All Plays One Unit
Preseason Straight Plays: 16-9-0 64.00% +6.47U
Regular Season Straight Plays: 28-23 54.90% +3.21U
Total Straight Plays: 44-32 57.89% +9.68U
Half-time Plays: 0-2 0.00% -2.05U
Money Line Underdogs: 0-1 0.00% -1.00U
Teasers: 2-2 50.00% -0.10U
Total = +6.53U
BIG week here in the BURGH - I am so FIRED up for the Steelers/Patriots game. Biggest game here since NE upset the Steelers in the AFC Championship game. Payback? I don't know, I think it is a bad matchup for the Steelers, especially after losing Casey Hampton & Chad Scott but we'll see....Anyway, only have time for brief comment on each game as I have a busy weekend ahead.
Washington +1.5 -105
Favre has a bruised hand. Despite the loss of Taylor, WASH secondary matches up better than most teams versus GB receivers. WASH defense has been rock solid but offense has been problem. GB may be without Harris & Sharper in the secondary AND GB strugles to put pressure on QB. May actually be an opportunity for Brunell to have success. Plus, WASH needs to win so "W" gets re-elected.
Arizona/Buffalo UNDER 34.5 -111
Buffalo among leagues worst in red zone versus Arizona which is among league's best in red zone defense. Both teams will try to run but will struggle to maintain drives because both units running games are very inconsistent. Arizona was successful in disrupting Seattle and Hasselbeck, I don't figure the Bills O-line & Bledsoe to give them a tougher matchup.
Jacksonville/Houston OVER 42 -106
Texans allowing 2.3 TD passes/game and JAX & Leftwich have something going with the shotgun formation and 3 WR sets. HOU respecting the pass will open lanes for Taylor who got untracked last week. HOU allowing 5.1 YPC @ home. HOU WRs present matchup problems for JAX and also should have success running the ball also as their BIG O-line matches up well with JAX D-line.
Atlanta/Denver UNDER 39 -107
Michael Vick was shut down by the CHIEFS. His struggles with the passing game are not likely to improve against Denver's secondary. Denver also very strong versus the run despite their Monday Night choke job and their LBs have speed to run down Warrick Dunn. Denver lacks the big-play receivers that can blow a game wide open and should focus on the run game which will keep the clock-ticking. I expect an "A" effort from the Falcons defense after laying an egg in a BIG way last week.
Carolina/Seattle UNDER 39 -105
CAR down to Hoover in running game. Delhomme is out of sink with his receivers partly due to terrible pass protection. SEA does an excellent job of pressuring QBs PLUS gets Chad Brown back this week. CAR could only manage 6 point versus SD...SEA is going to focus on the running game this week to take some pressure off of Hasselbeck and CAR doesn't take many chances on defense so a bend/don't break philosophy is good for the UNDER as it eats the clock.
Oakland/SD OVER 46 -107
Charles Wodson is doubtful which obviously weakens OAK secondary. LT should have great success running on OAK which will open up play action for Brees versus the Woodson-less secondary. OAK has allowed 30+ the last 4 weeks with Woodson... OAK running game is non-existent so they will throw all day(extends the game) due to this and also to keep up with SD. OAK O-line did a nice job protecting Collins last week and SD has allowed 5 of 6 QBs to throw for multiple scores.
Chicago -1.5 -108
Lesser of two evils here. The Bears offense is bad but the defense is respectable. SF is without its top 2 corners so MAYBE the QB change will spark a little success in passing game. Rattay is also banged up and is questionable. The Bears secondary is decent with the return of Azumah. Perspective - the Bears held GB to 10 on the road & PHI to 19 at home. SF allowed 28 to ARIZ at home.
Preseason Straight Plays: 16-9-0 64.00% +6.47U
Regular Season Straight Plays: 28-23 54.90% +3.21U
Total Straight Plays: 44-32 57.89% +9.68U
Half-time Plays: 0-2 0.00% -2.05U
Money Line Underdogs: 0-1 0.00% -1.00U
Teasers: 2-2 50.00% -0.10U
Total = +6.53U
BIG week here in the BURGH - I am so FIRED up for the Steelers/Patriots game. Biggest game here since NE upset the Steelers in the AFC Championship game. Payback? I don't know, I think it is a bad matchup for the Steelers, especially after losing Casey Hampton & Chad Scott but we'll see....Anyway, only have time for brief comment on each game as I have a busy weekend ahead.
Washington +1.5 -105
Favre has a bruised hand. Despite the loss of Taylor, WASH secondary matches up better than most teams versus GB receivers. WASH defense has been rock solid but offense has been problem. GB may be without Harris & Sharper in the secondary AND GB strugles to put pressure on QB. May actually be an opportunity for Brunell to have success. Plus, WASH needs to win so "W" gets re-elected.
Arizona/Buffalo UNDER 34.5 -111
Buffalo among leagues worst in red zone versus Arizona which is among league's best in red zone defense. Both teams will try to run but will struggle to maintain drives because both units running games are very inconsistent. Arizona was successful in disrupting Seattle and Hasselbeck, I don't figure the Bills O-line & Bledsoe to give them a tougher matchup.
Jacksonville/Houston OVER 42 -106
Texans allowing 2.3 TD passes/game and JAX & Leftwich have something going with the shotgun formation and 3 WR sets. HOU respecting the pass will open lanes for Taylor who got untracked last week. HOU allowing 5.1 YPC @ home. HOU WRs present matchup problems for JAX and also should have success running the ball also as their BIG O-line matches up well with JAX D-line.
Atlanta/Denver UNDER 39 -107
Michael Vick was shut down by the CHIEFS. His struggles with the passing game are not likely to improve against Denver's secondary. Denver also very strong versus the run despite their Monday Night choke job and their LBs have speed to run down Warrick Dunn. Denver lacks the big-play receivers that can blow a game wide open and should focus on the run game which will keep the clock-ticking. I expect an "A" effort from the Falcons defense after laying an egg in a BIG way last week.
Carolina/Seattle UNDER 39 -105
CAR down to Hoover in running game. Delhomme is out of sink with his receivers partly due to terrible pass protection. SEA does an excellent job of pressuring QBs PLUS gets Chad Brown back this week. CAR could only manage 6 point versus SD...SEA is going to focus on the running game this week to take some pressure off of Hasselbeck and CAR doesn't take many chances on defense so a bend/don't break philosophy is good for the UNDER as it eats the clock.
Oakland/SD OVER 46 -107
Charles Wodson is doubtful which obviously weakens OAK secondary. LT should have great success running on OAK which will open up play action for Brees versus the Woodson-less secondary. OAK has allowed 30+ the last 4 weeks with Woodson... OAK running game is non-existent so they will throw all day(extends the game) due to this and also to keep up with SD. OAK O-line did a nice job protecting Collins last week and SD has allowed 5 of 6 QBs to throw for multiple scores.
Chicago -1.5 -108
Lesser of two evils here. The Bears offense is bad but the defense is respectable. SF is without its top 2 corners so MAYBE the QB change will spark a little success in passing game. Rattay is also banged up and is questionable. The Bears secondary is decent with the return of Azumah. Perspective - the Bears held GB to 10 on the road & PHI to 19 at home. SF allowed 28 to ARIZ at home.
I have lost about 13 units in 3 weeks.
