Nfl 2021-2022 football season previews-news-notes-picks-rumors !

[Udog]

LA Chargers (6-5) @ Cincinnati (7-4)
— Chargers lost four of last six games, after a 4-1 start.
— Eight of their 11 games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Last seven games, Chargers allowed 31.3 points/game.
— Last five years, LA is 11-7-2 ATS as road underdogs.
— Bolts are 7-14-1 ATS in last 22 games coming off a loss.
— Chargers are 4-11-2 ATS last 17 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Under is 4-1 in Charger road games.
— Last five games, Chargers lost field position by 8+ yards four times.

— Bengals won first two post-bye games, 32-13/41-10.
— Cincinnati scored 31+ points in five of last six games.
— Bengals are 7-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-3 otherwise.
— Bengals are 6-10 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite.
— Cincy is 8-10-2 ATS last 20 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Last nine games, Bengals scored 31 TD’s on 95 drives.
— Last three years, Cincinnati is 3-8 ATS coming off a win.
— Four of last five Bengal games went over the total.

— Teams split last eight meetings; Chargers won last two.
— Chargers are 0-2-1 ATS in last three visits to Cincinnati.
— Last five series games stayed under the total.

NY Giants (4-7) @ Miami (5-7)
— QB Jones has strained neck, check status.
— Giants are 3-2 last five games, after 1-5 start.
— Last two games, Giants scored two TD’s on 20 drives.
— Giants are 23-9 ATS last 32 games as road dogs (3-2 TY).
— Giants have been outscored 64-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Opponents have started 12 drives in Giant territory (minus-7).
— Giants are 3-8 ATS in last 11 games vs AFC opponents.
— Giants are 5-7-1 ATS last 13 games coming off a win.
— Last five Giant games stayed under the total.

— Dolphins won/covered last four games, giving up 11.5 ppg.
— Miami gave up four TDs on opponents’ last 47 drives.
— Dolphins allowed 17 or fewer points in all five of their wins.
— Dolphins are 0-7 when they give up more than 17 points.
— Miami has given up 62 plays of 20+ yards, has only 45 themselves.
— Miami is 22-12-3 ATS in last 36 home games.
— Four of last five Dolphin games stayed under the total.
— Miami outscored last three foes 45-17 in second half.

— Giants won last four series games.
— Giants won 31-24/13-10 in last two trips to Miami.
— Dolphins’ last series win: 2003.

Washington (5-6) @ Las Vegas (6-5)
— Washington is 3-0 since its bye, scoring 29-27-17 points.
— Short week, long travel after their Monday night win.
— Washington converted 22 of last 45 third down plays.
— Washington was 1-7 ATS before their bye, are 3-0 since.
— Washington held last four opponents under 300 TY.
— Washington is 13-7 ATS last 20 games coming off a win.
— Five of last six Washington games stayed under the total.
— Washington is 8-4-1 in last 13 games with spread of 3 or less.

— Las Vegas is 6-0 when it scores 26+ points, 0-5 when it does not.
— Raiders lost three of last four games, outscored 79-36 in second half.
— Last three games, Raiders gave up 20+ second half points.
— Raiders converted only 16 of last 61 third down plays.
— Raiders are 3-5 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
— Raiders are 9-17-2 ATS last 28 games vs NFC opponents.
— Since moving to Las Vegas, over is 10-3-1 in Raider games.
— Last six games, Las Vegas has 36 plays of 20+ yards (+11)

— Washington won last three series games, by 17-10-21 points.
— Washington won 24-14/34-13 in last two visits to Oakland.
— Under is 3-1 in last four series games.

Jacksonville (2-9) @ LA Rams (7-4)
— Jaguars lost three in row, 24 of their last 26 games.
— Jacksonville has six losses by 10+ points.
— Jaguars have five TD’s on their last 48 drives.
— Jacksonville is minus-13 in turnovers (5-18)
— Jaguars are 8-15-1 ATS in last 24 games as road underdogs.
— Last four games, Jacksonville was outscored 77-21 in first half.
— Last two games,Jaguars converted 14-27 third down plays.
— 10 of their last 11 games stayed under the total.

— Rams lost last three games, giving up 28-31-36 points.
— LA threw a pick-6 in all three of those games.
— Rams turned ball over seven times in last three games (-5)
— Last seven games, LA converted only 28-83 on 3rd down
— Last two years, under is 9-4 in Rams’ home games.
— Rams are 8-4 ATS last 12 games as double digit favorite.
— Under McVay, Rams are 15-16 ATS as home favorites.
— Last three games, LA averaged only 71.3 rushing yards/game.

— Rams won three of last four meetings.
— Jaguars lost 34-20/24-21 in last two road series games.

Baltimore (8-3) @ Pittsburgh (5-5-1)
— Baltimore won three of four games since their bye.
— Last three weeks, Ravens scored 10-16-16 points.
— Last three weeks, Ravens don’t have a first half touchdown.
— Ravens’ last three wins were by 3-3-6 points.
— Baltimore is 9-6 ATS last 15 games as road favorites.
— Last six games, opponents are 21-76 on third down
— Last two years, Ravens are 5-1 ATS in AFC North road tilts.
— Last three Baltimore games stayed under the total.

— Steelers lost last two games, giving up 41-41 points.
— Steelers gave up seven TD’s on opponents’ last 14 drives.
— Last three games, Pittsburgh gave up 195.3 RY/game.
— Last four games, Pittsburgh converted 28-57 on third down.
— Pittsburgh covered last five games as a home underdog.
— Last two weeks, Steelers ran ball for only 55-51 yards.
— Steelers are 5-2 ATS in last seven AFC North home games.
— Over is 3-1 in last four Steeler games.

— Steelers are 5-3 in last eight series games.
— Underdogs are 10-1-1 ATS in last dozen meetings.
— Ravens are 4-1-1 ATS in last six visits to Pittsburgh.

San Francisco (6-5) @ Seattle (3-8)
— 49ers won/covered four of their last five games.
— Last three games, 49ers ran ball for 156-171-208 yards.
— 49ers converted 19 of last 36 third down plays.
— 49ers are 1-5 SU when they score fewer than 30 points.
— 49ers are 4-1 SU on road, losing 17-10 in Arizona.
— Last two games, 49ers are +5 in turnovers (6-1).
— 49ers are 4-5 ATS last nine games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last five years, 49ers are 18-14 ATS coming off a win.

— Three games with Wilson back, Seattle scored three TD’s on 29 drives.
— Last three games, Seattle was outgained 1,177-741.
— Seahawks lost eight of their last ten games overall.
— Seattle is 3-1 if it scores 28+ points, 0-7 if it doesn’t.
— Seattle is 14-9-3 ATS last 25 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Seahawks are 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 NFC West home games.
— Six of Seahawks’ last seven games stayed under total.
— Short week for Seattle after their Monday night loss.

