Cnotes 2021-2022 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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Dunkel

Sunday, December 5


HVH9afM.png
 

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[SIZE=2]SUNDAY, DECEMBER 5
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

SJ at CLB 06:00 PM
SJ -115
+500

TB at PHI 06:00 PM
TB -115
O 5.5
+500 +500

LA at EDM 08:00 PM
EDM -200
O 6.0
+500 +500

TOR at WIN 08:00 PM
O 6.0
+500

CAL at VEG 10:00 PM
O 5.5
+500
[/SIZE]
 

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DECEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/05/2021...........3-3-1...........50.00%...........-1.50
12/04/2021...........8-1-0...........88.89%........+28.25
12/03/2021...........5-3-0...........62.50%..........+8.50
12/02/2021...........5-8-0...........38.46%..........-29.50
12/01/2021 ..........5-3-0 ..........62.50% ..........+9.00


TOTALS:.............26-18-0..........59.09%.........+ 14.75

********************************

BEST BETS:

15/05/2021............2-1-1...............66.66%..............+ 4.50
12/04/2021............3-0-0.............100.00%..............+15.00
12/03/2021............3-2-0...............60.00%...............+5.00
12/02/2021............3-8-0...............27.27%...............-27.00
12/01/2021............1-5-0...............16.66%..............- 20.50


TOTALS:..............12-16-01..............42.85%..............-23.00


UPDATED 12/05/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:

Some of the more interesting bowl spreads:
— Alabama (-13.5) vs Cincinnati
— Georgia (-7.5) vs Michigan
— Utah (-6.5) vs Ohio State
— Ole Miss (-1.5) vs Baylor
— Oklahoma (-4) vs Oregon
— Tennessee (-1.5) vs Purdue

Quote of the Day
“Today was a little bit uneven at times, but our guys played extremely hard, We were outstanding against the run, against a really, really good back. I thought we defended in the passing game. I really thought we rushed the quarterback at a high level. It was all hands on deck in the pass rush.”
Chargers coach Brandon Staley

Monday’s quiz
Ben Roethlisberger and Sean McVay went to the same college; which one?

Sunday’s quiz
Chargers drafted QB Justin Herbert with 6th pick in the 2020 NFL Draft; Joe Burrow and Tua Tagovailoa were taken ahead of him.

Saturday’s quiz
Maryland won national title in basketball 20 years ago; Gary Williams was their coach.

**********************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

Detroit 29, Minnesota 27:

— Vikings scored TD with 1:53 left to take 27-23 lead.
— Goff hit St Brown with 11-yard TD pass at 0:00 for the win.
— 11 of Vikings’ 12 games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Over is 6-1 in Vikings road games this year.
— Minnesota has been outscored 103-28 in last 2:00 of each half.

— Minnesota has led by 6+ points in every game this year.
— Detroit is 1-10-1, but is 8-4 ATS (5-1 last six).
— Detroit converted only 2-11 third down plays.
— Lions’ last four games were decided by total of seven points.
— Detroit won this game despite questionable game management strategy.

Arizona 33, Chicago 22:
— Cardinals had three TD drives shorter than 30 yards.
— Arizona was +4 in turnovers, had 23-yard edge in field position.
— Cardinals are 9-3 ATS this season, 7-0 on road.
— Cardinals are +15 in turnovers in wins, minus-3 in losses.
— Arizona has 51 plays of 20+ yards; their opponents have 29.

— Bears lost six of their last seven games (1-6 ATS).
— Last six games, Chicago was outscored 92-39 in first half.
— Last seven games, Bears are minus-11 in turnovers.
— Favorites won/covered all six Chicago home games TY.
— Bears are 5-9 ATS last 14 games as home underdogs.

Tampa Bay 30, Atlanta 17:
— Tampa Bay scared 30-38-30 points in winning last three games.
— Bucs drove 75 yards for TD on three of first four drives.
— Bucs have 46 TD’s on 126 drives this season.
— Tampa Bay outscored last three opponents 47-7 in 2nd half.
— Bucs won last five series games, scoring 37.2 ppg.

— Atlanta is 0-5 SU at home this year, outscored 140-66.
— Falcons in second half: 34 plays, 159 yards, no points.
— Falcons’ second TD was scored by the defense.
— Atlanta has been outscored 186-89 in second half.
— Under is 4-1 in last five Atlanta games.

