Nfl 2021-2022 football season previews-news-notes-picks-rumors !

[Udog]

NFL

Week 11

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Trend Report
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Pittsburgh @ Minnesota
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games

Seattle @ Houston
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games
Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

Jacksonville @ Tennessee
Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Tennessee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Jacksonville

Las Vegas @ Kansas City
Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Las Vegas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Las Vegas

Dallas @ Washington
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 11 games when playing Dallas

New Orleans @ NY Jets
New Orleans
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
New Orleans is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games on the road
NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Jets's last 9 games

Atlanta @ Carolina
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Carolina's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Atlanta

Baltimore @ Cleveland
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home

NY Giants @ LA Chargers
NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games when playing LA Chargers
LA Chargers
LA Chargers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants
LA Chargers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants

Detroit @ Denver
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games at home

San Francisco @ Cincinnati
San Francisco
San Francisco is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Cincinnati
San Francisco is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco

Buffalo @ Tampa Bay
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Buffalo is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Chicago @ Green Bay
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 11 games
Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

LA Rams @ Arizona
LA Rams
LA Rams is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
LA Rams is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Arizona is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games


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[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

NFL leaders in rushing attempts:
241— Jonathan Taylor, Ind
227— Joe Mixon, Cin
219— Derrick Henry, Tenn
217— Najee Harris, Pitt
206— Antonio Gibson, Wash
171— Ezekiel Elliott, Dal

 

[Udog]

The Steelers are 4-1 SU in their last four matchups against the Vikings.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last five Vikings games.
The Steelers are 2-4 SU in their last four road games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five matchups between Pittsburgh and Minnesota.

 

[CNOTES]

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 9
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

PIT at MIN 08:20 PM
MIN -3.0
U 44.0
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

NFL DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........-0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/05/2021.........8-15-0.........34.78%.........-42.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50

TOTALS:.............11-18-0.........37.93%.........-44.00


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BEST BETS:

12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/05/2021..........5-9-0..........35.71%.........-25.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50


TOTALS:.............8-12-0..........40.00%.........-27.00


UPDATED 12/09/2021

 

[Udog]

Gridiron Angles - Week 14
Vince Akins

NFL Play ON ATS Trend:
Matchup: Detroit at Denver (4:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Broncos are 12-0 ATS since October 27, 2019 when the total is over 39 and they scored less than 17 points last game.

NFL Play AGAINST ATS Trend:
Matchup: Las Vegas at Kansas City (1:00 p.m. ET)

-- The Raiders are 0-7 ATS since 2012 facing a team they lost to by more than 14 points in the first meeting of the season.

NFL Play OVER OU Trend:
Matchup: New Orleans at N.Y. Jets (1:00 p.m. ET)

-- The Saints are 10-0 OU since 2000 coming off a home game where they completed less than 50% of their passes.

NFL Play UNDER OU Trend:
Matchup: Baltimore at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. ET)

-- The Ravens are 0-14-1 OU since October 2015 when they are on the road for the second straight game.

NFL Choice Trend:
Matchup: Dallas at Washington (1:00 p.m. ET)

-- Washington is 0-11-1 ATS since January 2012 as a dog of more than three points coming off a game where they did not force a turnover.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

 

[Udog]

Washington has gone UNDER the point total in six of its last seven games.
Dallas has covered the spread in seven straight games when facing the NFC.
Washington has lost seven straight divisional games when playing in December.
The point total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings.


The Raiders are 1-4 ATS in the past five games overall.
The Raiders are 1-4 ATS in the past five divisional games.
The Chiefs are 3-10 ATS in the past 13 games at home.
The Chiefs are 21-10-1 ATS in the past 32 divisional games.
The OVER is 5-1 in the past six divisional games for the Raiders.
The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four home games for the Chiefs.


New York has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games when facing the NFC.
Zach Wilson has scored a rushing TD in two straight games.
New Orleans has won nine straight games prior to playing a divisional game.
New York has gone OVER the point total in seven of its last nine games.


