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Dec 11, 2006
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Add Monday night:

Washington +2' -111 (vs Sea)

In a game that has the line set for a FG game I'll take the best FG kicker:

Wash /// Slye /// 16 made; 2 missed (no misses at home)
SEat /// Myers /// 9 made; 4 missed (and he kicks in a dome)

Seattle is coming cross country to get back on track in a Division they have no chance of winning, in a season they are putting up their worst record in many years.. Washington has won their last two and tonight will be their Super Bowl. Motivation - Washington.
 
Joined
Dec 11, 2006
Messages
43,723
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Wk 1 /// 6-3 +287
Wk 2 /// 6-5 +89
Wk 3 /// 5-5 +1
Wk 4 /// 6-9 -329
Wk 5 /// 6-7 -109
Wk 6 /// 6-5 +75
Wk 7 /// 7-2 +513
Wk 8 /// 4-5 -138
Wk 9 /// 6-6 -06
Wk 10 /// 6-4 +198
Wk 11 /// 7-5 +188
Wk 12 /// 8-5 +298

///

Thursday Night:

After an 0-3 Thanksgiving everything came together on Sunday and Monday.

Dallas -6 -111 (@ NOr)

Two teams who desperately need wins. One is getting healthier, Dallas. One is not, New Orleans. The Saints haven't won since beating Tampa in the game Jameis Winston went down (not back). The next game Kamara went down (not back). The Saints have been struggling since. Taysom Hill will likely get the start tonight . He was 3-1 last year filling in for Drew Brees but his Defense was amongst the NFL's best then allowing an average of 12 points in those Taysom starts. The Defense supporting him tonight has allowed an average of 30 points over the last five games. Dak gets his full stable of receivers back tonight - Amari Cooper, CD Lamb, Michael Gallop, TE Schultz, and Pollard coming out of the backfield. The Aints won't be able to keep up.
 
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Add Sunday early:

Arizona -7' -109 (@ Chi)
THe Desert Birds are 6-0 SU and ATS on the road this year. Make it 7.

Cincinatti -3 -104 (vs LA Ch)
Joe Burrow lost his very first NFL start to these Chargers 13-16. Chargers QB was Tyrod Taylor. Tee Higgins didn't play in that game. Of course neither did Jamar Chase. Justin Herbert's TD to int ratio over his last 6 games is 11-7. Joe Burrow gets revenge.

NY Giants +6' -110 (@ Mia)
The Giants are playing defense. They have gained 13 turnovers in their last 6 games. Miami does not run the ball well. Tua's TD to int ratio over his last 7 games is 10 TDs to 6 ints. Mike Glennon's TD to int ratio over his last 6 starts is 8 TDs to 7 ints. The Gmen are 3-2 ATS on the road this year. Think they can push it to 4 here.

NYG / Miami Under Under 40 +100

Philly / Jets Under 44 -104
Without Jalen Hurts running all over the field, how is Philly gonna score? The Jets? They are always challenged to score.

Atlanta +11 -112 (vs TBy)
Tampa hasn't won a road game by more than 10 points this season. Brady is 0-3 ATS as a DD road fav with the Bucs.

Houston +10 -109 (vs Indy)
Indy is coming off Buffalo and Tampa Bay with New England on deck. Breather time. Houston is becoming a ball hawking defense with 11 turnovers gained in their last 3 games. Houston's last three covers were against Tenny, the Rams, and New England. They will remember the last time they faced Indy and the 3-31 beating they took.

Back later with later games.
 

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M/angelo......BOL with all your Sun. action buddy.......
have a great day and enjoy the games.......indy
 
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Thanks Indy and Exploited. Those Dogs need to finish strong or I'm looking at an 0-3 there.

///

Add Sunday late afternoon:

LA Ram -14 -108 (vs Jax)
Rams have lost three straight and need to stop the bleeding with a beatdown of somebody. Gardner Minshew ain't walking through that Jacksonville door!

Lost Wages -1' -109 (vs Wash)
Another team that needs a win for the homies. THe Raiders got beat up by Kansas City and Cincy in their last two home games. The Redskins have taken three straight scalps but will get ambushed in the desert.

Balty -4 -104 (@ Pit)
This is it. This game caps the great Pittsburgh run under Tomlin and Big Ben. You gave us some great football Pittsburgh.
 
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Lousy day.

Add Sunday night:

Kansas City -8' -102 (vs Denv)
Patrick Maholmes is 8-0 SU; 6-2 ATS against Denver since he's come into the league. Don't see that changing tonight in Arrowhead.
 
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Add Monday night:

New England +3 -109 (@ Buff)
Might come back with a writeup but nobody seems to care. So there's the pick.
 
Joined
Dec 11, 2006
Messages
43,723
Tokens
Wk 1 /// 6-3 +287
Wk 2 /// 6-5 +89
Wk 3 /// 5-5 +1
Wk 4 /// 6-9 -329
Wk 5 /// 6-7 -109
Wk 6 /// 6-5 +75
Wk 7 /// 7-2 +513
Wk 8 /// 4-5 -138
Wk 9 /// 6-6 -06
Wk 10 /// 6-4 +198
Wk 11 /// 7-5 +188
Wk 12 /// 8-5 +298
Wk 13 /// 7-8 -141

///

Thursday night:

Pittsburgh +3' -106 (@ Minny)
Can't figure this game myself so I'm gonna defer to a numbers guy I respect. Minny in a bad spot off a loss to a winless team in the second half of the season. Thank you SDQL savant, rolltide.
 
Joined
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Bad start to the week.

Add Sunday:

Kansas City -10 +104 (vs LVR)
Chiefs machine is getting revved up. Led by Patrick Maholmes? Nope. Tyreek Hill? Nope. By their Defense allowing an average of 11 ppg over their last five games. Raiders get grated.

Baltimore +2' +104 (@ Clev)
Cleveland has lost four straight to the Ravens. Now they are favored?

Atlanta +2' -102 (@ Car)
Matt Ryan or Scam Newton? Atlanta is 6-3 SU and ATS vs Car in their last nine. Carolina got the first one. Atlanta's turn.

Washington +6' -105 (vs Dal)
Cowboys have lost three of their last five and are now almost a TD road fav over another Division team who has a shot to catch them? Naw. Injuns ambush Cowboys.

Houston +10 -118 (vs SEa)
Seattle has four friggin' wins. Now they are double digit road favorites? Nope.

Cincinatti +1 +105 (vs SFo)
Somebody knows something that I don't because I don't get this line. San Fran beat four road teams this year - Detroit, Philly, Chicago, and Jacksonville. Time for them to lose to a much better team on the road.

Tampa Bay -4 -103 (vs Buff)
Buff can't run from the running back position and they can't stop the run. Tampa is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS at home this year. Keep Allen from going deep and you beat Buff.
 

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