NFL NOVEMBER RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:
NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP
WLT Pct Units Rank
ATS Picks ........06-09-00 ..........40.00%............- 19.50
O/U Picks ........07-05-00 ...........58.33%............+8.00
.
Totals..............13-14-00............48.15%...........- 11.50
BEST BETS:
ATS Picks ........04-07-00 ..........36.36%............- 18.50
O/U Picks ........05-05-00 ...........50.00%...........- 2.50
Totals..............09-12-00............42.85%...........- 21.00
UPDATED ON 11/11/2021
NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP
WLT Pct Units Rank
ATS Picks ........06-09-00 ..........40.00%............- 19.50
O/U Picks ........07-05-00 ...........58.33%............+8.00
.
Totals..............13-14-00............48.15%...........- 11.50
BEST BETS:
ATS Picks ........04-07-00 ..........36.36%............- 18.50
O/U Picks ........05-05-00 ...........50.00%...........- 2.50
Totals..............09-12-00............42.85%...........- 21.00
UPDATED ON 11/11/2021
New England has lost four of its last five home games.
Hunter Henry has scored a TD in five straight games.
New Engand has gone OVER the point total in four of its last five games.
Cleveland has covered the spread in five of its last six road games.
Dallas has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games.
Dallas has won six of its last eight games.
Dallas has gone OVER the point total in 11 of its last 12 home games when facing the NFC.
Atlanta has covered the spread in four straight games when facing Dallas.
The underdog has covered the spread in three of the last four meetings.
Jacksonville has lost 12 straight road games.
Indianapolis has gone OVER the point total in five of its last six games.
Jacksonville has covered the spread in 10 of its last 12 games when facing Indianapolis.
The point total has gone OVER in three of the last four meetings.
Buffalo has won eight straight divisional games.
New York has gone OVER the point total in five straight games.
The underdog has covered the spread in seven straight meetings when playing in East Rutherford.
The point total has gone UNDER in three of the last four meetings.
New Orleans has covered the spread in four straight games after losing the game prior.
Tennessee has gone UNDER the point total in four of its last five home games.
New Orleans has won eight of its last nine games when playing as the underdog.
The road team has won three straight meetings.
Washington has lost eight straight games when playing as the underdog.
Tampa Bay has gone UNDER the point total in four of its last five games after losing the game prior.
Washington has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games.
Detroit has lost 12 straight games.
Detroit has gone UNDER the point total in five of its last six games.
Pittsburgh has failed to cover the spread in eight straight games when playing as the favorite.
Pittsburgh has gone UNDER the point total in six of its last eight games.
Minnesota has lost six straight games after going into overtime the game prior.
Los Angeles has covered the spread in five of its last six games when facing the NFC.
Minnesota has gone OVER the point total in six straight road games.
Minnesota has covered the spread in three straight games when facing Los Angeles.
Carolina has covered the spread in five straight games when facing Arizona.
Carolina has gone UNDER the point total in 10 of its last 12 games.
Arizona has won eight of its last nine games.
The point total has failed to go UNDER in five straight meetings.
The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS across the past five games overall.
The Seahawks are 3-7 ATS in the past 10 road games.
The Packers are 8-0 ATS in the past eight games overall.
The Packers are 5-1 ATS in the past six home games.
The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four road games for the Seahawks.
The UNDER is 6-0 in the past six games for the Packers.
The Packers are 6-0-1 ATS in the past seven home games vs. SEA.
Philadelphia has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games when facing the AFC.
Tim Patrick has scored a TD in three of his last four games when facing the NFC.
Denver has gone UNDER the point total in four straight games after winning the game prior.
Philadelphia has lost six of its last seven games when playing in November.
Las Vegas has gone OVER the point total in seven of its last eight home games.
Kansas City has won six of its last seven games when facing Las Vegas.
Las Vegas has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four divisional games.
Hunter Henry has scored a TD in five straight games.
New Engand has gone OVER the point total in four of its last five games.
Cleveland has covered the spread in five of its last six road games.
Dallas has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games.
Dallas has won six of its last eight games.
Dallas has gone OVER the point total in 11 of its last 12 home games when facing the NFC.
Atlanta has covered the spread in four straight games when facing Dallas.
The underdog has covered the spread in three of the last four meetings.
Jacksonville has lost 12 straight road games.
Indianapolis has gone OVER the point total in five of its last six games.
Jacksonville has covered the spread in 10 of its last 12 games when facing Indianapolis.
The point total has gone OVER in three of the last four meetings.
Buffalo has won eight straight divisional games.
New York has gone OVER the point total in five straight games.
The underdog has covered the spread in seven straight meetings when playing in East Rutherford.
The point total has gone UNDER in three of the last four meetings.
New Orleans has covered the spread in four straight games after losing the game prior.
Tennessee has gone UNDER the point total in four of its last five home games.
New Orleans has won eight of its last nine games when playing as the underdog.
The road team has won three straight meetings.
Washington has lost eight straight games when playing as the underdog.
Tampa Bay has gone UNDER the point total in four of its last five games after losing the game prior.
Washington has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games.
Detroit has lost 12 straight games.
Detroit has gone UNDER the point total in five of its last six games.
Pittsburgh has failed to cover the spread in eight straight games when playing as the favorite.
Pittsburgh has gone UNDER the point total in six of its last eight games.
Minnesota has lost six straight games after going into overtime the game prior.
Los Angeles has covered the spread in five of its last six games when facing the NFC.
Minnesota has gone OVER the point total in six straight road games.
Minnesota has covered the spread in three straight games when facing Los Angeles.
Carolina has covered the spread in five straight games when facing Arizona.
Carolina has gone UNDER the point total in 10 of its last 12 games.
Arizona has won eight of its last nine games.
The point total has failed to go UNDER in five straight meetings.
The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS across the past five games overall.
The Seahawks are 3-7 ATS in the past 10 road games.
The Packers are 8-0 ATS in the past eight games overall.
The Packers are 5-1 ATS in the past six home games.
The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four road games for the Seahawks.
The UNDER is 6-0 in the past six games for the Packers.
The Packers are 6-0-1 ATS in the past seven home games vs. SEA.
Philadelphia has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games when facing the AFC.
Tim Patrick has scored a TD in three of his last four games when facing the NFC.
Denver has gone UNDER the point total in four straight games after winning the game prior.
Philadelphia has lost six of its last seven games when playing in November.
Las Vegas has gone OVER the point total in seven of its last eight home games.
Kansas City has won six of its last seven games when facing Las Vegas.
Las Vegas has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four divisional games.
Gridiron Angles - Week 10
Vince Akins
NFL Play ON ATS Trend
Matchup: Seattle at Green Bay (4:25 p.m. ET)
-- The Packers 11-0 ATS since December 9, 2018 coming off a game where they scored less than 23 points.
NFL Play AGAINST ATS Trend
Matchup: Kansas City at Las Vegas (8:20 p.m. ET)
-- The Chiefs are 0-9 ATS since November 2007 as a favorite coming off a home game where they had less than 300 total yards.
NFL Play OVER OU Trend
Matchup: Atlanta at Dallas (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Falcons are 10-0-1 OU since November 200 as a road dog coming off a road game where they had less than 28 minutes time of possession.
NFL Play UNDER OU Trend
Matchup: Carolina at Arizona (4:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Cardinals are 0-13 OU since October 2015 as a home favorite of at least five points when they allowed more than seven points last game.
NFL Factoid of the Week
Matchup: Buffalo at N.Y. Jets (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Jets are playing as a double-digit dog for the third straight game Sunday. This is the second time this year that a team finds itself in this spot (Texans - Week 8) but just the sixth time since 2010 a team has been a double digit dog for three straight games.
Vince Akins
NFL Play ON ATS Trend
Matchup: Seattle at Green Bay (4:25 p.m. ET)
-- The Packers 11-0 ATS since December 9, 2018 coming off a game where they scored less than 23 points.
NFL Play AGAINST ATS Trend
Matchup: Kansas City at Las Vegas (8:20 p.m. ET)
-- The Chiefs are 0-9 ATS since November 2007 as a favorite coming off a home game where they had less than 300 total yards.
