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CNOTES

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Sep 26, 2005
Messages
98,153
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 25
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


CHI at DET 12:30 PM
DET +3.0
U 41.5
+500 +500

LV at DAL 04:30 PM
LV +7.5
U 50.5

+500 +500

BUF at NO 08:20 PM
BUF -6.5
U 45.0

+500 +500
 

Udog

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Jun 22, 2009
Messages
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Gridiron Angles - Week 12
Vince Akins

NFL Play ON ATS Trend:
Matchup: Carolina at Miami (1:00 p.m. ET)

-- The Miami Dolphins are 10-0 ATS since 2019 at home facing a team that is under .500 past week 4 of the season.

NFL Play AGAINST ATS Trend:
Matchup: L.A. Chargers at Denver (4:05 p.m. ET)

-- The L.A. Chargers are 0-11 ATS since October 2013 after a game in which they had at least 100 more yards of offense than their season-to-date average.

NFL Play OVER OU Trend:
Matchup: Carolina at Miami (1:00 p.m. ET)

-- The Carolina Panthers are 12-0 OU since October 2010 after a game as a home favorite in which they failed to cover by more than eight points.

NFL Play UNDER OU Trend:
Matchup: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. ET)

-- The Cincinnati Bengals are 0-10-1 OU since January 2014 as a favorite of more than three pointers when they covered by 6-29 points last game.

Super System of the Week
Matchups: Cleveland at Baltimore (8:20 p.m. ET), L.A. Chargers at Denver (4:05 p.m. ET)

-- Since 2010, teams that are above .500 in at least game 11 of the season despite having a negative point differential are 40-61 ATS. Against with Cleveland and L.A. Chargers.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
 

Udog

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Messages
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The Buccaneers are 0-5 ATS in the past five road games.
The Buccaneers are 2-5 ATS in the past seven games overall.
The Colts are 6-2 ATS in the past eight games overall.
The Colts are 4-0 ATS in the past four games underdog.
The Colts are 1-6 ATS in the past seven as a home 'dog.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five games for the Bucs.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five for the Bucs as a favorite.
The OVER is 11-1 in the past 12 for the Colts against winning teams.


The Titans are 5-2 ATS in the past seven games overall.
The Titans are 5-0 ATS in the past five as an underdog.
The Titans are 4-1 ATS in the past five road games.
The Patriots are 5-0 ATS in the past five games overall.
The Patriots are 4-0 ATS in the past four as a favorite.
The OVER is 6-1 in the past seven road games for the Titans.
The OVER is 5-2 in the past seven games for the Patriots.
The Patriots are 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings.


The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in the past five road games.
The Steelers are 34-15-3 ATS in the past 52 as a road 'dog.
The Bengals are 1-4 ATS in the past five home games.
The UNDER is 7-3 in the past 10 games for the Steelers.
The UNDER is 24-11-1 in the past 36 for the Steelers as a 'dog.
The OVER is 7-3-1 in the past 11 divisional games for the Bengals.
The Steelers are 16-4-2 ATS in the past 22 trips to Cincinnati.
The UNDER is 5-1-1 in the past seven meetings.


The road team has covered the spread in five of the last six meetings.
Philadelphia has won eight of its last nine games when facing New York.
New York has gone UNDER the point total in eight of its last nine home games.


Miami has gone UNDER the point total in four straight games.
Carolina has covered the spread in 10 of its last 12 road games.
Carolina has won eight of its last nine games when facing the AFC East.


Houston has gone OVER the point total in five of its last six home games.
New York has lost nine straight road games when facing the AFC.
New York has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games.


Jacksonville has lost 14 straight games when facing the NFC.
Jacksonville has gone UNDER the point total in eight of its last nine games.
Jacksonville has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven home games.


The Rams are 0-4 ATS in the past four games overall.
The Rams are 0-4 ATS in the past four as a favorite.
The Packers are 4-0 ATS in the past four home games.
The Packers are 5-1 ATS in the past six as an underdog.
The UNDER is 4-1-1 in the past six games for the Rams.
The UNDER is 7-1 in the past eight games for the Packers.


The Chargers are 5-0 ATS in the past five AFC West games.
The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in the past five as a road favorite.
The Broncos are 7-16 ATS in the past 23 AFC West games.
The Broncos are 2-5 ATS in the past seven games overall.
The OVER is 11-5 in the past 16 on the road for the Chargers.
The UNDER is 13-5-1 in the past 19 AFC West games for the Broncos.


San Francisco has lost five of its last six home games.
Minnesota has gone OVER the point total in six of its last seven road games.
Minnesota has covered the spread in four of its last five games.


Cleveland has gone OVER the point total in seven of its last eight games when playing as the underdog.
Baltimore has won seven of its last eight home games.
Baltimore has covered the spread in eight of its last 10 divisional games.
Baltimore has covered the spread in three straight meetings.
 