Ryan Tannehill has scored a rushing TD in three of his last four home games.
Tennessee has covered the spread in five of its last six home games when facing Jacksonville.
Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in three straight games.
Jacksonville has gone UNDER the point total in seven straight games.
Jacksonville has lost 14 straight road games.


The Ravens are 2-5 ATS in the past seven road games.
The Ravens are 9-3 ATS in the past 12 divisional games.
The Ravens are 15-5-1 ATS in the past 21 road games.
The Browns are 1-4 ATS in the past five games overall.
The Browns are 2-6 ATS in the past eight home games.
The Browns are 11-27-1 ATS in the past 39 divisional games.
The UNDER is 5-0 in the past five road games for the Ravens.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five home games for the Browns.
The Ravens are 10-2-1 ATS in the past 13 trips to Cleveland.


Carolina has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games when facing the NFC as the favorite.
Atlanta has covered the spread in four of its last six road games.
Carolina has lost four straight home games.
The point total has gone UNDER in five of the last six meetings.
The road team has won four of the last five meetings.


Houston has lost 10 of its last 12 games.
Seattle has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games when playing as the favorite.
Seattle has gone UNDER the point total in nine of its last 10 games.


The Lions are 5-1 ATS across the last six games.
The Broncos are 3-6 ATS across the last nine games.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of the last ten Lions games.
The total has gone UNDER in six straight Broncos games.


The Giants are 4-2 ATS across the last six games.
The Chargers are 2-5 ATS across the last seven games.
The total has gone UNDER in six straight Giants games.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last six Chargers games.


San Francisco is 4-11 in the past 15 games as a favorite.
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in the past five home games.
The OVER is 5-2 in the past seven games for San Francisco.
The OVER is 7-2-1 in the past 10 as a road favorite for San Francisco.
The OVER is 5-1 in the past six games for Cincinnati.


Buffalo is 8-3 ATS in the past 11 road games.
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in the past six games as an underdog.
Tampa Bay is 4-0 ATS in the past four home games.
Tampa Bay is 5-2 ATS in the past seven against winning teams.
The OVER is 6-0 in the past six for Buffalo as an underdog.
The OVER is 4-0 in the past four as a road 'dog for Buffalo.
The UNDER is 5-2 in Tampa Bay's past seven games overall.
The OVER is 11-4 in the past 15 for Tampa Bay as a home fave.


The Bears are 1-6 ATS across the last seven games.
The Packers are 10-1 ATS this season.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of the last 11 Bears games.
The total has gone UNDER in seven of the last nine Packers games.

 

[Udog]

 

[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 12
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

SEA at HOU 01:00 PM
HOU +10.0
+500

NO at NYJ 01:00 PM
U 42.0
+500

ATL at CAR 01:00 PM
U 41.0
+500

BAL at CLE 01:00 PM
CLE -3.0
+500

JAC at TEN 01:00 PM
JAC +8.5
U 44.5
+500 +500

LV at KC 01:00 PM
LV +10.0
+500

DAL at WAS 01:00 PM
WAS +6.5
O 48.0
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

LATE GAMES:

DET at DEN 04:05 PM
DET +13.0
U 42.0
+500 +500

NYG at LAC 04:05 PM
NYG +9.5
+500

SF at CIN 04:25 PM
SF -2.5
O 49.0
+500 +500

BUF at TB 04:25 PM
TB -4.0
O 52.5
+500 +500

SUNDAY NIGHT BAILOUT !

