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6-1, +8.15 units the last 7.


Great capping,nice write ups thank you X....


:toast:

My pleasure, sir.

All writeups in this thread so far are courtesy of "S", though i may use also other writers writeups in the future.

"S" writes up many more games than are posted in this topic, but i select those that i personally like the sound of.

His overall long term records were posted earlier in the thread. Post #12.
 
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Overall "S" is up about 50 units in MLB since 2004.

In NCAAF he's quite a lot better, up about +150 units.

In NCAAB even more, up around +170 units.

College sports may be his best, or at least near the top.

He also provides picks in NFL, NHL, CFL, golf, MMA, etc.

Picks are generally 2 units apiece.
 
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"S"'s Golf picks record is only since 2016. His MMA since 2006. CFL since 2005. All his other sports records are since 2004.

In Golf he's + 30 units overall.

MLB: about +50 units.

NFL around +50 units won.

CFL - Canadian Football League - about +20 units.

NHL +100 units.

NBA around -140 units.

MMA about +15 units.

In NCAAF approximately +150 units.

In NCAAB nearly +170 units.

College sports are his best.

Picks are generally 2 units apiece.

And all of them have always been absolutely free!
 
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colorado -1½ +201 over san diego

3:10 pm est. On may 12, the rockies fell to the padres 3-0, having been two-hit by joe musgrove. The loss, their fifth straight, dropped the team to 14 games below .500. After a travel day, the team fired off four consecutive wins, only to proceed to lose five in a row after that. The roller coaster was on its way.

on june 13, the rocks lost to the reds and found themselves 16 games under .500. They then won five straight. By june 27, they were back to 16 below. On july 29 they faced joe musgrove at petco and again got beaten 3-0, leaving them at 44-59, 15 games under .500. And on sunday, the rockies lost the rubber match to the giants and fell to 14 games below. It’s not really surprising that colorado has taken such a hectic approach to playing .500 ball since mid-may. Emotionally, the team has been a train wreck; after an offseason dominated by the nolan arenado trade, and the distinct lack of soul-searching that the team seemed to engage in its wake, the trade deadline was dominated by the team’s inability to find a buyer for the talented and imprisoned trevor story.

always a volatile team when it comes to travel, the rockies are 40-21 at home, a .650 winning percentage better than the record of any team in baseball and today they’re a pooch to jake arrieta (rhp - sd)? How can that be?

over the course of 11 seasons and more than 1500 career innings pitched, jake arrieta has been everything from one of the best pitchers in baseball’s history to significantly worse than a random triple-a thrower. His latest chapter ended with a thud when the cubs released him about a week ago following an unsuccessful stint with the phillies and an attempted rescue in chicago. The friars are so desperate for pitching that they’re giving him a chance and we cannot see this ending well. If the cubs were going to keep losing games, might as well lose them with some starters they can test out and not this stiff. Arrita’s last four games as a cub resulted in a 10.80 era to go along with a 5.5% swing & miss rate, not to mention a 2.50 whip. Dude is a human traffic jam.

this year has been absolutely putrid, not just by comparison to the best years of arrieta’s career, but by any standard. With an era close to seven over a full 20 starts, the cubs’ attempted revitalization has failed completely. This is not even a single-a worthy pitcher anymore and today he’s priced like he’s a #3 or 4 starter at the league’s toughest venue that wreaks havoc on pitchers like jake arrieta.








----------------------------------------------



Info FYI & consideration.
Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.


"Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
"Past success is no guarantee of future success"
"Wagering on sports can be a roller coaster ride."


"Passing is not winning, but passing is always better than losing!"
“Show me someone who has never failed, and I will show you a coward.”
"I don't advise to fade or follow anything. I report & track to let you decide."

“…it ain't how hard you hit; it's about how hard you can get hit, and keep moving forward. How much you can take, and keep moving forward. That's how winning is done!”
 
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7-1, +10.17 units the last 7.

At 2 units each, as some people bet, that would be +20.24 units.

That would be like going 11-1 at -110 odds & 1 unit per bet. Even better actually.


7-1 +10.17 units the last 8 @ 1 unit per pick.

