Cnotes 2021-2022 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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SUNDAY, JANUARY 23
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


LAC at NY 01:00 PM
O 205.0
+500

BOS at WAS 03:30 PM
U 216.5
+500

POR at TOR 06:00 PM
O 214.0
+500

LAL at MIA 06:00 PM
O 216.0
+500

CHI at ORL 06:00 PM
ORL +3.0
U 215.5
+500 +500

ATL at CHA 07:00 PM
ATL +3.0
O 235.5
+500 +500

PHI at SA 07:00 PM
PHI -2.0
O 220.5
+500 +500

MEM at DAL 07:30 PM
MEM +4.0
O 217.5
+500 +500

BK at MIN 08:00 PM
BK +3.0
U 236.0
+500 +500

DET at DEN 08:00 PM
DEN -11.0
U 218.0
+500 +500

UTA at GS 08:30 PM
UTA +5.0
O 221.0
+500 +500
 

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JANUARY'S NBA OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Units

01/23/2022.......10-8-0........55.56%..........+6.00
01/22/2022.........4-2-0........66.67%..........+9.00
01/21/2022.......3-10-0........23.08%..........-40.00
01/20/2022.........4-2-0........66.67%..........+9.00
01/19/2022......12-14-0........46.15%..........-17.00
01/18/2022.........1-3-0.........25.00%.........-11.50
01/17/2022........5-12-1........29.14%..........-41.00
01/16/2022.........2-2-0.........50.00%...........-1.00
01/15/2022.........4-4-0..........50.00%...........-2.00
01/14/2022.........4-4-0..........50.00%...........-2.00
01/13/2022.........6-1-0..........85.71%.........+24.50
01/12/2022.........6-1-1..........85.71%.........+24.50
01/10/2022.........7-7-0..........50.00%...........-3.50
01/09/2022.........9-9-0..........50.00%............-4.50
01/08/2022.........6-6-0...........50.00%..........-3.00
01/07/2022.........9-8-0...........52.94%.........+1.00
01/06/2022.........5-3-0...........62.50%..........+8.50
01/05/2022.......13-5-1...........72.22%........+37.50
01/04/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%..........+3.50
01/03/2022.......7-11-0...........38.88%..........-24.50
01/02/2022.........2-5-2...........33.33%..........-17.50

TOTALS..........123-120-4..........50.61%..........-44.00


BEST BETS:

01/23/2022.........7-3-0..........70.00%......+18.50
01/22/2022.........4-2-0..........66.67%........+9.00
01/21/2022.........2-7-0...........22.22%.......-28.50
01/20/2022.........3-1-0...........75.00%.......+9.50
01/19/2022.........6-6-0...........50.00%.......-3.00
01/18/2022.........0-2-0...........00.00%.......-11.00
01/17/2022.........3-8-0...........27.27%.......-29.00
01/16/2022.........2-2-0...........50.00%.........-1.00
01/15/2022.........4-2-0...........66.66%........+9.00
01/14/2022.........3-3-0...........50.00%.........- 1.50
01/13/2022.........5-1-0...........83.33%........+19.50
01/12/2022.........4-1-1...........80.00%........+14.50
01/10/2022.........4-6-0...........40.00%.........-13.00
01/09/2022.........3-3-0...........50.00%...........-1.50
01/08/2022.........4-4-0...........50.00%..........- 2.00
01/07/2022.........6-4-0...........60.00%.........+ 8.00
01/06/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%.........+ 3.50
01/05/2022.........9-5-1...........64.28%........+17.50
01/04/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%.........+ 3.50
01/03/2022.........1-2-0............33.33%.........- 6.00
01/02/2022.........3-3-1............50.00%.........- 1.50

TOTALS............77-71-3............52.02%.........+14.00


01/23/2022
 

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:

— Hawai’i named alumnus QB Timmy Chang their new football coach.
— Providence 69, Butler 62— Bulldogs lost six of their last seven games.
— Marquette 75, Xavier 64— Marquette wins its sixth straight game.
— Iona 76, Quinnipiac 61— Rick Pitino’s Gaels are 8-0 in the MAAC.
— Michigan 80, Indiana 62— Wolverines made 11-17 on the arc.
— Memphis 83, Tulsa 81— Tulsa led by 15 early in second half.

Quote of the Day
“I’m tired of the underdog narrative. We’re a really, really good team. We’re here to make noise and teams are going to have to pay attention to us.”
Joe Burrow

Monday’s quiz
Butler made the Final Four in consecutive years under Brad Stevens (2010-11); what league were they in back then?