CHI at GB 08:20 PM
GB -11.5
U 42.5
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

NFL DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/12/2021........6-11-1.........36.11%..........-30.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%..........- 0.50
12/05/2021.........8-15-0.........34.78%.........-42.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50

TOTALS:.............17-29-01........36.95%.........-74.50


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BEST BETS:

12/12/2021..........5-5-0..........50.00%..........-2.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/05/2021..........5-9-0..........35.71%.........-25.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50


TOTALS:............13-17-0..........43.33%.........-29.50


UPDATED 12/12/2021

 

[CNOTES]

NFL DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/12/2021........6-11-1.........36.11%..........-30.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%..........- 0.50
12/05/2021.........8-15-0.........34.78%.........-42.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50

TOTALS:.............17-29-01........36.95%.........-74.50


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BEST BETS:

12/12/2021..........5-5-0..........50.00%..........-2.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/05/2021..........5-9-0..........35.71%.........-25.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50


TOTALS:............13-17-0..........43.33%.........-29.50


UPDATED 12/12/2021

DISREGARD THIS TOTALS.....ITS IN THE WRONG THREAD....

 

[CNOTES]

NFL DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/12/2021........6-11-1.........36.11%.........-30.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........-0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/05/2021.........8-15-0.........34.78%.........-42.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50

TOTALS:............17-29-1.........36.95%.........-70.50


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/12/2021..........5-7-0..........41.66............-13.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/05/2021..........5-9-0..........35.71%.........-25.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50


TOTALS:............13-19-0..........40.62%.........-40.50


UPDATED 12/12/2021

 

[Udog]

The Rams are 1-5 ATS across the last six games.
The Cardinals are 8-2 ATS across the last ten games.
The Cardinals are 4-6 ATS in their last ten home games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last six Rams' games.

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:
Week 15 NFL spreads:
— Chiefs -3.5 @ Chargers
— Raiders @ Cleveland -6.5
— Patriots @ Indianapolis -2
— Washington @ Philadelphia -4
— Jets @ Miami -8.5
— Dallas -10.5 @ Giants

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Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Cleveland 24, Baltimore 22:
— Lamar Jackson hurt his ankle on first play of 2nd quarter, didn’t return.
— Down 24-6 at half, Ravens had ball at midfield at end, with chance to win.
— Ravens were 1-12 on third down, Cleveland 6-13.
— Last five weeks, Ravens have one first half touchdown.

— Cleveland’s first four drives: 28 plays, 210 yards, 12 first downs, 17 points.
— Browns ran fumble back for TD in last minute of first half.
— Almost an epic collapse by the Browns; they led 24-3 at one point.
— Just fifth win for Browns in last 27 games vs Baltimore.

Dallas 27, Washington 20:
— Cowboys led this game 24-0 at halftime.
— Dallas had one offensive TD, on a 41-yard drive.
— Cowboys had a defensive TD that made score 18-0.
— Last 10 years, Dallas is 17-11 ATS in NFC East road games.
— Cowboys covered five of last seven visits here.

— Heinicke hurt his knee in 4th quarter, Chad Allen was QB at end.
— Washington had 34 total yards, 4 first downs in first half.
— Washington had 4 turnovers, converted 3-14 on third down.
— Washington is 4-10 ATS in last 14 NFC East home tilts.

Kansas City 48, Las Vegas 9:
— Chiefs ran fumble in for a TD on first play of the game.
— Raiders’ first six drives: 4 first downs, 3 turnovers, no points.
— Raiders lost five of last six games, outscored 102-54 in second half.
— Raiders converted only 22 of last 80 third down plays.
— Las Vegas is 5-9 ATS last 14 games coming off a loss.

— Chiefs won last five games, giving up 10.8 ppg.
— Chiefs outscored foes 91-16 in first half of those games.
— Kansas City is 7-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 2-4 if they allow more.
— Chiefs have 15 takeaways in last four games (+11)
— Kansas City won 15 of last 18 series games.

New Orleans 30, NJ Jets 9:
— Saints end their five-game losing skid.
— New Orleans ran ball for 203 yards
— Saints are 18-8 ATS last 26 games as road favorites.
— New Orleans is 7-4-1 ATS last 12 games vs AFC opponents.

