Stinkers

Search

Member
Joined
Jun 14, 2006
Messages
50,295
Tokens
M/angelo.......BOL with all your acion today buddy....
on NE and NO with you......indy
 
Joined
Dec 11, 2006
Messages
44,217
Tokens
Add Monday:

San Fran +3' -108 (vs LA Ram)

Things haven't gone well for Frisco this year. They've lost all four of their home games. But for pride they get a shot at the Division leader tonight, a team who Frisco has beaten four straight despite being dogs in three of four of those games. Stafford loses Robert Woods his comfy blanket. That means Frisco has to blanket Cooper Kupp. I think they get it done tonight as a game to restore team pride in a not very good season.
 
Joined
Dec 11, 2006
Messages
44,217
Tokens
Wk 1 /// 6-3 +287
Wk 2 /// 6-5 +89
Wk 3 /// 5-5 +1
Wk 4 /// 6-9 -329
Wk 5 /// 6-7 -109
Wk 6 /// 6-5 +75
Wk 7 /// 7-2 +513
Wk 8 /// 4-5 -138
Wk 9 /// 6-6 -06
Wk 10 /// 6-4 +198

///

Thursday night:

New England -6' -112 (@ Atl)

(reposting from what I posted in another Pat / Falcon thead on the board:

Here's something that may be useful to you guys. I did my research.

Bill Bellichick with less than 7 days to prepare over the last five seasons:

8-1 both SU and ATS.

I have my isolations if you have any questions.

///

You are a solid handicapper, exploited. But surely you understand that the lines being studied were set for Brady quarterbacking. Last year's lines (1-1) were set for Cam Newton quarterbacking. Tonight's line is set for a 6-4 team quarterbacked by rookie Mack Jones.

Both of the Patriot lines with Newton starting (he was so bad in the game they lost that he was replaced in game by Jared Stidham) had the Patriots as dogs. All the lines set with Brady QBing were set as favorites (-6' to -16' in fact).

What I posted wasn't about Brady. It was about the coach (Bellichick) and how he readies his team on a short week. If you want to disregard or go against what I posted about Bellichick's preparedness, good luck.

PS Mack Jones has the fourth highest completion percentage in the NFL this season. He will be going against a team who has by far the fewest sacks in the NFL this year (11); (2 in the last 4 games). Mack Jones will have a party tonight with the most time he has had to throw all year. And so will the Patriot running game with Trent Brown now (last week for the first time all season) back at right tackle.

PS teams off a 30+ pt win playing a team off a 30+ point loss are 71-54-5 ATS. Very solid.

But I'm gonna back the Bellichick record of short week preparedness expecting that record to go to 71-55-4 ATS after tonight.

Last edited: 8 minutes ago
 
Joined
Dec 11, 2006
Messages
44,217
Tokens
Add Sunday:

Balty / Chicago Under 40 +104
Tyler Huntley @ Justin Fields. Runs and punts.

Cleveland -13' +106 (vs Det)
Embarrassed last week, the Brownies found the perfect bounce back trampoline.

Indianapolis +7 -109 (@ Buff)
These two teams were in a Wildcard dogfight last year. Buff prevailed 27-24. Philip Rivers was the Indy QB.I'll take my shot with Wentz and John Taylor who is having an MVP RB year.

Philly -3 -106 (vs NOr)
Philly 0-4 at home this year. Expecting 1-4 after today.

Jacksonville +6' +108 (vs SFo)
San Fran had their season maker last Monday night vs their Big Bad Division rival Rams. Don't look now but Jax is coming off two straight home wins after earlier home losses to Arizona and Tennessee.

Washington +3 +103 (@ Car)
"I'mmmmm baaaaack" Cam the Flam facing his old coach, Ron the Rock. Rock beats Flameboy.
 
Joined
Dec 11, 2006
Messages
44,217
Tokens
Add:

Green Bay -1 -114 (@ Minny)
In my feeble mind this line should be about -10. Minny is an average team with a stupid coach. The Pack? May be the best NFC team. Divisional game. Both teams will come to play.
 

