Cnotes 2021-2022 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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JANUARY'S NBA OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Units

01/06/2022.........5-3-0...........62.50%..........+8.50
01/05/2022.......13-5-1...........72.22%........+37.50
01/04/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%..........+3.50
01/03/2022.......7-11-0...........38.88%..........-24.50
01/02/2022.........2-5-2...........33.33%..........-17.50

TOTALS...........31-27-3...........53.44%...........+ 7.50


BEST BETS:

01/06/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%..........+ 3.50
01/05/2022.........9-5-1...........64.28%..........+17.50
01/04/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%..........+ 3.50
01/03/2022.........1-2-0............33.33%..........- 6.00
01/02/2022.........3-3-1............50.00%..........- 1.50

TOTALS............21-16-2............56.75%.........+17.00


01/06/2022
 

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Friday’s 6-pack:

NBA assist leaders:
10.1— Chris Paul, Phx
9.8— James Harden, Bkln
9.5— Trae Young, Atl
8.9— Dejounte Murray, SA
8.3— Kyle Lowry, Mia
8.1— Russell Westbrook, LAL

Quote of the Day
“I think it’s a lack of mental toughness to fight through those adverse times…….it’s a lot of different things. And then, like I said, a calming presence to slow it down and get us what we want is really what you need at that point. And sometimes we all get caught up in it.”
Celtics coach Ime Udoka, after Boston blew a 25-point lead and lost to the Knicks

Friday’s quiz
Who was the last QB to be the starter for the Indianapolis Colts two years in a row?

Thursday’s quiz
Martin Landau played Judge Petrovsky in the classic poker movie, Rounders.

Wednesday’s quiz
Paul Shaffer was the musical director on David Letterman’s late night talk show.

********************************

Friday’s Den: NBA trends…….

NBA trends (thru Wednesday’s games)
Hawks (17-20):
— 5-10 SU last 15 games.
— lost last eight home games.
— 0-9 ATS last nine home games
— 8-4 ATS last 12 home games.

Celtics (18-20):
— 5-9 last fourteen games SU.
— 1-4 ATS last five road games.
— 1-4 ATS last five as a home favorite.
— under 10-4-1 last 15 road games

Nets (24-12):
— 1-3 SU last four games.
— 2-10 ATS last 12 home favorite
— 6-1-1 ATS last 8 games on the road.
— over 8-2 last ten home games.

Hornets (20-19):
— covered 10 of last 11 home games.
— won four of last six games SU
— 6-4 ATS last ten road games
— over 5-2-1 last eight home games

Bulls (25-10):
— won their last eight games SU.
— 5-2 ATS last seven home games.
— 7-4 ATS as a road favorite.
— six of last nine games went over.

Cavaliers (21-17):
— lost four of last five games SU
— 1-6 ATS last seven games.
— 14-6 ATS at home (0-3 last three)
— over 4-1-1 last six games

Mavericks (20-18):
— won five of last six games SU.
— 5-1 ATS last six home games
— 6-3 ATS last nine as a road underdog.
— Under 14-4 last 18 games

Nuggets (18-18):
— 4-5 SU their last win games
— 3-6 ATS last nine games as a favorite
— under 6-1 last seven games.
— 1-5 ATS if they played night before.

Pistons (7-29):
— Lost 19 of last 22 games SU
— 5-3 ATS last eight as a home underdog.
— 3-2 ATS if they played night before
— over 4-2 last six games.

Warriors (29-8):
— won eight of last 11 games SU
— 14-5-1 ATS as home favorites.
— 4-6 ATS road favorite, 4-2 road underdog.
— over 6-3 last nine games.

Rockets (11-28):
— lost eight of last nine games SU.
— 0-4 ATS last four hone games.
— 1-6 ATS last seven games as road underdogs.
— over 11 of last 15 games overall.