Indianapolis 31, Houston 0:
— Colts won/covered seven of last ten games, after 0-3 start.
— Colts outgained Houston 389-141.
— Last four weeks, Indy led by 18-11-17-10-14 points at halftime.
— Last ten weeks, Colts outscored opponents 167-75 in first half.
— Colts are 6-0 giving up 24 or fewer points, 1-6 if they allow 25+.

— Texans lost ten of their last eleven games.
— Houston averaged 1.8 yards/pass attempt, was 3-12 on third down.
— Colts outscored Texans 61-3 in two meetings this season.
— Last seven games, Houston was outscored 93-37 in 1st half.
— Under is 8-2 in Texans’ last ten games.

Philadelphia 33, NJ Jets 18:
— Eagles scored TD on first three drives, kicked FG’s on next four.
— Philly ran ball for 211.8 ypg last six games (98.6 ypg previous five games)
— Minshew averaged 8.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Philly converted 6-13 on 3rd down, Jets 3-9.
— Last five weeks, Eagles outscored opponents 98-45 in first half.

— Jets’ first three drives: 25 plays, 164 yards, three TD’s
— Jets went 0-1 on PAT’s, 0-2 on 2-point conversions.
— Rest of game: 31 plays, 113 yards, no points.
— Jets lost four of their last five games.
— Seven of last nine Jet games went over the total.

LA Chargers 41, Cincinnati 22:
— Chargers’ first 3 drives: 18 plays, 132 yards, 17 points.
— Bolts led 24-0; Bengals cut lead to 24-22 early in 4th quarter.
— Campbell ran fumble back 61 yards for Charger TD with 13:43 left.
— Last five years, LA is 12-7-2 ATS as road underdogs.

— Burrow played lot of game with dislocated pinky on his right hand
— Cincy had only one TD drive longer than 32 yards.
— Four of last five Bengal games went over the total.
— Bengals are 7-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-4 otherwise.
— Cincy is 8-11-2 ATS last 21 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Last three years, Cincinnati is 3-9 ATS coming off a win.
— Five of last six Bengal games went over the total.

Miami 20, NY Giants 9:
— Giants have one TD on 20 drives since they fired OC Garrett.
— Giants have been outscored 74-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Giants are 5-8-1 ATS last 14 games coming off a win.
— Last six Giant games stayed under the total.
— QB Glennon got concussion; newly acquired Fromm could play next week.

— Dolphins won/covered last five games, giving up 11.0 ppg.
— Dolphins allowed 17 or fewer points in all six of their wins.
— Miami gave up four TDs on opponents’ last 58 drives.
— Miami is 23-12-3 ATS in last 37 home games.
— Five of last six Dolphin games stayed under the total.

Washington 17, Las Vegas 15:
— Johnson kicked 48-yard FG with 0:37 left for the win.
— Washington won all four games since its bye.
— Washington converted 29 of last 58 third down plays.
— Washington is 9-4-1 ATS last 14 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Washington is 14-7 ATS last 21 games coming off a win.

— Las Vegas is 6-0 when it scores 26+ points, 0-6 when it does not.
— Washington was 7-13 on third down, Raiders 2-8
— Raiders converted only 18 of last 69 third down plays.
— Las Vegas is 3-6 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
— Raiders lost four of last five games, outscored 89-48 in second half.

LA Rams 37, Jacksonville 7:
— Jaguars lost four in row, 25 of their last 27 games.
— Jacksonville has seven losses by 10+ points.
— Jaguars have six TD’s on their last 48 drives.
— Jacksonville is minus-13 in turnovers (5-18)
— Jaguars are 8-16-1 ATS in last 25 games as road underdogs.

— Rams’ first two drives started at Jaguars’ 34/27-yard line.
— Rams’ first three drives in 2nd half: 24 plays, 202 yards, 21 points.
— LA outgained Jacksonville, 418-197
— Last eight games, LA converted only 33-95 on 3rd down
— Last two years, under is 10-4 in Rams’ home games.