Sunday’s quiz
Jimmy Garoppolo played his college football at Eastern Illinois, just like Sean Payton and Tony Romo did.

Saturday’s quiz
Steve McNair was the QB for the Tennessee Titans, in their one Super Bowl appearance.

****************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend……..

13) Rams 30, Buccaneers 27:
— Gay kicked 30-yard FG at 0:00 for the win.
— Rams led 27-3 with 4:00 left in third quarter.
— Rams turned ball over four times on their last ten drives.
— Cooper Kupp caught nine passes for 183 yards and a TD.

12) Chiefs 42, Bills 36, OT:
— There were 31 points scored in last 6:10 of this game.
— Buffalo WR Davis caught 8 passes for 201 yards, four TD’s.
— Chiefs’ WR Hill caught 11 passes for 150 yards and a TD.
— Kansas City was only home team to win this weekend.

11) Bengals 19, Titans 16:
— McPherson nailed 52-yard FG at 0:00 for the win.
— Bengals get first-ever (1-7) road playoff win.
— Tennessee sacked Joe Burrow nine times.
— Bengals were 7-15 on third down, Tennessee 1-8

10) 49ers 13, Packers 10:
— Gould nailed 45-yard FG at 0:00 for the win.
— 49ers first four drives: 12 plays, minus-16 yards
— 49ers’ last five drives: 42 plays, 192 yards, 13 points.
— Rodgers is 0-4 against 49ers in the playoffs.

9) Utah Jazz are only 5-5 SU in their last ten home games, 0-10 ATS.

8) Texas hired former TCU head coach Gary Patterson as an assistant. This is a great hire. Patterson was TCU’s head coach for 22 years, going 113-59 in conference games. Horned Frogs played in four different conferences in Patterson’s tenure as head coach.

7) Last week, Nevada player Daniel Foster had a game where he scored 8 points, grabbed 7 rebounds, had 5 assists in 29:00. Pretty good game, but he was 0-0 from the floor; he played 29:00 with no shots?

Chances are he was fouled in act of shooting couple times, but still, an odd stat line.

6) Speaking of Nevada, heard on TV the other night that this is Steve Alford’s 31st year as a head coach. Felt pretty old when I heard that; doesn’t seem like that long ago he was a great college player at Indiana.

5) Last July 29, Texas Rangers traded Joey Gallo to New York:
— For Texas, Gallo hit .223 with an .869 OPS in 95 games.
— 58 games in New York, in better hitters’ park, Gallo hit .160 with a .707 OPS.

4) Speaking of New York, here are Giancarlo Stanton’s splits, by position:
DH— .267 BA with an .843 OPS in 108 games.
LF— .343 BA with a 1.065 OPS, in 10 games.
RF— .279 BA with a .968 OPS, in 16 games.

Maybe he should play in the field more.

3) Boston Celtics are 9-17 this season in games that were within 5 points in the last 5:00.

2) Chicago Bulls’ G Alex Caruso is out 6-8 weeks with a broken wrist after a flagrant foul by Milwaukee’s Grayson Allen. Allen was a dirty player at Duke and he still is.

1) Was watching the replay of a 1993 Nets-Magic game the other night; Shaquille O’Neal had 28 points, 26 rebounds, 15 blocks.
— Bill Raftery was the TV analyst; forgot that he did Nets’ games on SportsChannel.
— Penny Hardaway was on the Magic; this was just after he was in the movie Blue Chips with Shaq.
— Some great names from the past: Scott Skiles, Benoit Benjamin, Derrick Coleman.
— How basketball has changed: Magic was 2-8 on the arc, Nets were 1-6.
 

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CLEVELAND is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

INDIANA is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after allowing 100 points or less in the current season.

PHOENIX is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) after a non-conference game in the current season.




NBA
Dunkel

Monday, January 24


Gbfy1z0.png





NBA

Monday, January 24


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

New York @ Cleveland
New York
New York is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
New York is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Cleveland is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

Indiana @ New Orleans
Indiana
Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Indiana's last 20 games on the road
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana

Chicago @ Oklahoma City
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing Chicago
Oklahoma City is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Chicago

Utah @ Phoenix
Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games
Utah is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------





The Jazz are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games.
The Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone UNDER in five of the last six Jazz' games.
The total has gone UNDER in five of the last six Suns' games.
 