Pacers (14-25):
— lost last six games SU
— 7-3 ATS as a road underdog
— 6-2-1 ATS last nine home games
— 0-7 ATS as a road favorite
— under 12-3 last fifteen road games

Clippers (19-19):
— lost seven of last ten games SU
— over 4-1 last five games.
— 1-7 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
— 1-5 ATS if they played night before

Lakers (20-19):
— won four of last five games SU
— 5-12 ATS as a home favorite.
— 2-5 ATS as a road favorite.
— under 6-2 last eight road games

Grizzlies (25-14):
— won last six games SU (5-1 ATS).
— won/covered 10 of last 11 on road.
— 8-4 ATS as road underdogs.
— over 6-0 last six road games

Heat (24-15):
— won eight of last 12 games SU
— over 7-1 last eight games.
— 4-0 ATS as home underdogs.
— 5-8 ATS as as road favorites

Bucks (25-15):
— 7-5 last twelve games SU.
— 6-11 ATS as home favorites, 10-3 ATS as road favorites
— 2-7 ATS as underdogs.
— five of last six games went over.

Timberwolves (18-20):
— 7-5 last 12 games SU
— 3-6 ATS last nine home games
— 6-2 ATS last eight road games
— under 5-1 last six games

Pelicans (13-25):
— won six of last ten games SU
— 1-5 ATS last six road games
— 4-1 ATS last five home games
— over 6-2 last eight games

Knicks (18-20):
— won six of last 10 games SU.
— under 5-1 last six games
— 6-11 ATS at home
— 3-9 ATS as an underdog.

Thunder (13-24):
— lost four of last five games SU.
— 9-2 ATS last 11 games overall.
— 12-5 ATS as home underdog, 11-7 as road dog
— under 4-0 last four games

Magic (7-32):
— lost last seven games SU
— over 5-0 last five home games
— 3-13 ATS as a home underdog
— 11-5 ATS last 16 road games.

76ers (21-16):
— won last five games SU
— last seven of last ten home games SU
— 5-10 ATS at home
— four of last five games went over.

Suns (29-8):
— won 8 of last 11 games SU (7-4 ATS)
— covered four of last five road games
— 16-15 ATS as a favorite
— over 5-1 last six home games

Trailblazers (14-23):
— lost five of last six games SU
— 3-12 ATS on the road
— 2-9 ATS last 11 home games.
— over 4-1 last five games

Kings (16-24):
— lost six of last nine games SU
— 10-13 ATS at home
— over 6-2 on road since coaching change
— 3-5 ATS if they played night before.

Spurs (15-22):
— lost four of last five games SU
— 10-5 ATS as road underdogs.
— 10-7 ATS at home
— over 13-3-1 at home

Raptors (18-17):
— won last four games SU.
— 11-2 ATS last thirteen games
— 1-4 ATS as home underdogs, 8-6 as road dogs.
— over 9-0 last nine games

Jazz (28-10):
— won 8 of last 9 games SU
— 0-7 ATS last seven home games
— 10-5 ATS as road favorite
— under 5-0-1 last six road games

Wizards (19-19):
— lost ten of last fifteen games
— 5-2 ATS as home underdogs, 6-8 as road dogs.
— 1-6 ATS as road favorites
— over 6-2 last eight road games.
 

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SAN ANTONIO is 982-852 ATS (44.8 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=108 points/game since 1996.

BROOKLYN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game in the current season.

UTAH is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games when the total is 22-229.5 in the current season.

HOUSTON is 7-26 ATS (-21.6 Units) in home games after a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after allowing 100 points or less in the current season.

WASHINGTON is 175-228 ATS (-75.8 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.

DENVER is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games on Friday nights in the last 3 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 17-36 ATS (-22.6 Units) after having lost 3 of their last 4 games in the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 18-38 ATS (-23.8 Units) in home games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.
 