NFL Play OVER OU Trend
Matchup: Atlanta at Dallas (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Falcons are 10-0-1 OU since November 200 as a road dog coming off a road game where they had less than 28 minutes time of possession.
NFL Play UNDER OU Trend
Matchup: Carolina at Arizona (4:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Cardinals are 0-13 OU since October 2015 as a home favorite of at least five points when they allowed more than seven points last game.
NFL Factoid of the Week
Matchup: Buffalo at N.Y. Jets (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Jets are playing as a double-digit dog for the third straight game Sunday. This is the second time this year that a team finds itself in this spot (Texans - Week 8) but just the sixth time since 2010 a team has been a double digit dog for three straight games.
SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 14
Game Time(ET) Pick Units
JAC at IND 01:00 PM
IND -10.5
O 47.5
+500 +500
TB at WAS 01:00 PM
TB -10.0
U 50.5
+500 +500
DET at PIT 01:00 PM
PIT -6.0
U 40.5
+500 +500
BUF at NYJ 01:00 PM
BUF -13.5
U 48.5
+500 +500
ATL at DAL 01:00 PM
DAL -8.0
U 54.5
+500 +500
NO at TEN 01:00 PM
TEN -3.0
U 43.5
+500 +500
CLE at NE 01:00 PM
NE -2.5
U 45.0
+500 +500
CAR at ARI 04:05 PM
CAR +8.5
U 42.0
+500 +500
MIN at LAC 04:05 PM
MIN +3.0
O 53.5
+500 +500
SEA at GB 04:25 PM
GB -3.0
U 49.5
+500 +500
PHI at DEN 04:25 PM
DEN -1.0
U 44.5
+500 +500
Game Time(ET) Pick Units
JAC at IND 01:00 PM
IND -10.5
O 47.5
+500 +500
TB at WAS 01:00 PM
TB -10.0
U 50.5
+500 +500
DET at PIT 01:00 PM
PIT -6.0
U 40.5
+500 +500
BUF at NYJ 01:00 PM
BUF -13.5
U 48.5
+500 +500
ATL at DAL 01:00 PM
DAL -8.0
U 54.5
+500 +500
NO at TEN 01:00 PM
TEN -3.0
U 43.5
+500 +500
CLE at NE 01:00 PM
NE -2.5
U 45.0
+500 +500
CAR at ARI 04:05 PM
CAR +8.5
U 42.0
+500 +500
MIN at LAC 04:05 PM
MIN +3.0
O 53.5
+500 +500
SEA at GB 04:25 PM
GB -3.0
U 49.5
+500 +500
PHI at DEN 04:25 PM
DEN -1.0
U 44.5
+500 +500
NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP
WLT Pct Units Rank
ATS Picks ........12-15-00 ..........44.44%............- 22.50
O/U Picks ........13-11-00 ...........54.16%............+4.50
.
Totals..............25-26-00............49.01%...........- 18.00
BEST BETS:
ATS Picks ........10-13-00 ..........43.47%............- 21.50
O/U Picks ........11-11-00 ...........50.00%...........- 5.50
Totals..............21-24-00............46.66%...........- 27.00
UPDATED ON 11/14/2021
WLT Pct Units Rank
ATS Picks ........12-15-00 ..........44.44%............- 22.50
O/U Picks ........13-11-00 ...........54.16%............+4.50
.
Totals..............25-26-00............49.01%...........- 18.00
BEST BETS:
ATS Picks ........10-13-00 ..........43.47%............- 21.50
O/U Picks ........11-11-00 ...........50.00%...........- 5.50
Totals..............21-24-00............46.66%...........- 27.00
UPDATED ON 11/14/2021
The point total has gone UNDER in three of the last four meetings.
San Francisco has won three straight games when facing Los Angeles.
The underdog has covered the spread in four straight meetings.
San Francisco has lost eight of its last nine home games.
San Francisco has failed to cover the spread in four straight home games.
San Francisco has won three straight games when facing Los Angeles.
The underdog has covered the spread in four straight meetings.
San Francisco has lost eight of its last nine home games.
San Francisco has failed to cover the spread in four straight home games.
NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP
WLT Pct Units Rank
ATS Picks ........13-15-00 ..........46.42%............- 17.50
O/U Picks ........14-11-00 ...........56.00%............+9.50
.
Totals..............27-26-00............50.94%............- 8.00
BEST BETS:
ATS Picks ........11-13-00 ..........48.83%............- 16.50
O/U Picks ........12-11-00 ..........52.17%.............- 0.50
Totals..............23-24-00............48.93%...........- 17.00
UPDATED ON 11/15/2021
WLT Pct Units Rank
ATS Picks ........13-15-00 ..........46.42%............- 17.50
O/U Picks ........14-11-00 ...........56.00%............+9.50
.
Totals..............27-26-00............50.94%............- 8.00
BEST BETS:
ATS Picks ........11-13-00 ..........48.83%............- 16.50
O/U Picks ........12-11-00 ..........52.17%.............- 0.50
Totals..............23-24-00............48.93%...........- 17.00
UPDATED ON 11/15/2021
Betting Recap - Week 10
Dan Dobish
Overall Notes
The largest underdogs to win straight up
Washington +9.5 (ML +340) vs. Buccaneers, 29-19
Dolphins +8.5 (ML +325) vs. Ravens, 22-10
Panthers +7 (ML +270) at Cardinals, 34-10
49ers +3.5 (ML +170) vs. Rams, 31-10
Vikings +3.5 (ML +155) at Chargers, 27-20
The largest favorites to cover
Bills (-13.5) at Jets, 45-17
Cowboys (-7.5) vs. Falcons, 43-3
Packers (-3) vs. Seahawks, 17-0
The Biggest Disappointment of the Week
The New Orleans Saints-Tennessee Titans (42.5) game started off well enough for UNDER bettors, as the two teams combined for just three points. Things picked up a little bit, with the Titans taking a 13-6 lead into the break.
The two teams exchanged touchdowns in the third quarter, with QB Ryan Tannehill hitting TE MyCole Pruitt for a 2-yard touchdown early in the quarter to make it 20-6 in favor of the home side, while RB Mark Ingram II ripped off a 13-yard run to cut the lead to 20-12. PK Brian Johnson was doing his part, pushing the PAT wide, keeping it at 32 points.
As the fourth quarter went on, the team's traded field goals, with Tennessee hanging onto a 23-15 lead at 5:33 to go. UNDER bettors were looking good until QB Trevor Siemian threw a dart into the right corner of the end zone to WR Marquez Callaway with 1:16 left, pushing the total OVER with 44 points. Not only did it flip the total to OVER, but if you were laying Titans -3, that dried up, too. The Titans had been covering since late in the second quarter until that point.
The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part II
The Carolina Panthers-Arizona Cardinals (41.5) game ended up going OVER in the final few minutes, but not how you would think.
Panthers QB Cam Newton was used in a pair of goal-line packages in the first quarter in his return to the team. He ran in a 2-yard touchdown just inside of four minutes. After the Cardinals gifted the ball back to the Panthers, Newton again entered on the Arizona 2 at 8:39 to go, tossing a pass to WR Robby Anderson to make it 14-0.
OVER bettors were liking the way this was shaping up, although the Panthers settled for three field goals rather than touchdowns in the remainder of the first half, making it 23-0 at half.
The Cardinals could only muster a third-quarter field, while RB Chuba Hubbard punched one in for score, followed by a two-point conversion. Carolina had a surprising 31-3 lead.
RB James Conner ran one in from 11 yards out at 9:19 to go, and the OVER looked inevitable. However, there was no scoring for nearly six minutes. For whatever reason, the Panthers elected to boot a 27-yard field goal with 3:26 to go, pushing the lead to 34-10. That was all the scoring, and the OVER just came in.
Total Recall
The lowest total on the board in Week 10 was the Detroit Lions-Pittsburgh Steelers (40.5) game. QB Ben Roethlisberger was out on the reserve/COVID list, so QB Mason Rudolph got the nod against the winless Lions. WR Chase Claypool was also out due to injury, so the Pittsburgh offense would look a little different. The total opened at 43.5, and tumbled to 40 or 40.5, depending on the shop, thanks to the Big Ben news.
There were plenty of opportunities for late scores, but turnovers ended up squelching any offense from the 11:31 mark in the fourth quarter and into overtime. The teams settled for a 16-16 tie, and an UNDER result.