— Seahawks (+3) won 28-21 in Santa Clara in Week 4.
— 49ers outgained Seattle 457-234, were minus-2 in turnovers.
— Seahawks won four in row, 14 of last 16 series games.
— 49ers are 2-7 ATS in last nine visits to Seattle.
— Last six series games went over the total.

Denver (6-5) @ Kansas City (7-4)
— Denver won/covered three of last four games.
— Denver gave up 16 or less points in its wins, 26.6 ppg in losses.
— Broncos have seven takeaways in last four games (+4).
— Broncos are 12-7-1 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog.
— Broncos are 4-10-1 ATS in last 15 AFC West road games.
— Denver converted 24 of last 50 third down plays.
— Broncos are 12-15 ATS last 27 games coming off a win.
— Nine of 11 Denver games stayed under the total.

— Chiefs won last four games, giving up 11.8 ppg.
— Kansas City is 5-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 2-4 if they allow more.
— Chiefs scored 20 or fewer points in four of last five games.
— Chiefs have seven takeaways in last three games (+4)
— Kansas City is 5-11 ATS in last 16 games as double digit favorites.
— Kansas City is 4-6 ATS in last ten AFC West home games.
— Five of Chiefs’ last six games stayed under the total.
— Chiefs are 5-7 ATS in last 12 post-bye games.

— Chiefs won last ten series games (8-2 ATS)
— Broncos are 5-3 ATS in last eight games in Arrowhead.
— Under is 5-1 in last six series games.

Monday’s game
New England (7-4) @ Buffalo (7-4)
— New England won/covered its last six games, scoring 35.2 ppg.
— Last four games, Patriots outscored foes 63-0 in second half.
— New England is 4-9 ATS last 13 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last six games, New England is +13 in turnovers.
— Patriots are +16 in turnovers in their wins, minus-6 in losses.
— Last six games, Patriots ran ball for average of 143.8 yards/game.
— Last eight games, New England had 40 plays of 20+ yards (+15).
— Over is 6-3 in Patriots’ last nine games.

— Bills lost three of last five games, after a 4-1 start.
— Before their bye, Buffalo averaged 19.8 first half points.
— Since their bye, Buffalo averaged 8.6 first half points.
— Buffalo turned ball over 11 times in last four games (-4).
— Bills are 11-2-1 last 14 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Only three Buffalo games were decided by fewer than 15 points.
— Bills’ last four opponents converted only 17-63 on third down.
— Bills played on Thanksgiving, had extra time to rest/prep.

— Bills swept New England LY, after a 3-29 series skid.
— Patriots are 6-1 ATS in last seven trips to Orchard Park.
— Under is 5-3-1 in last nine series games.

 

[Udog]

Dallas has lost five straight games when playing on a Thursday.
New Orleans has covered the spread in six of its last seven games when facing the NFC as an underdog.
New Orleans has gone UNDER the point total in 10 straight games when playing on a Thursday.

 

[CNOTES]

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 2
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

DAL at NO 08:20 PM
NO +6.0
U 46.0
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

NFL DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50

TOTALS:


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50


TOTALS:


UPDATED 12/02/2021

 

[Udog]

Gridiron Angles - Week 13
Vince Akins

NFL Play ON ATS Trend:
Matchup: N.Y. Giants at Miami (1:00 p.m. ET)

-- The Dolphins are 11-0 ATS since 2019 at home facing a team that is under .500 past week 4 of the season.

NFL Play AGAINST ATS Trend:
Matchup: Minnesota at Detroit (1:00 p.m. ET)

-- The Lions are 0-10 ATS since December 2016 as a dog with more than three days rest coming off a loss where they allowed fewer points than expected.

NFL Play OVER OU Trend:
Matchup: Washington at Las Vegas (4:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Raiders are 9-0 OU since November 2015 when they are not more than three-point underdogs and are coming off a win as an underdog.

NFL Play UNDER OU Trend:
Matchup: Denver at Kansas City (8:20 p.m. ET)

-- The Broncos are 0-16 OU since December 2017 coming off a win by at least seven points. This is 0-5 OU in 2021.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

 

[Udog]

The Chargers are 1-5 ATS in the past six games overall.
The Chargers are 5-2 ATS in the past seven road games.
The Bengals are 2-5 ATS in the past seven home games against teams with a winning road mark.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five road games for the Chargers.
The OVER is 7-3 in the past 10 vs. winning teams for the Chargers.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five games overall for the Bengals.
The OVER is 8-3-1 in the past 12 as a favorite for the Bengals.
The Chargers are 2-6 ATS in the past eight vs. Bengals.
The UNDER is 6-0 in the past six meetings.


Detroit has gone UNDER the point total in eight of its last nine games.
Minnesota has won eight straight games when facing Detroit.
Minnesota has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games when playing as the favorite.


The road team has won three straight meetings.
Arizona has won six straight road games.
Chicago has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games when facing the NFC.
Chicago has gone UNDER in eight of its last 10 games.


Atlanta has lost six straight home games.
Atlanta has gone OVER the point total in seven straight games when facing Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven road games when playing as the favorite.


Houston has lost nine of its last 10 games.
Indianapolis has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games when playing in Houston.
Indianapolis has gone OVER the point total in four straight road games.
The point total has gone UNDER in four straight meetings.


New York has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games when facing the NFC.
New York has gone OVER the point total in four of its last five games after winning the game prior.
Philadelphia has won 11 straight games when facing New York.
Philadelphia has won three of its last four games after losing the game prior.


Miami has covered the spread in four straight games.
New York has lost five of its last six road games.
New York has gone UNDER the point total in five straight games.
New York has won three straight games when facing Miami.


San Francisco is 4-1 ATS across the last five games
The total has gone OVER in four of the last six games Niners' games
The total has gone UNDER in five straight Seahawks' games
The total has gone over in four of the last six meetings between San Francisco and Seattle.


Washington is 3-7 ATS in the past 10 games overall.
Washington is 0-3 SU/ATS vs. AFC West this season.
Washington is 2-5 ATS in the past seven as an underdog.
Las Vegas is 1-4 ATS in the past five home games overall.
The UNDER is 5-1 in the past six games for Washington.
The OVER is 8-2 in the past 10 home games for Las Vegas


The total has gone UNDER in six straight Jaguars' games.
The Jaguars have lost 10 straight road games.
The Jaguars are 0-5 ATS in their last five matchups against NFC opponents.
The Jaguars are 0-5 SU in their last five matchups against the Rams.