Or +20.24 units @ 2 units per pick, as some people pad their unit amounts.
Or +40.48 units @ 4 units per pick, as some people artificially inflate their unit amounts.
Or +101.70 units @ 10 units per pick, as some scumbag touts & other people superficially pad their unit amounts.
 
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detroit -1½ +168 over st. Louis

1:10 pm est. The cardinals were a massive favorite last night with jack flaherty on the hill and lost their fifth game in their past seven outings. This is a team that just lost two of three to pittsburgh and scored seven times in the three game set. They lost to detroit last night and were shutout for the first seven innings.

baseball is a funny game, as anything can happen but we’re going to trust that the back-to-anemic cardinals offense is going to have to score some runs (and we’re not talking two or three) to prevent us from cashing this ticket. You see, the tigers figure to get theirs because they are facing a pitcher that is worse than retired pitchers. For instance, if jon lester (lhp - st. L) was up against bartolo colon or bronson arroyo, we would be all over colon or arroyo. Today’s he’s facing tarik skubal (lhp - det) and we don’t have to spot anything and could even take back 5 cents or so if we wanted to? Get the fuck outta here!!

there are a half dozen teams today that would be a -250 favorite over lester. There are another 10 that would be a -200 favorite. There are maybe two teams (baltimore and miami) that should be evenly priced against jon lester and even that might be a stretch. Detroit can hit, they can score, they win games and they cannot be an underdog against lester. It's absurd. aside from having a dead arm, jon lester has experienced some control issues in august while running into too many bats this month. He’s allowed four earned runs in three innings or less in three of his last four starts. The tigers are much at their best against southpaws. Does it even matter who’s pitching for the tigers? If this was a week ago and charlie watts (rh drummer - rolling stones) was pitching for the tigers, we’d still fade lester. Jesus.








----------------------------------------------





Info FYI & consideration.
Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.


"Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
"Past success is no guarantee of future success"
"Wagering on sports can be a roller coaster ride."


"Passing is not winning, but passing is always better than losing!"
“Show me someone who has never failed, and I will show you a coward.”
"I don't advise to fade or follow anything. I report & track to let you decide."

“…it ain't how hard you hit; it's about how hard you can get hit, and keep moving forward. How much you can take, and keep moving forward. That's how winning is done!”
 

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Sherwood frustrates me. He continues to do the -1.5 runlines when ive noticed soo many times he would have won playing teams just moneyline. Not to mention, he contradicts so many times. He has great writeups, but youll notice the contradictory part and he'll sway the message towards whoever he bets on. And keep in mind, hes lost tons of units every season in every sport for the past 3 years.
 
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Sherwood frustrates me. He continues to do the -1.5 runlines when ive noticed soo many times he would have won playing teams just moneyline.

The flip side of that is the reward for -1.5 lines is so much better.

One could compromise & play -1 instead of -1.5, as some people like to do.

Since his writeups seem so heavily based on the pitcher/s, i wonder if he'd do better with F3, F5, F7 lines.


Not to mention, he contradicts so many times. He has great writeups, but youll notice the contradictory part and he'll sway the message towards whoever he bets on.

Not sure what you mean. Can you give an example?

And keep in mind, hes lost tons of units every season in every sport for the past 3 years.

Actually his site says:

"In 2020, we ended +117 units for our 9th winning season in past 11 years. "

In NCAAF the last 3 years:

201871-69-0 (+14.00)
201971-68-0 (+14.00)
202063-51-0 (+25.00)

<tbody>
</tbody>


In NFL the last 3 years:

201881-57-0 (+64.00)
201965-59-0 (+16.00)
202055-62-0 (-14.00)

<tbody>
</tbody>


In NCAAB the last 3 years:

2018109-95-0 (+30.00)
201951-53-0 (-7.00)
2020101-70-0 (+64.00)

<tbody>
</tbody>
 

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The flip side of that is the reward for -1.5 lines is so much better.

One could compromise & play -1 instead of -1.5, as some people like to do.