The second lowest total on the board was the Panthers-Cardinals (41.5), and we covered that one above. And the Saints-Titans (42.5) was the third lowest, and we also touched on that devastating finish.
On the flip side, the highest total on the board for Week 10 was in the Atlanta Falcons-Dallas Cowboys (55) game. The Pokes did their part, putting up 43 points, including 29 points in the second quarter. Atlanta managed a field goal in the first quarter, and that's all they would muster for the entire day.
In the primetime games, the UNDER was 2-1, with the MNF game between the Los Angeles Rams-San Francisco 49ers (50.5) well in the UNDER column. The UNDER is now 14-13-1 (51.9%) through 28 primetime games. In 2020, the UNDER was 28-19-1 (59.5%) in 48 primetime contests. In 2019, the UNDER went 31-17-1 (64.6%) during primetime games.
Looking Ahead to Week 11
Green Bay at Minnesota Vikings (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
The Packers (8-2) and Vikings (4-5) square off in an important NFC North Division battle at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis in Week 11. The Packers got signal caller QB Aaron Rodgers back from the reserve/COVID list, and it was a slow go most the day. Trying to dodge Seahawks defenders and snowflakes, Rodgers had difficulty after having no practiced all week. The Packers ended up pulling away for a 17-0 win and cover thanks to reserve RB AJ Dillon, who had two rushing touchdowns in place of the injured RB Aaron Jones (knee).
Green Bay is now 8-2 SU, and it has covered nine in a row. The UNDER is also 7-0 in the past seven for the Pack. The Vikings also won a big road game against the Los Angeles Chargers, 27-20. Minnesota is 3-1 ATS across the past four, while the UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven.
The underdog is 9-4 ATS across the past 13 meetings, with the UNDER also going 9-4 during the span. The UNDER is 6-1 in the past seven meetings in the Twin Cities.
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
The Texans are coming off a bye, while the Titans inched by the Saints 23-21, losing the cover late.
Houston enters this one 1-3 ATS, and it hasn't won since Week 1. The Texans are also 2-5 ATS across the past seven after covering the first two games of the season. The UNDER is 3-1 in the past four, and 5-2 across the past seven.
For Tennessee, no RB Derrick Henry (foot surgery), no problem. They lost the NFL's leading rusher prior to the Los Angeles Rams game two weeks ago. They won that one 28-16, and topped New Orleans 23-21, winning or the sixth straight outing. The Titans are also 5-1 ATS during the span, and 7-2 ATS across the past nine overall.
The Texans are 1-4 ATS in the past five trips to Nashville, while the favorite is 10-4 ATS in the past 14 meetings, and the home team is 8-2 ATS in the previous 10 in this series. The UNDER is also 4-1 in the past five in Nashville.
Miami at New York Jets (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
The Dolphins surprised the visiting Baltimore Ravens Thursday, winning 22-10. The Jets, they became the first team since 1966 to allow 45 or more points in three out of four games, falling to the Buffalo Bills 45-17.
Is there optimism in South Florida? There is if you're betting. Miami is 2-0 SU, and 2-0-1 ATS across the past three, hitting the UNDER in each of the outings. The defense has yielded a total of just 19 points in the past two.
The Dolphins have owned this series lately, going 6-0-1 ATS in the previous seven meetings, while going 4-1 ATS in the past five visits to New Jersey. The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four at the Meadowlands, while going 5-1 in the past six meetings overall in the series.
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)
The Cardinals were surprised by the visiting Panthers, 34-10, falling for the second time in the past three games. Arizona lost backup QB Colt McCoy to a pectoral injury. He was filling in for QB Kyler Murray, who missed a second straight game. WR DeAndre Hopkins was also missing his second straight outing.
The Seahawks were blanked for the first time with QB Russell Wilson under center. The last time Seattle was shut out was Sept. 18, 2011, a 24-0 loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Arizona is 6-2 ATS in the past eight games overall, while Seattle is 3-8 ATS in the past 11 games vs. NFC teams. The road team is 9-3-1 ATS in the past 13 games in this series, with the underdog 9-2-1 ATS in the past 12 meetings. Arizona is 6-2-1 ATS in the past nine meetings, while going 5-1 ATS in the past six visits to Lumen Field.
Dan Dobish
Overall Notes
The largest underdogs to win straight up
Washington +9.5 (ML +340) vs. Buccaneers, 29-19
Dolphins +8.5 (ML +325) vs. Ravens, 22-10
Panthers +7 (ML +270) at Cardinals, 34-10
49ers +3.5 (ML +170) vs. Rams, 31-10
Vikings +3.5 (ML +155) at Chargers, 27-20
The largest favorites to cover
Bills (-13.5) at Jets, 45-17
Cowboys (-7.5) vs. Falcons, 43-3
Packers (-3) vs. Seahawks, 17-0
The Biggest Disappointment of the Week
The New Orleans Saints-Tennessee Titans (42.5) game started off well enough for UNDER bettors, as the two teams combined for just three points. Things picked up a little bit, with the Titans taking a 13-6 lead into the break.
The two teams exchanged touchdowns in the third quarter, with QB Ryan Tannehill hitting TE MyCole Pruitt for a 2-yard touchdown early in the quarter to make it 20-6 in favor of the home side, while RB Mark Ingram II ripped off a 13-yard run to cut the lead to 20-12. PK Brian Johnson was doing his part, pushing the PAT wide, keeping it at 32 points.
As the fourth quarter went on, the team's traded field goals, with Tennessee hanging onto a 23-15 lead at 5:33 to go. UNDER bettors were looking good until QB Trevor Siemian threw a dart into the right corner of the end zone to WR Marquez Callaway with 1:16 left, pushing the total OVER with 44 points. Not only did it flip the total to OVER, but if you were laying Titans -3, that dried up, too. The Titans had been covering since late in the second quarter until that point.
The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part II
The Carolina Panthers-Arizona Cardinals (41.5) game ended up going OVER in the final few minutes, but not how you would think.
Panthers QB Cam Newton was used in a pair of goal-line packages in the first quarter in his return to the team. He ran in a 2-yard touchdown just inside of four minutes. After the Cardinals gifted the ball back to the Panthers, Newton again entered on the Arizona 2 at 8:39 to go, tossing a pass to WR Robby Anderson to make it 14-0.
OVER bettors were liking the way this was shaping up, although the Panthers settled for three field goals rather than touchdowns in the remainder of the first half, making it 23-0 at half.
The Cardinals could only muster a third-quarter field, while RB Chuba Hubbard punched one in for score, followed by a two-point conversion. Carolina had a surprising 31-3 lead.
RB James Conner ran one in from 11 yards out at 9:19 to go, and the OVER looked inevitable. However, there was no scoring for nearly six minutes. For whatever reason, the Panthers elected to boot a 27-yard field goal with 3:26 to go, pushing the lead to 34-10. That was all the scoring, and the OVER just came in.
Total Recall
The lowest total on the board in Week 10 was the Detroit Lions-Pittsburgh Steelers (40.5) game. QB Ben Roethlisberger was out on the reserve/COVID list, so QB Mason Rudolph got the nod against the winless Lions. WR Chase Claypool was also out due to injury, so the Pittsburgh offense would look a little different. The total opened at 43.5, and tumbled to 40 or 40.5, depending on the shop, thanks to the Big Ben news.
There were plenty of opportunities for late scores, but turnovers ended up squelching any offense from the 11:31 mark in the fourth quarter and into overtime. The teams settled for a 16-16 tie, and an UNDER result.
The second lowest total on the board was the Panthers-Cardinals (41.5), and we covered that one above. And the Saints-Titans (42.5) was the third lowest, and we also touched on that devastating finish.
On the flip side, the highest total on the board for Week 10 was in the Atlanta Falcons-Dallas Cowboys (55) game. The Pokes did their part, putting up 43 points, including 29 points in the second quarter. Atlanta managed a field goal in the first quarter, and that's all they would muster for the entire day.
In the primetime games, the UNDER was 2-1, with the MNF game between the Los Angeles Rams-San Francisco 49ers (50.5) well in the UNDER column. The UNDER is now 14-13-1 (51.9%) through 28 primetime games. In 2020, the UNDER was 28-19-1 (59.5%) in 48 primetime contests. In 2019, the UNDER went 31-17-1 (64.6%) during primetime games.