The Ravens are 1-4 ATS in the past five against losing teams.
The Ravens are 9-2 ATS in the past 13 divisional games.
The Ravens are 16-5 ATS in the past 21 games in December.
The Steelers are 3-7 ATS in the past 10 games overall.
The Steelers are 1-6 ATS in the past seven games at home.
The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four road games for the Ravens.
The UNDER is 7-3 in the past 10 home games for the Steelers.
The Ravens are 5-1-1 ATS in the past seven trips to Pittsburgh.


The total has gone UNDER in five straight Broncos' games.
The Broncos are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 matchups against Kansas City.
The total has gone UNDER in five of the last six Chiefs' games.
The total has gone UNDER in the four of the last five matchups between Denver and Kansas City.

 

[Udog]

 

[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 5
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

TB at ATL 01:00 PM
ATL +11.0
O 51.0
+500 +500

MIN at DET 01:00 PM
DET +7.0
O 47.5
+500 +500

PHI at NYJ 01:00 PM
NYJ +6.0
O 44.0
+500 +500

LAC at CIN 01:00 PM
CIN -2.5
U 49.5
+500 +500

ARI at CHI 01:00 PM
ARI -7.5
O 42.5
+500 +500

IND at HOU 01:00 PM
HOU +10.0
O 45.5
+500 +500

NYG at MIA 01:00 PM
NYG +6.5
+500

JAC at LAR 04:05 PM
JAC +13.5
U 48.0
+500 +500

WAS at LV 04:05 PM
LV -1.0
O 47.5
+500 +500

SF at SEA 04:25 PM
SF -3.0
U 44.5
+500 +500

BAL at PIT 04:25 PM
PIT +4.0
U 44.0
+500 +500

DEN at KC 08:20 PM
DEN +8.5
O 46.5
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

NFL DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/05/2021.........8-15-0.........34.78%.........-42.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50

TOTALS:..............9-16-0.........36.00%.........-43.00


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/05/2021..........5-9-0..........35.71%.........-25.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50


TOTALS:.............6-10-0..........37.50%.........-26.00


UPDATED 12/05/2021

 

[Udog]

The Patriots are 6-0 ATS across their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in six of the last eight Patriots' games.
The Bills are 10-2 SU in their last 10 home games.
The Patriots are 5-0 SU in their last five road games.

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

Detroit 29, Minnesota 27:
— Vikings scored TD with 1:53 left to take 27-23 lead.
— Goff hit St Brown with 11-yard TD pass at 0:00 for the win.
— 11 of Vikings’ 12 games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Over is 6-1 in Vikings road games this year.
— Minnesota has been outscored 103-28 in last 2:00 of each half.

— Minnesota has led by 6+ points in every game this year.
— Detroit is 1-10-1, but is 8-4 ATS (5-1 last six).
— Detroit converted only 2-11 third down plays.
— Lions’ last four games were decided by total of seven points.
— Detroit won this game despite questionable game management strategy.

Arizona 33, Chicago 22:
— Cardinals had three TD drives shorter than 30 yards.
— Arizona was +4 in turnovers, had 23-yard edge in field position.
— Cardinals are 9-3 ATS this season, 7-0 on road.
— Cardinals are +15 in turnovers in wins, minus-3 in losses.
— Arizona has 51 plays of 20+ yards; their opponents have 29.

— Bears lost six of their last seven games (1-6 ATS).
— Last six games, Chicago was outscored 92-39 in first half.
— Last seven games, Bears are minus-11 in turnovers.
— Favorites won/covered all six Chicago home games TY.
— Bears are 5-9 ATS last 14 games as home underdogs.

Tampa Bay 30, Atlanta 17:
— Tampa Bay scared 30-38-30 points in winning last three games.
— Bucs drove 75 yards for TD on three of first four drives.
— Bucs have 46 TD’s on 126 drives this season.
— Tampa Bay outscored last three opponents 47-7 in 2nd half.
— Bucs won last five series games, scoring 37.2 ppg.

— Atlanta is 0-5 SU at home this year, outscored 140-66.
— Falcons in second half: 34 plays, 159 yards, no points.
— Falcons’ second TD was scored by the defense.
— Atlanta has been outscored 186-89 in second half.
— Under is 4-1 in last five Atlanta games.

Indianapolis 31, Houston 0:
— Colts won/covered seven of last ten games, after 0-3 start.
— Colts outgained Houston 389-141.
— Last four weeks, Indy led by 18-11-17-10-14 points at halftime.
— Last ten weeks, Colts outscored opponents 167-75 in first half.
— Colts are 6-0 giving up 24 or fewer points, 1-6 if they allow 25+.

— Texans lost ten of their last eleven games.
— Houston averaged 1.8 yards/pass attempt, was 3-12 on third down.
— Colts outscored Texans 61-3 in two meetings this season.
— Last seven games, Houston was outscored 93-37 in 1st half.
— Under is 8-2 in Texans’ last ten games.

Philadelphia 33, NJ Jets 18:
— Eagles scored TD on first three drives, kicked FG’s on next four.
— Philly ran ball for 211.8 ypg last six games (98.6 ypg previous five games)
— Minshew averaged 8.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Philly converted 6-13 on 3rd down, Jets 3-9.
— Last five weeks, Eagles outscored opponents 98-45 in first half.

— Jets’ first three drives: 25 plays, 164 yards, three TD’s
— Jets went 0-1 on PAT’s, 0-2 on 2-point conversions.
— Rest of game: 31 plays, 113 yards, no points.
— Jets lost four of their last five games.
— Seven of last nine Jet games went over the total.

LA Chargers 41, Cincinnati 22:
— Chargers’ first 3 drives: 18 plays, 132 yards, 17 points.
— Bolts led 24-0; Bengals cut lead to 24-22 early in 4th quarter.
— Campbell ran fumble back 61 yards for Charger TD with 13:43 left.
— Last five years, LA is 12-7-2 ATS as road underdogs.

— Burrow played lot of game with dislocated pinky on his right hand
— Cincy had only one TD drive longer than 32 yards.
— Four of last five Bengal games went over the total.
— Bengals are 7-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-4 otherwise.
— Cincy is 8-11-2 ATS last 21 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Last three years, Cincinnati is 3-9 ATS coming off a win.
— Five of last six Bengal games went over the total.

Miami 20, NY Giants 9:
— Giants have one TD on 20 drives since they fired OC Garrett.
— Giants have been outscored 74-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Giants are 5-8-1 ATS last 14 games coming off a win.
— Last six Giant games stayed under the total.
— QB Glennon got concussion; newly acquired Fromm could play next week.

— Dolphins won/covered last five games, giving up 11.0 ppg.
— Dolphins allowed 17 or fewer points in all six of their wins.
— Miami gave up four TDs on opponents’ last 58 drives.
— Miami is 23-12-3 ATS in last 37 home games.
— Five of last six Dolphin games stayed under the total.