Udog

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uZ8uTns.png
 

CNOTES

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98,153
SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 28
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


ATL at JAC 01:00 PM
JAC +1.5
O 46.0
+500 +500

PIT at CIN 01:00 PM
CIN -3.5
O 43.5

+500 +500

PHI at NYG 01:00 PM
PHI -4.0
O 45.5
+500 +500

NYJ at HOU 01:00 PM
NYJ +3.0
O 44.5
+500 +500

TEN at NE 01:00 PM
TEN +7.5
U 43.0

+500 +500

CAR at MIA 01:00 PM
MIA +1.0
U 41.0

+500 +500

TB at IND 01:00 PM
IND +3.0
O 53.0
+500 +500

********************

LAC at DEN 04:05 PM
DEN +2.5
U 47.5
+500 +500

LAR at GB 04:25 PM
LAR -2.0
U 47.0

+500 +500

MIN at SF 04:25 PM
SF -3.5
U 49.0
+500 +500

***********

CLE at BAL 08:20 PM
CLE +3.0
O 47.0

+500 +500
 

CNOTES

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
98,153
[B]NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP

WLT Pct Units Rank

ATS Picks ........29-27-00 ..........51.78%............- 3.50

O/U Picks ........30-24-00 ...........55.55%...........+18.00
.
Totals..............59-51-00............53.63%...........+ 14.50

BEST BETS:

ATS Picks ........23-21-00 ..........52.27%............- 0.50

O/U Picks ........22-20-00 ..........52.38%............+0.00

Totals..............45-41-00............52.32%........... - 0.50


UPDATED ON 11/28/2021
[/B]
 

Udog

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Jun 22, 2009
Messages
6,980
Washington has lost eight of its last nine games when playing on am Monday.
Washington has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five home games.
Seattle has gone UNDER the point total in eight straight games.
The UNDER has hit in four straight meetings.
Seattle has won three of the last four meetings.




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Udog

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Jun 22, 2009
Messages
6,980
Armadillo Sports

Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

New England 36, Tennessee 13:

— Tennessee ran ball for 270 yards, but was minus-4 in turnovers.
— Titans averaged only 3.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Patriots had 10 drives; three TD’s, tried six field goals
— New England had TD drives of 37-56-21 yards.
— Patriots had 17-yard edge in field position.

— New England won seven of last eight games, scoring 33.1 ppg.
— Patriots scored 135 points in winning last three home games.
— Since 2015, New England is 30-14-3 ATS as home favorites.
— Patriots are +16 in turnovers in their wins, minus-6 in losses.
— New England has 22 takeaways in last eight games (+15)

NJ Jets 21, Houston 14:
— Jets outscored Houston 10-0 in second half.
— Jets ran ball for 157 yards, outgained Texans 266-202.
— Six of last eight Jet games went over the total.
— Jets have been outscored 68-24 in first quarter, 189-65 in first half.

— Texans in second half: 21 plays, 45 yards, 3 first downs.
— Houston is 2-8 ATS last ten games as home favorites.
— Under is 7-2 in Texans’ last nine games.
— Underdogs are 4-0-1 ATS in last five series games.

NY Giants 13, Philadelphia 7:
— Eagles turned ball over four times on 10 drives (minus-4)
— Philly averaged only 3.9 yards/pass attempt.
— Philly ran ball for 215.2 ypg last five games (98.6 ypg previous five)
— Eagles are 9-14 ATS last 23 games as a road favorite.

— Giants won their last three home games.
— Eagles outgained Giants 332-264.
— Giants are 11-6 ATS last 17 games coming off a loss.
— Last five Giant games stayed under the total.

Tampa Bay 38, Indianapolis 31:
— Fournette had 131 total yards, four TD’s.
— Tampa Bay ran ball for 142 yards (5.3 yards/carry).
— Bucs have 42 TD’s on 117 drives this season.
— Last ten games, Tampa Bay is +11 in turnovers.

— Indianapolis led 24-14 at halftime.
— Bucs in 2nd half: 30 plays, 222 yards, 24 points.
— Colts turned ball over three times in five 2nd half drives.
— Six of their last eight games went over the total.

Atlanta 21, Jacksonville 14:
— Atlanta was perfect in red zone (21 points/3 drives)
— Atlanta is 4-2 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Falcons led seven of last nine games at halftime.
— Atlanta has been outscored 176-89 in second half.

— Jacksonville converted 9-16 on 3rd down, outgained Atlanta 357-332.
— Jaguars are 7-14 ATS in last 21 home games.
— Last five games, Jacksonville was outscored 77-21 in first half.
— Jaguars lost 24 of their last 26 games.

Miami 33, Carolina 10:
— Newton was 5-21 passing, with two INT’s; not good.
— Carolina lost seven of last nine games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-6 if it allows more than 14 points.
— Last nine games, Panthers were outscored 128-63 in second half.