Looking Ahead to Week 11
Green Bay at Minnesota Vikings (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
The Packers (8-2) and Vikings (4-5) square off in an important NFC North Division battle at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis in Week 11. The Packers got signal caller QB Aaron Rodgers back from the reserve/COVID list, and it was a slow go most the day. Trying to dodge Seahawks defenders and snowflakes, Rodgers had difficulty after having no practiced all week. The Packers ended up pulling away for a 17-0 win and cover thanks to reserve RB AJ Dillon, who had two rushing touchdowns in place of the injured RB Aaron Jones (knee).
Green Bay is now 8-2 SU, and it has covered nine in a row. The UNDER is also 7-0 in the past seven for the Pack. The Vikings also won a big road game against the Los Angeles Chargers, 27-20. Minnesota is 3-1 ATS across the past four, while the UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven.
The underdog is 9-4 ATS across the past 13 meetings, with the UNDER also going 9-4 during the span. The UNDER is 6-1 in the past seven meetings in the Twin Cities.
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
The Texans are coming off a bye, while the Titans inched by the Saints 23-21, losing the cover late.
Houston enters this one 1-3 ATS, and it hasn't won since Week 1. The Texans are also 2-5 ATS across the past seven after covering the first two games of the season. The UNDER is 3-1 in the past four, and 5-2 across the past seven.
For Tennessee, no RB Derrick Henry (foot surgery), no problem. They lost the NFL's leading rusher prior to the Los Angeles Rams game two weeks ago. They won that one 28-16, and topped New Orleans 23-21, winning or the sixth straight outing. The Titans are also 5-1 ATS during the span, and 7-2 ATS across the past nine overall.
The Texans are 1-4 ATS in the past five trips to Nashville, while the favorite is 10-4 ATS in the past 14 meetings, and the home team is 8-2 ATS in the previous 10 in this series. The UNDER is also 4-1 in the past five in Nashville.
Miami at New York Jets (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
The Dolphins surprised the visiting Baltimore Ravens Thursday, winning 22-10. The Jets, they became the first team since 1966 to allow 45 or more points in three out of four games, falling to the Buffalo Bills 45-17.
Is there optimism in South Florida? There is if you're betting. Miami is 2-0 SU, and 2-0-1 ATS across the past three, hitting the UNDER in each of the outings. The defense has yielded a total of just 19 points in the past two.
The Dolphins have owned this series lately, going 6-0-1 ATS in the previous seven meetings, while going 4-1 ATS in the past five visits to New Jersey. The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four at the Meadowlands, while going 5-1 in the past six meetings overall in the series.
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)
The Cardinals were surprised by the visiting Panthers, 34-10, falling for the second time in the past three games. Arizona lost backup QB Colt McCoy to a pectoral injury. He was filling in for QB Kyler Murray, who missed a second straight game. WR DeAndre Hopkins was also missing his second straight outing.
The Seahawks were blanked for the first time with QB Russell Wilson under center. The last time Seattle was shut out was Sept. 18, 2011, a 24-0 loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Arizona is 6-2 ATS in the past eight games overall, while Seattle is 3-8 ATS in the past 11 games vs. NFC teams. The road team is 9-3-1 ATS in the past 13 games in this series, with the underdog 9-2-1 ATS in the past 12 meetings. Arizona is 6-2-1 ATS in the past nine meetings, while going 5-1 ATS in the past six visits to Lumen Field.
NEW ENGLAND is 76-40 ATS (32 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992.
DETROIT is 9-27 ATS (-20.7 Units) in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) vs. bad defenses (>24 PPG) over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS are 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) vs. good passing QB (>7 PYA) over the last 2 seasons.
NY JETS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after allowing 25 points or more in 3 straight games in the last 2 seasons.
Matt Rhule is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after the first month of the season (Coach of CAROLINA)
CHICAGO is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) in home games after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS are 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging >=350 yards/game in the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games after a loss in the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread in the current season.
LAS VEGAS are 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in home games after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.
ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season.
KANSAS CITY is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. poor kickoff coverage teams, allowing >= 24 yards per return in the second half of the season.
LA CHARGERS are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in weeks 10 - 13 in the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) vs. poor defenses (>=5.65 YPP) over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 9-27 ATS (-20.7 Units) in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) vs. bad defenses (>24 PPG) over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS are 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) vs. good passing QB (>7 PYA) over the last 2 seasons.
NY JETS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after allowing 25 points or more in 3 straight games in the last 2 seasons.
Matt Rhule is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after the first month of the season (Coach of CAROLINA)
CHICAGO is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) in home games after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS are 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging >=350 yards/game in the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games after a loss in the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread in the current season.
LAS VEGAS are 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in home games after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.
ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season.
KANSAS CITY is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. poor kickoff coverage teams, allowing >= 24 yards per return in the second half of the season.
LA CHARGERS are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in weeks 10 - 13 in the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) vs. poor defenses (>=5.65 YPP) over the last 2 seasons.
NFL
Week 11
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
New England @ Atlanta
New England
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Houston @ Tennessee
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Green Bay @ Minnesota
Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing at home against Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
Baltimore @ Chicago
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games on the road
Baltimore is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Chicago's last 23 games at home
Indianapolis @ Buffalo
Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo
Buffalo is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home
New Orleans @ Philadelphia
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games
New Orleans is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Philadelphia's last 19 games at home
Miami @ NY Jets
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing Miami
Washington @ Carolina
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games on the road
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games at home
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Detroit @ Cleveland
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Cleveland is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home
San Francisco @ Jacksonville
San Francisco
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Jacksonville's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games at home
Cincinnati @ Las Vegas
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Las Vegas's last 9 games at home
Las Vegas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Arizona @ Seattle
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Seattle's last 9 games at home
Dallas @ Kansas City
Dallas
Dallas is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Kansas City
Kansas City is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games at home
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh @ LA Chargers
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Chargers's last 8 games at home
NY Giants @ Tampa Bay
NY Giants
NY Giants is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing NY Giants
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Week 11
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
New England @ Atlanta
New England
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Houston @ Tennessee
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Green Bay @ Minnesota
Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing at home against Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
Baltimore @ Chicago
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games on the road
Baltimore is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Chicago's last 23 games at home
Indianapolis @ Buffalo
Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo
Buffalo is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home
New Orleans @ Philadelphia
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games
New Orleans is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Philadelphia's last 19 games at home
Miami @ NY Jets
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing Miami
Washington @ Carolina
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games on the road
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games at home
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Detroit @ Cleveland
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Cleveland is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home
San Francisco @ Jacksonville
San Francisco
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Jacksonville's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games at home
Cincinnati @ Las Vegas
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Las Vegas's last 9 games at home
Las Vegas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Arizona @ Seattle
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Seattle's last 9 games at home
Dallas @ Kansas City
Dallas
Dallas is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Kansas City
Kansas City is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games at home
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh @ LA Chargers
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Chargers's last 8 games at home
NY Giants @ Tampa Bay
NY Giants
NY Giants is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing NY Giants
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 11
Thursday game
New England (6-4) @ Atlanta (4-5)
— New England won five of last six games, scoring 34.0 ppg.
— Patriots are 4-0 SU road, winning by 19-3-3-28 points.
— Since 2016, New England is 21-15 ATS as road favorites.
— Last four games, Patriots ran ball for average of 156 yards/game.
— Patriots are +9 in turnovers in their wins, minus-6 in losses.
— New England has 14 takeaways in last six games (+7)
— Last six games, New England had 32 plays of 20+ yards (+9).
— Five of last six Patriot games went over the total.
— Atlanta is 0-3 SU at home, losing by 26-4-6 points.
— Six of Atlanta’s last seven games were decided by 7 or less points.
— Falcons led six of last seven games at halftime.
— Atlanta has been outscored 153-82 in second half.
— Last five years, Atlanta is 4-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— Falcons trailed 36-3 at halftime LW, had punt blocked for TD.
— Atlanta is 9-5 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
— Over is 4-2 in last six Atlanta games.
— New England won last six series games.
— Patriots beat Atlanta 34-28 in OT in Super Bowl five years ago.