Pittsburgh 20, Baltimore 19:
— Ravens scored TD with 0:12 left, went for 2 points but failed.
— Last four weeks, Baltimore scored 10-16-16-19 points.
— Five trips to red zone, Ravens scored only 19 points.
— Last four Baltimore games stayed under the total.
— Underdogs are 11-1-1 ATS in last 13 games vs Steelers.

— Steelers drove 69 yards, took lead for good with 1:48 left.
— Pittsburgh held Ravens to 107 rushing yards.
— Last five games, Pittsburgh converted 33-69 on third down.
— Pittsburgh covered last six games as a home underdog.
— Steelers are 6-2 ATS in last eight AFC North home games.

Seattle 30, San Francisco 23:
— 49ers led 17-7 midway thru second quarter.
— 49ers in first half: 30 plays, 184 yards, 23 points.
— 49ers In second half: 26 plays, 137 yards, no points.
— San Francisco averaged 9.5 yards/pass attempt.
— 49ers are 1-5 SU when they score fewer than 30 points.

— Seattle tied game 23-23 with third quarter safety on a sack.
— Seahawks ran for 146 yards, threw for only 4.4 yards/attempt.
— Seattle won 15 of last 17 games against the 49ers.
— Seahawks had 12-yard edge in field position.
— Both teams turned ball over three times.

Kansas City 22, Denver 9:
— Denver had 20-play, 88-yard drive but didn’t score on it.
— Broncos scored only nine points on three trips to red zone.
— Denver had 3 turnovers, converted 4-14 on third down.
— Denver has lost 11 in a row SU to Kansas City.
— Broncos are 4-11-1 ATS in last 16 AFC West road games.

— Chiefs won last five games, giving up 11.2 ppg.
— Kansas City is 6-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 2-4 if they allow more.
— Denver outgained the Chiefs, 404-267, ran 18 more plays than KC.
— Chiefs have ten takeaways in last four games (+6)
— Six of Chiefs’ last seven games stayed under the total.

Sunday’s college basketball highlights:
— Xavier 77, Oklahoma State 71
— Northwestern 67, Maryland 61
— Kansas State 65, Wichita State 59
— Minnesota 81, Mississippi State 76
— Siena 60, Saint Peter’s 58
 

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NEW JERSEY is 0-12 ATS (-12.9 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.

ANAHEIM is 8-2 ATS (5.8 Units) after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 4-15 ATS (-10.9 Units) in home games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS are 22-32 ATS (-19.8 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances over the last 2 seasons.

LOS ANGELES are 74-64 ATS (3.6 Units) in road games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days since 1996.

PITTSBURGH is 18-28 ATS (-12.8 Units) at home when the total is >=6 in the last 3 seasons.





NHL

Monday, December 6


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Colorado @ Philadelphia
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Colorado's last 13 games
Colorado is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Colorado

Anaheim @ Washington
Anaheim
Anaheim is 15-2 ATS in its last 17 games
Anaheim is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Ottawa @ New Jersey
Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ottawa's last 9 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games
New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa

Arizona @ Dallas
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Arizona's last 10 games on the road
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home

Pittsburgh @ Seattle
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 8 games at home
Seattle is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Los Angeles @ Vancouver
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Vancouver's last 11 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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MONDAY, DECEMBER 6
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


ANA at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS -210
O 6.0
+500 +500

OTT at NJ 07:00 PM
NJ -180
+500

ARI at DAL 08:30 PM
DAL -350
+500

PIT at SEA 10:00 PM
PIT -115
+500

LA at VAN 10:00 PM
VAN -140
+500
 

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DECEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/06/2021...........5-1-1...........83.33%........+19.50
12/05/2021...........3-3-1...........50.00%...........-6.25
12/04/2021...........8-1-0...........88.89%........+28.25
12/03/2021...........5-3-0...........62.50%..........+8.50
12/02/2021...........5-8-0...........38.46%..........-29.50
12/01/2021 ..........5-3-0 ..........62.50% ..........+9.00


TOTALS:.............31-19-1..........62.00%.........+ 29.50

********************************

BEST BETS:

12/06/2021............1-0-0.............100.00%.............+ 5.00
12/05/2021............2-1-1...............66.66%.............+ 4.50
12/04/2021............3-0-0.............100.00%.............+15.00
12/03/2021............3-2-0...............60.00%...............+5.00
12/02/2021............3-8-0...............27.27%...............-27.00
12/01/2021............1-5-0...............16.66%..............- 20.50