I would believe this if he werent down 30+ units. Also hes had two days ive tracked where he didnt count his losses. Samething last year too. Hes actually pretty honest so Id assume he just forgot, but the record isnt acccurate. Trust me im a big advocate of his write ups. Absolutely love them, but i ususally make my own plays based off his write ups.
 

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Not to mention, he contradicts so many times. He has great writeups, but youll notice the contradictory part and he'll sway the message towards whoever he bets on.




Not sure what you mean. Can you give an example?

I cant, id have to look back and dont have that kind of time. , but ive been following him for years. Just read some of his writeups and youll see. I think there was one with Stroman how it was a fade on him bc he had a xERA 2 runs higher than his ERA and was due for regression. Stroman through a shut out, Sherwood lost. On stromans next start, he follows him saying something like hes on a good run or something, then Stroman got rocked.

It may not be that exact example but it was something like that.
 
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The flip side of that is the reward for -1.5 lines is so much better.



I would believe this if he werent down 30+ units.

You misunderstand. My statement has nothing to do with records, which BTW show him up about + 50 units in his overall MLB record since about 2004, but with the reward (or payout) the odds get a person. If you bet $100 on a +100 ML your reward for a win is only $100. If you bet the same amount on a -1.5 RL at +170, your reward is $170, way higher.

Furthermore this thread isn't about the guy writing the writeups, but about my specific selection of only a small number of those writeups that i like & have posted in this thread. Overall they are up in units and on a 7-1 winning run.

Additionally, BTW, i may add other authors writeups with their picks later.
 
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And keep in mind, hes lost tons of units every season in every sport for the past 3 years.

Actually his site says:

"In 2020, we ended +117 units for our 9th winning season in past 11 years. "

In NCAAF the last 3 years:

201871-69-0 (+14.00)
201971-68-0 (+14.00)
202063-51-0 (+25.00)

<tbody>
</tbody>


In NFL the last 3 years:

201881-57-0 (+64.00)
201965-59-0 (+16.00)
202055-62-0 (-14.00)

<tbody>
</tbody>


In NCAAB the last 3 years:

2018109-95-0 (+30.00)
201951-53-0 (-7.00)
2020101-70-0 (+64.00)

<tbody>
</tbody>

Also hes had two days ive tracked where he didnt count his losses. Samething last year too. Hes actually pretty honest so Id assume he just forgot, but the record isnt acccurate.

Perhaps you're in error again as you were so far off regarding his records in your statement above that it's hilarious.

Furthermore his picks and records are posted in the public domain with thousands of eyes on them, so it's unlikely he wouldn't get corrected, even when there is a delay in updating the record. I've seen a delay a few times & it was always updated later.

He himself says when a pick that was a winner isn't graded he gets like one person telling him about it. But when a pick that was a loser is delayed in getting graded, many people contact him about it.

As far as you saying he's "actually pretty honest", he has a very solid rep over decades on this forum.
 
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washington -1½ +160 over miami

7:10 pm est. Why not washington again? For whatever reason, the nats are being disrespected again in today’s market just like they were in last night’s opener. Today’s starting pitching matchup is even more favorable than yesterday’s, as the nats will face a rookie that pitched at double-a for the majority of this year.

edward cabrera (rhp - mia) is making his major league debut after compiling a 3.68 era and 1.40 whip across 29.1 ip over six games started at triple-a after being promoted from double-a in july. Cabrera is a strikeout right-hander (48 k’s in his 29.1 ip at triple-a) going against a good contact club.

cabrera got off to a slow start this year by opening on the il with bicep tendonitis. There were reports his change had bumped at the alt site last year, but the delayed start put the 6'5", 217-pound dominican on the periphery, especially considering the lost season. The 23-year-old has quietly upped his stock this year across two levels and so here we are. Obviously, he has upside but that 1.40 whip spells trouble. He walked 25 batters in 61 innings with three minor-league teams this year across three levels (just one appearance at single-a). Falling behind major league batters is different from falling behind minor leaguers. We also don’t know how he’ll react to the big show. He’s evenly priced today against another rookie but the difference is that washington’s rookie has paid some dues and has proven he belongs.

josiah gray (rhp - was) has gone six frames each of his last two games. A marlins club with a .556 ops over a seven-game losing streak from aug. 16-22 figures as a welcome change for gray. The nationals rookie has faced four top-10 ops opponents in his first six games. Dude has struck out 35 very good hitters in 30 innings and comes in without a victory yet. That figures to change here, as we get the superior starter pitching for the superior team.

finally, it’s worth noting that washington’s pitching staff has absolutely squashed miami’s hitters all season long. The nats are 8-3 against the fish this year while holding the marlins to a combined batting average of .203




.............................
 