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack:

— Wake Forest 87, Boston College 57— Deacons are 17-4, 7-3 in ACC.
— Ole Miss 70, Florida 54— Gators’ coach White played at Ole Miss.
— NC-Wilmington 74, Northeastern 68— Seahawks move to 6-0 in CAA.
— South Dakota 75, Western Illinois 72— Coyotes win fifth straight game.
— Morehead State 67, Tennessee State 54— Eagles improve to 7-0 in OVC.
— Virginia 64, Louisville 52— Cardinals lost five of last six games.

Quote of the Day
“Technology is just a tool. In terms of getting the kids working together and motivating them, the teacher is the most important.”
Bill Gates

Tuesday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes was the 10th player taken in the 2017 NFL Draft; only one quarterback was taken ahead of him. Who was it?

Monday’s quiz
Butler made the Final Four in consecutive years under Brad Stevens (2010-11); they were in the Horizon League back then.

Sunday’s quiz
Jimmy Garoppolo played his college football at Eastern Illinois, just like Sean Payton and Tony Romo did.

*****************************

Tuesday’s Den: NBA trends……

NBA trends (thru Sunday’s games)

Hawks (21-25):
— won/covered last four games.
— 3-6 ATS last nine road games.
— 3-5 ATS if they played night before
— over 5-1 last six games.*

Celtics (24-24):
— won six of last nine games SU.
— 2-6 ATS last eight home games.
— 5-4 ATS if they played night before
— over 7-4 last 11 road games

Nets (29-17):
— won three of last four games SU.
— 7-4 ATS last 11 road games.
— 2-4 ATS if they played night before
— over 5-2 last seven home games.

Hornets (26-21):
— won 7 of last 9 games SU.
— covered six of last seven road games.
— 2-6 ATS if they played night before
— under 7-1 last eight games

Bulls (28-17):
— lost six of last seven games SU.
— 3-7 ATS last ten road games.
— 5-3 ATS if they played night before
— last five home games went over.

Cavaliers (28-19):
— won six of last seven games SU
— 1-5 ATS last six road games.
— 4-3-1 ATS if they played night before
— under 6-3 last nine games

Mavericks (27-20):
— won 11 of last 13 games SU.
— 8-3-1 ATS last 12 home games
— 12-6 ATS last 18 road games.
— 4-4 ATS if they played night before
— Under 15-1 last 16 home games

Nuggets (24-21):
— 6-3 SU their last win games
— 2-5 ATS last seven road games*
— 1-6 ATS if they played night before
— last six games went over the total.

Pistons (11-35):
— Lost four of last five games SU
— covered six of last nine games.
— 4-3 ATS if they played night before
— over 9-5 last 14 home games.

Warriors (34-13):
— won nine of last 11 home games SU
— lost five of last six road games SU
— 3-4 ATS if they played night before
— under 4-1 last five home games.

Rockets (14-33):
— 0-7 ATS last seven home games.
— 5-1 ATS last six road games.
— 1-6-1 ATS if they played night before
— over 9-2 last 11 home games*

Pacers (17-30):
— covered four of last five road games.
— lost 11 of last 14 games SU
— 5-2-1 ATS if they played night before
— under 15-5 last 20 road games

Clippers (23-25):
— won/covered last three home games.
— 3-5 ATS last eight road games.
— 2-5 ATS if they played night before
— three of last four games went over

Lakers (23-24):
— lost five of last seven games SU
— 6-10 ATS last 16 home games.
— 2-2 ATS if they played night before
— over 7-2 last nine games

Grizzlies (25-14):
— won 13 of *last 16 games SU*
— covered 13 of last 16 road games.
— 6-3 ATS if they played night before
— under 7-1-1 last nine home games

Heat (30-17):
— won five of last eight games SU
— 6-3 ATS last nine road games.
— 4-3 ATS if they played night before
— 5over 10-5 last fifteen games.

Bucks (30-19):
— 2-5 ATS last seven home games
— lost last three road games
— 2-6 ATS if they played night before
— under 7-5 last 12 home games.

Timberwolves (23-23):
— 5-3 last eight games SU
— 0-4 ATS last four road games
— 3-3 ATS if they played night before
— over 7-1 last eight games

Pelicans (17-28):
— covered five of their last six games.
— 7-1 ATS last eight home games
— 3-4 ATS if they played night before
— under 6-1 last seven games

Knicks (23-24):
— won six of last 10 games SU.
— under 9-4 last 13 home games
— 4-2 ATS if they played night before
— under 10-5 last fifteen games.*

Thunder (14-32):
— lost five in row, nine of last ten games SU.
— 9-4 ATS last 13 road games.
— 4-3 ATS if they played night before
— under 4-0 last four games

Magic (9-39):
— lost 14 of last 16 games SU
— 2-8 ATS last ten home games*
— 4-6 ATS if they played night before
— under 3-1 last four home games.*

