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ArmadilloSports

Tuesday’s 6-pack:

College football conference trends:
AAC— Home teams are 17-6 ATS
Big 14— Road teams are 21-13 ATS
Big X— Favorites are 16-9 ATS
C-USA— Favorites are 18-10 ATS
MAC— Home favorites of more than 7 points are 0-8 ATS
Sun Belt— Home teams are 17-6 ATS

Quote of the Day
“We’re in the season now. We’ll do recruiting after the season – when it gets to recruiting time we can talk about recruiting.”
Florida football coach Dan Mullen

Tuesday’s quiz
Which two coaches won a Super Bowl coaching the Chiefs?

Monday’s quiz
Bud Grant coached the Vikings for 18 years; he played 96 games for the Minneapolis Lakers (1949-51), scooting 2.6 ppg.

Sunday’s quiz
Dusty Baker was managing the Giants in 2002, last time he managed in a World Series.


Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..plus NHL trends

13) Kansas City 20, NY Giants 17:
— Chiefs kicked 34-yard FG with 1:07 left for winning score.
— Giants have been outscored 61-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Giants are 23-8 ATS last 31 games as a road underdog.
— penalties: Giants 10-88, Chiefs 12-103

— Chiefs are 0-4 ATS at home this season.
— KC has only two TD’s on its last 18 drives.
— Chiefs turned ball over 19 times in last seven games (-13)
— KC has 29 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 38.

12) What have you done for me lately?

TCU fires Gary Patterson? Why? Patterson is the winningest coach in TCU history (181-79), one of the greatest defensive minds of the modern era, creating a defense that was effective at shutting down air raid-type offenses that are so popular now.

“We’re with you win or tie, but we’re not that crazy about ties”

Thats basically how these programs act; Texas/Oklahoma are bolting for the SEC, so schools like TCU, Texas Tech will slide down the national ladder- they’re desperate for attention so they can recruit the better players in talent-rich Texas. Players win games, no doubt about that.

Would enjoy hearing Patterson as a TV analyst; am guessing he has a lot to say.

11) Four teams in AFC South have played 20 non-divisional games this season; they’ve been the underdog in 18 of those 20 games.

10) Jets QB Mike White threw for 405 yards, three TD’s in his first NFL start Sunday; he is the first QB since 1950 to throw for 400+ yards, 3+ TD’s in his first NFL start. Is the Jets QB of the future White or Zach Wilson? Jets could rake in some draft capital by trading the other one, and there are teams who desperately need a quarterback moving forward.

9) With 4:30 left Saturday night., Ole Miss is trailing Auburn 31-20; they have 4th down around the Auburn 18 or 20 yard line. They’re down 11 points, they need two scores. Kick the FG.

But Ole Miss coach Lane Kiffin doesn’t think the way most people think; he goes for the first down and eventual TD, instead of the easy FG- they don’t get the first down, and the game was essentially over right there and then.

8) Ole Miss plays Liberty this week; visiting Flames are 7-2, led by former Ole Miss coach Hugh Freeze, who went 42-26 in five years coaching the Rebels, winning the 2015 Sugar Bowl.

Freeze wound up quitting at Ole Miss because he used his school-issued cellphone to call escort services. Lesson of the Day, kids: if you’re going to call an escort service, use your own phone, not the one your employer is paying for.

7) NFL updates:
— Titans RB Derrick Henry (foot) is out 6-10 weeks.
— Saints QB Jameis Winston tore his ACL, is out for the year.
— Rams traded 2nd/3rd round picks to Denver, for LB Von Miller.

6) 27-year old WR Cyril Grayson caught a TD pass for Tampa Bay Sunday; he never played college football, he was a track sprinter at LSU. Grayson has bounced around NFL practice squads the last four years; he caught 8 TD passes as a senior in high school— Sunday was his first touchdown since then.

5) Cooper Rush was the winning QB for Dallas in Minnesota Sunday night; he is making $920,000 this year to be the Cowboys’ backup QB. Kirk Cousins is making $31M from the Vikings this season.

4) 68 teams have been up 3-2 in a World Series; those teams are 45-23 in those series.

