UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 July 10, 2021

[smartmoneyfollower]

I'm looking forward to this card, I'm a little but in shock over the Francis Ngannou news, but I'm sure it has something to do with the UFC wanting to give Bones Jones a title fight.

CARLOS CONDIT +150
(MAX GRIFFIN VRS CARLOS CONDIT) (UFC 264 - WELTERWEIGHT 3 ROUNDS @ T-MOBILE ARENA - PARADISE, NEVADA, USA)

PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
CARLOS CONDIT +150
(MAX GRIFFIN VRS CARLOS CONDIT) (UFC 264 - WELTERWEIGHT 3 ROUNDS @ T-MOBILE ARENA - PARADISE, NEVADA, USA)
SEAN O'MALLEY -855
(KRIS MOUTINHO VRS SEAN O'MALLEY) (UFC 264 - BANTAMWEIGHT 3 ROUNDS @ T-MOBILE ARENA - PARADISE, NEVADA, USA)

Both Carlos Condit and Max Griffin are both 35 but Carlos Condit but Carlos Condit has faught the higher level of competition by far. Max Griffin has not progressed since his fight with Mike Perry. Carlos Condit is coming off an impressive win over Matt Brown, he is a more versatile striker, higher fight IQ and has improved his takedown defense.

PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
JENNIFER MAIA (W) -185
(JESSICA EYE (W) VRS JENNIFER MAIA (W)) (UFC 264 - FLYWEIGHT 3 ROUNDS @ T-MOBILE ARENA - PARADISE, NEVADA, USA)
SEAN O'MALLEY -855
(KRIS MOUTINHO VRS SEAN O'MALLEY) (UFC 264 - BANTAMWEIGHT 3 ROUNDS @ T-MOBILE ARENA - PARADISE, NEVADA, USA)

After watching Jessica Eye last two fights I feel like she is just on autopilot now, she has missed weigh in 2 out of her last 3 fights. Maia is coming off an impressive 5 round performance with Valentina Shevchenko, Valentina is so technically sound and Maia kept pressure on her the entire fight.

 

[exploited17]

JMO
In a two team parlay(especially with a nice dog) there is little to no value in adding a favorite anywhere near -855
Even if that fight wins you gain little. And if it loses it is money out the door if that dog comes in

GL
Enjoy the fights

 

[smartmoneyfollower]

Sean O'Malley on the main card so I can hedge after the Condit and Eye fights, Im also playing Sean O'Malley first round, but I feel pretty good about all three of these bets. My first choice was Phil Hawes over Deron Winn for the parlay.

 

[smartmoneyfollower]

PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
YANA KUNITSKAYA (W) -105
(YANA KUNITSKAYA (W) VRS IRENE ALDANA (W)) (UFC 264 - BANTAMWEIGHT 3 ROUNDS @ T-MOBILE ARENA - PARADISE, NEVADA, USA)
SEAN O'MALLEY -905
(KRIS MOUTINHO VRS SEAN O'MALLEY) (UFC 264 - BANTAMWEIGHT 3 ROUNDS @ T-MOBILE ARENA - PARADISE, NEVADA, USA)

D POIRIER VS C MCGREGOR - GO THE DISTANCE
NO - GO THE DISTANCE (D POIRIER VS C MCGREGOR) -400

Irene Aldana looked like complete shit during the weigh-ins..

Rafael Dos Anjos weighs in as a backup

 

[smartmoneyfollower]

WagerTypeARLAY (2 TEAMS)
Date: Team:
Jul 10 GREG HARDY EV (GREG HARDY vrs TAI TUIVASA)
Jul 10 SEAN O'MALLEY -910 (KRIS MOUTINHO vrs SEAN O'MALLEY)

At even odd i think there is value in Hardy, His boxing has made progress and he has the reach and height advantage, I'm not sure if Tai has had a decent training camp. I want to see if this lines get some steam.

 

[smartmoneyfollower]

Parlay (2 teams)
jerome rivera +230
(jerome rivera vrs zhalgas zhumagulov) (ufc 264 - flyweight 3 rounds @ t-mobile arena - paradise, nevada, usa)
sean o'malley -910
(kris moutinho vrs sean o'malley) (ufc 264 - bantamweight 3 rounds @ t-mobile arena - paradise, nevada, usa)


j rivera vs z zhumagulov - round betting
z zhumagulov wins in round 1 +550

j rivera vs z zhumagulov - round betting
z zhumagulov wins in round 2 +800

j rivera vs z zhumagulov - round betting
z zhumagulov wins in round 3 +1350

 

[smartmoneyfollower]

Parlay (2 teams)
jerome rivera +230
(jerome rivera vrs zhalgas zhumagulov) (ufc 264 - flyweight 3 rounds @ t-mobile arena - paradise, nevada, usa)
sean o'malley -910
(kris moutinho vrs sean o'malley) (ufc 264 - bantamweight 3 rounds @ t-mobile arena - paradise, nevada, usa)


j rivera vs z zhumagulov - round betting
z zhumagulov wins in round 1 +550

j rivera vs z zhumagulov - round betting
z zhumagulov wins in round 2 +800

j rivera vs z zhumagulov - round betting
z zhumagulov wins in round 3 +1350

Small profit roll it onto SEAN O'MALLEY -905

 

[smartmoneyfollower]

TOTAL U1½-185 (KRIS MOUTINHO VRS SEAN O'MALLEY)

sugar needs to make a statement after the controversy around fights he may have turned down.