Super Bowl Odds Analysis and Value Picks Before Wild Card Weekend

Justin Herbert Los Angeles Chargers Indianapolis Colts
Justin Herbert #10 of the Los Angeles Chargers looks to pass the ball against the Indianapolis Colts. Justin Casterline/Getty Images/AFP.

Here at TheRX, with the NFL regular season over, we take a look into the Super Bowl odds before the Wild Card Weekend to find some valuable NFL picks.

Super Bowl Odds

TeamOddsSportsbook
Kansas City Chief+340BetMGM
Buffalo Bills+420FanDuel
Buffalo Bills+550Caesars Sportsbook
San Francisco 49ers+550FanDuel
Cincinnati Bengals+850BetRivers
Dallas Cowboys+1400BetRivers
Los Angeles Chargers+2500BetRivers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+3000BetRivers
Minnesota Vikings+3500DraftKings
Baltimore Ravens+4000Caesars Sportsbook
Jacksonville Jaguars+5000Caesars Sportsbook
Miami Dolphins+6000Bet365
Seattle Seahawks+6500FanDuel
New York Giants+6600BetMGM

Readers and followers will remember that I did a mid-season look at the best NFL odds, and with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers winning the NFC South we have already bagged one winner.

We also have much to follow in the coming weeks with the NFC No.1 seed the Philadelphia Eagles for the conference in pole position, Jalen Hurts competitive for MVP if somehow Patrick Mahomes loses the plot, and the San Francisco 49ers in contention for the Super Bowl.


NFL Wild Card Weekend Schedule

Saturday, January 14, 2023

• Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers: 04:30 PM EST at Levi’s Stadium

• Los Angeles Chargers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 08:15 PM EST at TIAA Bank Field

Sunday, January 15, 2023

· Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills: 01:00 PM EST at Highmark Stadium

· New York Giants vs. Minnesota Vikings: 04:30 PM EST at U.S. Bank Stadium

· Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals: 08:15 PM EST at Paycor Stadium

Monday, January 16, 2023

· Dallas Cowboys vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 08:15 PM EST at Raymond James Stadium


Los Angeles Chargers

If there is one NFL side getting healthier as we approach the Wild Card Weekend perhaps it’s the Los Angeles Chargers. This is despite, wide-receiver, Mike Williams suffering back spasms against the Denver Broncos at the weekend, when Chargers coach, Brandon Staley, was unapologetic for playing a full-strength side even though the Chargers had the No.5 seed locked up.

Playing a full-strength side of starters doesn’t necessarily mean the Bolts had their usual intensity and indeed, they substituted star quarterback, Justin Herbert, before the final quarter so losing to the Broncos has to be taken with a pinch of salt.

Can LA Make a Charge to the Super Bowl?

If the Bolts are to make a charge at the Super Bowl for Los Angeles they will be bargaining on their star quarterback to produce the goods but they have strength and class in other areas of the team. As well as Herbert being saved from a rough fourth quarter, Staley took no chances with their defensive quality, pulling Derwin James Jr., Khalil Mack and Drue Tranquill before the finishing period.

One factor that could serve the Bolts well in the knockout stage of the Super Bowl competition is the experience formed during a number of close matches they’ve played in the regular season, remember two of their closest losses were against the Kansas City Chiefs.

Let’s not forget, the Kansas City Chiefs are strong favourites entering the final stages so we can take it that the Los Angeles Chargers are not as far behind them as the Super Bowl odds market would have you believe.

My advice is to take the +2500 with BetMGM about the L.A. Chargers winning the Super Bowl while adding a bet on them to beat the Jacksonville Jaguars on Wild Card Weekend at -115 with Caesars Sportsbook.

NFL Super Bowl Pick: Los Angeles Chargers (+2500) at BetMGM

NFL Wild Card Weekend Pick: Los Angeles Chargers ML (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook


Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Retirement seems to be looming large for the GOAT, Tom Brady, but has he got the legs for one last hurrah? If we are talking about winning the Super Bowl, then probably it’s a “No” but he could inflict damage on the Dallas Cowboys one last time this Wild Card Weekend.

Will There Be One Last Hurrah for Tom Brady?

Amazingly, Brady is 7-0 against the Dallas Cowboys in his illustrious career and the pressure will be heaped on America’s favourite team this weekend.

Those expectations are already appearing to burden the psyche of the Cowboys as the Playoffs approach and coach, Mike McCarthy, will be desperate not to leave the fans with those overwhelming feelings of a letdown from the recent playoffs.

The rumour mill about McCarthy’s future is in full flow with successors being inferred everywhere you read so he knows the Cowboys’ performances will be under more scrutiny from this Wild Card Weekend onwards than all season long.

For me, this is a super obvious spot where Tom Brady will raise his game for the last time like he has done his entire career and leave Dallas in a state of deflation. Take Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat the Dallas Cowboys on Wild Card Weekend at +130 with Caesars Sportsbook.

NFL Wild Card Weekend Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML (+130) at Caesars Sportsbook