— New England won/covered last three visits to Atlanta.
— Last time Falcons beat New England? 1998.
Sunday games
Detroit (0-8-1) @ Cleveland (5-5)
— Detroit is winless, has gone WLWLWLWW vs spread.
— Last six games, Lions were outscored 91-32 in first half.
— Detroit has six TD’s on its last 54 drives.
— Goff played thru oblique injury LW (check status)
— Detroit’s backup QB is Blough (0-5 as starter in 2019).
— Last three years, Detroit is 9-9-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Six of last seven Detroit games stayed under the total.
— Lions lost twice on last-second FG’s, missed 48-yarder in OT LW.
— Cleveland lost four of its last six games.
— Browns scored 17 or fewer points in four of last five games.
— Mayfield has shoulder/knee issues (check status)
— Cleveland outscored foes 42-15 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Cleveland is 1-3 in games decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Browns are 5-7 ATS last 12 games as home favorite.
— Last three games, Cleveland converted 7-30 third down plays.
— Over is 4-2 in Browns’ last six games.
— Browns won last three series games, scoring 35.7 ppg.
— Lions lost 31-17/31-10 in last two visits to Cleveland.
— Last time Detroit beat the Browns? 2001.
San Francisco (4-5) @ Jacksonville (2-7)
— Short week, long trip for 49ers after Monday night’s win.
— 49ers lost five of their last seven games.
— 49ers are 1-5 SU when they score fewer than 31 points.
— Three of their four wins came on road (Lions/Eagles/Bears)
— Thru nine games, 49ers are minus-8 in turnovers.
— Last two years, 49ers are 4-2 ATS as road favorites.
— Last five years, 49ers are 16-14 ATS coming off a win.
— Three of 49ers’ last four games went over the total.
— Jaguars split last four games, after an 0-20 skid.
— Jacksonville already has five losses by 10+ points.
— Jaguars have three TD’s on their last 31 drives.
— Jacksonville is minus-10 in turnovers (4-14)
— Last three years, Jaguars are 6-10 ATS as home underdogs.
— Last three years, Jacksonville is 15-20 ATS overall as dogs.
— Jaguars converted 33 of 109 third down plays (30.3%).
— Eight of their last nine games stayed under the total.
— 49ers won last three series games, by 11-32-17 points.
— Teams split last two meetings played here.
Indianapolis (5-5) @ Buffalo (6-3)
— Colts won/covered five of last seven games, after an 0-3 start.
— Indy is 10-7-1 ATS last 18 games as a road underdog.
— Last seven weeks, Colts outscored opponents 105-54 in first half.
— Last three games, Colts were outscored 48-37 in second half.
— Colts have 20 takeaways in last nine games (+11)
— Colts blocked punt for a TD last week.
— Indy split four road games TY, losing 25-16 at Titans, 31-25 at Ravens.
— Five of their last seven games went over the total.
— Bills split last four games, after a 4-1 start.
— All six of their wins are by 15+ points.
— Buffalo has given up only 13 TD’s on 93 drives.
— Bills are 7-2 ATS last nine games as home favorites.
— Last seven games, Bills are +14 in turnovers.
— Buffalo outscored opponents 146-65 in first half.
— Under is 3-1 in Buffalo hone games this season.
— Bills’ last three opponents converted 9-37 on third down.
— Buffalo won three of last four games with the Colts.
— Colts lost last five visits to Buffalo (1-4 ATS)
Miami (3-7) @ NJ Jets (2-7)
— Dolphins had extra prep time; they won last Thursday.
— Miami won last two games, giving up one TD on 25 drives.
— Dolphins allowed 16-9-10 points in their wins.
— Miami has given up 53 plays of 20+ yards, has only 35 themselves.
— Last five years, Miami is 1-3 ATS as road favorites.
— Last three Dolphin games stayed under the total.
— Miami hasn’t allowed a first half TD in its last three games.
— Last three years, Dolphins are 5-3 ATS in AFC East road games.
— Jets have used four QB’s last four games; who starts here?
— Jets gave up 54-31-45-45 points in last four games.
— In those four games, Jets allowed 30 plays of 20+ yards.
— Jets have been outscored 61-14 in first quarter, 168-47 in first half.
— Last three years, Jets are 10-7 ATS as home underdogs.
— Last four years, Jets are 13-25 ATS coming off a loss.
— Last six Jet games went over the total.
— Last four years, Jets are 2-9 ATS in AFC East home games.
— Miami won three in row, eight of last ten series games.
— Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in last five road series games.
— Six of last seven series stayed under the total.
Washington (3-6) @ Carolina (5-5)
— Washington lost four of last five games- they upset Tampa Bay LW.
— Washington converted 11-19 on third down in last week’s win.
— Washington has covered twice in nine games this year.
— Last four games, Washington was outscored 51-23 in second half.
— Washington opponents converted 69-125 on third down (55.2%).
— Washington is 1-3 ATS on road this season, 0-3 as a road dog.
— Last four Washington games stayed under the total.
— NFC East road teams are 11-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Carolina lost five of last seven games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-5 if it allows more than 14 points.
— Panthers threw for 6 or fewer yards/pass attempt in last 7 games.
— Panthers are 4-7 ATS last 11 games as home favorites.
— Carolina outscored opponents 117-66 in first half.
— Last seven games, Panthers were outscored 103-56 in second half.
— Under is 7-3 in Carolina games this season.
— NFC South favorites are 6-11 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Ron Rivera visits his old team (HC 2011-19) here.
— Carolina won six of last eight series games.
— Washington is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Charlotte.
Baltimore (6-3) @ Chicago (3-6)
— Ravens had extra prep time since their Thursday game LW.
— Ravens split four road games SU; underdogs covered all four.
— Baltimore is 0-3 ATS this season as a road favorite.
— Baltimore gave up TD on defense/special teams last two weeks.
— Ravens trailed at halftime in four of last five games.
— Last four games, opponents are 18-65 on third down
— Baltimore trailed at halftime in four of last five games.
— Ravens are 8-16-2 ATS in last 26 games vs NFC opponents.
— Bears lost their last four games (1-3 ATS)
— Chicago allowed 30.7 ppg in losses, 17 or less in wins.
— Bears gave up 33.3 ppg in their last three games.
— Last six games, Bears ran ball for 154.3 yards/game.
— Chicago outgained Steelers 414-280 last game, a 29-27 loss.
— Bears are 5-7 ATS last 12 games as home dogs, 0-2 this year.
— Over is 2-0-1 in their last three games.
— Chicago is 0-7 ATS in last seven post-bye games.
— Chicago won last two meetings, both by a FG.
— Ravens lost 23-20/10-6 in last two visits to the Windy City.
— Favorites are 3-1-1 ATS last five series games.
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 11
Thursday game
New England (6-4) @ Atlanta (4-5)
— New England won five of last six games, scoring 34.0 ppg.
— Patriots are 4-0 SU road, winning by 19-3-3-28 points.
— Since 2016, New England is 21-15 ATS as road favorites.
— Last four games, Patriots ran ball for average of 156 yards/game.
— Patriots are +9 in turnovers in their wins, minus-6 in losses.
— New England has 14 takeaways in last six games (+7)
— Last six games, New England had 32 plays of 20+ yards (+9).
— Five of last six Patriot games went over the total.
— Atlanta is 0-3 SU at home, losing by 26-4-6 points.
— Six of Atlanta’s last seven games were decided by 7 or less points.
— Falcons led six of last seven games at halftime.
— Atlanta has been outscored 153-82 in second half.
— Last five years, Atlanta is 4-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— Falcons trailed 36-3 at halftime LW, had punt blocked for TD.
— Atlanta is 9-5 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
— Over is 4-2 in last six Atlanta games.
— New England won last six series games.
— Patriots beat Atlanta 34-28 in OT in Super Bowl five years ago.
— New England won/covered last three visits to Atlanta.
— Last time Falcons beat New England? 1998.
Sunday games
Detroit (0-8-1) @ Cleveland (5-5)
— Detroit is winless, has gone WLWLWLWW vs spread.
— Last six games, Lions were outscored 91-32 in first half.
— Detroit has six TD’s on its last 54 drives.