— Dolphins won last four games, giving up 11.5 ppg.
— Miami gave up four TD’s on opponents’ last 47 drives.
— Dolphins allowed 17 or less points in their wins.
— Dolphins are 0-7 when they give up more than 17 points.
— Miami is 22-12-3 ATS in last 36 home games.

Cincinnati 41, Pittsburgh 10:
— Steelers are 0-2-1 in last three games, giving up 41-41 points in last two.
— Bengals took opening kickoff, drove 75 yards for quick 7-0 lead.
— Bengals led 31-3 at halftime after a pick-6 with 0:23 left in half.
— Pittsburgh is 4-8 ATS in last 12 games on artificial turf.

— Cincy’s first four drives: 34 plays, 226 yards, 24 points.
— Mixon ran ball for 165 yards, two TD’s.
— Cincinnati scored 31+ points in five of last six games.
— Bengals are 7-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-3 otherwise.
— Cincinnati won three of last four series games.

Denver 28, LA Chargers 13:
— Chargers lost four of last six games, after a 4-1 start.
— LA’s first four drives: 21 plays, 64 yards, 3 first downs, no points.
— Bolts are 6-10-1 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
— Last five games, Chargers lost field position by 8+ yards four times.

— Denver is 25-7 ATS in their last 32 post-bye games
— Surtain broke game open with third quarter pick-6.
— Nine of 11 Denver games stayed under the total.
— Denver gave up 16 or less points in its wins, 26.6 ppg in losses.

San Francisco 34, Minnesota 26:
— Over is 5-0 in Vikings road games this year.
— Nwangwu ran a kickoff back 99 yards for a Viking TD.
— Minnesota has been outscored 91-22 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Minnesota has led by 7+ points in every game this year.

— 49ers won four of their last five games.
— San Francisco outgained Vikings 423-323.
— Last three games, 49ers ran ball for 156-171-208 yards.
— Niners had 10-yard advantage in field position.

Green Bay 36, LA Rams 28
— Rams were 0-3 in November, giving up 28-31-36 points.
— Stafford threw a pick-6 all three of those games.
— Last three games, Rams are minus-5 in turnovers.
— Last seven games, LA converted only 28-83 on 3rd down.

— Packers won/covered all five home games TY.
— Green Bay started three drives inside Rams’ 30-yard line.
— Pack is 11-5-2 ATS last 18 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Last three years, Green Bay is 9-0 ATS coming off a loss.

Baltimore 16, Cleveland 10:
— Browns scored 17 or fewer points in six of last seven games.
— Cleveland ran ball 17 times for only 40 yards.
— Last four games, Cleveland converted 16-56 third down plays.
— Browns are 2-6 ATS in last eight AFC North road games.

— Jackson threw INT’s on 3 straight drives in 2nd quarter.
— NFL teams had lost 52 games in row when throwing 4+ INTs.
— Baltimore’s last three wins were by 3-3-6 points.
— Ravens won 23 of last 27 series games.

— USC hired 38-year old Lincoln Riley as its new football coach; Riley went 55-10 in his time coaching the Sooners. Unclear if Oklahoma’s bolting to the tougher SEC was a factor in Riley’s decision to jump ship.
 

Udog

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Messages
6,980
Betting Recap - Week 12
Dan Dobish

Overall Notes
MD8P3Hv.png


The largest underdogs to win straight up

Raiders +7 (ML +260) at Cowboys, 36-33
Giants +4 (ML +175) vs. Eagles, 13-7
Jets +3 (ML +125) at Texans, 21-14
Broncos +2.5 (ML +130) vs. Chargers, 28-13

The largest favorites to cover

Bills (-7) at Saints, 31-6
Patriots (-7) vs. Titans, 36-13
49ers (-4) vs. Vikings, 34-26
Bengals (-3.5) vs. Steelers, 41-10

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week

The Carolina Panthers-Miami Dolphins (40.5) saw a total of 31 points scored in the first half, and OVER bettors probably thought they were on the way to easy street. However, we saw a total of just six points in the third quarter, and a missed extra point.

With 10:58 to go in the final quarter, the Dolphins saw a 46-yard field goal from Jason Sanders to make it 30-10 in favor of the home side. The Panthers elected to bench QB Cam Newton in the fourth quarter, after he completed just 5-of-21 passes for 92 yards, no touchdowns and two interceptions. The 23.8 completion percentage was the worst by an NFL player with at least 20 attempts in a single game since 2004.

It looked like the scoring was done, as we didn't have any points until 3:41 in regulation. UNDER bettors thought they were going to get a miracle result, but another Sanders field goal, this time from 33 yards out, did them in, as the Dolphins put a bow on the scoring at 33-10, hitting the OVER on a meaningless field goal in terms of the overall result.

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part II

The Cleveland Browns (+3, +140 ML)-Baltimore Ravens game was a bummer if you were a side bettors and/or a money line bettor.

