About the system:
This system is based on probability and odds. To make a long story short, I am using this year's individual and team statistics to come up with probabilities on games. In other words, crunching the numbers, based on certain categories, in attempt to try to come to the likelihood of an outcome of a game. Nothing is certain; hence, there is no such thing as a lock. However, sometimes, some outcomes are more probable than not. Get the drift? For example, a sky full of clouds produces a higher chance of rain compared to a sky with only one cloud in it. The higher probability I find, then the higher star play I will make it. I.e. A 5* play has the highest probability of winning according to my system.
Also, as with any bet, unforeseeable circumstances such as in-game injuries or great players having shitty days cannot be accounted for prior to a game and could result in a loss. However, when an injury exists prior to a game, and a player is out, then I can take that into account when crunching the numbers.
Just to fill those in who haven't followed me in the past two days, I just started playing the system two days ago. In those two days I have gone 15-2-1. I maybe due for a bad run??? Therefore, this maybe good fade material...who knows??? This system is new, so could just be a lucky start.
As I previously mentioned, this system is based on a 5 star rating with a 5* having the highest probability of winning (according to my system) and 1* being a regular bet. I've decided to add "leans" today. I was hesitant to put leans on here because I do not consider these (leans) as plays that I would bet on. They are basically have good potential, but just barely not strong enough to make a play. I wouldn't advise treating those plays as possible money-making situations. Maybe they can be used as a devise to pursuade one to make a play he/she already had eyes on, or not making a play on an uncertain game.
Anyway, just thought I would fill in those who have an interest in my system so they would know I'm not just drawing team names out of a hat or throwing darts at a board.
Today's plays:
I've got action in both NCAA and NBA tonight, so I'm going to post this in each forum.
NCAA:
1* Marist/Canisius UNDER 129
LEAN: Brown +6
LEAN: San Fransisco +8.5
NBA:
2* Memphis Grizzlies +6
1* NJ Nets +12
1* Pheonix Suns -4
(all lines taken from www.covers.com)
BOL to all today!
Hookem
*****
YTD record:
5* 0-0
4* 1-0
3* 1-0
2* 2-1-1
1* 13-1
TOTAL: 17-2-1
This system is based on probability and odds. To make a long story short, I am using this year's individual and team statistics to come up with probabilities on games. In other words, crunching the numbers, based on certain categories, in attempt to try to come to the likelihood of an outcome of a game. Nothing is certain; hence, there is no such thing as a lock. However, sometimes, some outcomes are more probable than not. Get the drift? For example, a sky full of clouds produces a higher chance of rain compared to a sky with only one cloud in it. The higher probability I find, then the higher star play I will make it. I.e. A 5* play has the highest probability of winning according to my system.
Also, as with any bet, unforeseeable circumstances such as in-game injuries or great players having shitty days cannot be accounted for prior to a game and could result in a loss. However, when an injury exists prior to a game, and a player is out, then I can take that into account when crunching the numbers.
Just to fill those in who haven't followed me in the past two days, I just started playing the system two days ago. In those two days I have gone 15-2-1. I maybe due for a bad run??? Therefore, this maybe good fade material...who knows??? This system is new, so could just be a lucky start.
As I previously mentioned, this system is based on a 5 star rating with a 5* having the highest probability of winning (according to my system) and 1* being a regular bet. I've decided to add "leans" today. I was hesitant to put leans on here because I do not consider these (leans) as plays that I would bet on. They are basically have good potential, but just barely not strong enough to make a play. I wouldn't advise treating those plays as possible money-making situations. Maybe they can be used as a devise to pursuade one to make a play he/she already had eyes on, or not making a play on an uncertain game.
Anyway, just thought I would fill in those who have an interest in my system so they would know I'm not just drawing team names out of a hat or throwing darts at a board.
Today's plays:
I've got action in both NCAA and NBA tonight, so I'm going to post this in each forum.
NCAA:
1* Marist/Canisius UNDER 129
LEAN: Brown +6
LEAN: San Fransisco +8.5
NBA:
2* Memphis Grizzlies +6
1* NJ Nets +12
1* Pheonix Suns -4
(all lines taken from www.covers.com)
BOL to all today!
Hookem
*****
YTD record:
5* 0-0
4* 1-0
3* 1-0
2* 2-1-1
1* 13-1
TOTAL: 17-2-1