— Goff played thru oblique injury LW (check status)
— Detroit’s backup QB is Blough (0-5 as starter in 2019).
— Last three years, Detroit is 9-9-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Six of last seven Detroit games stayed under the total.
— Lions lost twice on last-second FG’s, missed 48-yarder in OT LW.
— Cleveland lost four of its last six games.
— Browns scored 17 or fewer points in four of last five games.
— Mayfield has shoulder/knee issues (check status)
— Cleveland outscored foes 42-15 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Cleveland is 1-3 in games decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Browns are 5-7 ATS last 12 games as home favorite.
— Last three games, Cleveland converted 7-30 third down plays.
— Over is 4-2 in Browns’ last six games.
— Browns won last three series games, scoring 35.7 ppg.
— Lions lost 31-17/31-10 in last two visits to Cleveland.
— Last time Detroit beat the Browns? 2001.
San Francisco (4-5) @ Jacksonville (2-7)
— Short week, long trip for 49ers after Monday night’s win.
— 49ers lost five of their last seven games.
— 49ers are 1-5 SU when they score fewer than 31 points.
— Three of their four wins came on road (Lions/Eagles/Bears)
— Thru nine games, 49ers are minus-8 in turnovers.
— Last two years, 49ers are 4-2 ATS as road favorites.
— Last five years, 49ers are 16-14 ATS coming off a win.
— Three of 49ers’ last four games went over the total.
— Jaguars split last four games, after an 0-20 skid.
— Jacksonville already has five losses by 10+ points.
— Jaguars have three TD’s on their last 31 drives.
— Jacksonville is minus-10 in turnovers (4-14)
— Last three years, Jaguars are 6-10 ATS as home underdogs.
— Last three years, Jacksonville is 15-20 ATS overall as dogs.
— Jaguars converted 33 of 109 third down plays (30.3%).
— Eight of their last nine games stayed under the total.
— 49ers won last three series games, by 11-32-17 points.
— Teams split last two meetings played here.
Indianapolis (5-5) @ Buffalo (6-3)
— Colts won/covered five of last seven games, after an 0-3 start.
— Indy is 10-7-1 ATS last 18 games as a road underdog.
— Last seven weeks, Colts outscored opponents 105-54 in first half.
— Last three games, Colts were outscored 48-37 in second half.
— Colts have 20 takeaways in last nine games (+11)
— Colts blocked punt for a TD last week.
— Indy split four road games TY, losing 25-16 at Titans, 31-25 at Ravens.
— Five of their last seven games went over the total.
— Bills split last four games, after a 4-1 start.
— All six of their wins are by 15+ points.
— Buffalo has given up only 13 TD’s on 93 drives.
— Bills are 7-2 ATS last nine games as home favorites.
— Last seven games, Bills are +14 in turnovers.
— Buffalo outscored opponents 146-65 in first half.
— Under is 3-1 in Buffalo hone games this season.
— Bills’ last three opponents converted 9-37 on third down.
— Buffalo won three of last four games with the Colts.
— Colts lost last five visits to Buffalo (1-4 ATS)
Miami (3-7) @ NJ Jets (2-7)
— Dolphins had extra prep time; they won last Thursday.
— Miami won last two games, giving up one TD on 25 drives.
— Dolphins allowed 16-9-10 points in their wins.
— Miami has given up 53 plays of 20+ yards, has only 35 themselves.
— Last five years, Miami is 1-3 ATS as road favorites.
— Last three Dolphin games stayed under the total.
— Miami hasn’t allowed a first half TD in its last three games.
— Last three years, Dolphins are 5-3 ATS in AFC East road games.
— Jets have used four QB’s last four games; who starts here?
— Jets gave up 54-31-45-45 points in last four games.
— In those four games, Jets allowed 30 plays of 20+ yards.
— Jets have been outscored 61-14 in first quarter, 168-47 in first half.
— Last three years, Jets are 10-7 ATS as home underdogs.
— Last four years, Jets are 13-25 ATS coming off a loss.
— Last six Jet games went over the total.
— Last four years, Jets are 2-9 ATS in AFC East home games.
— Miami won three in row, eight of last ten series games.
— Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in last five road series games.
— Six of last seven series stayed under the total.
Washington (3-6) @ Carolina (5-5)
— Washington lost four of last five games- they upset Tampa Bay LW.
— Washington converted 11-19 on third down in last week’s win.
— Washington has covered twice in nine games this year.
— Last four games, Washington was outscored 51-23 in second half.
— Washington opponents converted 69-125 on third down (55.2%).
— Washington is 1-3 ATS on road this season, 0-3 as a road dog.
— Last four Washington games stayed under the total.
— NFC East road teams are 11-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Carolina lost five of last seven games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-5 if it allows more than 14 points.
— Panthers threw for 6 or fewer yards/pass attempt in last 7 games.
— Panthers are 4-7 ATS last 11 games as home favorites.
— Carolina outscored opponents 117-66 in first half.
— Last seven games, Panthers were outscored 103-56 in second half.
— Under is 7-3 in Carolina games this season.
— NFC South favorites are 6-11 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Ron Rivera visits his old team (HC 2011-19) here.
— Carolina won six of last eight series games.
— Washington is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Charlotte.
Baltimore (6-3) @ Chicago (3-6)
— Ravens had extra prep time since their Thursday game LW.
— Ravens split four road games SU; underdogs covered all four.
— Baltimore is 0-3 ATS this season as a road favorite.
— Baltimore gave up TD on defense/special teams last two weeks.
— Ravens trailed at halftime in four of last five games.
— Last four games, opponents are 18-65 on third down
— Baltimore trailed at halftime in four of last five games.
— Ravens are 8-16-2 ATS in last 26 games vs NFC opponents.
— Bears lost their last four games (1-3 ATS)
— Chicago allowed 30.7 ppg in losses, 17 or less in wins.
— Bears gave up 33.3 ppg in their last three games.
— Last six games, Bears ran ball for 154.3 yards/game.
— Chicago outgained Steelers 414-280 last game, a 29-27 loss.
— Bears are 5-7 ATS last 12 games as home dogs, 0-2 this year.
— Over is 2-0-1 in their last three games.
— Chicago is 0-7 ATS in last seven post-bye games.
— Chicago won last two meetings, both by a FG.
— Ravens lost 23-20/10-6 in last two visits to the Windy City.
— Favorites are 3-1-1 ATS last five series games.
New Orleans (5-4) @ Philadelphia (4-6)
— Saints lost last couple games, by two points each.
— Last two weeks, New Orleans was outscored 23-6 in first half.
— Saints are 14-3-1 ATS last 18 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— New Orleans held eight of nine opponents under 100 yards rushing.
— Underdogs won six of their nine games SU (8-1 ATS).
— Last three years, Saints are 8-1-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— New Orleans has 25 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 39.
— Five of their last six games went over the total.
— Philly is 4-1 if it allows 18 or less points, 0-5 if it allows more.
— Eagles are 0-4 SU at home this year, losing by 6-12-6-3 points.
— Eagles are 7-13 ATS last 20 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Philly had 236-176-214 YR last three games (98.6 ypg previous five games)
— Last three weeks, Eagles outscored opponents 47-17 in first half.
— Last three weeks, Philly converted 25-48 on third down.
— Three of last four Eagle games went over the total.
— NFC East teams are 7-10 ATS in non-divisional home games.
— Saints won six of last nine series games.
— Eagles ran for 246 yards in LY’s 24-21 home win over NO.
— Saints are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Philadelphia.
Houston (1-8) @ Tennessee (8-2)
— Texans lost last eight games, giving up 28.6 ppg.
— Last four games, Houston was outscored 68-11 in 1st half.
— Houston was outscored 119-17 in last three road games.
— Last two years, Texans are 3-7 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last six games, Texans are minus-7 in turnovers (8-15)
— Houston didn’t score a TD in three of last four games.
— Under is 5-2 in Texans’ last seven games.
— Last three years, Houston is 0-3 ATS in post-bye games.
— Tennessee won six in row, eight of last nine games (7-2 ATS)
— First six weeks, Titans ran for 165 yards/game; last four, 82.8 ypg.
— Tennessee has nine takeaways in last four games (+5).
— Only two of Titans’ last ten TD drives were longer than 60 yards.