76ers (27-19):
— won 11 of last 14 games SU
— covered seven of last nine home games.
— 2-4 ATS if they played night before
— under 8-3 last 11 home games

Suns (36-9):
— won last six games SU (4-1 last five ATS)
— covered eight of last ten road games
— 2-4 ATS if they played night before
— under 5-1 last six games*

Trailblazers (20-26):
— won/covered six of last eight games.
— 4-10 ATS last 14 home games.
— 4-3 ATS if they played night before
— under 4-2 last six home games

Kings (18-30):
— 1-7 ATS last eight road games.
— 6-4 ATS last ten home games
— 4-5 ATS if they played night before
— four of their last five games went over

Spurs (17-30):
— lost 12 of last 15 games SU
— 12-6 ATS as road underdogs.
— 5-2 ATS if they played night before
— four of their last five games stayed under.

Raptors (22-22):
— lost five of last seven games SU.
— 15-6-1 ATS last 22 games
— 5-0 ATS if they played night before
— under 7-1 last eight games

Jazz (30-17):
— lost 7 of last 9 games SU
— 0-10 ATS last seven home games
— 3-5 ATS if they played night before
— under 4-0 last four games

Wizards (23-24):
— lost four of last five games*
— covered once in last ten games.
— 2-4 ATS if they played night before
— over 7-3 last ten road games.
 

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LA CLIPPERS are 22-8 ATS (13.2 Units) in road games when the total is 210-219.5 over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 17-6 ATS (10.4 Units) after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS are 85-55 ATS (24.5 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.

BROOKLYN is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season of the season.

HOUSTON is 15-41 ATS (-30.1 Units) in home games after a loss in the last 3 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games in the current season.

PORTLAND is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NBA

Tuesday, January 25


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA Clippers @ Washington
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing Washington
LA Clippers is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

Denver @ Detroit
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Charlotte @ Toronto
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte

New Orleans @ Philadelphia
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing New Orleans
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against New Orleans

Sacramento @ Boston
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games
Boston
Boston is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Boston's last 21 games when playing at home against Sacramento

LA Lakers @ Brooklyn
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of LA Lakers's last 15 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Brooklyn's last 15 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Brooklyn is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Lakers

San Antonio @ Houston
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games at home

Dallas @ Golden State
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
Golden State
Golden State is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games at home

Minnesota @ Portland
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
Portland
Portland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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The Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games.
The Nets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games.
The Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven matchups against Brooklyn.
The Nets are 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games.
The total has gone OVER in seven of the last nine Lakers' games.


The total has gone UNDER in eight straight Mavericks' games.
The Warriors are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games.
The Mavericks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 matchups against Golden State.
The total has gone OVER in ten of the last 13 matchups between Dallas and Golden State .
 

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TUESDAY, JANUARY 25
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


LAC at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS -5.0
O 219.0
+500 +500

DEN at DET 07:00 PM
U 217.0
+500

NO at PHI 07:00 PM
O 211.5
+500

CHA at TOR 07:00 PM
CHA -1.0
O 220.0
+500 +500


LAL at BK 07:30 PM
U 225.5
+500

SA at HOU 08:00 PM
HOU +4.0
U 233.5
+500 +500

MIN at POR 10:00 PM
MIN -3.0
O 234.0
+500 +500

DAL at GS 10:00 PM
O 210.5
+500
 

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JANUARY'S NBA OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Units

01/25/2022.........6-6-0.......50.00%...........-3.00
01/23/2022.......10-8-0........55.56%..........+6.00
01/22/2022.........4-2-0........66.67%..........+9.00
01/21/2022.......3-10-0........23.08%..........-40.00
01/20/2022.........4-2-0........66.67%..........+9.00
01/19/2022......12-14-0........46.15%..........-17.00
01/18/2022.........1-3-0.........25.00%.........-11.50
01/17/2022........5-12-1........29.14%..........-41.00
01/16/2022.........2-2-0.........50.00%...........-1.00
01/15/2022.........4-4-0..........50.00%...........-2.00
01/14/2022.........4-4-0..........50.00%...........-2.00
01/13/2022.........6-1-0..........85.71%.........+24.50
01/12/2022.........6-1-1..........85.71%.........+24.50
01/10/2022.........7-7-0..........50.00%...........-3.50
01/09/2022.........9-9-0..........50.00%............-4.50
01/08/2022.........6-6-0...........50.00%..........-3.00
01/07/2022.........9-8-0...........52.94%.........+1.00
01/06/2022.........5-3-0...........62.50%..........+8.50
01/05/2022.......13-5-1...........72.22%........+37.50
01/04/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%..........+3.50
01/03/2022.......7-11-0...........38.88%..........-24.50
01/02/2022.........2-5-2...........33.33%..........-17.50

