Wake Forest vs. Duke Free NCAA Basketball Picks and Odds Analysis

Daivien Williamson #4 of the Wake Forest Demon Deacons drives against Jeremy Roach #3 of the Duke Blue Devils. Grant Halverson/Getty Images/AFP

Closer and closer we stride towards Mike Krzyzewski’s final game as head coach at Duke, and that has us looking at the NCAA basketball odds at Unibet for Tuesday’s tilt in Durham against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Duke Blue Devils

Tuesday, February 15, 2022 – 07:00 PM EST at Cameron Indoor Stadium

Wake Forest could be facing a Duke team coached by Mike Krzyzewski for the last time when the old Tobacco Road rivals meet in Durham on Tuesday.

It’s a rivalry that has been dominated by the Blue Devils, and if the Demon Deacons are to get another crack at Coach K, it would have to be in the conference tourney or some freak matchup during March Madness.

Projected to finish well back in the ACC pack by the college basketball futures, Wake Forest is safely in the NCAA Tournament at this time. The Demon Deacons are fifth in the ACC and would really love to move up one spot to grab a double-bye granted to the top 4 finishers in the league.

Duke is making good on projections to win the ACC, the Blue Devils are presently tied for first with a surprising Notre Dame squad.

Blue Devils Have Won Last 25 Meetings in Durham

A rematch from about five weeks ago in Winston-Salem, the prime-time contest will be carried by ESPN and Duke is giving up 10½ at most outlets. The teams have contradicting totals records on the season, and Tuesday’s scoreboard target is 149.

Wake Forest drew one of its biggest crowds in more than a decade when Krzyzewski made his last appearance at Veteran’s Memorial Coliseum in Winston-Salem on January 12. After a tightly played first half, the Blue Devils smoked the Demon Deacons with a 20-6 run to start the second half and propel Duke to a 76-64 decision.

Shooting better than 50% from the field – going 7-15 from 3-point range – and committing just seven turnovers were the biggest factors in Duke’s win at Wake Forest in the first meeting.

The Blue Devils were giving up 6 points at most sportsbooks, their second consecutive cover and sixth in the last nine meetings. Duke leads the series 177-79 and has won 24 of the last 26.

Wake Forest last tasted victory at Cameron in January 1997, Duke winning 25-straight on its home floor since then. As bad as the Blue Devils were a season ago – at least by their standards – they still beat the Demon Deacons two times, though the 79-68 win at Cameron didn’t quite cover the spread.

Deacs Off Upset Home Loss to ‘Canes

When the Demon Deacons hosted Duke in January, they won the glass battle primarily by denying the Blue Devils to grab offensive boards. Duke pulled down just four offensive rebounds, and the Wake Forest postgame report really made a big deal about how the Demon Deacons didn’t let the Blue Devils have any second-chance points.

Of course, when you let Duke shoot nearly 51% from the field and almost 47% from 3-point range, there really isn’t a lot of need for second-chance points.

Wake Forest has done a much better job in those two columns on the season and will need to do better tonight if it intends to pull off the outright upset or at least cover the betting odds.

Steve Forbes’ squad also limited Miami to just four offensive rebounds this past Saturday, and that ended in a loss as well as the Hurricanes scored a 76-72 decision. Wake Forest was 7-point home chalk, and 17 turnovers negated a fine shooting performance by the Demon Deacons.

Duke 3-4 ATS in ACC Home Contests

The Blue Devils’ need to make up a couple of games postponed by a pause due to virus protocols has made for a busy couple of weeks. As a result, Duke has been on the road for five of its last six, covering the numbers at online betting sites in four of those away games. The one home contest was an outright loss to Virginia early last week as 11-point chalk.

Duke got back into the win column twice after falling to the Cavaliers, beating both Clemson and Boston College on the road.

The Blue Devils covered the 7-point spread at Clemson but fell about a bucket short of beating the -13½ up on Chestnut Hill. Duke had a 21-point lead over the Eagles last Saturday with a little more than four minutes remaining but managed to score just one measly point the rest of the way.

The Pick

We know the numbers on Duke are always inflated to draw in a little more of the public’s money. As an unashamed member of that public, my college basketball pick will be to take the Demon Deacons and the points.

NCAAB Pick: Wake Forest +10½ (-108) at Unibet