— Last four years, Tennessee is 8-10 ATS as home favorites.
— Titans are 5-2 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Tennessee has only four TD plays longer than 18 yards.
— Over is 5-2 in Tennessee’s last seven games.
— Tennessee won four of last five series games.
— Last three meetings were decided by 6-3-3 points.
— Favorites are 10-4 ATS in last 14 series games.
Green Bay (8-2) @ Minnesota (3-5)
— Green Bay won eight of last nine games (8-0-1 ATS)
— Last 2 weeks, Packers allowed one TD on 19 drives, vs KC/Seattle.
— Green Bay is 4-2-1 ATS last seven games as a road favorite.
— In Rodgers’ last 3 starts, Green Bay converted 19-40 on third down.
— Pack is 10-4-2 ATS last 16 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Packers held four of last five foes under 6.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Green Bay is 5-2 ATS in last seven NFC North road tilts.
— Last seven Packer games stayed under the total.
— Eight of Vikings’ nine games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Underdogs are 7-2 ATS in Viking games this season.
— Minnesota is +6 in turnovers last four games (even first 5 games)
— Vikings led their last five games at halftime.
— Minnesota is 11-13 ATS last 24 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Minnesota has been outscored 77-19 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Five of Vikings’ last seven games stayed under the total.
— Since their bye, Vikings won field position, by 8-7-10 yards.
— Green Bay is 3-1-1 SU in last five series games.
— Packers are 5-3 in last eight visits here, winning 43-34/23-10 in last two.
— Underdogs covered four of last five series games.
Cincinnati (5-4) @ Las Vegas (5-4)
— Cincinnati lost last two games, giving up 34-41 points.
— Bengals are 5-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-3 otherwise.
— Cincinnati scored 31+ points in three of last four games.
— Bengals are 7-10-2 ATS last 19 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last two games, Cincy was outscored 37-20 in 2nd half.
— Bengals are 5-8 ATS in last thirteen road games.
— Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in last five post-bye games.
— Last three Bengal games went over the total.
— Since moving to Las Vegas, over is 10-2-1 in Raider home games.
— Since moving to Las Vegas, Raiders are 5-8 SU at home (6-7 ATS)
— Raiders lost last two games, outscored 37-10 in second half.
— Raiders gave up 422 passing yards in LW’s loss to Chiefs.
— Las Vegas is 12-16-1 ATS in last 29 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Raiders converted 12 of last 41 third down plays.
— Las Vegas allowed 20+ points in eight of nine games this year.
— Three of their last four games went over the total.
— Bengals won three of last four series games.
— Bengals were 1-3 in last four trips to Oakland, losing by 7-3-3 points.
Arizona (8-2) @ Seattle (3-6)
— Check Murray’s (ankle) status; backup QB’s struggled LW.
— Arizona lost two of last three games, after a 7-0 start.
— Cardinals are 7-3 ATS this season.
— Arizona is 11-8 ATS last 19 games as a road favorite.
— Cardinals are +11 in turnovers in wins, minus-3 in losses.
— Arizona has 209 points on 36 drives to red zone (5.81)
— Arizona has 43 plays of 20+ yards; their opponents have 23.
— Over is 3-0 in last three Arizona road games.
— Seahawks were shut out last week, for first time in 10 years.
— Seahawks lost six of their last eight games overall.
— Seattle is 3-1 if it scores 28+ points, 0-5 if it doesn’t.
— Last 11 years, Seattle is 11-4 ATS home underdog.
— Seattle was outgained 393-208 LW; game was 3-0 in 4th quarter.
— Seattle has 38 plays of 20+ yards; they’ve given up 29.
— Last four games, opponents converted 23-79 on third down.
— Four of Seahawks’ last five games stayed under total.
— Seahawks won five of last seven series games.
— Cardinals are 6-2 ATS in last eight visits to Seattle.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.
Dallas (7-2) @ Kansas City (6-4)
— Cowboys won seven of their last eight games.
— Dallas is 8-1 ATS; they gave up 31-30 points in losses.
— Cowboys blocked punt for TD last week, led Falcons 36-3 at half.
— Last six years, Cowboys are 13-9-1 ATS vs AFC teams.
— Dallas is 5-9 ATS last 14 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Cowboys are 4-1 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Last three Dallas games stayed under the total.
— NFC East teams are 8-4 ATS as non-divisional road dogs.
— Chiefs allowed only 12.7 ppg in last three games.
— Kansas City is 4-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 2-4 if they allow more.
— Chiefs scored five TD’s LW; they had total of three in previous three games.
— Chiefs turned ball over 20 times in last nine games (-10)
— Kansas City is 16-6-1 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or less.
— KC has 38 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 45.
— Four of Chiefs’ last five games stayed under the total.
— Chiefs are 12-16-1 ATS last 29 games vs NFC teams.
— Dallas won three of last four series games.
— Cowboys lost 17-16 in last visit to Arrowhead, in 2013.
Pittsburgh (5-3-1) @ LA Chargers (5-4)
— Check status for Roethlisberger (COVID); he sat out LW.
— Steelers are 4-0-1 SU in last five games, giving up 18.4 ppg.
— Pitt was held under 300 TY in last two games, by Bears/Lions.
— Last eight games, Steelers were outscored 107-72 in second half.
— Pittsburgh is 3-7 ATS in last ten games on artificial turf.
— Last five years, Steelers are 12-4 ATS as road underdogs.
— Steelers gave up 229 RY to Lions, were minus-3 in turnovers; tie isn’t so bad.
— Under is 6-2-1 in Steeler games this year.
— Chargers lost three of last four games, after a 4-1 start.
— Seven of their nine games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Last five games, Chargers allowed 167.2 rushing yards/game.
— Last four years, LA is 5-16-1 ATS as home favorites.
— Bolts are 8-13-1 ATS last 22 games, coming off a loss.
— Chargers are 2-3 SU at home, beating Raiders/Browns.
— Under is 6-3 in Charger games this year.
— AFC West non-divisional road favorites are 4-2 ATS.
— Underdogs won last four series games SU.
— Steelers won seven of last ten meetings.
— Pittsburgh won four of last five road series games.
Monday’s game
NY Giants (3-6) @ Tampa Bay (6-2)
— Giants won two of last three games SU (3-0 ATS)
— Big Blue is 23-8 ATS last 31 games as road underdog (3-1 TY).
— Since 2016, Giants are 6-3 ATS as double digit underdogs.
— Giants have been outscored 64-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Opponents have started ten drives in Giant territory (minus-7).
— Giants are 3-4 ATS in last seven post-bye games.
— Giants are 8-7-1 ATS last 16 games coming off a win.
— NFC East teams are 8-4 ATS as non-divisional road dogs.
— Bucs lost last two games, giving up 36-29 points.
— Buccaneers have 34 TD’s on 95 drives this season.
— Last eight games, Tampa Bay is +6 in turnovers.
— Washington converted 11-19 on 3rd down vs Bucs last week.
— Previous four games, opponents converted 14-51 on third down.
— Over is 5-3-1 in Tampa Bay games this season.
— With Brady at QB, Tampa Bay is 6-3-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Buccaneers won last three home games by a combined 131-45.
— Giants won seven of last nine series games (2-2 last four)
— Last four meetings were all decided by 3 or fewer points.
— Big Blue won four of last five visits to Tampa.
— Saints lost last couple games, by two points each.
— Last two weeks, New Orleans was outscored 23-6 in first half.
— Saints are 14-3-1 ATS last 18 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— New Orleans held eight of nine opponents under 100 yards rushing.
— Underdogs won six of their nine games SU (8-1 ATS).
— Last three years, Saints are 8-1-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— New Orleans has 25 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 39.
— Five of their last six games went over the total.
— Philly is 4-1 if it allows 18 or less points, 0-5 if it allows more.
— Eagles are 0-4 SU at home this year, losing by 6-12-6-3 points.
— Eagles are 7-13 ATS last 20 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Philly had 236-176-214 YR last three games (98.6 ypg previous five games)
— Last three weeks, Eagles outscored opponents 47-17 in first half.
— Last three weeks, Philly converted 25-48 on third down.
— Three of last four Eagle games went over the total.
— NFC East teams are 7-10 ATS in non-divisional home games.