TOTALS..........129-126-4..........50.58%..........-47.00


BEST BETS:

01/25/2022.........3-3-0..........50.00%.......-1.50
01/23/2022.........7-3-0..........70.00%......+18.50
01/22/2022.........4-2-0..........66.67%........+9.00
01/21/2022.........2-7-0...........22.22%.......-28.50
01/20/2022.........3-1-0...........75.00%.......+9.50
01/19/2022.........6-6-0...........50.00%.......-3.00
01/18/2022.........0-2-0...........00.00%.......-11.00
01/17/2022.........3-8-0...........27.27%.......-29.00
01/16/2022.........2-2-0...........50.00%.........-1.00
01/15/2022.........4-2-0...........66.66%........+9.00
01/14/2022.........3-3-0...........50.00%.........- 1.50
01/13/2022.........5-1-0...........83.33%........+19.50
01/12/2022.........4-1-1...........80.00%........+14.50
01/10/2022.........4-6-0...........40.00%.........-13.00
01/09/2022.........3-3-0...........50.00%...........-1.50
01/08/2022.........4-4-0...........50.00%..........- 2.00
01/07/2022.........6-4-0...........60.00%.........+ 8.00
01/06/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%.........+ 3.50
01/05/2022.........9-5-1...........64.28%........+17.50
01/04/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%.........+ 3.50
01/03/2022.........1-2-0............33.33%.........- 6.00
01/02/2022.........3-3-1............50.00%.........- 1.50

TOTALS............80-74-3............51.94%.........+12.50


01/25/2022
 

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
— Illinois 56, Michigan State 55— Spartans missed FT with chance to tie with 0:02 left.
— Clippers 116, Wizards 115— Washington blew a 35-point lead. Seriously.
— Auburn 55, Missouri 54— Tigers squeak thru their first-ever game as #1 in country.
— Kentucky 82, Mississippi State 74 OT— Wildcats blew 16-point lead in second half.
— UCSB 72, Cal-Northridge 45— Miles Norris was 9-10 behind the arc.
— UCLA 75, Arizona 59— Wildcats shot 31% from the floor.

Quote of the Day
“I don’t know what’s next. I’ve not spoken to anyone relative to doing TV … (but) I think I’d like to do that. I think I’d be pretty good at it … I’d like to try TV. I talked to Drew (Brees) a little bit about it last night. That’d be something that would interest me.”
Sean Payton

Wednesday’s quiz
When Sean Payton won his Super Bowl coaching the Saints, who did they beat?

Tuesday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes was the 10th player taken in the 2017 NFL Draft; only one quarterback was taken ahead of him. Chicago took Mitch Trubisky, with the #2 pick.

Monday’s quiz
Butler made the Final Four in consecutive years under Brad Stevens (2010-11); they were in the Horizon League back then.

****************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

13) Why some teams win, and some don’t. Here are the first 10 picks of the 2017 NFL Draft:
1) Cleveland- Myles Garrett, DE
2) Chicago- Mitch Trubisky, QB
3) San Francisco- Solomon Thomas, DE
4) Jacksonville- Leonard Fournette, RB
5) Tennessee- Corey Davis, WR
6) NJ Jets- Jamal Adams, S
7) Chargers- Mike Williams, WR
8) Carolina- Christian McCaffrey, RB
9) Cincinnati- John Ross, WR
10) Kansas City- Patrick Mahomes, QB
12) Houston- Deshaun Watson, QB

Ironically, the Chiefs acquired that #10 pick in a trade with Buffalo.

12) Sean Payton quit as coach of the Saints Monday, with three years left on his contract; the Saints not having a decent QB had to be a huge factor in that decision.

Right now, nine of the NFL’s 32 head coaching jobs are open.

11) Here are the first seven picks of the 2018 draft:
1) Cleveland- Baker Mayfield, QB
2) NJ Giants- Saquon Barkley, RB
3) NJ Jets- Sam Darnold, QB
4) Cleveland- Denzel Ward, CB
5) Denver- Bradley Chubb, LB
6) Indianapolis- Quentin Nelson, G
7) Buffalo- Josh Allen, QB

10) Scouting is incredibly important in football; I think it is actually underrated by media. Just look at this year’s Final Four in the NFL:
Rams— Cooper Kupp, Eastern Washington
49ers— Jimmy Garoppolo, Eastern Illinois
Bengals— Trey Hendrickson, Florida Atlantic
Chiefs— Tyreek Hill, West Alabama

9) Over the last 30 years, there have been six conference title games with division rivals
1992- Buffalo W29-10 @ Miami
1999- Tennessee W33-14 @ Jacksonville
2008- Pittsburgh W23-14 vs Baltimore
2010- Green Bay W21-14 @ Chicago
2013- Seattle W23-17 vs San Francisco

Packers were favored in 2010, so road teams are 3-2, favorites 3-2.