— Jets lost five of their last six games.
— Jets gave up 34.4 ppg in their last eight games.
— Jets have been outscored 223-89 in first half this season.
— Jets are 15-26 ATS last 41 games coming off a loss.
— Last eight games, Jets are minus-11 in turnovers

Tennessee 20, Jacksonville 0:
— Jaguars lost five in row, 26 of their last 28 games.
— Jacksonville has eight losses by 10+ points.
— Jaguars have six TD’s on their last 67 drives.
— Jacksonville is minus-19 in turnovers (5-24)
— Jaguars are 8-17-1 ATS in last 25 games as road underdogs.
— Last five games, Jacksonville was outscored 103-28 in first half.
— 12 of their last 13 games stayed under the total.

— Tennessee had four INT’s, was +4 in turnovers.
— Jaguars ran ball eight times for 8 yards. For the whole game.
— Tennessee won 10 of last 11 series games.
— Jaguars are 1-6 ATS in last seven visits to Nashville.

Atlanta 29, Carolina 21:
— Atlanta took lead for good on a pick-6 in second quarter.
— Falcons had 10-yard edge in field position.
— Atlanta is 5-2 if it allows 25 or less points, 1-5 if it gives up 26+.
— Falcons led eight of last 11 games at halftime.

— Carolina lost eight of last ten games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-8 if it allows more than 14 points.
— Panthers are 7-13 ATS last 20 games as home favorites.
— Falcons are 5-1 ATS in last six visits to Charlotte.
— Last four Carolina games went over the total.

Seattle 33, Houston 13:
— Seahawks ran for 193 yards, threw for 260.
— Seahawks averaged 9.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Seattle was 7-13 on third down, Houston 3-13.
— Seattle is 5-1 if it scores 28+ points, 0-7 if it doesn’t.

— Texans lost ten of their last eleven games.
— Game was 16-13 at halftime; Houston was blanked in 2nd half.
— Fairbairn kicked a 61-yard FG.
— Texans are 6-11 ATS last 17 games as home underdogs.
— Houston is 5-15 ATS last 20 games coming off a loss.

San Francisco 26, Cincinnati 23 OT
— 49ers led 20-6 with 10:00 left in game.
— Kittle caught 13 passes for 151 yards and a TD.
— Last five games, 49ers outscored opponents 95-51 in first half.
— 49ers won/covered four of their last five games.
— Last four games, 49ers are +7 in turnovers (11-4).

— Bengals had TD drives of 87-66 yards in 4th quarter, to force OT.
— Chase caught TD passes of 17-32 yards to end those drives.
— SF drove 75 yards in seven plays for TD after Cincy kicked FG in OT
— Bengals are 7-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-5 otherwise.
— Bengals lost four of last six games, after a 5-2 start.

Tampa Bay 33, Buffalo 27, OT
— Tampa Bay led 24-3 at halftime.
— Buffalo scored 17 points in last 9:07 to force OT.
— Perriman caught 58-yard TD pass from Brady to end game.
— Bills converted 2-13 on third down, Tampa Bay 8-16.
— Buccaneers are 8-3-1 as home favorites with Brady at QB.

— Bucs’ first five drives: 40 plays, 301 yards, 24 points.
— Bucs in rest of regulation: 31 plays, 121 yards, 3 points.
— Buffalo ran for 173 yards (9.1 yards/carry)
— Bills’ only 3/out the whole game was their one drive in OT.
— Buffalo QB Allen was wearing walking boot after game, will have MRI Monday.

Denver 38, Detroit 10:
— Detroit had 7 practice squad guys active, due to COVID issues.
— Lions were minus-2 in turnovers, averaged 4.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Detroit scored TD, kicked FG on its first three drives.
— Lions’ last six drives: 42 plays, 181 yards, no points.

— Denver ran for 184 yards, converted 8-12 on third down.
— Broncos were perfect in red zone (35 points/five drives)
— Denver is 6-1 if it scores 23+ points, 1-5 if it doesn’t.
— Denver gave up 16 or less points in its wins, 25.8 ppg in losses.

