014— L10-26 @ Colts

Quote of the Day
“We want Nissan Stadium to be two-tone blue. And so by limiting this transfer window, it also limits the number of visiting team fans that we’ll have in the stadium.”
Brooke Ellenberger, Tennessee Titans’ vice president of ticketing

Friday’s quiz
Brooklyn Nets coach Steve Nash was also a great NBA player; where did he play his college ball?

Thursday’s quiz
Over the last 25 years, only one NFL team hasn’t won a playoff game, the Detroit Lions.

Wednesday’s quiz
Scottie Pippen’s son plays for Vanderbilt; Pippen Sr went to college at Central Arkansas.

*********************************

Friday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Thursday

13) Indiana 68, Purdue 65:
— Hoosiers outscored Purdue 5-0 over last 0:59.
— Indiana had only 3 turnovers; Purdue had 12.
— Purdue was 7-17 on foul line; no bueno.

12) Gonzaga 78, San Francisco 62:
— Zags won their 8th straight game.
— Dons raced out to a 14-3 lead.
— USF is 4-3 against top 100 teams.

11) UCLA 63, Utah 58:
— UCLA won seven of its last eight games.
— Bruins outscored Utah 12-4 over final 5:23.
— Utes lost their seventh straight game.

10) SMU 70, Memphis 62:
— SMU won 11 of its last 12 games.
— Tigers lost three in row, are 4-8 in last 12 games.
— Memphis was 1-12 on arc, 11-19 on foul line

9) USC 61, Colorado 58:
— Trojans split last four games, after a 13-0 start.
— Colorado led by 5 with 6:41 left.
— Buffs shot 25% (9-36) inside arc.

8) Former UConn basketball coach Kevin Ollie won his arbitration case Thursday, will bank an additional $11.1M from the school- he has to get that $$$ in the next ten days.

Ollie coached UConn for six years, won the 2014 national title; he went 127-79 overall, 59-49 in conference games, but got nailed by the NCAA for recruiting violations.

7) Morehead State 83, Belmont 74:
— Morehead is 5-0 in OVC; they made 11-22 on the arc.
— Since joining OVC, Belmont is 134-28 in conference games.

6) Montana State 89, Northern Arizona 84:
— Bobcats survived NAU making 12-21 3-pointers.
— Montana State won won eight of last nine D-I games.
— Bobcats outscored Northern Arizona 26-12 on foul line.

5) Milwaukee 88, Oakland 78:
— Oakland’s first loss in eight Horizon games.
— Milwaukee shot 59% inside arc.
— Oakland was 29-36 on foul line, on the road, and still lost.

4) NC-Wilmington 71, James Madison 70:
— JMU led by 13 points with 9:55 left to play.
— Seahawks improve to 4-0 in CAA.
— Previous four years, UNCW was 18-43 in CAA games.

3) Cal-Fullerton 65, Cal-Irvine 63:
— 4-0 Titans are on top of Big West standings.
— Fullerton outscored Anteaters 22-2 on the foul line.
— Titans made only 1-3 on the arc.

2) Major League Baseball put the kibosh on the Tampa Bay Rays’ plan to have a split season with the city of Montreal; unsure what the Rays do from here. Fans seem to want a ballpark that is closer to Tampa and not in St Petersburg.

1) RIP to the great play-by-play announcer Ron Franklin, who passed away this week at the age of 79. Franklin called college football/basketball on ESPN for 20+ years; RIP, sir.
 

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NY RANGERS are 14-1 ATS (12.9 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.

COLUMBUS are 12-1 ATS (11.1 Units) in home games against poor starting goalies - saving <= 89.5% of shots against in the last 3 seasons.

NY ISLANDERS are 18-1 ATS (16.6 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 9-1 ATS (8 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

CHICAGO is 8-2 ATS (5.8 Units) in home games after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 15-38 ATS (-26.8 Units) in home games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

FLORIDA is 0-8 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against in the current season.

SEATTLE is 7-22 ATS (-17.8 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.
 

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