[FONT="]"Posted at 12:45 PM EST. [/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]DETROIT +132 over Cleveland[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]Tarik Skubal (LHP - DET) is coming off his first win of the season, giving up just two runs on four hits to the Mariners last Wednesday. Skubal now brings a 1-6 record to the table with a chance to win back to back games for the first time in his young career. One of the reasons that Skubal has had limited success in the bigs is because he's been unable to transfer his elite minor league strikeout prowess at this level. That's not to say it won't come, because he has the stuff and he’ll study the batters. The Tigers are loaded with quality pitching prospects and Skubal is very much a part of that mix. His 5.45 ERA is a work in progress, but he's improving game by game. Dude flamed nine M's in five innings last time out and has now struck out 13 batters over 11 innings in his two starts prior to that. Skubal has also been better at home, where he sports a 4.09 ERA across 22 innings pitched.[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]Aaron Civale (RHP - CLE) is perfectly serviceable when in the role of the underdog, but spotting a price on the road with him and the Indians is not a play we can get behind. Civale sports a 3.30 ERA, but that number is propped up by a low swing and miss rate that sits at just 9.6%, well below the league average. He's also been quite lucky with a BABIP of .230. League average is .284 so a correction is inevitably forthcoming. When you walk guys and have limited strikeout potential, over time, that trouble is going to catch up with you. Civale has two wins already this season over the Tigers, butt his will now be the third time they have seen him. That can’t hurt. Backing up Civale are some of the weakest sticks in all of baseball, as the Indians are third worst in batting average at .217. Against lefties, the Tribe are hitting just .213. The streets of Vegas are littered with tickets featuring weak hitting road favorites with serviceable pitchers starting. Today’s overpriced Indians might add more litter to The Strip."[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]--------------------------------------[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.[/FONT]
[FONT="]Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]"Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"[/FONT]
[FONT="]"Past success is no guarantee of future success"[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]DETROIT +132 over Cleveland[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]Tarik Skubal (LHP - DET) is coming off his first win of the season, giving up just two runs on four hits to the Mariners last Wednesday. Skubal now brings a 1-6 record to the table with a chance to win back to back games for the first time in his young career. One of the reasons that Skubal has had limited success in the bigs is because he's been unable to transfer his elite minor league strikeout prowess at this level. That's not to say it won't come, because he has the stuff and he’ll study the batters. The Tigers are loaded with quality pitching prospects and Skubal is very much a part of that mix. His 5.45 ERA is a work in progress, but he's improving game by game. Dude flamed nine M's in five innings last time out and has now struck out 13 batters over 11 innings in his two starts prior to that. Skubal has also been better at home, where he sports a 4.09 ERA across 22 innings pitched.[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]Aaron Civale (RHP - CLE) is perfectly serviceable when in the role of the underdog, but spotting a price on the road with him and the Indians is not a play we can get behind. Civale sports a 3.30 ERA, but that number is propped up by a low swing and miss rate that sits at just 9.6%, well below the league average. He's also been quite lucky with a BABIP of .230. League average is .284 so a correction is inevitably forthcoming. When you walk guys and have limited strikeout potential, over time, that trouble is going to catch up with you. Civale has two wins already this season over the Tigers, butt his will now be the third time they have seen him. That can’t hurt. Backing up Civale are some of the weakest sticks in all of baseball, as the Indians are third worst in batting average at .217. Against lefties, the Tribe are hitting just .213. The streets of Vegas are littered with tickets featuring weak hitting road favorites with serviceable pitchers starting. Today’s overpriced Indians might add more litter to The Strip."[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]--------------------------------------[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.[/FONT]
[FONT="]Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]"Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"[/FONT]
[FONT="]"Past success is no guarantee of future success"[/FONT]
Game in 1st inning, available for live betting:
"Posted at 11:00 AM EST.