8) Over the last 30 years, there have been six conference title games with 2-seed hosting the 4-seed. Oddly, the 4-seed won five of those six games, a good trend for Cincinnati.

Over the last 30 years, Arizona’s 32-25 win over the Eagles in 2008 was the only conference title game between a #4 and a #6-seed, which is what 49ers-Rams is Sunday

7) As far as NFL overtime goes in the playoffs, I’d prefer that both teams get the ball once, just seems more fair. I’d be in favor of the home teams always getting the ball first instead of a coin flip. Home team is the higher seed, so they’ve earned the right.

6) In case you were wondering, in the last 14 Super Bowls, underdogs are 9-5 ATS.

5) Arizona State named former Ravens’ coach Brian Billick as an assistant coach; Billick coached Baltimore from 1999-2007, winning Super Bowl XXXV. He had worked for NFL Network since then. Billick is the third ex-NFL head coach on the ASU staff, joining Herm Edwards, Marvin Lewis.

4) People get paid to provide advice on fantasy baseball, so they’ve started doing rankings on podcasts for 2022, but a good deal of it is pointless.
— Is there going to be a universal DH? Would be good to know.
— Will shifts be banned? Makes spray hitters more attractive.
— There are still a dozen or so really good players who are free agents.

Owners/players need to compromise on their disagreements and start spring training on time, for their own good. It is possible to kill the golden goose.

Oh by the way, the 8-team USFL kicks off April 16; that combined with the NBA/NHL playoffs, and lot of people won’t notice if baseball doesn’t start on time.

3) Guy was talking on a fantasy baseball podcast about how he has teams in 3-4 different fantasy leagues; I don’t have the mental bandwidth for that. I just have one team; maybe I’d be better off with teams in multiple leagues.

2) Why, you ask? Pitcher named Burch Smith just signed with the Seibu Lions in Japan, but back on May 11, 2013, Smith was a Padres pitching prospect making his debut in Tampa Bay.

Why do I mention this? I was in Las Vegas that week, staying at the SunCoast Casino, whose sportsbook was right next to their movie theater, which sold Orville Redenbacher popcorn, which is tremendous.

Anyway, our fantasy league didn’t have a phone app yet, so if I wanted to add a player, had to be on my laptop. The pitching on my fantasy team was off to a rough start that year; I really, really needed some help. Burch Smith was an intriguing prospect.

If Smith pitched well that game in Tampa, then someone was going to scoop him up before I got back to my hotel room to get on the laptop- I had to decide before I went downstairs to watch the game. We only got four pickups a month back then.

Long story short, I picked Smith up, hustled downstairs, got some popcorn and watched Smith toss a scoreless first inning. Life was good; then he gave up six runs in the second inning, and the popcorn didn’t taste as good.

Some days you’re the hammer; other days, you’re the nail.

1) David Ortiz got elected into the Baseball Hall of Fame last night, which is fine, but it is baffling to me how you can vote for Ortiz, but not vote for Bonds, Clemens or Alex Rodriguez. How are they any different than Ortiz?

Ortiz hit .286 in his six years with Minnesota, with an .809 OPS; THEY RELEASED HIM.

Ortiz goes to Boston, plays 14 more years with a.956 OPS. He just suddenly got that much better? Hmmmmm
 

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ORLANDO is 18-42 ATS (-28.2 Units) in home games as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 19-40 ATS (-25 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the last 3 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 29-12 ATS (15.8 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

DENVER is 25-47 ATS (-26.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 237-289 ATS (-80.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

SAN ANTONIO is 8-25 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games after a win in the last 3 seasons.

UTAH is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game in the current season.

DALLAS are 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in road games after scoring 100 points or less in the current season.
 