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Friday, January 7


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

San Antonio @ Philadelphia
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Antonio

Milwaukee @ Brooklyn
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Brooklyn's last 10 games when playing Milwaukee
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Utah @ Toronto
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Utah is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games at home

Washington @ Chicago
Washington
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games on the road
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Dallas @ Houston
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Houston's last 11 games

Minnesota @ Oklahoma City
Minnesota
Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Sacramento @ Denver
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Sacramento is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Sacramento

Atlanta @ LA Lakers
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Cleveland @ Portland
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 10 games when playing on the road against Portland
Cleveland is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games
Portland
Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last five matchups against Brooklyn.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of the last ten matchups between Brooklyn and Milwaukee.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last six Bucks' games.
The Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.


The Hawks are 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games.
The total has gone UNDER in five of the last six matchups between the Hawks and Lakers.
The Hawks are 4-2 ATS in their last six matchups against the Lakers.
The Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
 

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Dunkel

Friday, January 7


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FRIDAY, JANUARY 7
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


SA at PHI 07:00 PM
SA +8.5
O 220.0
+500 +500

MIL at BK 07:30 PM
BK -4.5
U 232.5

+500 +500

UTA at TOR 07:30 PM
TOR -11.5
+500

WAS at CHI 08:00 PM
CHI -5.5
U 225.0

+500 +500

MIN at OKC 08:00 PM
MIN -5.5
U 218.5
+500 +500

DAL at HOU 08:00 PM
HOU +2.5
O 215.0
+500 +500

SAC at DEN 09:00 PM
SAC +8.0
O 226.0
+500 +500

CLE at POR 10:00 PM
CLE -5.5
U 215.5

+500 +500

ATL at LAL 10:00 PM
ATL +2.5
O 230.5
+500 +500
 

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JANUARY'S NBA OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Units

01/07/2022.........9-8-0...........52.94%.........+1.00
01/06/2022.........5-3-0...........62.50%..........+8.50
01/05/2022.......13-5-1...........72.22%........+37.50
01/04/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%..........+3.50
01/03/2022.......7-11-0...........38.88%..........-24.50
01/02/2022.........2-5-2...........33.33%..........-17.50

TOTALS...........40-35-3...........53.33%...........+ 8.50


BEST BETS:

01/07/2022.........6-4-0...........60.00%..........+ 8.00
01/06/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%..........+ 3.50
01/05/2022.........9-5-1...........64.28%..........+17.50
01/04/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%..........+ 3.50
01/03/2022.........1-2-0............33.33%..........- 6.00
01/02/2022.........3-3-1............50.00%..........- 1.50

TOTALS............27-20-2............57.44%.........+25.00


01/07/2022
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack:

All-time leaders in 3-point shots:
3,012— Steph Curry
2,973— Ray Allen
2,560— Reggie Miller
2,522— James Harden
2,450— Kyle Korver
2,290— Vince Carter

Quote of the Day
“Remember that sometimes, not getting what you want is a tremendous stroke of luck.”
Dalai Lama XIV

Saturday’s quiz
Chicago Bulls coach Billy Donovan played 44 games in the NBA for the Knicks, before he started his Hall of Fame coaching career; where did Donovan play his college basketball?

Friday’s quiz
Andrew Luck was the last QB to be the starter for the Indianapolis Colts two years in a row.

Thursday’s quiz
Martin Landau played Judge Petrovsky in the classic poker movie, Rounders.

*******************************

Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind……

13) Once upon a time, it was hard to get into the NCAA basketball tournament.

In 1973-74, Maryland went 23-5, 9-3 in the ACC; they had great players; John Lucas, Tom McMillen, Len Elmore. They were ranked #4 in the country, but they didn’t get into the tournament. The NUMBER 4 team in the COUNTRY didn’t make the tournament.

Back then, only conference champions made the tournament, and the ACC decided its champ with a conference tournament, back when most leagues didn’t have one.

Maryland lost the ACC title game 103-100 in OT to NC State, one of the best college games ever played. NC State had David Thompson, Tom Burleson, Monte Towe; they wound up winning the national title that year, but they, obviously, almost missed the tournament.

12) 1970-71, USC Trojans went 24-2, 12-2 in the Pac-8; they were ranked 5th in the country, but they didn’t make the NCAA Tournament either- their two losses were both to perennial national champ UCLA, who beat USC 64-60/73-62 in their two meetings.