Washington 17, Las Vegas 15:
— Johnson kicked 48-yard FG with 0:37 left for the win.
— Washington won all four games since its bye.
— Washington converted 29 of last 58 third down plays.
— Washington is 9-4-1 ATS last 14 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Washington is 14-7 ATS last 21 games coming off a win.

— Las Vegas is 6-0 when it scores 26+ points, 0-6 when it does not.
— Washington was 7-13 on third down, Raiders 2-8
— Raiders converted only 18 of last 69 third down plays.
— Las Vegas is 3-6 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
— Raiders lost four of last five games, outscored 89-48 in second half.

LA Rams 37, Jacksonville 7:
— Jaguars lost four in row, 25 of their last 27 games.
— Jacksonville has seven losses by 10+ points.
— Jaguars have six TD’s on their last 48 drives.
— Jacksonville is minus-13 in turnovers (5-18)
— Jaguars are 8-16-1 ATS in last 25 games as road underdogs.

— Rams’ first two drives started at Jaguars’ 34/27-yard line.
— Rams’ first three drives in 2nd half: 24 plays, 202 yards, 21 points.
— LA outgained Jacksonville, 418-197
— Last eight games, LA converted only 33-95 on 3rd down
— Last two years, under is 10-4 in Rams’ home games.

Pittsburgh 20, Baltimore 19:
— Ravens scored TD with 0:12 left, went for 2 points but failed.
— Last four weeks, Baltimore scored 10-16-16-19 points.
— Five trips to red zone, Ravens scored only 19 points.
— Last four Baltimore games stayed under the total.
— Underdogs are 11-1-1 ATS in last 13 games vs Steelers.

— Steelers drove 69 yards, took lead for good with 1:48 left.
— Pittsburgh held Ravens to 107 rushing yards.
— Last five games, Pittsburgh converted 33-69 on third down.
— Pittsburgh covered last six games as a home underdog.
— Steelers are 6-2 ATS in last eight AFC North home games.

Seattle 30, San Francisco 23:
— 49ers led 17-7 midway thru second quarter.
— 49ers in first half: 30 plays, 184 yards, 23 points.
— 49ers In second half: 26 plays, 137 yards, no points.
— San Francisco averaged 9.5 yards/pass attempt.
— 49ers are 1-5 SU when they score fewer than 30 points.

— Seattle tied game 23-23 with third quarter safety on a sack.
— Seahawks ran for 146 yards, threw for only 4.4 yards/attempt.
— Seattle won 15 of last 17 games against the 49ers.
— Seahawks had 12-yard edge in field position.
— Both teams turned ball over three times.

Kansas City 22, Denver 9:
— Denver had 20-play, 88-yard drive but didn’t score on it.
— Broncos scored only nine points on three trips to red zone.
— Denver had 3 turnovers, converted 4-14 on third down.
— Denver has lost 11 in a row SU to Kansas City.
— Broncos are 4-11-1 ATS in last 16 AFC West road games.

— Chiefs won last five games, giving up 11.2 ppg.
— Kansas City is 6-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 2-4 if they allow more.
— Denver outgained the Chiefs, 404-267, ran 18 more plays than KC.
— Chiefs have ten takeaways in last four games (+6)
— Six of Chiefs’ last seven games stayed under the total.

 

[CNOTES]

MONDAY, DECEMBER 6
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

NE at BUF 08:15 PM
NE +2.5
O 41.0
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

NFL DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/05/2021.........8-15-0.........34.78%.........-42.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50

TOTALS:.............10-17-0.........37.03%.........-43.50


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/05/2021..........5-9-0..........35.71%.........-25.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50


TOTALS:.............7-11-0..........38.88%.........-26.50


UPDATED 12/06/2021

 

[Udog]

Betting Recap - Week 13
Dan Dobish

Overall Notes

The largest underdogs to win straight up

Lions +7 (ML +270) vs. Vikings, 29-27
Steelers +4 (ML +175) vs. Ravens, 20-19
Chargers +3 (ML +125) at Bengals, 41-22
Seahawks +2.5 (ML +125) vs. 49ers, 30-23

The largest favorites to cover

Rams (-14) vs. Jaguars, 37-7
Buccaneers (-10.5) at Falcons, 30-17
Colts (-10) at Texans, 31-0
Chiefs (-8.5) vs. Broncos, 22-9

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Atlanta Falcons (50.5) looked like it was hurtling toward an easy OVER result. The teams combined for 20 points in the first quarter, and a total of 37 points by the half, with the defending champs leading 20-17 at the break.

Things slowed down substantially in the third quarter, as the Buccaneers managed just a touchdown, with the Falcons blanked. The Falcons put up a good egg again, and the Bucs were able to scratch out just a field goal down the stretch. Hopefully you didn't start buying shots for the bar and celebrating at halftime, as the offense slowed to a crawl in a hugely disappointing second half after plenty of fireworks in the first 30.

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part II

Like the Bucs-Falcons game above, the Jacksonville Jaguars-Los Angeles Rams (48) look to be in good shape for an OVER. But whenever you need help from the Jaguars offense to get things across the finish line, it usually doesn't end up very well.

The Rams led 10-0 at the end of the first quarter, and they held a 16-7 lead at the break, with the Jacksonville offense actually chipping in. After a pair of touchdowns in the first 11:33 of the third quarter, the Rams held a 30-7 lead, and they started to power things down and go to more of a run-based attack. OVER bettors needed the Jags to do something, anything. It wasn't happening.

L.A. posted a 1-yard touchdown from QB Matthew Stafford to WR Odell Beckham Jr. with 10:52 to go in regulation, and then OVER bettors had to painfully watch the rest of the game go without any points. The Jaguars have now hit the UNDER in second consecutive outings.

Going Streaking

-- The aforementioned Jaguars have cashed the UNDER in seven straight consecutive outings, including each of the past four games on the road.

-- The Denver Broncos have hit the UNDER in six consecutive games after its low-scoring 22-9 loss at Kansas City on SNF, and they're now 10-2 in 12 games to the UNDER so far this season.

-- The Miami Dolphins have picked up five consecutive victories, and they're 5-0 ATS in five outings, while hitting the UNDER in five of the past six.

Total Recall

The lowest total on the board in Week 13 was the Giants-Dolphins (40) game, and it wasn't even close. These teams got off to a slow start with a scoreless first quarter, and the Giants managed just three fields, one in the second, third and fourth quarters. Miami is on a five-game win streak, and the UNDER is 4-1 during that span and 5-1 in the past six overall.