TOTALS:..............11-15-0...............42.30%...............-22.50


UPDATED 12/06/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack:

Six interesting NFL spreads for Week 14:
— Pittsburgh @ Minnesota (-3)
— New Orleans (-5.5) @ NJ Jets
— San Francisco @ Cincinnati (-1)
— Baltimore @ Cleveland (-2.5)
— Atlanta @ Carolina (-3)
— Dallas (-4) @ Washington

Quote of the Day
“Everybody’s trying to get to the NBA off the ranking we had, but nobody is willing to sacrifice minutes, touches, anything. It’s been miserable…I’m going to have to be a complete asshole from this point on and only play the players that care.”
Memphis basketball coach Penny Hardaway

Tuesday’s quiz
Peyton Manning was the first pick in the 1998 NFL Draft; which former Chargers’ QB was the second pick in that draft?

Monday’s quiz
Ben Roethlisberger and Sean McVay went to the same college, Miami OH. Roethlisberger is actually four years older than the Rams’ coach.

Sunday’s quiz
Chargers drafted QB Justin Herbert with 6th pick in the 2020 NFL Draft; Joe Burrow and Tua Tagovailoa were taken ahead of him.

************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

12) Purdue Boilermakers are #1 in country in college basketball, first time they’ve ever been atop the national rankings. Purdue made the Final Four in 1969/1980, losing the national title game to UCLA in 1969.

Matt Painter is 15-11 in NCAA Tournament games; lot of time will pass between now and March, but couple of pundits have already picked the Boilermakers to win it all this season.

11) Memphis Tigers lost their last three games, after a 5-0 start; apparently the team doesn’t have good chemistry. coach Penny Hardaway

Freshmen Bates and Duren were the top two recruits in the Class of 2022 and were considered future NBA lottery picks, but they re-classified to Class of ’21 and went to college a year early- they’ve both been starting, which apparently irked the older players on the squad.

Memphis doesn’t have a true point guard; they tried to make the 6-9 Bates a PG, but he isn’t a point guard and now he isn’t even starting anymore- he played 22 minutes off the bench at Ole Miss Saturday.

You can’t force chemistry on a team; having talent is great, but if they don’t play together, it is mostly wasted talent. Will be interesting to see how their season plays out.

10) You watch the New Orleans Saints play and you know they need a quarterback; last time the Saints drafted a QB in the first round was 1971, when they drafted Archie Manning in the first round. Archie was a lot different than his two sons; he played like a right-handed Steve Young, ran around a lot, but he was stuck on a terrible team and mostly got pummeled in the NFL.

But Archie Manning is a legend at Ole Miss; the speed limit on their campus is still 18 miles an hour, because Manning wore number 18 playing for the Rebels.

9) NBA’s Houston Rockets started the season 1-16, losing 15 games in a row, but all of a sudden they’ve gotten hot and won six straight games. Five of those six games went over the total; under was 12-5 in their first 17 games.

Houston plays the Nets Wednesday, which should test that winning streak.

8) Maryland fired basketball coach Mark Turgeon last week; Turgeon went 226-116 at Maryland, 105–79 in conference games, 5-5 in NCAA Tournament games. He signed a contract extension last April, but apparently is getting paid $5M to go away.

Wish the hell someone would pay me $5M to go away; I’d go away for $50, maybe $25.

7) A new bowl game this fall is the Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl, which will be played December 18 at SoFi Stadium, where Rams/Chargers play.

Kimmel said: ”This is not a joke. This is a real bowl game named after me, so mark your calendars. … It’s like an early Christmas gift for all of us.”

The Super Bowl is at SoFi Stadium this season; the college football national title game is at SoFi in January 2023.

6) There are seven first-time head coaches in the NFL this season; they are a combined 37-48 against the spread.

5) Tony Romo makes $18M a year doing NFL games on CBS? Seriously? Cris Collinsworth makes $12.5M from NBC? If I’m home and hear Collinsworth’s voice on TV, I hit the mute button, he is so annoying.

Romo is good, but he ain’t $18M worth of good. No one is.