Trojans had Paul Westphal, Dennis Layton, Ron Riley; they played on the west coast, ten years before ESPN existed, so none of us knew much about them.

UCLA went 29-1 that year, the season in between Kareem and Bill Walton; they won the 1971 national title, in a Final Four with Kansas, Villanova and Western Kentucky.

11) How are kids any good at geography these days?

Friday night, a Big East basketball game on FS1, Xavier at Buter. Big EAST rivals.

Problem is, Butler is in Indianapolis, Xavier is in Cincinnati. Neither of these cities is in the east; as recently as 2013, both teams were in the Atlantic 10, another misnomer.

The last five years before they refigured, Big East was never ranked lower than 3rd nationally; last four years, they’ve been ranked 5th-3rd-6th-4th. Having schools without football programs has hurt the Big East.

10) Thursday night in Boulder, Colorado was leading Washington State 78-72 with 1:13 left; coming out of a timeout, the Buffs got a technical foul for having six guys on the floor. You don’t see that very often.

Colorado has a player (Evan Battey) a 6-8 center, whose grandfather was Earl Battey, a catcher who played 13 years in the major leaguers, mostly with Minnesota.

Earl Battey was the Twins’ catcher in the 1965 World Series; he made four All-Star teams, had a .757 career OPS with 104 home runs.

Evan Battey has been a regular all four of his seasons with the Buffaloes, who are 10-3 so far this season, 2-1 in Pac-12 games.

9) College football transfers:
— QB Zach Calzada bolts from Texas A&M to Auburn
— QB Casey Thompson bolts from Texas to Nebraska
— QB Connor Bazelak bolts from Missouri to Indiana.

8) All in all, last time I checked there were 1,428 players in the college football transfer portal. With 130 D-I teams, that’s ten players per team.

7) Louisville is 4-0 in ACC basketball games; all four wins were by 5 or fewer points; Pitt Panthers are 0-3, with the three losses by total of five points.

6) USFL named its first four head coaches; the 8-team league kicks off in April:
— Kevin Sumlin (Houston Gamblers)
— Mike Riley (New Jersey Generals)
— Bart Andrus (Philadelphia Stars)
— Todd Haley (Tampa Bay Bandits)

Riley has now been a head coach in the NFL, CFL, WLAF, college football, AAF and USFL.

5) NFL tidbits:
— Bears will start Andy Dalton at QB; Chicago is 4-2 with Dalton/Foles starting.
— Ravens will start Tyler Huntley at QB; Lamar Jackson (ankle) misses his 4th straight game.
— Aaron Rodgers will start for Green Bay; no guarantees how long he plays in a meaningless game for the Packers.

4) Raptors 122, Jazz 108— Utah had its 10-game road winning streak snapped; impressive to win ten in a row anywhere, but especially away from home.

3) Boston Celtics have blown four leads of 19+ points this season, more than any NBA team.

2) ESPN re-did its Sunday Night Baseball TV crew; David Cone/Eduardo Perez are the new analysts, Karl Ravech will do play-by-play. Cone can be very funny; he should be a good addition to Sunday night games.

1) Iona-Saint Louis cobbled together a matchup for Saturday; Saint Louis coach Travis Ford played point guard for Rick Pitino at Kentucky. This should be a pretty good game.
 

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MEMPHIS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after a game outrebounding opponent by 15 or more over the last 2 seasons.

UTAH is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 in the current season.

DETROIT is 79-53 ATS (20.7 Units) in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game since 1996.

CHARLOTTE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

BOSTON is 6-24 ATS (-20.4 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

MIAMI is 12-0 ATS (12 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
 

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Saturday, January 8


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Memphis @ LA Clippers
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Memphis
LA Clippers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Memphis

Milwaukee @ Charlotte
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Charlotte
Charlotte is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Charlotte is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Orlando @ Detroit
Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Orlando

Utah @ Indiana
Utah
Utah is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games on the road
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Utah
Indiana is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home

New York @ Boston
New York
New York is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
New York is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Boston
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
Boston is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing New York

Miami @ Phoenix
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games at home
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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The Knicks are 4-2 ATS in their last six matchups against Boston.
The Celtics are 12-6 SU in their last 18 matchups against New York.
The total has gone UNDER in five of the last seven Knicks' games.
The Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last six games.
 