The second-lowest odds on the board are the pending titanic Monday night AFC matchup between the New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills (41). The next lowest game, the Arizona Cardinals-Chicago Bears (43), and that game was played in the rain. No worries. Each quarter ended up having a total of 10 or more points, including the final quarter which saw 17 total points for 55 overall.

On the flip side, the highest total on the board for Week 13 was in the Bucs-Falcons (50.5) game, and we told you how that one painfully ended. The second-highest total on the board was the Los Angeles Chargers-Cincinnati Bengals (50) game, and we had 16 or more points in three of the four quarters for a total of 63 points for the easy OVER.

In the primetime games, the UNDER was a perfect 3-0 for the second consecutive week, with the MNF game between the Patriots and Bills in the cold, wind and snow easily cashing UNDER. In fact, QB Mac Jones had just three total pass attempts. The UNDER is now on a 9-1 run across the past 10 primetime games. The UNDER is now 22-14-1 (61.1%) through 37 primetime games. In 2020, the UNDER was 28-19-1 (59.5%) in 48 primetime contests. In 2019, the UNDER went 31-17-1 (64.6%) during primetime games.

Looking Ahead to Week 14

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Football (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

The first-place Cowboys (8-4) and Washington (6-6) square off at FedEx Field for the first of two meetings down the stretch. This game will go a long way in determining the NFC East, too. A Washington win, and they're right in this thing, while a loss will push the Cowboys well ahead with just four regular-season games remaining.

Dallas slapped the brakes on a two-game mini-slide with a 27-17 win and cover over the New Orleans Saints on Thursday night last week. While they've been a bit inconsistent, going 2-3 ATS, the UNDER is a solid 5-1 across the past six outings.

Washington is on a four-game win streak, and they're 4-0 ATS during the run, too, getting back to .500 after a 2-6 SU start. The WFT is just 2-5 ATS in the past seven games at home against the Cowboys, although the underdog is an impressive 29-13 ATS in the past 42 meetings. The OVER has also cashed in nine of the previous 11 in the series.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

The Jaguars (2-10) will face the Titans (8-4) for the first time since Week 5 in Jacksonville. The Titans went down to TIAA Bank Stadium and picked up a 37-19 win for their highest scoring output of the season. That kicked off a six-game win streak, and 5-0 ATS run following a shocking loss on the road to the New York Jets.

Jacksonville was manhandled on the road against the Los Angeles Rams, dropping a fifth straight game since its stunning 9-6 win over the Buffalo Bills in Week 9 as a 14.5-point underdog. They're also 0-3 ATS across the past three, while the UNDER continues to cook for the Jags. The UNDER has hit in seven straight outings, with the last OVER hitting in that first meeting with Tennessee.

The Jaguars are just 2-7 ATS in the past nine meetings with the Titans, while going 1-4-1 ATS in the past six trips to Nashville. The OVER is also 5-1 in the past six meetings at Nissan Stadium, too.

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET)

The Bears (4-8) tumbled in the rain against the Arizona Cardinals, slipping five games back of the first-place Packers (9-3), who were staying dry and warm during a bye. Both teams are 2-1 SU inside the NFC North Division, but the Pack have a huge advantage in overall record, obviously. The point differential for the Bears is minus-86, while the Packers are at plus-41.

Chicago has posted just one win in the past seven games overall, while going 0-3 ATS across the past three games, and 1-6 ATS in the previous seven outings. The UNDER is 8-3 in the previous 11 outings for Chicago, too, although the OVER cashed against the Cards.

Green Bay has been amazing against the spread, going 10-1 ATS across the past 11 games overall, with the only non-cover in Week 11 at Minnesota in a 34-31 loss. The OVER has hit in the past two for Green Bay after a 7-0 UNDER run from Weeks 4 through 10.

The Bears are just 1-4 ATS in the past five trips to Lambeau Field, while going 7-21 ATS in the previous 28 meetings in this series. The favorite has cashed in four straight meetings, too.

Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals (Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET)

The Rams (8-4) and Cardinals (10-2) square off in a titanic NFC West Division battle on MNF. These teams met in Week 4 at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles, with the Cardinals rolling to a 37-20 win as 3.5-point underdogs as the OVER connected.

Arizona welcomed back QB Kyler Murray from a multi-week absence, and he helped the Cards to a 33-22 win in rainy Chicago. The OVER is still 3-1 in the previous four outings with or without Murray. The offense has continued to hum.

Los Angeles registered a 37-7 win against Jacksonville in Week 13, cashing as a 14-point favorite. It was L.A.'s first cover as a double-digit favorite in three tries this season. The UNDER is 3-1 in the previous four for the Rams, and 5-2-1 across the past eight outings.

Despite the ugly loss in L.A. earlier in the season, the Rams are still 7-1-1 ATS in the past nine meetings overall, and 6-0 ATS in the past six trips to Arizona. The road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six in this series, too.

 

[Udog]

Tech Trends - Week 14
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Dec. 9

PITTSBURGH at MINNESOTA (FOX, 8:20 p.m.)

Tomlin 11-4 last 15 as dog and 5-2 in role TY.
Steelers 5-7 ATS this year.
Vikings has won and covered three straight before losses to Niners and Lions.
Vikings 3-2 vs. line at U.S. Bank Stadium.

Tech Edge: Steelers based on total trends.


Sunday, Dec. 12

LAS VEGAS at KANSAS CITY (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

Last three gone Over in series, though Under in four of previous five.
Raiders 1-4 vs. line last five but 3-2 vs. line away.
Chiefs Under 6-1 last seven.

Tech Edge: Under based on total trends.

NEW ORLEANS at N.Y. JETS (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

Saints lost five SU.
Saints 1-4 chalk TY.
Jets 3-9 vs line, also Over six straight before Under against Miami.

Tech Edge: Over based on total trends.

ATLANTA at CAROLINA (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

Panthers won and covered in Atlanta on Halloween but lost and failed to cover seven of last nine.
Falcons 4-1 SU on road TY and 3-1-1 vs. line.
Falcons won and covered last three on BoA Stadium.

Tech Edge: Falcons based on team and series trends.

BALTIMORE at CLEVELAND (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

Ravens won and covered four of last five meetings.
Baltimore Under last five on road.
Browns no covers last three, also no covers in four of last five and six of last eight.
Cleveland Under in last three and four of last five at home.

Tech Edge: Under and Ravens based on total and team trends.

DALLAS at WASHINGTON (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

Boys 5-1 vs. line on road after win in Nola.
Dak is Under in five of last six games.
Washington won and covered last four.
Washington Under in six of last seven.
Washington won and covered both meetings last season.

Tech Edge: Under and Washington total and recent trends.