[FONT=arial !important]CLEVELAND -1½ +175 over St. Louis
[/FONT]1:10 PM EST. Cleveland's new name may have triggered some, but in a month or two, will anyone really be longing for Chief Wahoo? Those that cite history and cancel culture as reasons to not change the Baseball Team's current moniker show their ignorance. Firstly, with regards to the history of baseball in Cleveland, this franchise has won exactly two World Series since they started handing out that hardware in 1903. As the saying goes, “a rose by another name would smell as sweet.” Well, a baseball team by any other name is still a baseball team. As for the current moniker and its offensive origins, let us not forget that one of the reasons that Native Americans and First Nations people in Canada are called "Indians" is that Christopher Columbus didn't know where the hell he was or who he was meeting when he landed. The term "Indian" is not a romanticisation of the past or the latest victim of "cancel culture." It's a word that was derived from ignorance (at best) and is not based in any sort of reality. Dude wasn't close to the Indies as he thought, yet here we are.
As for the Baseball Team, it had some great names prior to settling on “Indians” 1915. The "Naps," for Napoleon Lajoie, who played, managed or did both in Cleveland from 1902 to 1914 was a fine tribute. "Lake Shores," “Bronchos” "Bluebirds," and even the "Molly McGuires" were serviceable too. Those moaning on about history can take those multiple rebrandings, stick them in their peace pipes and smoke ‘em till they can’t smoke no more. For years, supporters of the name "Indians" would point to the fact that the team was finally named after Louis Sockalexis, arguably the first Native American star to play in the majors. However, if the team hadn’t been looking to profit off of cultural caricatures, wouldn't a name like "Socks," "Louis," or even "Deerfoot," as Sockalexis was known as the "Deerfoot of the Diamond” be more fitting of a tribute? Instead, they settled on "Indians" and Chief Wahoo. You tell us who's being honored there. To support that point further, the most recent rebranding made little mention of Sockalexis and did not incorporate him in any way. If history were the victim here, surely a more proper tribute could have been in the cards, rather than the generic name that was chosen.
As for the soon to be Guardians, we've certainly been critical of them this season, but with Zach Plesac (RHP - CLE) on the mound, we see some potential. Plesac had some preseason hype, but injuries and some tough luck have left him without a decision in his last three starts. Despite the lack of wins, Plesac has an elite groundball rate (51.5%) and a swing and miss rate that is in line with the league average (11.8%), which is a number we can work with. He and the Baseball Team appear to be solid buy low candidates, especially considering the pitcher they will face today is trading at a season high.
On the surface, we can see the appeal of Kwang-Hyun Kim (LHP - STL) this afternoon. Dude has been on a roll as of late, as he's given up just two runs in his last four starts, with both of those coming against the Cubs last time out. That means Kim pitched three straight shutouts prior. Numbers like that will get you noticed in this market. However, we're willing to make the case that his recent run of success is not the norm. Kim's xERA is 4.50, which is almost two full runs higher than his surface number (2.88), while his swinging strike rate is a puny 9.4%. His groundball rate is worth mentioning because it's the only thing that is keeping him out of trouble, but it's just one piece of the pie and is not enough to suggest Kim is nearly as good as he's been of late. To recap, after 12 years in the KBO, Kim arrived with a hyped slider, but it has garnered just a 11% swing and miss rate. Low velocity, subpar swing & miss rate and K% across all offerings put a firm cap on his upside. Expect a hard slump toward xERA the rest of the way. Now add in some recency bias combined with the Cardinals winning the opener last night and it presents this outstanding sell opportunity on Kim and the Redbirds."
-----------------------
Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.
"Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
"Past success is no guarantee of future success"
"Wagering on sports can be a roller coaster ride."
"Passing is not winning, but passing is always better than losing!"
“Show me someone who has never failed, and I will show you a coward.”
"I don't advise to fade or follow anything. I report & track to let you decide."
"Posted at 11:00 AM EST.
[FONT=arial !important]CLEVELAND -1½ +175 over St. Louis
[/FONT]1:10 PM EST. Cleveland's new name may have triggered some, but in a month or two, will anyone really be longing for Chief Wahoo? Those that cite history and cancel culture as reasons to not change the Baseball Team's current moniker show their ignorance. Firstly, with regards to the history of baseball in Cleveland, this franchise has won exactly two World Series since they started handing out that hardware in 1903. As the saying goes, “a rose by another name would smell as sweet.” Well, a baseball team by any other name is still a baseball team. As for the current moniker and its offensive origins, let us not forget that one of the reasons that Native Americans and First Nations people in Canada are called "Indians" is that Christopher Columbus didn't know where the hell he was or who he was meeting when he landed. The term "Indian" is not a romanticisation of the past or the latest victim of "cancel culture." It's a word that was derived from ignorance (at best) and is not based in any sort of reality. Dude wasn't close to the Indies as he thought, yet here we are.