Things were going tremendously well for Cleveland side bettors, as Baltimore held a 6-3 advantage at halftime. It probably should have been 6-6, too, but Chase McLaughlin missed a field goal in the first quarter for the visitors. But those who backed the Browns saw the defense pick off QB Lamar Jackson three times in the first 30 minutes.

In the third quarter, Jackson hit TE Mark Andrews for a 13-yard touchdown, opening the biggest lead of the game at 13-3, but the Browns came right back. Near the end of the third, QB Baker Mayfield hit TE David Njoku on a sliding catch into the end zone to slice the lead to 13-10.

The Browns picked off Jackson a fourth time in the second half, and the Ravens were only able to muster three points in the fourth quarter. Unfortunately for those backing the Browns, they got nothing. With 70 seconds left in regulation, Justin Tucker banged home a 49-yard field goal to make it 16-10, giving Baltimore the cover. Mayfield and the offense had a chance, but they turned it over on downs.

Going Streaking

-- The Green Bay Packers picked up a 36-28 win over the Los Angeles Rams, improving to 10-1 ATS across the past 11 games overall. They're also an impressive 5-0 SU/ATS in five games at Lambeau Field.

-- The Jacksonville Jaguars have cashed the UNDER in six consecutive games, including 3-0 in the past three at home.

-- The Denver Broncos have hit the UNDER in five straight outings, while going 9-2 overall in 11 games this season.

Total Recall

The lowest total on the board in Week 12 was the Panthers-Dolphins (40.5) game, and we told you how that one end. Badly for UNDER bettors. The second-lowest was on Thanksgiving in the Chicago Bears-Detroit Lions (41.5) battle. We had seven or fewer points scored in three of the four quarters, and just 30 total points for an easy UNDER play in the early window on Turkey Day.

The next lowest total on the board was the game between the Tennessee Titans-New England Patriots (43), and we saw 49 points in the game, mostly by the Patriots. They won the game 36-13, but OVER bettors had to wait until the final 6:09 for the last 10 points, each by the home side.

On the flip side, the highest total on the board for Week 12 was in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Indianapolis Colts (53) game. It didn't start out looking like a high-scoring battle. The Colts led just 3-0 after the first 15 minutes. However, we saw 35 total points in the fourth, as OVER bettors were quickly snapped on track. We had 31 more total points in the second half, and Indy was threatening to tie it up late, but came up short as time ran out. Still, there were 69 total points on the board, which was more than enough.

In the primetime games, the UNDER was 2-0, with the MNF game between the Seattle Seahawks-Washington Football Team (47) still pending. The UNDER is now 18-14-1 (56.3%) through 33 primetime games. In 2020, the UNDER was 28-19-1 (59.5%) in 48 primetime contests. In 2019, the UNDER went 31-17-1 (64.6%) during primetime games.

Looking Ahead to Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)


The Buccaneers (8-3) and Falcons (5-6) meet for the second time this season. Tampa Bay scored a season-high 48 points in the first meeting, a 23-point win over the Falcons as 13.5-point favorites as the OVER (52) easily cashed.

The Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS in the past six road games, while going 1-6 ATS in the past seven as a road favorite. For the Falcons, they have managed to cover just twice in the past seven NFC South Division battles, while going 1-4 ATS in the past five at home.

The OVER is a whopping 17-5 in the past 22 NFC South Division games, while going 10-1 in the past 11 meetings with the Falcons, including 5-0 in the past five in Atlanta.

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)

The Ravens (8-3) and Steelers (5-5) square off for the first of two meetings this season. Baltimore enters on a 3-0 UNDER run, averaging just 14.0 PPG while allowing 15.0 PPG in those three outings. The Ravens have covered in consecutive games for the first time this season.

The Steelers are also skidding, losing two straight, while going 1-3 ATS across the past four outings. A 41-10 beatdown from the Bengals in Cincinnati in Week 12 will have fans and bettors a bit shook. The OVER is 3-1 in the previous four outings, as Pittsburgh's defense has yielded 41, 41 and 27 in three of the past four outings, with 16 points allowed to the Detroit Lions in a Week 10 tie.

The Ravens are 5-1-1 ATS in the past seven trips to Pittsburgh, with the road team covering in seven of the past nine meetings in the series. The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four road outings for the Ravens, while the UNDER is 7-3 in the past 10 as a home 'dog for the Steelers.

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)

The 49ers (6-5) and Seahawks (3-7) meet in a key NFL West battle. San Francisco has won and covered three straight games, going for 34, 30 and 31 to get themselves into position for a playoff spot. One thing to watch closely heading into next Sunday is the health of star WR Deebo Samuel (groin). He left Sunday's game in the second half due to injury, and was unable to return.

San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in the past five games overall, but they're just 4-10 ATS in the past 14 games as a favorite. The OVER is 4-1 in Frisco's past five as a favorite, while the UNDER is 5-2 in their past seven inside the division.

