LV Review (Subscription)
Kansas State vs. Texas Christian (-2½, 62): The Big 12 title game is a rematch of a 38-28 Horned Frogs win and cover Oct. 22. TCU is 9-2-1 ATS this season. The Wildcats are 4-5 as an underdog since last season. Edge: TCU.
Toledo (-1½, 55) vs. Ohio: These teams didn’t meet in the regular season, but the Rockets won 35-23 and covered a year ago. Toledo is riding a five-game ATS losing streak. The Bobcats are surging with wins in seven straight and covers in eight straight. Edge: Ohio.
Coastal Carolina at Troy (-8½, 48): The Chanticleers are on a 2-5 ATS skid but have covered six straight as an underdog since 2020. The Trojans have won their past nine straight up and are 7-2 ATS in those games. Troy’s past two games have gone under after a 5-0 over streak. These teams didn’t meet in the regular season. Edge: Troy.
Central Florida at Tulane (-3½, 56½): This is a rematch of the Knights’ 38-31 road win Nov. 12, part of a 5-1 ATS run. Central Florida has gone 0-2 ATS since. The Green Wave are on a 14-3 ATS run. Edge: Tulane.
Fresno State at Boise State (-3½, 54): Boise State closed on a 6-2 ATS run and has covered four of its past five at home. The Broncos rolled 40-20 when these teams met Oct. 14, and Fresno State has won seven in a row since. The Bulldogs had five straight over results before staying under against Wyoming last week. Edge: Fresno State.
Louisiana State vs. Georgia (-17½, 51): Underdogs are 4-1 ATS in the past five Southeastern Conference title games. This is the first meeting between these teams since the 2019 SEC championship. The Tigers were on a 7-3 ATS run before losing to Texas A&M and are 3-1 as an underdog in 2022. The Bulldogs are 6-6 ATS and on a 10-4 under run since late 2021. Edge: LSU and under.
Clemson (-7½, 63½) vs. North Carolina: These teams haven’t played since 2019. The Tigers are 6-6 ATS. The Tar Heels have lost two straight outright and three of their past four ATS but are 3-0 as an underdog this season. Three of North Carolina’s past four games have gone under, and it would have been four straight if not for double overtime against North Carolina State last week. Edge: North Carolina and under.
Purdue vs. Michigan (-17, 52): This is the first meeting between the Big Ten schools since 2017. The Boilermakers went 2-4 ATS down the stretch, but they are 6-2 ATS their past eight away from home and 6-3 in their past nine as an underdog. The Wolverines are 4-1-1 ATS in their past six and on a 9-3-1 under run. Edge: Under and Purdue.
Kansas State vs. Texas Christian (-2½, 62): The Big 12 title game is a rematch of a 38-28 Horned Frogs win and cover Oct. 22. TCU is 9-2-1 ATS this season. The Wildcats are 4-5 as an underdog since last season. Edge: TCU.
Toledo (-1½, 55) vs. Ohio: These teams didn’t meet in the regular season, but the Rockets won 35-23 and covered a year ago. Toledo is riding a five-game ATS losing streak. The Bobcats are surging with wins in seven straight and covers in eight straight. Edge: Ohio.
Coastal Carolina at Troy (-8½, 48): The Chanticleers are on a 2-5 ATS skid but have covered six straight as an underdog since 2020. The Trojans have won their past nine straight up and are 7-2 ATS in those games. Troy’s past two games have gone under after a 5-0 over streak. These teams didn’t meet in the regular season. Edge: Troy.
Central Florida at Tulane (-3½, 56½): This is a rematch of the Knights’ 38-31 road win Nov. 12, part of a 5-1 ATS run. Central Florida has gone 0-2 ATS since. The Green Wave are on a 14-3 ATS run. Edge: Tulane.
Fresno State at Boise State (-3½, 54): Boise State closed on a 6-2 ATS run and has covered four of its past five at home. The Broncos rolled 40-20 when these teams met Oct. 14, and Fresno State has won seven in a row since. The Bulldogs had five straight over results before staying under against Wyoming last week. Edge: Fresno State.