4) Feel like this fact fell thru the cracks little bit last week, but it bears repeating; of the last 55 NFL teams who threw 4+ interceptions in a game, Baltimore Ravens in Week 12 are only team that won that game- they beat the Browns 16-10 on a Sunday night game, surviving four INTs thrown by Lamar Jackson, three of them on consecutive possessions.

3) Odd scheduling quirk with Cleveland; they’re playing consecutive games against Baltimore, with their bye week in between. That doesn’t happen much.

2) Carolina Panthers fired OC Joe Brady during their bye week; Brady was the OC at LSU two years ago, when Joe Burrow led the Tigers to the national title, but Carolina has stammered thru this season, and they told Brady to take a hike.

Sounds like head coach Matt Rhule is taking the rap for owner David Tepper here; really rich hedge fund traders aren’t terribly patient people- that’s how Tepper became wealthy, and he is really, really wealthy— $13 billion worth.

Brady is only 32 years old, so he’ll re-surface soon with a big coordinator’s job, probably back at the college level.

1) Weird news item of the day:
A couple has sued Texas Longhorns’ special teams coach Jeff Banks and his girlfriend, saying Thomas’ monkey bit their child in the backyard of Banks’ house on Halloween night.

The girlfriend was identified in the lawsuit as “Pole Assassin” which her stage name when she dances. She once appeared on “The Jerry Springer Show” with the monkey.

Wish I was making all that up, but I’m not that creative.
 

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MONTREAL is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

NY ISLANDERS are 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in road games off a home loss in the last 3 seasons.

COLUMBUS are 6-22 ATS (-18.2 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 7-1 ATS (6.6 Units) in home games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

ANAHEIM is 82-62 ATS (13.8 Units) in road games revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less since 1996.

FLORIDA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after allowing 3 goals or more 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

WINNIPEG is 35-27 ATS (10.9 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances over the last 2 seasons.

NY RANGERS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

EDMONTON is 8-0 ATS (8.3 Units) against poor power play teams - scoring on < 14.5% of their chances over the last 2 seasons.

CALGARY is 3-13 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NHL

Tuesday, December 7


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Nashville @ Detroit
Nashville
Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Tampa Bay @ Montreal
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Montreal
Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Montreal
Montreal is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

NY Islanders @ Ottawa
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games
Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 8 games when playing NY Islanders

Columbus @ Toronto
Columbus
Columbus is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Columbus's last 16 games
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Anaheim @ Buffalo
Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games
Anaheim is 16-2 ATS in its last 18 games
Buffalo
Buffalo is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games

Florida @ St. Louis
Florida
Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Carolina @ Winnipeg
Carolina
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Carolina is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
Winnipeg is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

NY Rangers @ Chicago
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
NY Rangers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Rangers

Minnesota @ Edmonton
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Edmonton
Edmonton is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Edmonton's last 10 games at home

Calgary @ San Jose
Calgary
Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Calgary's last 9 games on the road
San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games at home
San Jose is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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TUESDAY, DECEMBER 7
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


TB at MON 07:00 PM
TB -230
+500

CLB at TOR 07:00 PM
TOR -260
+500

FLA at STL 08:00 PM
FLA -160
+500

CAR at WIN 08:00 PM
WIN -110
O 5.5
+500 +500

NYR at CHI 08:30 PM
NYR -120
+500

MIN at EDM 09:00 PM
EDM -130
+500

CAL at SJ 10:30 PM
O 5.5
+500
 

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DECEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/07/2021...........5-3-0...........57.14%.........+8.50
12/06/2021...........5-1-1...........83.33%........+19.50
12/05/2021...........3-3-1...........50.00%...........-6.25
12/04/2021...........8-1-0...........88.89%........+28.25
12/03/2021...........5-3-0...........62.50%..........+8.50
12/02/2021...........5-8-0...........38.46%..........-29.50
12/01/2021 ..........5-3-0 ..........62.50% ..........+9.00


TOTALS:.............36-22-1..........62.06%.........+ 38.00

********************************

BEST BETS:

12/07/2021............2-0-0.............100.00%.............+10.00
12/06/2021............1-0-0.............100.00%.............+ 5.00
12/05/2021............2-1-1...............66.66%.............+ 4.50
12/04/2021............3-0-0.............100.00%.............+15.00
12/03/2021............3-2-0...............60.00%...............+5.00
12/02/2021............3-8-0...............27.27%...............-27.00
12/01/2021............1-5-0...............16.66%..............- 20.50


TOTALS:..............13-15-0...............46.42%...............-12.50


UPDATED 12/07/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack:

NFL leaders in receptions:
100— Cooper Kupp, Rams
86— Keenan Allen LAC, Tyreek Hill KC, Jaylen Waddle Mia
82— Chris Godwin, TB
80— Davante Adams, GB
78— Justin Jefferson, Minn
76— Diontae Johnson, Pitt

Quote of the Day
“Let’s not give more credit than we need to give credit to Bill Belichick in this one. Whether it was Bill or anybody else, they beat us, right? But you sit here and you tell me when we start with an average starting field position of the 40-yard line and he starts with the 23-yard line — I’m rounding up in both cases — and we were 1 for 4 in the red zone and they were 0 for 1 in the red zone? You give me that ahead of time, I’d say I like my chances. I like my chances.”
Buffalo coach Sean McDermott

Wednesday’s quiz
Jim Valvano won a national title coaching NC State; where did he coach before NC State?

Tuesday’s quiz
Peyton Manning was the first pick in the 1998 NFL Draft; Ryan Leaf was the second pick in that draft.

Monday’s quiz
Ben Roethlisberger and Sean McVay went to the same college, Miami OH. Roethlisberger is actually four years older than the Rams’ coach.


*********************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

13) Miami Hurricanes are paying U of Oregon $9M, which was the buyout in Mario Cristobal’s contract with the Ducks. Cristobal will make $8M a year with Miami.

12) McNeese State football coach Frank Wilson quit this week, will join Brian Kelly’s staff at LSU as an associate head coach. Wilson was an assistant at LSU from 2010-15, then became head coach at Tex-San Antonio, where he went 19-29 before being shown the door there.

Wilson is regarded as an outstanding recruiter, especially in Louisiana; he is going to have to recruit a QB- LSU’s QB Max Johnson hit the transfer portal Tuesday night.

That leads me to a question: when a newly-hired coach talks to his new team, and obviously tells some of them that they’re going to be replaced, or that their starting spots aren’t guaranteed, what are those conversations like? What %age of them are civil? Some of them have to be at least a little contentious, yes?

Max Johnson’s dad played in the NFL, was the Buccaneers’ QB in a Super Bowl. Jake Johnson is his brother, a highly-touted tight end recruit who is also leaving LSU. That would be excellent really TV, to hear those conversations.

11) Right now, if they held voting for college basketball Coach of the Year, I’d vote for Minnesota coach Ben Johnson, whose Gophers are off to a 7-0 start.

They only have one top 100 win, but when Johnson was hired by Minnesota, he had one player on the team— 10 other guys transferred, and an 11th one is hurt and won’t play this season. To cobble together a squad quickly, and have that team be successful, is really difficult.

10) Several college basketball leagues are playing 20-game conference schedules now; big part of the reason why is that these leagues have their own TV networks- they need games to provide programming for those networks.

It is also better for fans than seeing big-name schools play cruddy opponents in December.

9) James Madison 52, Virginia 49:
— Huge win for JMU’s program- they opened a new 8,500-seat arena.
— Dukes are now 1-11 against their in-state rival.
— 6-4 Virginia has losses to Navy/JMU; they were 4-26 on arc.

8) When the Bills lost at home to New England Monday night, Buffalo had a 17-yard edge in field position, an unusually big margin. Teams with a 17-yard edge in field position almost never lose; so far this season, teams that won field position by 10+ yards are 46-6 SU.

7) NFL stuff:
— Rookie Davis Mills (0-6 as starter) figures to start this week for Houston.
— Giants have QB injury issues; Jake Fromm may play in his first NFL game Sunday against the Chargers. Few weeks ago, Fromm was Buffalo’s 4th-string QB. He was a 5th-round draft pick out of Georgia in 2020.

6) NBA’s Cleveland Cavaliers are a surprising 19-6 ATS as an underdog this season, 13-3 as a road dog.