The Niners haven't had a lot of success in this series, going 5-14-1 ATS in the past 20 meetings, while going just 2-7-1 ATS in the past 10 trips to the Pacific Northwest.

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET)

The Broncos (6-5) and Chiefs (7-4) square off on Sunday Night Football. The Broncos have played their way into the thick of the AFC West Division race with a 28-13 win over the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 12. Meanwhile, the Chiefs are coming off a bye, and still remain in first place by a full game over everyone else in the division.

Denver enters on a 5-0 UNDER run, and it has cashed in three of the past four against the number. Kansas City won 19-9 over Dallas before the bye, cashing as 2.5-point favorites. The Chiefs have covered consecutive games for the first time all season, while the UNDER is 5-1 across the past six games overall.

The Chiefs have dominated this series of late, going 9-2 ATS in the past 11 meetings, although the road team is 6-1 ATS across the past seven in this series. The UNDER is also 4-1-1 in the previous six meetings.
 

CNOTES

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Messages
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MONDAY, NOVEMBER 29
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


SEA at WAS 08:15 PM
WAS +2.5
U 47.0

+500 +500
 

CNOTES

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
98,153
NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP

WLT Pct Units Rank

ATS Picks ........30-27-00 ..........52.63%............+ 1.50

O/U Picks ........31-24-00 ...........55.55%...........+23.00
.
Totals..............61-51-00............53.63%...........+ 24.50

BEST BETS:

ATS Picks ........24-21-00 ..........53.33%............+ 4.50

O/U Picks ........23-20-00 ..........53.48%............+ 5.00

Totals..............47-41-00............53.40%........... + 9.50


UPDATED ON 11/29/2021
 

Udog

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Jun 22, 2009
Messages
6,980
DALLAS are 6-0 ATS (6 Units) against conference opponents in the current season.

DETROIT is 17-39 ATS (-25.9 Units) after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.

CHICAGO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) vs. poor defenses (>=5.65 YPP) over the last 2 seasons.

INDIANAPOLIS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after having won 2 out of their last 3 games in the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus poor rushing defenses - allowing >=4.5 rushing yards/carry in the second half of the season.

LA CHARGERS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in weeks 10 - 13 in the last 2 seasons.

MIAMI is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games in the 2nd half of the season in the last 2 seasons.

LAS VEGAS are 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) in home games after allowing 25 points or more in 3 straight games since 1992.

LA RAMS are 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season in the second half of the season.

BALTIMORE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5-10.5 pts. in the current season.

SEATTLE is 41-21 ATS (17.9 Units) after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games since 1992.

DENVER is 26-47 ATS (-25.7 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season.

NEW ENGLAND is 51-26 ATS (22.4 Units) vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game. since 1992.
 

Udog

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Jun 22, 2009
Messages
6,980
NFL

Week 13


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Dallas @ New Orleans
Dallas
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
New Orleans
New Orleans is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Dallas
New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas

Indianapolis @ Houston
Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Indianapolis

Arizona @ Chicago
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home

NY Giants @ Miami
NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games
NY Giants is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami
Miami
Miami is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Minnesota @ Detroit
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games on the road
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 9 games
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Philadelphia @ NY Jets
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Jets's last 8 games
NY Jets is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games

LA Chargers @ Cincinnati
LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Washington @ Las Vegas
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Las Vegas's last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Las Vegas's last 16 games

Jacksonville @ LA Rams
Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing LA Rams
LA Rams
LA Rams is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baltimore's last 8 games on the road
Baltimore is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 14-5-1 SU in its last 20 games at home
Pittsburgh is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Baltimore

San Francisco @ Seattle
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against San Francisco

Denver @ Kansas City
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games on the road
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver

New England @ Buffalo
New England
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Buffalo
Buffalo is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
Buffalo is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Udog

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Messages
6,980
Tech Trends - Week 14
Bruce Marshall

Friday, Dec. 3

C-USA CHAMPIONSHIP

WESTERN KENTUCKY at UTSA (CBSSN, 7:00 p.m.)


Hilltoppers won seven SU in a row, 6-2 vs. line and over in eight of last 12.
UTSA dropped last three vs. spread and 1-3 vs. line in last four at home.

Tech Edge: Western Kentucky and over based on recent and total trends.


PAC-12 CHAMPIONSHIP

OREGON vs. UTAH (ABC, 8:00 p.m.)


Ducks 2-1 as dog TY, 4-2 last six in role since 2019.
Oregon won 2019 Pac-12 title game over Utah in Santa Clara.
Utes won last five and eight of last nine SU, but 5-4 vs. line in those nine.
Utes over in six of last eight but two unders in row.

Tech Edge: Oregon based on team trends.


Saturday, Dec. 4

MAC CHAMPIONSHIP

KENT STATE vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS (ESPN, 12:00 p.m.)