3) Alabama has been one of the dominant teams in college football for a while now, but Sunday was Nick Saban’s 70th birthday; good luck to the athletic director who has to pick the coach who takes Saban’s place- that will likely happen sooner than later. Schools will start using Saban’s age against him in recruiting; similar thing happened to Bear Bryant back in the day.

He is such an excellent coach; the guy who replaces him has huge shoes to fill.

2) Late Saturday night, BYU beat Virginia 66-49; game ended at 1:55am here in the East. Cavaliers led this game 42-38 at halftime.

Virginia QB Armstrong, who has thrown for 3,557 yards, 27 TD’s this year, left this game late with an apparent rib injury. Cavaliers have this week off, host Notre Dame November 13.

1) RIP to former big league 2B Jerry Remy, who passed away this week at age 68. Remy had cancer for several years; he hit .275 in a 10-year playing career for Angels/Red Sox.

After his playing days, Remy gained notoriety as a TV analyst on Red Sox games; the team of Remy and play-by-play guy Don Orsillo was television gold- they were so great together, lot of laughter and good natured banter. RIP, sir.
 

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Game 1 - Braves 6, Astros 2 (Atlanta +112, Under 8.5)
Game 2 - Astros 7, Braves 2 (Houston -120, Push 9)
Game 3 - Braves 2, Astros 0 (Atlanta -120, Under 8.5)
Game 4 - Braves 3, Astros 2 (Atlanta -105, Under 8.5)
Game 5 - Astros 9, Braves 5 (Houston -125, Over 8.5)
Game 6 - Braves at Astros - Tuesday, November 2
Game 7 - Braves at Astros - Wednesday, November 3*

*If Necessary
 

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ATLANTA is 36-15 SU (18.2 Units) in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season.




MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, November 2







MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, November 2

World Series
Game 6

Atlanta (3-2) @ Houston (2-3)

— Fried is 1-2, 5.40 in four postseason starts this year.
— Braves are 12-3 in his last 15 starts.
— over 7-5 last 12
— He gave up 6 runs in 5 IP in Game 2 vs Houston.
— He is 1-3, 4.53 in 16 postseason games (8 starts).

— Braves are 18-6 in last 24 games overall.
— Braves are 3-4 on road in the playoffs.
— Atlanta bullpen threw 30.1 IP in Games 1-5.
— Braves were 6-28 with RISP in Games 1-5.
— under 4-1-1 last six games
— Atlanta is in playoffs for fourth year in row.
— Braves last won a World Series in 1995; they lost ’99 Series.

— Garcia is 1-2, 7.62 in four postseason starts this year.
— Astros are 3-6 in his last nine starts.
— He is pitching on three days’ rest here.
— under 7-4 last 11
— He gave up 1 runs, 3.2 IP in Game 3 vs Atlanta.
— He is 1-2, 6.60 in five postseason starts.

— Houston lost three of its last five games.
— Astros were down 4-0 Sunday, staved off elimination with 9-5 win.
— Houston bullpen threw 25.2 IP in Games 1-5.
— Astros were 9-46 with RISP in Games 1-5.
— Over is 9-4-1 in last 14 Houston games.
— Houston is 5-2 at home in playoffs.
— Houston is in playoffs for fifth year in a row.
— Houston won the World Series in 2017.




MLB

Tuesday, November 2


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Atlanta @ Houston
Atlanta
Atlanta is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Atlanta is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games
Houston
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Houston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home


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Atlanta has covered the run line in nine straight playoff games after not playing the day prior.
Atlanta has won six straight games after losing the game prior.
Atlanta has gone OVER the run total in four of its last five games.
 

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TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 2
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


ATL at HOU 08:09 PM
HOU -129
U 8.5

+500 +500
 

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack

Long drive leaders on the PGA Tour:
6) Wyndham Clark
T4) Joseph Bramlett
T4) Matthew Wolff
3) Jhonattan Vegas
2) Cameron Young
1) Cameron Champ

Quote of the Day
“Steph Curry’s the one that I wanna play with for sure, in today’s game. … I love everything about that guy. Lethal. When he get out his car, you better guard him right from the moment he pulls up to the arena.”
Lebron James

Thursday’s quiz
Where did Shaquille O’Neal play his college basketball?