Member
Joined
Jun 14, 2006
Messages
50,295
Tokens
M/angelo......BOL with all your action buddy....
on Jax. and Wash. with you....sweep'em....indy
 
Joined
Dec 11, 2006
Messages
44,217
Tokens
Thank you Indy, hope you're feeling better, bud.

///

Add late afternoon Sunday:

LVR +1 +102 (vs Cincy)
Vegas was embarrassed last week at home vs Maholmes and his resurgent boys. They get to make fan amends against a team who is 1-4 ATS as a favorite this year. The one cover - the Detroit Pussycats.

Arizona +3' -108 (@ Sea)
I think Seattle stinks. Is that enugh?
 

Member
Joined
Sep 20, 2017
Messages
21,697
Tokens
Well looks like Murray is not playing
I think Seattle is done but doesn'tmean they will not win
Seattle does seem too easy
I am staying away
GL
 
Joined
Dec 11, 2006
Messages
44,217
Tokens
Good luck today, exploited.

Add Sunday night:

Pitt +6 +101 (@ LA Chargers)
Pitt gurgled against Detroit after four straight wins and are now +6 road favorites to a team who lost three of their last four. Gimme the Steel.
 
Joined
Dec 11, 2006
Messages
44,217
Tokens
Add Monday:

NyG +11' -106 (@ TBy)
Brady is 0-11 ATS in his last 11 prime time games. (credit exploited)
Daniel Jones is 11-5 ATS (including 3-1 ATS this year) in all his career road starts (my research)
 

Member
Joined
Sep 20, 2017
Messages
21,697
Tokens
Add Monday:

NyG +11' -106 (@ TBy)
Brady is 0-11 ATS in his last 11 prime time games. (credit exploited)
Daniel Jones is 11-5 ATS (including 3-1 ATS this year) in all his career road starts (my research)
No credit really to me
Someone found it before me
And I am sure someone before them
GL
 
Joined
Dec 11, 2006
Messages
44,217
Tokens
No credit really to me
Someone found it before me
And I am sure someone before them
GL
It's bogus, brother.

I started to verify it myself.

0-4 ATS in his mon and thurs night games with Tampa Bay.

But I got to 2019 and 2018 with the Pats and he was 4-0 ATS in Thurs and Mon games.

Like I said in the other thread, shame on Draft Kings for putting out bogus info.
 
Joined
Dec 11, 2006
Messages
44,217
Tokens
Wk 1 /// 6-3 +287
Wk 2 /// 6-5 +89
Wk 3 /// 5-5 +1
Wk 4 /// 6-9 -329
Wk 5 /// 6-7 -109
Wk 6 /// 6-5 +75
Wk 7 /// 7-2 +513
Wk 8 /// 4-5 -138
Wk 9 /// 6-6 -06
Wk 10 /// 6-4 +198
Wk 11 /// 7-5 +188

///

Happy Thanksgiving turkeys. Thanks for being my cyber friends and sharing the love of handicapping the NFL. Enjoy the banter and the laughs. Busy day for me so not likely to get up any writeups.

///

Thursday:

Chicago -3 +107 (@ Det)
New Orleans +6' -105 (vs Buff)
 

Member
Joined
Jun 14, 2006
Messages
50,295
Tokens
M/angelo......BOL with all your action today buddy....
you and your family have a great Thanksgiving.......indy
 
Joined
Dec 11, 2006
Messages
44,217
Tokens
Ugly, ugly 0-3 on Thanksgiving. See if there's any redemption today.

New England -7' +102 (vs Tenny)
Houston -3 +105 (vs NYJ)
NYG +4 -101 (vs Philly)
Denver +2' +111 (vs LA Ch)
San Fran -102 (vs Minny)
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,108,228
Messages
13,449,764
Members
99,402
Latest member
jb52197
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com