Kent State 5-2 over run to end season.
Kent State only 2-5 vs. line in last seven on road but 5-1 as chalk.
NIU 3-2 as MAC dog and 4-2 vs. spread away from DeKalb.
NIU over in five of last six.

Tech Edge: Over based on total trends.


BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP

BAYLOR vs. OKLAHOMA STATE (ABC, 12:00 p.m.)


Bears under in last three and four of last five.
OKST 9-0-1 vs. line in last 10 and under in five of last eight

Tech Edge: Oklahoma State and under based on team and total trends.


MOUNTAIN WEST CHAMPIONSHIP

UTAH STATE vs. SAN DIEGO STATE (FOX, 3:00 p.m.)


UTST 6-0 SU and 5-1 vs. line away from Logan.
UTST 4-2 as dog TY.
Aztecs only covered spread once in last five games.
Aztecs under 6-2 run TY.

Tech Edge: Utah State and under based on team and total trends.


SUN BELT CHAMPIONSHIP

APPALACHIAN STATE at LOUISIANA (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)


Louisiana won and covered LY meeting.
Mounties 6-0 SU run since, 5-1 vs. line also.
Cajuns won 11 in row SU siince loss to Texas.
Cajuns failed to cover two of last three at home.
Napier 5-2 last seven as underdog, 7-2 under run and two straight unders vs. App State.

Tech Edge:
Louisiana and under based on team and total trends.


AAC CHAMPIONSHIP

HOUSTON at CINCINNATI (ABC, 4:00 p.m.)


Houston won 11 in row SU since lost to Texas Tech, 1-0 as dog and 4-2 vs. line on road.
Houston over in seven of last 10.
Cincy covered last tow after four-game spread skid
Cincy 4-1 vs. line at home vs. FBS teams, 7-2 last nine vs. spread at home.

Tech Edge: Cincinnati and under based on team and total trends.


SEC CHAMPIONSHIP

GEORGIA vs. ALABAMA (CBS, 4:00 p.m.)


Saban just 5-6 in last 11 vs. line.
Alabama 8-4 under TY
Dogs no wins vs. Tide since 2007 in overtime in Tuscaloosa.
UGA covered last six on road, under in six of last seven vs. FBS teams.

Tech Edge: Under and Georgia based on total and recent trends.


BIG 10 CHAMPIONSHIP

MICHIGAN vs. IOWA (FOX, 8:00 p.m.)


Iowa 4-1 last five as underdog, and over in last three games.
Michigan 10-2 vs. line and over in four of last five on road

Tech Edge:
Michigan based on recent trends.


ACC CHAMPIONSHIP

PITTSBURGH vs. WAKE FOREST (ABC, 8:00 p.m.)


Wake 11-5 vs. spread last 16 regular season games.
Wake over in six of last eight.
Pitt over in 15 of last 20.
Pitt 5-0 SU and vs. line away from Heinz Field.

Tech Edge: Over based on total trends.
 

Udog

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Jun 22, 2009
Messages
6,980
Tech Trends - Week 13
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Dec. 2

DALLAS at NEW ORLEANS (FOX, 8:20 p.m.)


Dallas lost last two SU and three of last four SU and vs. line.
Dallas under in four of last five.
Saints lost last four SU and 1-3 vs. line in last four.
Saints 4-2 as underdog this season and 9-2 in last 11 as dog.
Saints over in four of last five.

Tech Edge: Saints based on extended trends.


Sunday, Dec. 5

TAMPA BAY at ATLANTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)


Tampa seven straight overs in series.
Brady 1-5 vs line on road TY.
Atlanta under in three of last five and 0-4 SU at home.

Tech Edge: Over and Buccaneers based on total and recent trends.


L.A. CHARGERS at CINCINNATI (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

Bolts 1-5 vs. line in last six but 5-2 vs. line in last seven on road.

Tech Edge: Chargers based on team trends.


ARIZONA at CHICAGO (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

Kingsbury is 6-0 SU vs. line on road TY.
No Chicago covers last three at home, and under in eight of last 10 games.

Tech Edge: Cardinals and under based on team and total trends.


PHILADELPHIA at N.Y. JETS (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

Eagles won and covered three of last four, also over in four of last five prior to G-Men loss.
Eagles 4-3 SU vs. spread on road TY, 2-0 as favorite.
Jets over in six of last eight, two striaght unders though

Tech Edge: Eagles and over based on team and total trends.


MINNESOTA at DETROIT (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

Zimmer is 4-2 vs. spread in last six.
Detroit winless though 11 weeks, but only dropped four games vs. spread.
Lions on 8-1 under run.

Tech Edge: Under based on total trends.


INDIANAPOLIS at HOUSTON (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

Colts 6-1 SU and vs. line in last seven vs. Houston.
Indy 5-2 SU last seven and 6-3 vs. line in last nine.
Indy over in seven of last nine.
Houston 5-1 under run and 3-2 vs. line at home.