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7-1 +10.17 units the last 8 @ 1 unit per pick.

Or +20.24 units @ 2 units per pick, as some people pad their unit amounts.
Or +40.48 units @ 4 units per pick, as some people artificially inflate their unit amounts.
Or +101.70 units @ 10 units per pick, as some scumbag touts & other people superficially pad their unit amounts.

0-2 today, -2.00 units.

7-3, +8.17 units the last 10.

Or +16.34 units @ 2 units per pick, as some people pad their unit amounts.
Or +32.68 units @ 4 units per pick, as some people artificially inflate their unit amounts.
Or +81.70 units @ 10 units per pick, as some scumbag touts & other people superficially pad their unit amounts.
 
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CINCINNATI -1½ +109 over St. Louis
6:40 PM EST. After a horrible start to the year, Luis Castillo (RHP - CIN) is back in Cy Young form and then some. Dude has a sick 60% groundball rate over his last five starts, not to mention an even sicker 14% hard hit ball rate over that same span. His ERA over that span is 4.58 but his xERA is 2.60, which is best in the majors over the past five-game. In other words, no starter in the game is performing better than Luis Castillo is right now. He’ll now face a Cardinals' nine that just lost four of their past seven games to the Pirates in back-to-back weekends.

In a massive series to start the week, this is one of the biggest starting pitching mismatches of the year. We faded Jon Lester (LHP - St. L) last game out in Detroit and somehow this stiff managed to wiggle out of jam after jam in a 3-2 Cardinals win. Detroit outhit the Cards 11-5, had two base-runners thrown out and Lester came out smelling like a rose when in fact, he stunk the joint up again with a line-drive rate of 53%. We have not seen a line-drive rate of 53% ever. Lester’s xERA last game was 8.23 but as luck would have it, every ball was hit at someone. Over his past 25 frames, Lester has walked 11 and struck out 12. As we have reiterated before, Lester has experienced some control issues lately while running into too many bats. He is putrid, his arm is dead and he's pure fade material, thus, the attack on him must continue.





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DETROIT -1½ +170 over Minnesota2:10 PM EST. Yesterday we ended our writeup on Milwaukee to beat Minnesota with this:Without going into a lot of detail, we like the situation for the Crew too, which we will elaborate on tomorrow in a game we’re 100% targeting.Well, this is “tomorrow” and this is the game we’re targeting, which goes back to an angle we have discussed before. Minnesota just played a interleague series with the Brewers and while it meant nothing to the Twins, it still had to be a little exciting to play a team so close in proximity that they rarely see. Surely some fans of the Crew made the 4 to 7-hour trip to see their team play in Minnesota. The Twinkies won the first two games of that series but more importantly, they had to fly out afterward for this early start in Detroit to make up for a rained out game earlier in the year. For the Twinkies, this is a one-game, one day stop to Detroit before they fly right back hom for a series against the Cubs starting tomorrow. We cannot overemphasize what an inconvenience this one-off game is. We’re sure that there isn’t a single person on the Twins’ roster that wants to make this one-day trip for an afternoon game in sweltering heat. To recap, the Twins schedule is/was three at home versus Milwaukee followed by one game in Detroit and then they'll be back home for a two-game set v the Cubs starting tomorrow. Baseball at this level takes 100% mental concentration or focus. Take away half that and it leaves a team extremely vulnerable. Also consider that the Twins are not in any playoff chase and it makes this game even more of a hassle for the entire squad. The pitching matchup matters not. The lineups matter not. This is a strong situational play on the Tigers that you should jump on ASAP because the fact that Detroit is an underdog (at the time of this writing) is absurd.
 

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