SEATTLE at HOUSTON (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

Seattle 1-6 last 7 SU.
Texans Under last four and six of last seven.

Tech Edge: Under and Texans based on total and recent trends.

JACKSONVILLE at TENNESSEE (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

Road team has cover last three in series.
Titans 8-1 SU and vs. line in last nine vs. Jags.
Meyer Under in last seven and 10 of last 11.
Titans Over in 30 of last 42 games since 2091, only 2-2 since Derrick Henry injury.

Tech Edge: Under and Titans current and series trends.

BUFFALO at TAMPA BAY (CBS, 4:25 p.m.)

Bills yet to cover back-to-back games (falied to cover vs. Pats).
Bills 4-2 SU and vs. line on road.
Bucs won last nine at home SU and 8-1 vs. line.

Tech Edge: Buccaneers based on team trends.

DETROIT at DENVER (CBS, 4:25 p.m.)

Only four non-covers for Lions TY despite 1-10-1 record.
Lions covered last four and Under in eight of last 10.
Denver Under last six and 10 of last 12.

Tech Edge: Under based on total trends.

N.Y. GIANTS at L.A. CHARGERS (FOX, 4:05 p.m.)

G-Men just 1-3 last 4 vs. line on road.
G-Men 12-5 last 17 as road dog however.
G-Men six-game Under run.
Bolts 3-4 SU, 2-5 vs. line in last seven.
Bolts no cover last three at home.

Tech Edge: Giants and Under based on team and total trends.

SAN FRANCISCO at CINCINNATI (CBS, 4:25 p.m.)

Niners Under in six of last nine on road, also 11-6 vs. spread last 16 as visitor.
Bengals 1-4 ATS last five in Cincinnati.

Tech Edge: Niners and Under based on team and total trends.

CHICAGO at GREEN BAY (NBC, 8:20 p.m.)

Packers won and covered last five in series.
Packers 9-2 SU, 10-1 vs. line last 11.
Packers also Under seven straight before two straight Overs.
Bears lost last five SU in Green Bay, 1-4 vs. line in those five.
Bears 5-17 vs. points last 22 vs. Packers and 1-5 SU vs. line last six TY.
Bers 3-8 Under run

Tech Edge: Packers and Under based on team and total trends.


Monday, Dec. 6

L.A. RAMS at ARIZONA (ESPN, 8:15 p.m.)

McVay 8-0 Su vs. Cards prior to Oct. 3 loss.
Rams no covers in last three on road.
Cards 3-2 SU and 2-3 vs. line at home TY.
Cards covered nine of last 12 TY hoeever.

Tech Edge: Cardinals based on recent trends.

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
NFL leaders in receptions:
100— Cooper Kupp, Rams
86— Keenan Allen LAC, Tyreek Hill KC, Jaylen Waddle Mia
82— Chris Godwin, TB
80— Davante Adams, GB
78— Justin Jefferson, Minn
76— Diontae Johnson, Pitt

 

[Udog]

PITTSBURGH is 70-36 ATS (30.4 Units) vs. good passing QB (>7 PYA) since 1992.

LAS VEGAS are 16-36 ATS (-23.6 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.

NEW ORLEANS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. in the last 3 seasons.

TENNESSEE is 2-17 ATS (-16.7 Units) against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game in the second half of the season since 1992.

BALTIMORE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the season in the last 3 seasons.

CAROLINA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after the first month of the season in the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) against conference opponents in the current season.

SEATTLE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games in the 2nd half of the season in the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 5-22 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.

NY GIANTS are 50-27 ATS (20.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging >=350 yards/game since 1992.

SAN FRANCISCO is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in road games after a road upset loss since 1992.

TAMPA BAY is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the seasons.

CHICAGO is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

LA RAMS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after a win by 14 or more pts. in the last 2 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 14

 

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 14

Thursday game
Pittsburgh (6-5-1) @ Minnesota (5-7)
— Steelers are 1-2-1 SU last four games, with win by one point
— Last five games, Pittsburgh converted 33-69 on third down.
— Last three weeks, Pittsburgh was outscored 55-16 in first half.
— Steelers are 13-5 ATS last 18 games as a road underdog.
— Pittsburgh is 5-0-1 SU giving up less than 24 points.
— Steelers have been outgained five games in a row.
— Last three weeks, Steelers ran ball for only 55-51-85 yards.
— Under is 24-14-1 in their last 39 games on artificial turf.

— Minnesota lost to 0-10-1 Lions last week, on last play of game.
— 11 of Vikings’ 12 games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Minnesota has led by 6+ points in every game this year.
— Underdogs are 9-3 ATS in Viking games this season.
— Vikings are 12-14 ATS in last 26 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Minnesota is 1-8 ATS last nine games as home favorites.
— Minnesota has been outscored 103-28 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Over is 4-1 in Vikings last five games.

— Pittsburgh won four of last five meetings (3-2 ATS).
— Teams split last two meetings played here.

Sunday games
Las Vegas (6-6) @ Kansas City (8-4)
— Las Vegas is 6-0 when it scores 26+ points, 0-6 when it does not.
— Raiders lost four of last five games, outscored 89-48 in second half.
— Raiders scored 46 points on last 12 red zone drives (3.83).
— Raiders converted only 18 of last 69 third down plays.
— Raiders are 10-5 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog.
— Raiders are 5-3 ATS last eight AFC West road games.
— Las Vegas is 5-8 ATS last 13 games coming off a loss.
— Last eight games, Las Vegas has 46 plays of 20+ yards (+12)

— Chiefs won last four games, giving up 11.2 ppg.
— Chiefs outscored foes 56-13 in first half of those games.
— Kansas City is 6-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 2-4 if they allow more.
— Chiefs have ten takeaways in last four games (+6)
— Kansas City is 5-9 ATS in last 14 games as home favorites.
— Kansas City is 5-6 ATS in last 11 AFC West home games.
— Six of Chiefs’ last seven games stayed under the total.
— Chiefs are 6-13-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.

— Chiefs threw for 422 yards, routed Raiders 41-14 in Week 10.
— Chiefs outgained Las Vegas, 516-299
— Kansas City won 14 of last 17 series games.
— Raiders are 2-6 ATS in last eight visits to Arrowhead.

New Orleans (5-7) @ NJ Jets (3-9)
— QB Hill hurt his hand in last Thursday’s game (check status)
— Saints lost last five games, giving up 29.6 ppg (1-4 ATS).
— Last five weeks, New Orleans was outscored 73-20 in first half.
— Saints are 3-3 SU in true road games this year
— New Orleans is 17-8 ATS last 25 games as road favorites.
— New Orleans is 6-4-1 ATS last 11 games vs AFC opponents.
— Opponents converted 22 of last 47 third down plays.
— New Orleans has 39 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 55.
— Six of their last nine games went over the total.