Tech Edge: Colts based on series trends.


N.Y. GIANTS at MIAMI (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

G-Men 12-3 vs. spread last 15 on road.
G-Men also 5-0-1 under run.
Miami won and covered last four after 0-4-1 spread skid, also 4-1 under in last five.

Tech Edge: Under and Giants based on total and extended trends.


SAN FRANCISCO at SEATTLE (CBS, 4:25 p.m.)

Seattle lost six of last seven SU and under in last five, 8-0-1 last nine.
Seattle won four of last five vs. San Fran.
Niners 4-1 SU away from Levi's.

Tech Edge: Under and 49ers based on total and recent trends.


BALTIMORE at PITTSBURGH (CBS, 4:25 p.m.)

Dog has covered last seven in series.
Ravens 2-3 vs. line last five and 2-3 vs. spread on road TY.
Ravens under in last three.
Steelers 1-6 vs. line at home.
Tomlin is 10-4 as underdog in last 14.

Tech Edge: Steelers based on series dog trends.


JACKSONVILLE at L.A. RAMS (FOX, 4:05 p.m.)

Jaguars covered three of last four on road.
Jaguars Under in last six and nine of last 10 games.
No covers for Rams in last three at home, and under in four of last seven.

Tech Edge: Under and Jaguars based on total and team trends.


WASHINGTON at LAS VEGAS (FOX, 4:05 p.m.)

WFT won and covered last three and under in five of last six.
WFT dropped first five as underdog prior to last three results.
Rivera late run LY covering six of last eight games.
Raiders 1-4 vs. line last five at Allegiant, 0-3 as favorite and no covers in last seven laying points.

Tech Edge: Washington and under based on team and total trends.


DENVER at KANSAS CITY (NBC, 8:20 p.m.)

Chiefs 11 game SU winning streak vs. Denver.
Broncos covered two of last three vs. Chiefs.
Broncos covered five of last eight in series when on road.
Chiefs SU wins in last four but only two covers.
Chiefs under in five of last six.
Broncos under in nine of last 11 and five of last six games in AFC West series have gone under.

Tech Edge: Under based on total trends.
 

Udog

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Messages
6,980
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 13

Thursday game
Dallas (7-4) @ New Orleans (5-6)

— Dallas coach McCarthy (COVID) will miss this game.
— Cowboys lost three of their last four games SU.
— Cowboys are 3-2 SU/4-1 ATS on road this season.
— Cowboys has outscored foes 66-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Last four years, Dallas is 5-7 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last three years, Cowboys are 9-11 ATS coming off a loss.
— Four of last five Dallas games stayed under the total.
— NFC East teams are 6-4 ATS as non-divisional favorites.

— New Orleans hasn’t named a starting QB yet (Hill/Siemian)
— Saints lost last four games, giving up 30.3 ppg.
— Last three weeks, New Orleans was outscored 60-13 in first half.
— Payton is 10-4-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Underdogs won/covered three of four New Orleans home games.
— Underdogs are 8-3 ATS in New Orleans games this season.
— Last three years, Saints are 8-2-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— New Orleans has 32 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 49.
— Six of their last eight games went over the total.

— Both teams played on Thursday last week, too.
— Home side won last five series games.
— Dallas is 1-4 ATS/SU in last five trips to Bourbon Street.
— Underdogs covered six of last eight series games.

Sunday games
Minnesota (5-6) @ Detroit (0-10-1)

— 10 of Vikings’ 11 games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Minnesota has led by 7+ points in every game this year.
— Underdogs are 8-3 ATS in Viking games this season.
— Minnesota is +5 in turnovers last six games (even first 5 games)
— Vikings are 6-0-1 SU in first half of last seven games.
— Minnesota is 11-6 ATS last 17 games as road favorites.
— Minnesota has been outscored 91-22 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Over is 5-1 in Vikings road games this year.

— Detroit is winless, but is 7-4 ATS (4-1 last five).
— Lions’ last three games were decided by total of five points.
— Detroit lost four games it led in 4th quarter, most in NFL.
— Last nine games, Lions were outscored 117-37 in first half.
— Detroit scored nine TD’s on its last 73 drives.
— Eight of last nine Detroit games stayed under the total.
— Last 11 years, Detroit is 13-24-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Lions have four losses by 3 or fewer points.
— Detroit played on Thanksgiving, had extra time to rest/prep.

— Vikings (-10) beat Detroit 19-17 in Week 5.
— Minnesota kicked 54-yard FG at gun for the win.
— Vikings won last seven series games.
— Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in last seven trips to Detroit.
— Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.