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NBA

Wednesday, January 26

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Milwaukee @ Cleveland
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Charlotte @ Indiana
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Charlotte's last 12 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Charlotte is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Indiana's last 12 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Indiana is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Charlotte

LA Clippers @ Orlando
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
LA Clippers is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

Sacramento @ Atlanta
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Sacramento is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home

New York @ Miami
New York
New York is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 7 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
Miami is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

Denver @ Brooklyn
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Denver
Brooklyn is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Denver

Toronto @ Chicago
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

Memphis @ San Antonio
Memphis
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Memphis is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games at home
San Antonio is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Memphis

Phoenix @ Utah
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Utah
Utah is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games

Dallas @ Portland
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing Portland
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Portland's last 9 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 8 games when playing at home against Dallas


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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The Knicks are 2-6 ATS in their last eight matchups against Miami
The Heat are 8-2 ATS in their last ten games.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of the last 16 Knicks' games.
The total has gone OVER in nine of the last 13 Heat' games.


The Suns are 5-0 SU in their last five matchups against Utah.
The Jazz are 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 games.
The Suns are 7-0 SU in their last seven games.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last five matchups between Utah and Phoenix.
 

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Hoop Trends for Wednesday, January 26
Vince Akins

ATS Trend of the Day:
Matchup: New York at Miami (ESPN, 7:30 p.m. ET)

-- The Heat are 11-0-1 ATS since February 9, 2018 when the total is under 204.

OU Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Dallas at Portland (NBA League Pass, 10:00 p.m. ET)

-- The Mavericks are 0-8 OU this season on the second half of a back-to-back.

Choice Trend of the Day:
Matchup: L.A. Clippers at Orlando (NBA League Pass, 7:00 p.m. ET)

-- The Clippers are 0-10-1 OU since January 2020 as a road favorite with no rest facing a team that is not on a 7+ game losing streak.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
 

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WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 26
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


CHA at IND 07:00 PM
O 228.5
+500

LAC at ORL 07:00 PM
O 213.0
+500

MIL at CLE 07:00 PM
U 217.0
+500

NY at MIA 07:30 PM
MIA -5.5
U 202.5

+500 +500

SAC at ATL 07:30 PM
O 230.0
+500

DEN at BK 08:00 PM
DEN -2.5
+500

TOR at CHI 08:00 PM
TOR +3.5
+500

MEM at SA 08:30 PM
U 228.5
+500

DAL at POR 10:00 PM
U 217.0
+500

PHO at UTA 10:00 PM
UTA +1.5
O 223.5
+500 +500
 

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JANUARY'S NBA OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Units

01/26/2022.........5-6-1.......45.83%............-8.00
01/25/2022.........6-6-0.......50.00%...........-3.00
01/23/2022.......10-8-0........55.56%..........+6.00
01/22/2022.........4-2-0........66.67%..........+9.00
01/21/2022.......3-10-0........23.08%..........-40.00
01/20/2022.........4-2-0........66.67%..........+9.00
01/19/2022......12-14-0........46.15%..........-17.00
01/18/2022.........1-3-0.........25.00%.........-11.50
01/17/2022........5-12-1........29.14%..........-41.00
01/16/2022.........2-2-0.........50.00%...........-1.00
01/15/2022.........4-4-0..........50.00%...........-2.00
01/14/2022.........4-4-0..........50.00%...........-2.00
01/13/2022.........6-1-0..........85.71%.........+24.50
01/12/2022.........6-1-1..........85.71%.........+24.50
01/10/2022.........7-7-0..........50.00%...........-3.50
01/09/2022.........9-9-0..........50.00%............-4.50
01/08/2022.........6-6-0...........50.00%..........-3.00
01/07/2022.........9-8-0...........52.94%.........+1.00
01/06/2022.........5-3-0...........62.50%..........+8.50
01/05/2022.......13-5-1...........72.22%........+37.50
01/04/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%..........+3.50
01/03/2022.......7-11-0...........38.88%..........-24.50
01/02/2022.........2-5-2...........33.33%..........-17.50

TOTALS........134-132-5..........50.37%..........-55.00


BEST BETS:

01/26/2022.........4-4-1..........50.00%......-2.00
01/25/2022.........3-3-0..........50.00%.......-1.50
01/23/2022.........7-3-0..........70.00%......+18.50
01/22/2022.........4-2-0..........66.67%........+9.00
01/21/2022.........2-7-0...........22.22%.......-28.50
01/20/2022.........3-1-0...........75.00%.......+9.50
01/19/2022.........6-6-0...........50.00%.......-3.00
01/18/2022.........0-2-0...........00.00%.......-11.00
01/17/2022.........3-8-0...........27.27%.......-29.00
01/16/2022.........2-2-0...........50.00%.........-1.00
01/15/2022.........4-2-0...........66.66%........+9.00
01/14/2022.........3-3-0...........50.00%.........- 1.50
01/13/2022.........5-1-0...........83.33%........+19.50
01/12/2022.........4-1-1...........80.00%........+14.50
01/10/2022.........4-6-0...........40.00%.........-13.00
01/09/2022.........3-3-0...........50.00%...........-1.50
01/08/2022.........4-4-0...........50.00%..........- 2.00
01/07/2022.........6-4-0...........60.00%.........+ 8.00
01/06/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%.........+ 3.50
01/05/2022.........9-5-1...........64.28%........+17.50
01/04/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%.........+ 3.50
01/03/2022.........1-2-0............33.33%.........- 6.00
01/02/2022.........3-3-1............50.00%.........- 1.50