— Jets lost four of their last five games.
— Jets gave up 35.1 ppg in their last seven games.
— In those seven games, Jets allowed 42 plays of 20+ yards.
— Jets have been outscored 95-36 in first quarter, 213-83 in first half.
— Jets are 16-12-2 ATS last 30 games as home underdogs.
— Jets are 15-25 ATS last 40 games coming off a loss.
— Seven of last nine Jet games went over the total.
— Last seven games, Jets are minus-11 in turnovers.

— Saints won three of last four series games.
— Underdogs covered four of last five meetings.
— Teams split last two meetings played here.

San Francisco (6-6) @ Cincinnati (7-5)
— 49ers won/covered three of their last four games.
— Last four games, 49ers outscored opponents 78-45 in first half.
— 49ers are 4-1 if they give up 22 or less points, 2-5 if they give up more.
— 49ers are 1-5 SU when they score fewer than 30 points.
— 49ers are 4-2 SU on road, losing in Arizona/Seattle.
— Last three games, 49ers are +5 in turnovers (9-4).
— 49ers are 4-6 ATS last nine games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last four years, 49ers are 11-16-1 ATS coming off a win.

— Bengals lost three of last five games, after a 5-2 start.
— Cincinnati scored 31+ points in five of last seven games.
— Bengals are 7-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-4 otherwise.
— Bengals are 6-11 ATS last 17 games as a home favorite.
— Cincy is 8-11-2 ATS last 20 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Last ten games, Bengals scored 34 TD’s on 108 drives.
— Cincinnati is 9-4 ATS last 13 games coming off a loss.
— Five of last six Bengal games went over the total.

— 49ers won three of last four series games.
— Road team won last three meetings.
— Bengals are 0-2 in Super Bowls, both against the 49ers.

Jacksonville (2-10) @ Tennessee (8-4)
— Jaguars lost four in row, 25 of their last 27 games.
— Jacksonville has seven losses by 10+ points.
— Jaguars have six TD’s on their last 57 drives.
— Jacksonville is minus-15 in turnovers (5-20)
— Jaguars are 8-16-1 ATS in last 25 games as road underdogs.
— Last four games, Jacksonville was outscored 93-28 in first half.
— Last two games,Jaguars converted 19-39 third down plays.
— 11 of their last 12 games stayed under the total.

— Tennessee lost last two games, with nine turnovers (-9)
— Last two games, Titans lost field position by 13-16 yards.
— Last four years, Tennessee is 8-11 ATS as home favorite.
— Ten of Titans’ last 20 TD drives were 60 yards or shorter.
— Tennessee has only five TD plays longer than 18 yards.
— Tennessee is 3-5 ATS last eight AFC South home games.
— Titans are 3-6 ATS last nine post-bye games.
— Over is 6-3 in Tennessee’s last nine games.

— Titans won 37-19 at Jacksonville in Week 5.
— Jaguars outgained Tennessee 454-368, but were minus-2 in turnovers.
— Tennessee won nine of last ten series games.
— Jaguars are 1-5 ATS in last six visits to Nashville.

Baltimore (8-4) @ Cleveland (6-6)
— Last four weeks, Ravens scored 10-16-16-19 points.
— Last four weeks, Ravens have one first half touchdown.
— Ravens’ last three wins were by 3-3-6 points.
— Baltimore is 3-3 SU on road this year (under 5-1)
— Last six games, opponents are 26-88 on third down
— Last three years, Ravens are 5-2 ATS in AFC North road tilts.
— Last three years, Baltimore is 8-0 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last four Baltimore games stayed under the total.

— Cleveland is 3-5 SU in its eight seven games.
— Browns scored 7-13-10 points in their last three games.
— Mayfield is playing thru shoulder/knee issues.
— Cleveland outscored foes 51-18 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Cleveland is 2-4 in games decided by six or fewer points.
— Browns are 4-9 ATS in last thirteen AFC North home games.
— Last three games, Cleveland converted 16-56 third down plays.
— Under is 4-1 in Browns’ last five home games.
— Browns had bye LW, so they’re playing back/back games vs Ravens.

— Ravens beat Cleveland 16-10 at home two weeks ago.
— Baltimore outgained Browns 303-262, were minus-2 in turnovers.
— Ravens won 22 of last 26 series games.
— Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in last seven visits to Cleveland.

 

[Udog]

Atlanta (5-7) @ Carolina (5-7)
— Atlanta lost three of its last four games.
— Falcons led seven of last ten games at halftime.
— Atlanta is 4-2 if it allows 25 or less 25 points, 1-5 if it gives up 26+.
— Atlanta is 11-17 ATS in last 28 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last four games, Atlanta was outscored 46-7 in second half.
— Last three years, Atlanta is 9-8 ATS as road underdogs.
— Atlanta is 5-3 ATS in last eight NFC South road games.
— Under is 5-1 in last six Atlanta games.

— Panthers fired their offensive coordinator during the bye week.
— Carolina lost seven of last nine games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-7 if it allows more than 14 points.
— Panthers lost last four home games, by 3-6-18-6 points.
— Panthers are 7-12 ATS last 19 games as home favorites.
— Carolina lost field position battle in 10 of last 11 games.
— Last nine games, Panthers were outscored 128-63 in second half.
— Last three Carolina games went over the total.

— Carolina ran for 203 yards, won 19-13 in Atlanta in Week 8.
— Panthers won last two meetings, ending 1-8 series skid.
— Falcons are 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Charlotte.

Dallas (8-4) @ Washington (6-6)
— Dallas played on Thursday last two weeks, had extra prep time here.
— Cowboys lost three of their last five games SU.
— Cowboys are 4-2 SU/5-1 ATS on road this season.
— Cowboys has outscored foes 69-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Last four years, Dallas is 6-7 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last four years, Cowboys are 16-12 ATS coming off a win.
— Five of last six Dallas games stayed under the total.
— Last nine years, Dallas is 16-11 ATS in NFC East road games.

— Washington is 4-0 since its bye, winning last two 17-15/17-15.
— Washington converted 29 of last 59 third down plays.
— Washington was 1-7 ATS before their bye, are 4-0 since.
— Washington held last four opponents to 310 or less TY.
— Washington is 14-7 ATS last 21 games coming off a win.
— Washington is 4-9 ATS in last 13 NFC East home tilts.
— Six of last seven Washington games stayed under the total.
— Opponents converted 8 of last 29 third down plays.

— Washington swept Dallas LY, ending 1-8 series skid.
— Cowboys covered five of last seven visits here.
— Favorites are 5-2 ATS in last seven series games.