5) Starting January 15, unvaccinated NBA players can’t travel to Canada, which obviously means unvaccinated Raptors can’t play at home either.

4) Michigan was pounding Iowa 35-3 in the Big 14 title game Saturday night; they scored another TD with 1:25 left, making the final margin 42-3. I’m guessing that touchdown will be remembered by the Hawkeyes; usually, there is something of a code about running up the score. Something to tuck away for the future.

3) PNC Arena in Raleigh is a busy place; Louisville-NC State played a basketball game there at 2:00 Saturday, then at 7:30 that night, Sabres-Hurricanes played an NHL game there.

On TV, they said it takes 90 minutes to switch the arena from basketball to hockey.

2) There are murmurs on the Interweb that Max Scherzer wants the Mets to hire Buck Showalter as their new manager; owner Steve Cohen is apparently on board with that.

1) Was daydreaming yesterday and thought of a weird rule change that would make football more interesting.

On kickoffs, if a kicker boots the ball thru the uprights 75 yards away, his team gets a point. It would add some interest to kickoffs, for sure.
 

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NY RANGERS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

NEW JERSEY
is 0-13 ATS (-14.7 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.

VANCOUVER is 1-11 ATS (-10.8 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

DALLAS are 6-0 ATS (6.3 Units) against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game in the current season.




NHL

Wednesday, December 8


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia @ New Jersey
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 10 games on the road
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
New Jersey is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia

Colorado @ NY Rangers
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games
Colorado is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
NY Rangers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Boston @ Vancouver
Boston
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games at home

Dallas @ Vegas
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Vegas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Active member
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Messages
104,209
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WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 8
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

COL at NYR 07:00 PM
COL -170
O 6.5
+500 +500

PHI at NJ 07:00 PM
NJ -150
+500

BOS at VAN 09:00 PM
BOS -135
O 5.5
+500 +500

DAL at VEG 10:00 PM
VEG -145
O 5.5
+500 +500
 

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Sep 26, 2005
Messages
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Tokens
DECEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/08/2021...........5-2-0...........71.43%.......+12.75
12/07/2021...........5-3-0...........57.14%.........+8.50
12/06/2021...........5-1-1...........83.33%........+19.50
12/05/2021...........3-3-1...........50.00%...........-6.25
12/04/2021...........8-1-0...........88.89%........+28.25
12/03/2021...........5-3-0...........62.50%..........+8.50
12/02/2021...........5-8-0...........38.46%..........-29.50
12/01/2021 ..........5-3-0 ..........62.50% ..........+9.00


TOTALS:.............41-24-1..........63.07%.........+ 50.75

********************************

BEST BETS:

12/08/2021............2-1-0...............66.66%.............+4.50
12/07/2021............2-0-0.............100.00%.............+10.00
12/06/2021............1-0-0.............100.00%.............+ 5.00
12/05/2021............2-1-1...............66.66%.............+ 4.50
12/04/2021............3-0-0.............100.00%.............+15.00
12/03/2021............3-2-0...............60.00%...............+5.00
12/02/2021............3-8-0...............27.27%...............-27.00
12/01/2021............1-5-0...............16.66%..............- 20.50


TOTALS:..............15-16-0...............48.38%...............-8.00


UPDATED 12/08/2021
 

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Messages
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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack:

NFL leaders in rushing attempts:
241— Jonathan Taylor, Ind
227— Joe Mixon, Cin
219— Derrick Henry, Tenn
217— Najee Harris, Pitt
206— Antonio Gibson, Wash
171— Ezekiel Elliott, Dal

Quote of the Day
“I think that’s my thing. People are going to talk about it, yes or no, but I know I gotta do better. I had a long summer, I think I relaxed a little bit, not taking care, but I gotta be better. I had a long summer. I had the Olympics, took three weeks off and then I said I relaxed a little bit, maybe too much, and I just gotta get back on track.”
Luka Doncic

Thursday’s quiz
What QB that is eligible for the Hall of Fame had the most passing yards, but isn’t in the Hall of Fame?

Wednesday’s quiz
Jim Valvano won a national title coaching NC State; he coached at Iona before NC State.

Tuesday’s quiz
Peyton Manning was the first pick in the 1998 NFL Draft; Ryan Leaf was the second pick in that draft.