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SATURDAY, JANUARY 8
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


MEM at LAC 03:30 PM
MEM -2.0
O 213.0
+500 +500

UTA at IND 07:00 PM
UTA -3.5
U 224.0
+500 +500

ORL at DET 07:00 PM
DET -2.5
O 212.5
+500 +500

MIL at CHA 07:00 PM
CHA -1.5
O 235.0

+500 +500

NY at BOS 07:30 PM
NY +7.0
U 207.5

+500 +500

MIA at PHO 09:00 PM
MIA +8.5
U 218.0
+500 +500
 

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JANUARY'S NBA OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Units

01/08/2022.........6-6-0...........50.00%..........-3.00
01/07/2022.........9-8-0...........52.94%.........+1.00
01/06/2022.........5-3-0...........62.50%..........+8.50
01/05/2022.......13-5-1...........72.22%........+37.50
01/04/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%..........+3.50
01/03/2022.......7-11-0...........38.88%..........-24.50
01/02/2022.........2-5-2...........33.33%..........-17.50

TOTALS...........46-41-3...........52.87%...........+ 5.50


BEST BETS:

01/08/2022.........4-4-0...........50.00%..........- 2.00
01/07/2022.........6-4-0...........60.00%..........+ 8.00
01/06/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%..........+ 3.50
01/05/2022.........9-5-1...........64.28%..........+17.50
01/04/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%..........+ 3.50
01/03/2022.........1-2-0............33.33%..........- 6.00
01/02/2022.........3-3-1............50.00%..........- 1.50

TOTALS............31-24-2............57.40%.........+23.00


01/08/2022
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:

Leaders in 3-point %age:
42.9%— South Dakota State
41.3%— Davidson
40.9%— Clemson
40.8%— Purdue
40.5%— UMass
40.1%— Colorado State

Quote of the Day
“He’s hands down the worst guy I’ve ever met in my life,”
Former Hawai’i football player Leonard Lee, talking about coach Todd Graham

Sunday’s quiz
Who was QB for the Chiefs, before Patrick Mahomes?

Saturday’s quiz
Chicago Bulls coach Billy Donovan played 44 games in the NBA for the Knicks, before he started his Hall of Fame coaching career; Donovan played his college basketball at Providence.

Friday’s quiz
Andrew Luck was the last QB to be the starter for the Indianapolis Colts two years in a row.

********************************

Sunday’s First Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Chiefs 28, Broncos 24:
— Chiefs ran a fumble back 86 yards for game-winning TD with 7:42 left.
— Denver kicked FG with 4:37 left; they never got ball back.
— Chiefs have beaten Denver 13 games in a row.
— Tennessee has to win Sunday to clinch #1-seed in AFC.

12) Cowboys 51, Eagles 26:
— Game was 17-17 at one point.
— Prescott threw for 295 yards, five TD’s.

11) You watch NBA games and see how incredibly skilled those guys are; then you watch college games and realize there is a very large talent gap. Thats why NBA teams have skill development coaches, because very few players coming out of college are NBA-ready.

If you like the NBA, I highly recommend a trip out west in the summer, to the NBA Summer League at UNLV. Lot of good reasons to do this:
— For $30 or $35, you can watch great basketball all day long, for several days.
— You see how many great basketball players there are who aren’t in the NBA.
— Lot of NBA players are there, watching; all the coaches, some of the owners are there. You can meet some people just hanging out in the lobby outside the two arenas.
— Arenas are air conditioned; it will probably be over 100 degrees outside.
— Going to Las Vegas is never a bad thing.

10) North Carolina hired former Auburn HC Gene Chizik as its new offensive coordinator; Chizik spent the last few years working for the ACC Network. He won the national title as Auburn’s head coach in 2010, when Cam Newton was his QB.

