We’re back with part 2 of our UFC Fight Night predictions. The UFC in Vegas 28: Jarizinho Roenstruik vs. Augusto Sakai main card UFC Odds are available. Read on for our complete betting guide and preview next weekend’s favourite matchups, including updated odds and our free expert betting predictions.
UFC in Vegas 28 Co-Main Event Prediction
Walt Harris vs. Marcin Tybura
UFC Heavyweight Bout
Saturday, June 05, 2021 – 11:05 PM EDT at Apex Centre
This weekend’s main card fights are stacked with heavyweight, middleweight, and welterweight big-boys of the UFC roster. The co-main event will be no different as heavyweight contenders Walt Harris and Marcin Tybura will lead us into the main event of the evening.
Marcin Tybura is riding the first four-fight win streak of his UFC career; with a mixture of high and low-level opposition, it has been hard to gauge his worth, but he can no longer deny his willingness to win a fight.
Walt Harris can wrestle, but versus Tybura, I don’t expect him to approach this game plan. Tybura is quite the wrestler himself; just ask Greg Hardy, who fell victim to the Poilshmans heavy top game via a ground and pound stoppage.
Marcin Tybura is vital inside the clinch, he doesn’t use the position to protect himself or take a break, but he will utilize elbows, uppercuts and make the most of his cage work.
Walt Harris possesses some heavyhanded strikes, but as we have witnessed repeatedly, outside of the first round, his offence becomes stale. I believe that once Tybura can weather the storm during those first five minutes, all it would take is one takedown, and Harris will lose the fight because of his unfavourable gas tank.
When the heavyweights have thrown down, it’s an often occurrence we witness somebody go to sleep. So, instead of taking the risk and picking a side, I can appreciate the value being offered in the over/under betting market.
UFC Vegas 28 Best Bet: Fight doesn’t go the distance at -161 with William Hill (1.61u returns 1u profit)
UFC in Vegas 28 Main Card Prediction
Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Miguel Baeza
UFC Welterweight Bout
at Apex Centre
Not quite as large as the heavyweights, but they sure do a pack a punch – next up, we’re focussing on the UFC’s welterweight division where rising star Miguel Baeza will face up against a former rising star in Santiago Ponzinibbio.
Miguel Baeza’s stock since joining the UFC roster has been on a constant incline, as the undefeated American of Puerto Rican descent sits comfortably with a 10-0 record (3-0 UFC). In addition, his three UFC contests have all ended via knockout or submission, making him a dangerous threat to anybody who dares challenges him.
With that said, Ponzinibbio should be fearless to the young blood this weekend. During his UFC stint (2013-2018), a dominant career was momentarily sidetracked due to health issues. Although
Ponzinibbio fell victim to Li Jingliang upon returning to the octagon earlier this year, the Argentinian powerhouse should have a lot to prove this Saturday night.
Both fighters enjoy a striking battle. Both men possess a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu; however, neither fighter has been more active through their ground game, leading us to believe this contest will remain standing for most of each round.
Let us take the same route as our previous breakdown and lean towards the under. The finishing rate for both Baeza and Ponzinibbio is exceptionally high, and given the current value on the board, it’s hard to pass up. Both fighters can finish this fight on the feet, and Baeza proved his BJJ skills when he fought in the octagon with an arm triangle stoppage.
UFC Vegas 28 Best Bet: Under 2 and a ½ rounds at -138 with BetMGM (1.38u returns 1u profit)