LA Chargers 37, NY Giants 21:
— Giants have been outscored 81-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Giants are 3-10 ATS in last 13 games vs AFC opponents.
— Last four games, Giants scored five TD’s on 42 drives.
— Giants trailed 37-7 with 5:00 left, scored two TD’s in garbage time.

— First nine drives, Chargers scored four TD’s, kicked three FG’s.
— LA outgained Giants 423-316, averaged 8.2 yards/pass attempt.
— Chargers converted 25 of last 52 third down plays.
— Over is 4-1 in Chargers’ last five home games.
— LA is 6-1 when it scores 27+ points, 2-4 when it does not.

Green Bay 45, Chicago 30:
— Bears led this game 27-21 at halftime.
— Bears in 2nd half: 26 plays, 81 yards, 3 points.
— Chicago had TD plays of 46-54 yards, had 97-yard punt return for TD.
— Chicago lost seven of last eight games (1-7 ATS)
— Bears are 5-11 ATS in last sixteen road games.

— Packers’ last six drives: 39 plays, 295 yards, 31 points.
— Green Bay scored on pick-6 in 2nd quarter, to go up 14-10.
— Green Bay is 15-6 ATS last 21 games as a home favorite.
— Packers won/covered all six home games TY.
— Green Bay is 8-1-1 ATS this season, coming off a win.

 

[Udog]

Betting Recap - Week 14
Dan Dobish

Overall Notes

The largest underdogs to win straight up

Falcons +2.5 (ML +120) at Panthers, 29-21

The largest favorites to cover

Broncos (-12.5) vs. Lions, 38-10
Packers (-12) vs. Bears, 45-30 (SNF)
Chiefs (-10) vs. Raiders, 48-9
Seahawks (-9.5) at Texans, 33-13
Chargers (-9) vs. Giants, 37-21
Titans (-8.5) vs. Jaguars, 20-0

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week

Wow, the Dallas Cowboys-Washington Football Team game was nerve-wracking for everyone involved. The line was Cowboys -6.5 with a total of 48. If you were laying the points with the Cowboys, you were feeling good about things at halftime, with Dallas up 24-0.

QB Taylor Heinicke (knee), who was later knocked out of the game, hit WR Cam Sims on a 43-yard strike to the left corner of the end zone. After a lengthy review, the WFT was on the board, and Heinicke had the two-point conversion to make it 24-8. Dallas picked up a field goal from PK Greg Zuerlein from 29 yards out, and WFT was down 27-8 going to the fourth quarter.

That's how it stayed late into the fourth quarter, and then things tightened up for everybody. Jonathan Williams punched in a 1-yard run and the conversion failed. It was 27-14, and UNDER (48) were still in good shape. On the ensuing possession, LB Cole Holcomb stepped in front of a QB Dak Prescott pass intended for TE Dalton Schultz, and it was 27-20 in favor of the Cowboys. They blocked the PAT for PK Brian Johnson, however.

UNDER bettors were hanging on for now. And, if you had a WFT +6.5 ticket, you were incensed. Dallas got the ball back deep in Washington territory later on. At the two-minute warning, they were into the red zone, but elected to get into Victory Formation. UNDER bettors hung on and Dallas bettors dodged a bullet. So did head coach Mike McCarthy, who had guaranteed a win earlier in the week.

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part II

The Baltimore Ravens-Cleveland Browns (-3, 44) was a tale of two halves. The Ravens lost QB Lamar Jackson to an ankle injury early, so anyone holding a Ravens (+3) ticket was getting ready to tear it up. QB Tyler Huntley had other ideas.

Well, the Browns did take a 24-3 lead late in the second quarter. The Ravens picked up a field to close out the half, going to the break down 24-6.

It was a slow go in the third, as the Ravens managed just a field goal. But the Browns were playing ultra-conservative, even resting QB Baker Mayfield for a series with a lead of more than two scores. But the Ravens kept coming.

QB Latavius Murray punched one in from a yard out, and the Ravens closed to within 24-15. The Ravens kept coming. TE Mark Andrews hauled in an 8-yard touchdown with 77 seconds left in regulation, and Baltimore closed it to within 24-22. That flipped the total to an OVER, and gave the Ravens a cover.