9) Hawai’i’s football program had 19 players enter the transfer portal; school held a 3-hour meeting Friday, to discuss coach Todd Graham’s future. Not too many people had nice things to say about the coach.

8) Upsets of the Day:
— Miami (+14.5) 76, Duke 74
— Missouri (+14) 92, Alabama 86
— Rice (+8.5) 85, UAB 80
— South Carolina (+6) 72, Vanderbilt 70
— Duquesne (+5.5) 78, UMass 74
— NC-Greensboro (+5.5) 72, VMI 56
— Northern Iowa (+5.5) 85, Missouri State 84

7) Pitt 69, Boston College 67— Pitt is 1-3 in ACC games; the four games were decided by total of seven points.

6) Seton Hall 90, UConn 87, OT
— UConn led by nine with 16:01 left.
— Huskies made 14-23 on arc, still lost.
— Seton Hall shot 59.1% inside arc.

5) Miami 76, Duke 74:
— Miami won its ninth straight game.
— Miami was +12 in turnovers (5-17)
— Duke played only six guys more than 7:00.

4) Missouri 92, Alabama 86— This was Missouri’s biggest upset win in the last 25 years.

3) Baylor 76, TCU 64— Baylor is first defending champ in 11 years to start following season 15-0. TCU led 40-31 early in second half.

2) Understood that certain people get paid to do Bracketology stuff on the Interweb, but right now, those ratings mean nothing, nada, zilch, bupkis. Waste of time.

It is January 9th; 50-60 teams either are or were just in a COVID pause. By time March gets here, things will take shape but right now, it is just people making up stuff, trying to get as many clicks as possible from people who surf the Web. Nonsense.

Start Bracketology after the Super Bowl.

1) You hear a lot about job interviews with football coaches at this time of year; back when Al Davis owned the Raiders, he would sometimes interview people he had no intention of hiring, he just wanted to pick their brains, to learn from them.

Lot of times, younger coaches must know they don’t have much of a chance of being hired for a particular job, but they need the experience of going thru interviews, so they’re well-prepared when an interview comes up for a job they really want., or can really get.

******************************

Bonus List of 13: Baseball knowledge on a cold, winter day

It is cold out; I can’t stand winter, and a good way to feel warmer is to think about baseball. The Bill James Baseball Handbook was delivered yesterday. Here is some stuff I learned from that book, which is filled with numbers and knowledge.

Disclaimer: There are still several really good free agents on the market, so when the labor stuff is resolved, teams are going to add key players before the season starts. At least the teams who care about winning will add players.

13) Does the shift help or hurt and by how much?

Last year, teams shifted on 59,062 at-bats: shifts took away 4,802 hits, but there were 3,946 hits that happened BECAUSE of the shift, so the shift took away 856 hits for the season.

I’m hoping they ban shifts this year; hitters, especially guys with little less power, will go back to being gap hitters/line drive hitters, which makes for more action.

Padres were putting 3B Machado in right field when they shifted vs lefties last year; it is smart under the current rules, but the game is more fun to watch with more balls in play, more guys running the bases.

12) Seattle Mariners went 90-72 last year, had a really good season, but they were 33-19 in one-run games. Seattle actually allowed 51 more runs than they scored, but still won 90 games- that is very unusual.

May help explain why the Mariners added Robbie Ray, Adam Frazier to fortify their roster; they will have to be a better team than they were last year, just to win 90 games again.

11) Seattle’s AL West rival Angels went 25-14 in one-run games last year, and still finished only 77-85; loss of Mike Trout/Anthony Rendon to injury was obviously a problem, but their pitching isn’t good, even when healthy.

Noah Syndergaard pitched two innings the last two years; Halos added him and Michael Lorenzen to improve their pitching. It also gives the Angels another two-way player (Lorenzen) and Jared Walsh used to be a pitcher, too.