As for the Baseball Team, it had some great names prior to settling on “Indians” 1915. The "Naps," for Napoleon Lajoie, who played, managed or did both in Cleveland from 1902 to 1914 was a fine tribute. "Lake Shores," “Bronchos” "Bluebirds," and even the "Molly McGuires" were serviceable too. Those moaning on about history can take those multiple rebrandings, stick them in their peace pipes and smoke ‘em till they can’t smoke no more. For years, supporters of the name "Indians" would point to the fact that the team was finally named after Louis Sockalexis, arguably the first Native American star to play in the majors. However, if the team hadn’t been looking to profit off of cultural caricatures, wouldn't a name like "Socks," "Louis," or even "Deerfoot," as Sockalexis was known as the "Deerfoot of the Diamond” be more fitting of a tribute? Instead, they settled on "Indians" and Chief Wahoo. You tell us who's being honored there. To support that point further, the most recent rebranding made little mention of Sockalexis and did not incorporate him in any way. If history were the victim here, surely a more proper tribute could have been in the cards, rather than the generic name that was chosen.
As for the soon to be Guardians, we've certainly been critical of them this season, but with Zach Plesac (RHP - CLE) on the mound, we see some potential. Plesac had some preseason hype, but injuries and some tough luck have left him without a decision in his last three starts. Despite the lack of wins, Plesac has an elite groundball rate (51.5%) and a swing and miss rate that is in line with the league average (11.8%), which is a number we can work with. He and the Baseball Team appear to be solid buy low candidates, especially considering the pitcher they will face today is trading at a season high.
On the surface, we can see the appeal of Kwang-Hyun Kim (LHP - STL) this afternoon. Dude has been on a roll as of late, as he's given up just two runs in his last four starts, with both of those coming against the Cubs last time out. That means Kim pitched three straight shutouts prior. Numbers like that will get you noticed in this market. However, we're willing to make the case that his recent run of success is not the norm. Kim's xERA is 4.50, which is almost two full runs higher than his surface number (2.88), while his swinging strike rate is a puny 9.4%. His groundball rate is worth mentioning because it's the only thing that is keeping him out of trouble, but it's just one piece of the pie and is not enough to suggest Kim is nearly as good as he's been of late. To recap, after 12 years in the KBO, Kim arrived with a hyped slider, but it has garnered just a 11% swing and miss rate. Low velocity, subpar swing & miss rate and K% across all offerings put a firm cap on his upside. Expect a hard slump toward xERA the rest of the way. Now add in some recency bias combined with the Cardinals winning the opener last night and it presents this outstanding sell opportunity on Kim and the Redbirds."
-----------------------
Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.
"Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
"Past success is no guarantee of future success"
"Wagering on sports can be a roller coaster ride."
"Passing is not winning, but passing is always better than losing!"
“Show me someone who has never failed, and I will show you a coward.”
"I don't advise to fade or follow anything. I report & track to let you decide."
......................................................
Info FYI & consideration.
Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.
"Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
"Past success is no guarantee of future success"
"Wagering on sports can be a roller coaster ride."
"Passing is not winning, but passing is always better than losing!"
“Show me someone who has never failed, and I will show you a coward.”
"I don't advise to fade or follow anything. I report & track to let you decide."
“…it ain't how hard you hit; it's about how hard you can get hit, and keep moving forward. How much you can take, and keep moving forward. That's how winning is done!”
----------------------------------------------
Info FYI & consideration.
Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.
"Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
"Past success is no guarantee of future success"
"Wagering on sports can be a roller coaster ride."
"Passing is not winning, but passing is always better than losing!"
“Show me someone who has never failed, and I will show you a coward.”
"I don't advise to fade or follow anything. I report & track to let you decide."
“…it ain't how hard you hit; it's about how hard you can get hit, and keep moving forward. How much you can take, and keep moving forward. That's how winning is done!”[/FONT]