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part III

The game of the day might have been the San Francisco 49ers (-2, 49)-Cincinnati Bengals contest. The 49ers fired out to a 20-6 lead heading to the fourth quarter, but QB Joe Burrow hit WR Ja'Marr Chase for not one, but two touchdown strikes in the fourth quarter to send it to overtime. 49ers ticket holders were bent out of shape, Bengals money line and side bettors were feeling a little better, and UNDER bettors were absolutely sick, while OVER bettors were still alive.

The Bengals managed a 41-yard field goal with 6:15 to go in the extra session, taking a 23-20 lead. If the 49ers were to tie with a field goal, the game would continue. If the Bengals were to get the ball back, game over. Neither of those things happened. WR Brandon Aiyuk had a 12-yard touchdown grab, which was upheld by replay, as the 49ers won 26-23. Total bettors at most shops pushed, while some held a 49.5 ticket and still hit the UNDER.

But those holding a Bengals +2 ticket were the angriest, as with the old OT rules, they would have won.

Total Recall

The lowest total on the board in Week 14 was the Seattle Seahawks-Houston Texans (41) game. It was a pretty good game early on, as the Seahawks took a 16-13 lead to halftime despite a 61-yard no-doubt field goal from PK Ka'imi Fairbairn. The Texans wouldn't score again. With just 32 points on the board midway through the fourth quarter, QB Russell Wilson hit TE Gerald Everett for a 1-yard touchdown, and the two-point conversion made it 27-13. The Seahawks got the ball back quickly, and RB Rashaad Penny ripped off a 47-yard touchdown run to flip the total result to an OVER.

The second-lowest total on the board was the NFC South battle of 5-7 teams, the Atlanta Falcons-Carolina Panthers (41.5). We had a total of 24 points on the board at half, aided by a pick-six of QB Cam Newton, who was benched briefly. He returned, but it was too little and too late. The Falcons hit a 3-yard TD to TE Hayden Hurst early in the fourth quarter to make it 26-14. We didn't have another score until PK Younghoe Koo hit a 48-yard field goal at 6:10 to go OVER.

On the flip side, the highest total on the board for Week 14 was in the Buffalo Bills-Tampa Bay Buccaneers (53) game. It was a one-sided affair for a bit, with the Bucs up 24-3 at halftime. The Bills chipped away at a 17-point deficit with just over nine minutes to go to force overtime. A PK Tyler Bass field with 25 seconds left to send it to OT also sent UNDER bettors to the trash bin for their ticket.

In the primetime games, the OVER is 2-0, with the MNF game between the Los Angeles Rams and Arizona Cardinals still pending. The UNDER is still 9-3 across the past 12 primetime games. The UNDER is now 22-16-1 (57.9%) through 39 primetime games. In 2020, the UNDER was 28-19-1 (59.5%) in 48 primetime contests. In 2019, the UNDER went 31-17-1 (64.6%) during primetime games.

Looking Ahead to Week 15

Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

The Cowboys (9-4) held on for the win and cover in Washington in Week 14, while the Giants (4-9) were thumped 37-21 at L.A. Chargers. The last time these teams met in Week 5 in Arlington, the Cowboys came away with a 44-20 win as 7.5-point favorites as the OVER connected.

The Cowboys have cashed in six of the past seven on the road, while going 4-1 ATS in the past five inside the NFC East. The 'Boys are also 7-2 ATS in the past nine as a favorite.

For the G-Men, they have actually covered six of the past seven inside the division, but they're just 9-20-1 ATS in the past 30 at home, while going 1-4 ATS in the past five against winning teams. Dallas has covered seven of the past nine meetings in this series, while the OVER has hit in five of the past six meetings.

Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)

The Seahawks (5-8) were looking like cadavers in the NFC, sitting 3-8 before last weekend. But Seattle has shown some pride with back-to-back wins, keeping hope of a winning season alive still.