Here’s the thing: teams that excel in one-run games one seasons tend to regress the next year- LY’s 25-14 record will be hard to match. Can a healthy Trout/Rendon make up the difference?

10) San Francisco beat the Dodgers by a game last year; Giants were 31-17 in one-run games, Dodgers 24-24. Giants had oldest roster in MLB last year; can they do it again this year?

9) There were 63 home runs taken away by outfielders last year. Thats one of the most exciting plays in baseball; should more stadiums have outfield fences that are 8 or 9 feet high?

8) A’s bullpen fell apart late last year; for the season, they blew 28 of 67 save opportunities, and that was despite fact that Oakland relievers threw only 539 innings, less than any other team.

7) Toronto Blue Jays missed playoffs by one game LY; they went 3-9 in extra inning games.

6) Joey Gallo either walked (111) or struck out (213) in 324 of his 616 plate appearances LY.

5) If the universal DH happens and pitchers never hit again, the last hit by a pitcher (other than Shohei Ohtani) was Julio Urias in last year’s playoffs.

4) Eyebrows were raised when Marcus Semien signed with Texas for $25M a year, but one of the best abilities is availability, and Semien is always available.

He’s played 155+ games in five of last six full seasons, played 162-162 the last two. He hit 33-45 homers the last two full seasons; he is plus-hitter as a middle infielder.

Semien also sees lot of pitches; he saw 2,923 pitches LY, 106 more than any other player, and that helps every other hitter on his team.

3) Minnesota Twins were 53-53 vs right-handed starters last year, 20-36 vs lefties; they gave Buxton a boatload of money this winter, they’ll need a hell of a lot more than 61 games out of him this year. Miguel Sano has to hit better than .223. Josh Donaldson is 36; how much does he have left int he tank?

2) Arizona Diamondbacks converted only 44% of their save chances last year, lowest %age in last 20 years (other than the shortened 2020 season). Arizona added Mark Melancon and JD Wendelken to shore up the bullpen.

1) Colorado Rockies were 48-33 at home last year, 26-54 on road; how does that happen?

Over the last ten years, this was the 2nd-biggest difference between home/road records; the biggest difference?

2014 Rockies were 45-36 at home, 21-60 on the road. Go figure.
 

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Messages
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Tokens
BROOKLYN is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game in the current season.

ORLANDO is 6-24 ATS (-20.4 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS are 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 7-27 ATS (-22.7 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=108 points/game in the current season.

CHICAGO is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

SACRAMENTO is 38-55 ATS (-22.5 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 4-21 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games off a home win by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.
 

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Messages
16,704
Tokens
NBA

Sunday, January 9


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Trend Report
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San Antonio @ Brooklyn
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 8 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing San Antonio

Atlanta @ LA Clippers
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Washington @ Orlando
Washington
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games at home
Orlando is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington

New Orleans @ Toronto
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Minnesota @ Houston
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games on the road
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Denver @ Oklahoma City
Denver
Denver is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Oklahoma City
Denver is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games

Chicago @ Dallas
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 10 games at home

Cleveland @ Golden State
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 11-3-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

Sacramento @ Portland
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing Portland
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Portland is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Sacramento

Memphis @ LA Lakers
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of LA Lakers's last 14 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Messages
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SUNDAY, JANUARY 9
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


ATL at LAC 03:30 PM
LAC +4.0
O 224.5
+500 +500

WAS at ORL 06:00 PM
ORL +7.0
O 220.0
+500 +500

NO at TOR 06:00 PM
TOR -8.0
U 222.5
+500 +500

DEN at OKC 07:00 PM
DEN -7.0
U 213.5
+500 +500

MIN at HOU 07:00 PM
HOU +7.0
O 233.0
+500 +500

CHI at DAL 07:30 PM
DAL +2.0
O 217.5
+500 +500

CLE at GS 08:30 PM
CLE +8.0
U 216.0

+500 +500

SAC at POR 09:00 PM
SAC +1.0
O 224.0
+500 +500

MEM at LAL 09:30 PM
MEM +3.5
O 226.5

+500 +500
 

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