11/27-28 rlm

[Biz]

You can find some interesting line moves on teams getting a smaller piece of the bet percentages. Here are some numbers from today, betting percentages from the spread.com

Marshall 71%. Line goes from +10.5 to +12.5
Toledo 79%. Line goes from -9 to -7
Central Michigan 81%. Line goes from -24 to -23.5
Navy 74%. Line dropped like a rock this am from -4 to -1.
Washington St 73%. Line went from -6.5 past key number to 7.5

I bet on 3 of these and lost every one, bet against Washington St and won.

All 5 of these teams didn't cover. All 5 teams had a higher bet percentage than opponent but the line went away from them. 70% was the minimum percentage I looked for. Here are some to keep an eye on tomorrow, numbers will change some but for now....

Duke 76%. -4 to -3.5
Virginia Tech 72%. -4 to -3.5
North Carolina 73%. -7 to -4
Georgia 73%. -5 to -4

I won't be able to monitor these much tomorrow, I'll be out of the house (I'm sure you guys are sick of hearing about where I am), but if some of you can post the games that look like they have some RLM it would be interesting to see how those games fared.

 

[Biz]

Numbers as of right now:

Temple 73%, -12/-11.5
Duke 83%, -4/-3.5
UNLV 65%, -3/+1.5
North Carolina 76%, -7/-4
Georgia 71%, -5/-3.5
Kansas St 86%, -20/-19.5
Northwestern 75%, -3.5/-1.5
Memphis 78%, -21.5/-20

 

[pizza]

memphis is ahead 35-0 early in second quarter

 

[YaBoyPDDY]

Numbers as of right now:

Temple 73%, -12/-11.5
Duke 83%, -4/-3.5
UNLV 65%, -3/+1.5
North Carolina 76%, -7/-4
Georgia 71%, -5/-3.5
Kansas St 86%, -20/-19.5
Northwestern 75%, -3.5/-1.5
Memphis 78%, -21.5/-20

im on sbrodds and im getting different %s. Has this worked for you consistently? How long?

 

[rolltide]

took a peek back at the UNC #'s at pg. 30k bets, 3/4 on UNC, line dropped from -7 to -3.5 and soon to be -3

 

[Biz]

im on sbrodds and im getting different %s. Has this worked for you consistently? How long?

the spread.com

Haven't kept any records.

I don't use it as a stand alone handicapping factor, just something that may get me off a play or make a play stronger.

 

[Biz]

took a peek back at the UNC #'s at pg. 30k bets, 3/4 on UNC, line dropped from -7 to -3.5 and soon to be -3

That is the one game that is really crazy. Reminds me of the Colts/Falcons NFL game last weekend. Line dropped like a rock with Atlanta getting more bets.

Wasn't aware of PG having this thanks for the heads up.

 

[Biz]

North Carolina and Northwestern are the 2 games that stick out.