It’s a smaller slate in the NBA tonight. But that won’t stop us from finding some angles and earning some profit. Here are three NBA picks to consider for tonight’s slate.
Pistons vs. Hornets: Pistons +7 (-110) at Caesars
Celtics vs. Knicks: Knicks +3 (-110) at Caesars
Magic vs. Pelicans: Under 227.5 (-110) at Caesars
Detroit Pistons vs. Charlotte Hornets
Monday, February 27, 2023 – 07:00 PM EST at Spectrum Center
The Detroit Pistons have lost four straight games. Detroit failed to score 100 in its last game against Toronto, losing 95-91. Now they’ll take on the Charlotte Hornets in tonight’s game. If the Pistons don’t score 100, we’ve got a problem.
The Pistons are scoring just 111.1 points per 100 possessions this season. The offense has shot an effective field goal percentage of 52.6%, and the turnovers are getting high at 15%. Detroit should still have success on the offensive glass and will get to the foul line at a decent rate. That should help them offensively.
Meanwhile, the Hornets need to be more consistent offensively, scoring just 110 points per 100 possessions. Charlotte’s done better with limiting turnovers. The Hornets should also earn a solid number of second chances, as the Pistons have allowed their opponents a 28.2% offensive rebounding rate this season. Still, the Hornets usually don’t get to the foul line at a high rate. That could change against the Pistons, but I’d like to think that the Pistons will still earn more foul shots in this game.
While the stats might suggest taking Detroit, the Hornets are currently on a four-game winning streak with wins against quality teams like the Timberwolves and Heat. 7 points are too many for the Hornets, even at home. I’ll take the Pistons with the points.
NBA Pick: Pistons +7 (-110) at Caesars
Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks
Monday, February 27, 2023 – 07:30 PM EST at Madison Square Garden
The Knicks have won five straight games. They’re rising in the East standings but still aren’t close to the Boston Celtics, who have nine more wins than the Knicks. Still, the Knicks defeated the Celtics the last time they faced each other, with a thrilling 120-117 overtime win on January 26. Due to personal reasons, the Celtics won’t have Jaylen Brown for tonight’s game. This is the perfect time for the Knicks to prove themselves with the Celtics shorthanded.
The Celtics are typically a top-tier offense. The Celtics have scored 118.6 points per 100 possessions while shooting an effective field goal percentage of 57%. Boston limits turnovers to 13.2% but won’t always dominate the offensive glass. The offense could lag slightly without Brown in the lineup, but the Celtics are deep enough to be a problem without him playing. If the Celtics can’t make shots from the field, offensive rebounds and second chances won’t come to them as easily against the Knicks.
New York Knicks
The Knicks score at an excellent rate. But they don’t shoot high-quality looks. Instead, the Knicks rely on limiting turnovers, earning second chances, and getting to the foul line. Boston’s usually good at keeping teams off the offensive glass and doesn’t foul at a high rate. With Mitchell Robinson back in the lineup, the Knicks will be even more active on the glass than they’ve been.
The Knicks are at home as a three-point underdog, despite Jaylen Brown unavailable. I’m taking the Knicks and the points with the crowd on New York’s side.
NBA Pick: Knicks +2.5 (-110) at Caesars
Orlando Magic vs. New Orleans Pelicans
Monday, February 27, 2023 – 08:00 PM EST at Smoothie King Center
The New Orleans Pelicans have fallen below .500 and don’t have a true timetable for the return of Zion Williamson. The season is about to go into shambles. If the Pelicans can’t beat the Orlando Magic at home, Pelicans fans will stop showing up to games.
The Magic already earned a 123-110 victory over the Pelicans earlier this season. The Magic have won just one game in their last five and have scored no more than 110 in any of those five games. The offense can get to the foul line, but that’s about it.
However, the Pelicans are below-averaging, scoring 114.3 points per 100 possessions. New Orleans is good on the offensive glass and getting to the foul line, but the Magic are also above-average defensively in those categories.
The Magic aren’t going to shoot the lights out of the building. But if I like the Magic to win this game potentially, the Pelicans won’t shoot it well, either. Back the Under 227 in tonight’s matchup.
NBA Pick: Under 227 (-110) at Caesars