— Saints won six of last nine series games.
— Eagles ran for 246 yards in LY’s 24-21 home win over NO.
— Saints are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Philadelphia.
Houston (1-8) @ Tennessee (8-2)
— Texans lost last eight games, giving up 28.6 ppg.
— Last four games, Houston was outscored 68-11 in 1st half.
— Houston was outscored 119-17 in last three road games.
— Last two years, Texans are 3-7 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last six games, Texans are minus-7 in turnovers (8-15)
— Houston didn’t score a TD in three of last four games.
— Under is 5-2 in Texans’ last seven games.
— Last three years, Houston is 0-3 ATS in post-bye games.
— Tennessee won six in row, eight of last nine games (7-2 ATS)
— First six weeks, Titans ran for 165 yards/game; last four, 82.8 ypg.
— Tennessee has nine takeaways in last four games (+5).
— Only two of Titans’ last ten TD drives were longer than 60 yards.
— Last four years, Tennessee is 8-10 ATS as home favorites.
— Titans are 5-2 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Tennessee has only four TD plays longer than 18 yards.
— Over is 5-2 in Tennessee’s last seven games.
— Tennessee won four of last five series games.
— Last three meetings were decided by 6-3-3 points.
— Favorites are 10-4 ATS in last 14 series games.
Green Bay (8-2) @ Minnesota (3-5)
— Green Bay won eight of last nine games (8-0-1 ATS)
— Last 2 weeks, Packers allowed one TD on 19 drives, vs KC/Seattle.
— Green Bay is 4-2-1 ATS last seven games as a road favorite.
— In Rodgers’ last 3 starts, Green Bay converted 19-40 on third down.
— Pack is 10-4-2 ATS last 16 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Packers held four of last five foes under 6.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Green Bay is 5-2 ATS in last seven NFC North road tilts.
— Last seven Packer games stayed under the total.
— Eight of Vikings’ nine games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Underdogs are 7-2 ATS in Viking games this season.
— Minnesota is +6 in turnovers last four games (even first 5 games)
— Vikings led their last five games at halftime.
— Minnesota is 11-13 ATS last 24 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Minnesota has been outscored 77-19 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Five of Vikings’ last seven games stayed under the total.
— Since their bye, Vikings won field position, by 8-7-10 yards.
— Green Bay is 3-1-1 SU in last five series games.
— Packers are 5-3 in last eight visits here, winning 43-34/23-10 in last two.
— Underdogs covered four of last five series games.
Cincinnati (5-4) @ Las Vegas (5-4)
— Cincinnati lost last two games, giving up 34-41 points.
— Bengals are 5-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-3 otherwise.
— Cincinnati scored 31+ points in three of last four games.
— Bengals are 7-10-2 ATS last 19 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last two games, Cincy was outscored 37-20 in 2nd half.
— Bengals are 5-8 ATS in last thirteen road games.
— Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in last five post-bye games.
— Last three Bengal games went over the total.
— Since moving to Las Vegas, over is 10-2-1 in Raider home games.
— Since moving to Las Vegas, Raiders are 5-8 SU at home (6-7 ATS)
— Raiders lost last two games, outscored 37-10 in second half.
— Raiders gave up 422 passing yards in LW’s loss to Chiefs.
— Las Vegas is 12-16-1 ATS in last 29 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Raiders converted 12 of last 41 third down plays.
— Las Vegas allowed 20+ points in eight of nine games this year.
— Three of their last four games went over the total.
— Bengals won three of last four series games.
— Bengals were 1-3 in last four trips to Oakland, losing by 7-3-3 points.
Arizona (8-2) @ Seattle (3-6)
— Check Murray’s (ankle) status; backup QB’s struggled LW.
— Arizona lost two of last three games, after a 7-0 start.
— Cardinals are 7-3 ATS this season.
— Arizona is 11-8 ATS last 19 games as a road favorite.
— Cardinals are +11 in turnovers in wins, minus-3 in losses.
— Arizona has 209 points on 36 drives to red zone (5.81)
— Arizona has 43 plays of 20+ yards; their opponents have 23.
— Over is 3-0 in last three Arizona road games.
— Seahawks were shut out last week, for first time in 10 years.
— Seahawks lost six of their last eight games overall.
— Seattle is 3-1 if it scores 28+ points, 0-5 if it doesn’t.
— Last 11 years, Seattle is 11-4 ATS home underdog.
— Seattle was outgained 393-208 LW; game was 3-0 in 4th quarter.
— Seattle has 38 plays of 20+ yards; they’ve given up 29.
— Last four games, opponents converted 23-79 on third down.
— Four of Seahawks’ last five games stayed under total.
— Seahawks won five of last seven series games.
— Cardinals are 6-2 ATS in last eight visits to Seattle.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.
Dallas (7-2) @ Kansas City (6-4)
— Cowboys won seven of their last eight games.
— Dallas is 8-1 ATS; they gave up 31-30 points in losses.
— Cowboys blocked punt for TD last week, led Falcons 36-3 at half.
— Last six years, Cowboys are 13-9-1 ATS vs AFC teams.
— Dallas is 5-9 ATS last 14 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Cowboys are 4-1 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Last three Dallas games stayed under the total.
— NFC East teams are 8-4 ATS as non-divisional road dogs.
— Chiefs allowed only 12.7 ppg in last three games.
— Kansas City is 4-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 2-4 if they allow more.
— Chiefs scored five TD’s LW; they had total of three in previous three games.
— Chiefs turned ball over 20 times in last nine games (-10)
— Kansas City is 16-6-1 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or less.
— KC has 38 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 45.
— Four of Chiefs’ last five games stayed under the total.
— Chiefs are 12-16-1 ATS last 29 games vs NFC teams.
— Dallas won three of last four series games.
— Cowboys lost 17-16 in last visit to Arrowhead, in 2013.
Pittsburgh (5-3-1) @ LA Chargers (5-4)
— Check status for Roethlisberger (COVID); he sat out LW.
— Steelers are 4-0-1 SU in last five games, giving up 18.4 ppg.
— Pitt was held under 300 TY in last two games, by Bears/Lions.
— Last eight games, Steelers were outscored 107-72 in second half.
— Pittsburgh is 3-7 ATS in last ten games on artificial turf.
— Last five years, Steelers are 12-4 ATS as road underdogs.
— Steelers gave up 229 RY to Lions, were minus-3 in turnovers; tie isn’t so bad.
— Under is 6-2-1 in Steeler games this year.
— Chargers lost three of last four games, after a 4-1 start.
— Seven of their nine games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Last five games, Chargers allowed 167.2 rushing yards/game.
— Last four years, LA is 5-16-1 ATS as home favorites.
— Bolts are 8-13-1 ATS last 22 games, coming off a loss.
— Chargers are 2-3 SU at home, beating Raiders/Browns.
— Under is 6-3 in Charger games this year.
— AFC West non-divisional road favorites are 4-2 ATS.
— Underdogs won last four series games SU.
— Steelers won seven of last ten meetings.
— Pittsburgh won four of last five road series games.
Monday’s game
NY Giants (3-6) @ Tampa Bay (6-2)
— Giants won two of last three games SU (3-0 ATS)
— Big Blue is 23-8 ATS last 31 games as road underdog (3-1 TY).
— Since 2016, Giants are 6-3 ATS as double digit underdogs.
— Giants have been outscored 64-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Opponents have started ten drives in Giant territory (minus-7).
— Giants are 3-4 ATS in last seven post-bye games.
— Giants are 8-7-1 ATS last 16 games coming off a win.
— NFC East teams are 8-4 ATS as non-divisional road dogs.
— Bucs lost last two games, giving up 36-29 points.
— Buccaneers have 34 TD’s on 95 drives this season.
— Last eight games, Tampa Bay is +6 in turnovers.
— Washington converted 11-19 on 3rd down vs Bucs last week.
— Previous four games, opponents converted 14-51 on third down.
— Over is 5-3-1 in Tampa Bay games this season.
— With Brady at QB, Tampa Bay is 6-3-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Buccaneers won last three home games by a combined 131-45.
— Giants won seven of last nine series games (2-2 last four)
— Last four meetings were all decided by 3 or fewer points.
— Big Blue won four of last five visits to Tampa.