Wednesday’s quiz
Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe in Moneyball.

Tuesday’s quiz
Lou Piniella was manager of the Seattle Mariners, last time they made the playoffs, in 2001.

****************************

Thursday’s Den: Happy Opening Day…….

13) Two Opening Day games were already postponed until Friday by weather; Boston-New York, Seattle-Minnesota.

12) Cincinnati Reds released OF Shogo Akiyama, eating $8M in process; Akiyama hit .224 for the Reds, with no homers and 21 RBIs in 142 games.

11) Cleveland Guardians signed 3B Jose Ramirez to a 5-year, $124M contract extension.

10) I said the other day the that #7-seed UConn in 2014 was the lowest-seeded team to win the national title in basketball; the 1985 Villanova Wildcats were a #8-seed- they upset Georgetown to win the national title that year.

Since today is Opening Day of baseball season, here is my starting nine of baseball movies:
9) League of Their Own— Tom Hanks manages a team in a female professional baseball league, with Madonna as an outfielder, Geena Davis as the catcher.

Janet Jones is a pitcher for Racine; she is now better known as Mrs Wayne Gretzky. Jon Lovitz is great as a scout for the league. David L Lander is an announcer; he is best known for playing Squiggy in the old Laverne & Shirley TV show.

8) Trouble With the Curve— Clint Eastwood is an aging baseball scout whose old-school ways are at odds with modern thinking. Justin Timberlake, John Goodman, Amy Adams are also in this underrated movie.

7) Bad News Bears— Walter Matthau is a Little League coach in California who turns his team around by recruiting an old girlfriend’s daughter to be his team’s pitcher. Tatum O’Neal plays the pitcher; in real-life, her half-brother is Patrick O’Neal, who these days does pregame shows for the Angels and the Anaheim Ducks.

6) The Rookie— True story of a high school baseball coach in Texas who tells his team he’ll try out for the major leagues if the team makes the playoffs. The team makes the playoffs and the coach winds up in the majors; story would be a little sketchy, except it is true.

5) The Natural— An older ballplayer comes out of nowhere to help a struggling team make the playoffs. Robert Redford plays Roy Hobbs; Wilford Brimley is great as the manager of the New York Knights. Movie was filmed in Buffalo, where the Bills used to play before they built Rich Stadium.

4) Little Big League— 12-year old kid inherits the Minnesota Twins after his grandfather dies; he then names himself the manager. Shaky premise but a good movie, with several big leaguers in it.

Ashley Crow plays the kid’s mom; in real life, her son is Pete Crow-Armstrong, a first round pick of the Mets in 2020— he is now in the Cubs’ farm system.

T3) Bull Durham— Susan Sarandon is a baseball groupie who has an affair with one player every season; when this movie was made a long time ago, the Durham Bulls were a Class A farm club. These days, they are the Tampa Bay Rays’ AAA farm team, with better pitchers than Tim Robbins.

T3) Major League— Owner of the Cleveland Indians puts together a purposely terrible team so they’ll lose and she can move the team to Miami. Movie was made before anyone realized that a baseball team in Miami was a bad idea.

Bob Uecker steals the show as the team’s radio announcer; Charlie Sheen is the relief pitcher, Tom Berenger the veteran catcher.

2) For Love of the Game— A Hall of Fame pitcher at the tail end of his career saves his best game for last. Kevin Costner is the pitcher; JK Simmons is the manager, John C Reilly is the catcher.

1) Moneyball— I’m an A’s fan; what did you expect? Brad Pitt plays Billy Beane, GM of a major league team that succeeds despite having a cheap owner. 20 years later and the same stuff is still going on.
 

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NY YANKEES are 27-51 SU (-29.1 Units) in day games in the last 3 seasons.

CRAIG COUNSELL is 39-58 SU (-24.8 Units) as a road favorite of -125 or more (Manager of MILWAUKEE)

NY METS are 26-47 SU (-25.7 Units) against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

KANSAS CITY is 48-22 Under (23.8 Units) in day games in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 20-52 SU (-37.2 Units) against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 348-353 SU (-40.3 Units) in home games in day games since 1996.