Arizona (9-2) @ Chicago (4-7)
— Check Murray’s (ankle) status; he missed last three games (21.3 ppg).
— Arizona is 3-1 ATS in last four post-bye games.
— Arizona split their last four games overall, after a 7-0 start.
— Cardinals are 8-3 ATS this season, 6-0 on road.
— Arizona is 11-8 ATS last 19 games as a road favorite.
— Cardinals are +11 in turnovers in wins, minus-3 in losses.
— Arizona has 229 points on 40 drives to red zone (5.73)
— Arizona has 48 plays of 20+ yards; their opponents have 26.

— Favorites won/covered all five Chicago home games TY.
— Bears played on Thanksgiving, had extra time to rest/prep.
— Dalton is 2-1 as starter this year; Bears scored 16.7 ppg those games.
— Bears lost five of last six games (1-5 ATS).
— Chicago’s last three games were decided by total of 7 points.
— Last five games, Chicago was outscored 71-32 in first half.
— Last six games, Bears are minus-7 in turnovers.
— Bears are 5-8 ATS last 13 games as home underdogs.
— Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Chicago games.

— Bears won five of last seven meetings.
— Teams haven’t played since 2018.
— Cardinals are 2-1-1 ATS in last four trips to Chicago.

Tampa Bay (8-3) @ Atlanta (5-6)
— Tampa Bay scared 30-38 points in winning last two games.
— Buccaneers are 3-3 SU, 1-5 ATS on road this season.
— Bucs have 42 TD’s on 117 drives this season.
— Last ten games, Tampa Bay is +11 in turnovers.
— Tampa Bay outscored last two opponents 37-7 in 2nd half.
— With Brady at QB, Tampa Bay is 5-8 ATS as a road favorite.
— Bucs are 5-8 ATS last 13 NFC South road games.
— Tampa Bay is 9-11-3 ATS last 23 games coming off a win.

— Atlanta is 0-4 SU at home this year, outscored 110-49.
— Falcons led seven of last nine games at halftime.
— Last two weeks, they allowed two TD’s on 20 drives.
— Last 11 years, Atlanta is 5-2 ATS as double digit underdogs.
— Atlanta has been outscored 176-89 in second half.
— Last five years, Atlanta is 4-6 ATS as home underdogs.
— Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in last seven NFC South home games.
— Under is 4-1 in last five Atlanta games.

— Bucs (-13) pounded Atlanta 48-25 in Week 2.
— Tampa Bay scored two defensive TD’s in that game.
— Bucs won last four series games, scoring 39.5 ppg.
— Tampa Bay is 3-5 ATS in last eight visits to Atlanta.
— Last seven series games went over.

Indianapolis (6-6) @ Houston (2-10)
— Colts won/covered six of last nine games, after an 0-3 start.
— Colts are 5-0 giving up 24 or fewer points, 1-6 if they allow 25+.
— Indy is 6-3 ATS last nine games as a road favorite.
— Indy is 6-4 ATS last ten AFC South road games.
— Last nine weeks, Colts outscored opponents 153-75 in first half.
— Last four weeks, Indy led by 18-11-17-10 points at halftime.
— Colts won field position battle seven of last eight games.
— Seven of their last nine games went over the total.

— Texans lost nine of their last ten games.
— Tyrod Taylor has career W-L record of 26-24-1 (2-3 this year)
— Last six games, Houston was outscored 79-37 in 1st half.
— Texans are 6-9 ATS last 15 games as home underdogs.
— Houston was +8 in turnovers in its wins (minus-6 in losses).
— Houston was held under 300 total yards in last three games.
— Under is 7-2 in Texans’ last nine games.
— Houston is 5-13 ATS last 18 games coming off a loss.

— Colts (-10) pounded Houston 31-3 in Week 6.
— Total yardage was only 389-353; Indy was +3 in turnovers.
— Colts won four in row, 8 of last 10 series games.
— Indy is 8-0-1 ATS in last nine visits to Houston.

Philadelphia (5-7) @ NJ Jets (3-8)
— Eagles won three of last five games (5-3 ATS last eight).
— Philly ran ball for 217.2 ypg last five games (98.6 ypg previous five games)
— Philly is 4-2 if it allows 18 or less points, 1-5 if it allows more.
— Eagles are 4-3 SU on road this year, losing to Dallas/Las Vegas/Giants.
— Eagles are 9-14 ATS last 23 games as a road favorite.
— Last four weeks, Eagles outscored opponents 74-27 in first half.
— Last four weeks, Philly converted 41-80 on third down.
— Four of last six Eagle games went over the total.

— Jets lost three of their last four games.
— Jets gave up 35.5 ppg in their last six games.
— In those six games, Jets allowed 37 plays of 20+ yards.
— Jets have been outscored 68-24 in first quarter, 189-65 in first half.
— Jets are 16-11-2 ATS last 29 games as home underdogs.
— Jets are 5-8-1 ATS last 14 games coming off a win.
— Six of last eight Jet games went over the total.
— Last six games, Jets are minus-10 in turnovers.

— Eagles are playing in Swamp Stadium for second week in row.
— Philly won/covered last five series games.
 

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