Louisiana State vs. Georgia (-17½, 51): Underdogs are 4-1 ATS in the past five Southeastern Conference title games. This is the first meeting between these teams since the 2019 SEC championship. The Tigers were on a 7-3 ATS run before losing to Texas A&M and are 3-1 as an underdog in 2022. The Bulldogs are 6-6 ATS and on a 10-4 under run since late 2021. Edge: LSU and under.
Clemson (-7½, 63½) vs. North Carolina: These teams haven’t played since 2019. The Tigers are 6-6 ATS. The Tar Heels have lost two straight outright and three of their past four ATS but are 3-0 as an underdog this season. Three of North Carolina’s past four games have gone under, and it would have been four straight if not for double overtime against North Carolina State last week. Edge: North Carolina and under.
Purdue vs. Michigan (-17, 52): This is the first meeting between the Big Ten schools since 2017. The Boilermakers went 2-4 ATS down the stretch, but they are 6-2 ATS their past eight away from home and 6-3 in their past nine as an underdog. The Wolverines are 4-1-1 ATS in their past six and on a 9-3-1 under run. Edge: Under and Purdue.
K State, with a win, gets the conference championship, but also gets a much better bowl game, I guess a Jan 1 game in Florida or somewhere top notch. A loss, and they probably go to a much less attractive bowl.
Unless TCU gets blown out, they go to the 4 team playoffs.
Sure, the same applies to other teams today, but LSU and Purdue are highly unlikely to win SU.
Unless TCU gets blown out, they go to the 4 team playoffs.
Sure, the same applies to other teams today, but LSU and Purdue are highly unlikely to win SU.
Wouldn't get in if it is totality
There is only debate because Ohio St and Bama have household names
Maybe in people minds they can say they are better. Maybe they are. But what they have done and their record shows NO. Just like times when NFL, NBA or NHL teams may be better but don't make the playoffs you have to put record first and neither Alabama or Ohio St have been dominant
Alabam essentially has 2.5 losse compared to 1 if TCU loses and Ohio St 1.5
Alabama may have a bit tougher schedule.... Ohio St did not
We are not talking about a UCF or Cincinnati with 1 loss
I will leave it at that and discussion of the games since that is what it is for
How has Ohio State not been dominant?
Ohio State won first 11 games by double-digits - only team to do that in the country.
If it is about dominance, then TCU belongs nowhere near the playoff. They have escaped a lot of close calls in an objectively worse conference than the Big Ten. You can dog the Big Ten if you'd like, but reality is it's the second best conference in the country right now.
Ohio State would be a touchdown favorite over TCU, and it's not because they are a "household name"
Hell, Ohio State would probably be a slight favorite if they played Michigan on a neutral field. Probably 1 or 2 points
You should go ask Georgia if they'd rather play Ohio State or TCU in the semi-final. 2 seed is advantageous.
Wrong thread to do this in I guess , so I'll stop too
I know the crooks will want Bama in but a two loss team back doors into the playoffs, I do not think so.
Bama's resume is not that good, either. TCU SOS # 21, Bama # 28.
Didn't QB Martinez get hurt, out of game, first game between these two? TCU got last 21 points in the game... some of these games they downplay the loss of an important QB but to me that is significant.
I am going w K State but not "big", TCU is a miracle team and I hope they make the playoffs even if they lose, though Ohio State (SOS #44) and Bama have huge fan support and will fill the stadiums and hotels better than lil TCU.
Bama's resume is not that good, either. TCU SOS # 21, Bama # 28.
Didn't QB Martinez get hurt, out of game, first game between these two? TCU got last 21 points in the game... some of these games they downplay the loss of an important QB but to me that is significant.
I am going w K State but not "big", TCU is a miracle team and I hope they make the playoffs even if they lose, though Ohio State (SOS #44) and Bama have huge fan support and will fill the stadiums and hotels better than lil TCU.
Go Frogs!!!!