TOTALS............84-78-3............51.85%.........+10.50


01/26/2022
 

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack:

— VCU 70, Davidson 68— Rams end Davidson’s 15-game winning streak.
— Drake 89, Illinois State 88, OT— Drake won last two games, both in OT
— SMU 74, South Florida 54— Mustangs won four in row, 12 of last 13 games.
— Iowa State 84, Oklahoma State 81— Cyclones were 12-28 on the arc.
— Chattanooga 71, Wofford 60— Mocs improve to 7-1 in the SoCon.
— LSU 70, Texas A&M 64— Banged-up Tigers scored game’s last nine points.

Quote of the Day
“Early on in the (scouting) process, I had a second- or third-round grade on Mahomes. I didn’t think he was ready, and I couldn’t push the flawed mechanics aside……..Ultimately, he earned an 85 grade and closed at No. 44 on my board (QB3, behind Trubisky/Watson)”
ESPN’s Todd McShay, showing how scouting is an inexact science

Thursday’s quiz
Who is the only #16-seed to beat a #1-seed in the NCAA basketball tournament?

Wednesday’s quiz
When Sean Payton won his Super Bowl coaching the Saints, they beat the Colts, 31-17.

Tuesday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes was the 10th player taken in the 2017 NFL Draft; only one quarterback was taken ahead of him. Chicago took Mitch Trubisky, with the #2 pick.

********************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) Louisville gave basketball coach Chris Mack $4.8M to take a hike Wednesday, firing Mack during an 11-9 season- Cardinals lost five of their last six games.

Mack did really well (105-51 in conference games) coaching Xavier (his alma mater) but had off-court issues at Louisville, firing assistant coaches last year. One of the assistants he fired taped their conversation, then tried to extort money from Mack.

12) Colonial Athletic Association is adding three teams for next year, bringing them up to 12 teams. Hampton, Monmouth, Stony Brook are the three new teams.

11) This past weekend was first time since 2010 that both #1-seeds lost their first game in the NFL playoffs.

10) First pick in April’s NFL Draft will get $41.47M in guaranteed money; there is no clear-cut choice for the #1 pick this year, which is held by Jacksonville.

9) Miami 78, Virginia Tech 75— Kid on Miami drained a half-court shot at the buzzer for the walk-off win. Hurricanes are 15-5, 7-2 in ACC games. Tech is 2-7 in the ACC.

8) Providence 65, Xavier 62— Friars have been an underdog six times this season, and won all six games SU. Providence is 17-2 overall, losing to Virginia/Marquette.

7) Marquette 73, Seton Hall 63— Marquette was 10-22 on arc, wins its 7th game in a row.

Unusual nugget; Marquette coach Shaka Smart is from Wisconsin; he was born 11 days after Al McGuire’s Marquette team won the national title in 1977.

6) NC-Wilmington is a surprising 6-0 in CAA games; they were the underdog in five of those games. Last four years, Seahawks were 18-43 in conference games.

5) Minnesota hired a new GM; Kwesi Adofo-Mensah comes to the Vikings from Cleveland, where he was VP of football operations. Because Adofo-Mensah is a minority, Cleveland gets a third-round pick in April’s draft.

4) NHL’s Edmonton Oilers gave up the first goal in each of their last ten games.

3) QB Braxton Burmeister played two years at Oregon, then transferred and played two years at Virginia Tech, now he has bolted again and will finish his college career at San Diego State. Last year’s Aztec QB has already transferred to I-AA Montana.

2) Big day of college basketball Saturday; SEC/Big X challenge will provide some juicy non-conference games. Kentucky-Kansas, Tennessee-Texas, Baylor-Alabama are three of the better games.

1) PGA Tour didn’t want to go up against the football games on TV Sunday; they started their event on Wednesday this week, will finish up Saturday night out in San Diego. Billy Horschel (-9) is the leader after the first day.
 

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