This is the last week of the regular season for college basketball, and teams are running out of time to make a postseason push and secure a spot in the NCAA Tournament. If the season were to end today, we’d see plenty of traditional blue-blood programs miss the mark.
North Carolina, Michigan, and Texas Tech are all on the wrong side of the bubble. On the other side of the bracket, teams like Kansas, Tennessee, and Purdue are trying to move up boards.
So, let’s take a look and see what the best NCAAB picks are for this group of games on Tuesday. We have a fascinating slate to end the regular season, and there is room for solid value.
Texas Tech vs. Kansas: Texas Tech +9.5 (-105) at BetMGM
Arkansas vs. Tennessee: Tennessee -6 (-110) at Caesars
Texas A&M vs. Ole Miss: Texas A&M -5 (-110) at Caesars
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas Jayhawks
Tuesday, February 28, 2023 – 09:00 PM EST at Allen Fieldhouse
The Kansas Jayhawks are expected to be a one-seed, but things are not solidified with games left on the schedule. KU hosts Texas Tech, a team that is in dire need of a win to make the NCAA Tournament.
The timing of this game makes this matchup so important. If this were a random week in the middle of the season, Kansas would be expected to roll through Texas Tech. However, the Red Raiders desperately need a statement win at this point in the year.
Let me be clear. I don’t think that Texas Tech gets that win. However, this energy is enough to keep this game close heading down the stretch. The Jayhawks will put this game on ice in the last few minutes, but I don’t think that they will have enough time to win by double digits.
The Texas Tech Red Raiders have proven that they can put points on the board. Here is their scoring output in recent weeks:
- 82 points vs. TCU
- 74 points vs. Oklahoma
- 78 points vs. West Virginia
- 74 points vs. Texas
This squad will score, but they won’t be able to stop Kansas late in the game. Give me the Red Raiders to cover in a loss.
NCAAB Pick: Texas Tech +9.5 (-105) at BetMGM
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Tennessee Volunteers
Tuesday, February 28, 2023 – 09:00 PM EST at Thompson-Boling Arena
Arkansas is firmly in the NCAA Tournament, but they could use some wins if they want to bump up to a 7-seed or better. For a team that has a reputation for reaching the Elite Eight, the Razorbacks have not lived up to the hype this season.
They will travel to play Tennessee, a team that has been inconsistent, late in the year. The Vols are 3-5 in the last eight games, and they haven’t won on the road since January 21. The good news for the Vols is that this game is in Knoxville. They play significantly better at home, and the crowd will be rocking on Tuesday.
Tennessee ends the season with two games against NCAA Tournament teams. A win here would help their resume and give them a chance to move up a seed in the SEC Tournament.
I like the Vols to cover at home. Arkansas is playing better in recent weeks, but they collapsed against Alabama on Saturday. On the flip side, Tennessee saw a lot of success against an inferior South Carolina team. Arkansas is clearly a tougher challenge, but there is value in seeing success this late in the year.
NCAAB Pick: Tennessee -6 (-110) at Caesars
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Ole Miss Rebels
Tuesday, February 28, 2023 – 09:00 PM EST at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss
The Aggies could win a portion of the regular season SEC Title if they win out, but they have a tough slate ahead of them. They travel to Ole Miss before hosting Alabama, the best team in the conference.
Texas A&M is coming off a loss on Saturday against Mississippi State, and Ole Miss got a win on the same day. Still, the Aggies are clearly the better team. I don’t see the crowd playing a significant role in this one.
Wade Taylor IV has shined this year in a new role for the Aggies. He is shooting more consistently, and his ability to distribute makes him an offensive weapon. I don’t see anyone for the Rebels slowing him down.
Texas A&M will get back on track before hosting Alabama, and they will cover the spread in the process.
NCAAB Pick: Texas A&M -5 (-110) at Caesars