The last time these teams met in Week 5, the Rams picked up a 26-17 win in Los Angeles as 2.5-point favorites. The UNDER cashed, and that had been a frequent occurrence until the two-game win streak. Seattle is averaging 31.5 PPG in the past two games, both OVER results, following a 9-0 UNDER run.

The Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in the past six meetings in this series, while going 2-7 ATS in the past nine meetings in Los Angeles. The UNDER is also 4-1 in the past five meetings in L.A.

New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET)

The Saints (6-7) picked up 36-27 win on Halloween in a game which saw them lose QB Jameis Winston (knee) for the season due to a torn ACL. Until Sunday on the road against the New York Jets, the Saints hadn't won. New Orleans earned a 30-9 win as 4.5-point favorites against the Jets, as the UNDER cashed for the third straight outing.

The Buccaneers (10-3) have won and covered four straight games, going for at least 30 points in each game. The Bucs are 4-1 ATS in the past five divisional matchups, while going 5-0 ATS in the past five games at home.

The Saints are 3-9 ATS in the past 12 against teams with a winning record, but there is something about the Bucs that gets them going. New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in the past seven meetings with Tampa. The UNDER is 10-3 in the past 13 meetings at the RayJay, too.

Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears (Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET)

The Vikings (6-7) and Bears (4-9) meet up on Monday night at Soldier Field. Minnesota kept its playoff hopes alive with a 36-28 win on Thursday night against the Pittsburgh Steelers, snapping a two-game losing and non-cover skid. The OVER has hit in four consecutive outings for the Vikes.

The Bears are playing a second straight primetime game, for whatever reason. Chicago was humbled 45-30 at Green Bay on SNF in Week 14, hitting the OVER. It also hit the OVER in a Monday nighter in Pittsburgh, so the Bears are averaging 28.5 PPG in two games under the lights.

This is the first of two meetings in the final four games for both teams. Remember, QB Kirk Cousins struggles on Monday nighters, and the Vikings are 3-12 ATS in the past 15 appearances on MNF. Surprisingly, Chicago is 5-2 ATS in the past seven MNF appearances.

In this series, Chicago is 4-1 ATS in the past five at home, and 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings overall. The UNDER is 6-1 in the past seven meetings at Soldier Field.

 

[CNOTES]

MONDAY, DECEMBER 13
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

LAR at ARI 08:15 PM
ARI -3.0
U 51.0
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

Date W-L-T % Units

12/13/2021..........0-2-0..........0.00%.........-11.00
12/12/2021........6-11-1.........36.11%.........-30.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........-0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/05/2021.........8-15-0.........34.78%.........-42.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50

TOTALS:............17-31-1.........35.41%.........-81.50


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/13/2021..........0-2-0..........0.00%...........-11.00
12/12/2021..........5-7-0........41.66%............-13.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........- 0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........- 0.50
12/05/2021..........5-9-0..........35.71%...........-25.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.............-0.50


TOTALS:............13-21-0..........38.23%...........-51.50


UPDATED 12/13/2021

 

[Udog]

LA CHARGERS are 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

LAS VEGAS are 16-37 ATS (-24.7 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.

NEW ENGLAND is 33-11 ATS (20.9 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season.

WASHINGTON is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) after a loss in the last 3 seasons.

BUFFALO is 22-11 ATS (9.9 Units) with <=6 days rest in the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season.

DALLAS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) against conference opponents in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 78-46 ATS (27.4 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game since 1992.

HOUSTON is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) vs. terrible teams - outscored by 10+ points per game on the season in the second half of the seasons.

ARIZONA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games in the current season.

ATLANTA is 55-87 ATS (-40.7 Units) vs. good offenses (>=24 PPG) since 1992.

DENVER is 18-39 ATS (-24.9 Units) in home games after a non-conf game since 1992.

BALTIMORE is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the season in the last 3 seasons.

LA RAMS are 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after 2+ SU wins in the last 2 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS are 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 15