CINCINNATI is 18-6 Over (11.4 Units) in April games in the last 3 seasons.

LA ANGELS are 47-69 SU (-28.9 Units) against division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 174-114 Over (48.6 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.
 

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MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, April 7


ROWMkVm.png
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, April 7

Not a lot to go on the first week or so; we’ll give you what we have.

National League
Brewers @ Cubs

— Burnes is 2-1, 3.55 in 11 games (5 starts) vs Chicago.
— He is 1-0, 1.59 in seven games (2 starts) at Wrigley.

— Hendricks is 10-7, 3.30 in 27 starts vs Milwaukee.
— He was 6-5, 5.24 in 15 starts at Wrigley LY.

Mets @ Nationals
— Haven’t named a starter yet.


— Corbin is 5-7, 4.33 in 20 games (19 starts) vs Mets.
— He was 5-8, 6.27 in 16 home starts last year.

Pirates @ Cardinals
— Brubaker is 0-4, 6.08 in five games (4 starts) vs St Louis.
— He was 0-2, 5.27 in three road games (2 starts) LY.

— Wainwright is 21-7, 3.73 in 47 games (41 starts) vs Pittsburgh.
— He was 9-5, 2.74 in 19 home starts LY.

Reds @ Braves
— Mahle is 0-1, 5.29 in three starts vs Atlanta.
— He gave up 3 runs in 5 IP, in one start at Atlanta.

— Fried is 1-1, 5.14 in three games (1 start) vs Cincinnati.
— He was 7-3, 2.94 in 14 home starts LY.

Padres @ Diamondbacks
— Darvish is 3-3, 4.53 in 10 starts vs Arizona.
— He is 2-2, 6.38 in five starts in the desert.

— Bumgarner is 13-13, 3.73 in 41 games (40 starts) vs San Diego.
— He was 4-3, 4.34 in 12 home starts LY.

American League
Red Sox @ New York

— Eovaldi is 3-4, 3.64 in 15 games (12 starts) vs New York.
— He is 11-7, 3.72 in 32 games (30 starts) in the Bronx.

— Cole is 5-3, 3.81 in 10 starts vs Boston.
— He was 6-4, 3.11 in 14 home starts LY.

Mariners @ Twins
— Ray is 1-1, 6.91 in 4 games (3 starts) vs Minnesota.
— He is 1-1, 8.59 in two starts in the Twin Cities.

— Ryan has never pitched against Seattle.
— As a rookie, Ryan was 0-1, 6.14 in three home starts (2-0, 1.50 on road)

Guardians @ Royals
— Bieber is 4-0, 3.65 in 10 starts against the Royals.
— He is 2-0, 4.10 in five starts at Kansas City

— Grienke is 11-9, 3.73 in 31 games (26 starts) vs Cleveland.
— In his career, he is 37-30, 3.49 in 114 games (94 starts) in KC.

Astros @ Angels
— Valdez is 6-3, 4.01 in 11 games (7 starts) against the Angels.
— He is 2-2, 3.49 in five games (3 starts) in Anaheim.

— Ohtani is 0-2, 6.86 in five starts vs Houston.
— He was 6-0, 1.95 in 13 home starts last year.
 

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MLB

Thursday, April 7


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Milwaukee @ Chi Cubs
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee

Cleveland @ Kansas City
Cleveland
Cleveland is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Cleveland is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City
Kansas City is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Cleveland
Kansas City is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Pittsburgh @ St. Louis
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Pittsburgh's last 15 games on the road
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games
St. Louis is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games

NY Mets @ Washington
NY Mets
NY Mets is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Washington
NY Mets is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against NY Mets

Cincinnati @ Atlanta
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 9 games when playing Atlanta
Cincinnati is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Houston @ LA Angels
Houston
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games at home

San Diego @ Arizona
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 14 of San Diego's last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Diego's last 15 games on the road
Arizona
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Arizona is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against San Diego


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