Seattle (4-8) @ Houston (2-12)
— Seattle lost three of its last four games.
— Seattle lost last three road games, outscored 57-35.
— Seahawks lost eight of their last 11 games overall.
— Seattle is 4-1 if it scores 28+ points, 0-7 if it doesn’t.
— Seattle is 5-9-1 ATS last 15 games as road favorites.
— Seattle converted 11 of last 37 third down plays.
— Seahawks are 10-5-1 ATS in last 16 games vs AFC teams.
— Six of Seahawks’ last eight games stayed under total.

— Rookie Mills (0-6 as starter) likely gets nod at QB here.
— Texans lost ten of their last eleven games.
— Last six games, Houston was outscored 93-37 in 1st half.
— Texans are 6-10 ATS last 16 games as home underdogs.
— Houston was +8 in turnovers in its wins (minus-8 in losses).
— Houston was held under 300 total yards in last four games.
— Under is 8-2 in Texans’ last ten games.
— Houston is 5-14 ATS last 19 games coming off a loss.

— Seahawks won three of last four series games.
— Teams split last two meetings played here.

Detroit (1-10-1) @ Denver (6-6)
— Lions scored on last play LW, getting first ’21 win.
— Detroit is 4-0 ATS since its bye week.
— Lions’ last four games were decided by total of seven points.
— Detroit lost four games it led in 4th quarter, most in NFL.
— Detroit covered its last four road games.
— Eight of last ten Detroit games stayed under the total.
— Detroit is 9-7 ATS against AFC opponents.
— Lions have four losses by 3 or fewer points.

— Denver is 5-1 if it scores 23+ points, 1-5 if it doesn’t.
— Denver gave up 16 or less points in its wins, 25.8 ppg in losses.
— Broncos are 1-3 ATS this season, coming off a loss.
— Broncos are 5-11-2 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite.
— Broncos are 14-11-1 ATS in last 26 games vs NFC teams.
— Broncos are 12-15 ATS last 27 games coming off a win.
— 10 of 12 Denver games stayed under the total.
— AFC West home favorites are 4-13 ATS outside the division.

— Broncos won last two meetings, 27-17/24-12.
— Lions lost two of last three visits to Denver.

NY Giants (4-8) @ LA Chargers (7-5)
— 3rd-string QB Fromm likely gets start here- would be his first NFL game.
— Giants split last six games, after a 1-5 start.
— Last three games, Giants scored two TD’s on 31 drives.
— Giants are 23-10 ATS last 33 games as road dogs (3-3 TY).
— Giants have been outscored 74-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Opponents have started 12 drives in Giant territory (minus-6).
— Giants are 3-9 ATS in last 12 games vs AFC opponents.
— Last six Giant games stayed under the total.

— Chargers are 3-7-1 ATS as favorites at SoFi Stadium.
— Chargers lost four of last seven games SU, after a 4-1 start.
— LA is 5-1 when it scores 27+ points, 2-4 when it does not.
— Last eight games, Chargers allowed 30.1 points/game.
— Bolts are 6-10-1 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
— Last 11 years, Chargers are 4-6 ATS as a double digit favorite.
— Over is 3-1 in Chargers’ last four home games.
— Chargers converted 18 of last 39 third down plays.

— Chargers won/covered last four meetings.
— Giants played in SoFi last year, lost 17-9 to Rams.

Buffalo (7-5) @ Tampa Bay (9-3)
— Short week for Buffalo, after Monday night loss to Patriots.
— Bills lost four of last six games, after a 4-1 start.
— Before their bye, Buffalo averaged 19.8 first half points.
— Since their bye, Buffalo averaged 7.7 first half points.
— Buffalo turned ball over 12 times in last five games (-4).
— Bills’ last four opponents converted only 19-75 on third down.
— Bills are 11-3-1 last 15 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Under is 4-2 in last six Buffalo games.

— Tampa Bay scored 30-38-30 points in winning last three games.
— Buccaneers are 7-3-1 as home favorites with Brady at QB.
— Bucs have 46 TD’s on 126 drives this season.
— Last 11 games, Tampa Bay is +11 in turnovers.
— Tampa Bay outscored last three opponents 47-7 in 2nd half.
— Tampa Bay is 22-17-3 ATS in last 42 games coming off win.
— Bucs are 7-1-3 ATS in last 11 games vs AFC squads.
— Tampa Bay is 10-11-3 ATS last 24 games coming off a win.

— Home side won last five series games.
— Bills lost last three visits to Tampa, outscored 77-26.

Chicago (4-8) @ Green Bay (9-3)
— Chicago lost five of last seven games (1-6 ATS)
— Bears are 5-9 ATS in last fourteen road games.
— Dalton is 2-2 as starter this year; Bears scored 18 ppg those games.
— Last ten games, Chicago is minus-10 in turnovers.
— Last six games, Chicago was outscored 92-39 in first half.
— Last 11 years, Bears are 1-5 ATS as a double digit underdog.
— Bears are 7-9 ATS in last 16 NFC North road games.
— Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Chicago games.

— Green Bay split last four games, after 7-1 start.
— Packers won/covered all five home games TY.
— Green Bay is 14-6 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite.
— In Rodgers’ last five starts, Green Bay converted 33-70 on third down.
— Last three games, Packer opponents converted 20-41 on third down.
— Last seven years, Packers are 2-6 ATS as a double digit favorite.
— Green Bay is 7-1-1 ATS this season, coming off a win.
— Seven of last nine Packer games stayed under the total.

— Packers won 24-14 at Soldier Field in Week 6.
— Green Bay won 23 of last 27 series games.
— Bears are 3-7 ATS in last ten visits to Lambeau.

Monday’s game
LA Rams (8-4) @ Arizona (10-2)
— Rams lost three of their last four games.
— Under McVay, LA is 6-3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Rams are minus-7 in turnovers in losses, +10 in wins.
— Last eight games, LA converted only 33-95 on 3rd down
— Rams are 8-5-1 ATS last 14 NFC West road games.
— Rams are 15-20 ATS last 35 games coming off a win.
— Rams are 10-6-1 ATS last 17 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Three of Rams’ last four games stayed under the total.

— Cardinals covered eight of their last ten games.
— Arizona is 3-4 ATS in last seven NFC West home games.
— Arizona is 4-10 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite.
— Cardinals had three TD drives shorter than 30 yards last week.
— Cardinals are +15 in turnovers in wins, minus-3 in losses.
— Redbirds are 12-9 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
— Over is 3-1 in last four Arizona games.
— Arizona has 53 plays of 20+ yards; their opponents have 29.

— Cardinals ran for 216 yards, won 37-20 at SoFi in Week 4.
— Rams won nine of last ten series games.
— LA covered its last six visits to Arizona.