- Phi Rush Off: 106.1 YPG (22nd) vs. 76.9 YPGA (1st): Min Rush Def
- Phi Pass Off: 244.2 YPG (6th) vs. 215.6 YPGA (18th): Min Pass Def
- Phi Rush Def: 92.2 YPGA (4th) vs. 145.8 YPG (5th): Min Rush Off
- Phi Pass Def: 182.1 YPGA (3rd) vs. 184.8 YPG (25th): Min Pass Off
- Phi Points For: 26.0 PPG (6th) vs. 20.8 PPGA (13th): Min Points Against
- Phi Points Against: 18.1 PPGA (4th) vs. 23.7 PPG (12th): Min Points For
The "cross-averages score" for this game is Phi 21.9 (Phi PPG scored + Min PPG allowed then divde by 2) - Min 20.9 (Min PPG scored + Phi PPG allowed then divide by 2) which equals out to 42.8. The total opened at 43 and currently sits at 41. Kind of strange to see that number go down as 83% of the public is currently betting the over (reverse line movement alert!).
I honestly can't see the Vikes scoring more than 17 points. Tavaris Jackson will be blitzed all day and I just can't see him responding very well to the pressure. He may very well end up throwing 2 or 3 picks and possibly fumbling the ball 1 or 2 times also. That puts all the pressure on Adrian Peterson and the Minnesota ground game to win this game. That's not a good recipe.
The Eagles will run the ball more than they have been because they'll anticipate the Vikings dropping back and protecting against the pass a lot more than they'll worry about the run. Will this be a good strategy? Probably not considering how successful their pass game has been.
With the idea in my head that both teams will be running the ball more than they'll be passing the ball, the clock will be ticking away and the game will see shorter than usual. That is even more good news for people who like the under in this game. Like I said earlier, I don't see Minnesota scoring more than 17 points and I see the Eagles winning this game with the score being something like 23-16 or 17-13 Eagles. Should be a great game and if these two teams play like their expected to, there won't be that much scoring. And as you can tell by my score predictions, I like the Eagles to cover but am not making it a play. I might put a little money on it but nothing worth noting.
Good luck everyone.
Ray Edwards is officially out. Pat Williams should and I expect him to play. These guys step it up for the playoffs. Just look at Anquon Boldin on Saturday. I had Edwards out in my mind as I looked at this game. He did OK during the regular season, but his production can be replaced to an acceptable extent by their backups.
Thanks kingking, GL to you too.
Something for everyone to keep in mind; when the lines first came out for this weekend, we had 4 home dogs. On saturday, half of them won. I don't see the oddsmakers being wrong 4 out of 4 times and maybe not even 3 out of 4 times. What I'm sayin is, if Baltimore beats Miami and especially if they cover, the Eagles will most likely become a noteworthy play for me also. And I know that the Cardinals eventually got bet into being the favorite, but I'm going by the original lines set by the oddsmakers.
Something for everyone to keep in mind; when the lines first came out for this weekend, we had 4 home dogs. On saturday, half of them won. I don't see the oddsmakers being wrong 4 out of 4 times and maybe not even 3 out of 4 times. What I'm sayin is, if Baltimore beats Miami and especially if they cover, the Eagles will most likely become a noteworthy play for me also. And I know that the Cardinals eventually got bet into being the favorite, but I'm going by the original lines set by the oddsmakers.
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It's possible (anything is possible, just ask Kevin Garnett lol) but even with that score I wouldn't be completely upset since I'd push. We shall see.
BTW, keeping an eye on the Ravens/Dolphins game. After the Falcons lost yesterday with Matt Ryan as their QB, rookie QBs are now 0-4 on the road in the playoffs since the merger. Can Joey Flacco end that streak? I doubt it, but we'll see.
Although I said I was leaning towards the Eagles and would almost definitely take them if Miami defeated Baltimore, I just a remembered a dream I had last night/this morning in which Philly lost the game. Laugh at me all you want lol, but my dreams have been pretty darn accurate when it comes to sports.