********************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) They were telling a story on TV Tuesday night that helps explain the current state of college basketball. Kid on Texas Tech goes to an NBA combine last spring, trying to determine if he would get drafted last summer. He didn’t get good news, so he is back in Lubbock.

But while he was at the combine, he talked to a kid who played at Oral Roberts last year, and they became friends. The Texas Tech kid talks the Oral Roberts kid into bolting to Tech, making the Red Raiders a stronger team this season.

The ESPN sideline reporter is telling this story like it is a great thing, but if you’re the coach at Oral Roberts, it ain’t so great- they lost one of their best players because he did so well that he tried out for the NBA, and a bigger school peached him.

Coaches have to have their heads on a swivel these days, to make sure bigger schools aren’t going to steal their players. Happens all the time.

12) There hasn’t been a punt return TD in the NFL this season; this would be the first time in at least 50 years that the league didn’t have any punt return scores.

11) Last fifteen Army-Navy games have stayed under the total, mostly because neither team throws the ball very much. This year’s total is only 34; supposed to be warm on Saturday.

10) Wisconsin 64, Indiana 59:
— Hoosiers led this game 42-20 late in first half.
— Indiana has lost 19 straight games at Wisconsin
— Davis had 23 for Wisconsin, the only Badger in double figures.
— Indiana was only 6-13 on foul line.

9) Marquette 64, Kansas State 63:
— Marquette was 11-37 on arc, 15-28 inside arc, 1-3 on line.
— Marquette played 8 guys 15:00+; five of them are freshmen.

8) West Virginia 56, UConn 53:
— Mountaineers survived 12-27 shooting on foul line.
— UConn outrebounded West Virginia, 45-31.
— Two guards on West Virginia played all 40:00.

7) Tennessee lost 57-52 in OT to Texas Tech Tuesday night, and they looked awful doing it, going 6-40 on arc, 13-31 inside arc. But at this time of year, things can be deceiving.

Tennessee won 69-54 at Colorado Saturday, then flew to New York City, worked out at the Brooklyn Nets’ facility Sunday, practiced Monday, then played Tuesday. Too much travel for a college team this early in the season.

6) Fresno State hired Jeff Tedford as its new football coach; he coached the Bulldogs from 2017-19, but quit for health reasons. Tedford was 26-14 in his first stint with Fresno; he’s also been a head coach for the BC Lions in the CFL, and was Aaron Rodgers’ coach with the Cal Bears, leading Cal to an 82-57 record.

5) If the NFL Draft was today (it isn’t), these would be the top 7 picks:
Lions, Jaguars, Texans, Jets, Giants, Jets, Giants.

4) Speaking of the Giants, they’re spending this week in Arizona, as they prepare to play the Chargers at SoFi Stadium Sunday. No word yet whether Jake Fromm will play in his first NFL game, or whether Mike Glennon will clear concussion protocol and get the start.

3) During the pandemic, when there were no ballgames on TV, I became more interested in movies, and the career paths that actors/actresses have.

Was watching A League of Their Own the other night, the 1992 movie about the women’s baseball league, and the character who ran the league was Ira Lowenstein, played by veteran actor David Strathairn.

Turn the clock ahead 27-28 years, and David Strathairn was in eight episodes of Billions, playing political operative Black Jack Foley. Quite a career he has had; you might not know the name, but you’ve probably seen him in at least 1-2 movies.

2) Las Vegas Raiders signed K Daniel Carlson to a 4-year extension worth $18.4M, with $10.2M of that money guaranteed.

1) In the NFL, under is 40-21-1 this season in AFC-NFC games, 69-62-1 in all other games.
 

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TORONTO is 23-7 ATS (11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

MONTREAL is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) against poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game in the current season.

COLUMBUS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games in non-conference games in the current season.

NY ISLANDERS
are 1-10 ATS (-10.4 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

DETROIT is 4-32 ATS (-31.2 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 237-223 ATS (48.1 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game since 1996.

CAROLINA is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games in the current season.

WINNIPEG is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) off a home loss by 2 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

SAN JOSE is 23-47 ATS (-28.7 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

DALLAS are 23-32 ATS (-18.8 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances over the last 2 seasons.
 

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