The 5-2-1 Seattle Seahawks visit the 7-1 New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium. The Seahawks are off a hard-fought 31-25 win over Buffalo, while the 7-1 Patriots are off a 41-25 win over Buffalo prior to their bye. This contest will be televised on NBC with a start time of 8:30 pm EST.
Vegas odds have the Patriots listed as 7.5 point favorites, while the total has been set at 49.
Breaking Down The Seattle Seahawks
The Seattle Seahawks are at 5-2-1 on the year and in 1st place in the NFC North, but they hardly look like a team that has made it to the Super Bowl in 2 of the last 3 years. Seattle has just one win this year that is more than 10 points and that was vs San Francisco. In their last 4 games they beat Atlanta by just 2 at home, played to a 6-6 tie with Arizona, lost by 5 to New Orleans on the road and beat Buffalo by just 6 points. This is a model of inconsistency and that is not good when you are about to face the best team in the league right now. The problem for Seattle has been their offense this year, which comes in ranked 216th in total yards, 13th in passing, 30th in rushing and 23rd in scoring, putting up 20.2 ppg. Where is the running game? Well, it left when Marshawn Lynch retired. It also doesn’t help that Wilson has run for just 54 yards, after averaging 607 yards per year in his first 4 years in the league. They need to get their ground game back or they will not fare well in the postseason. They still have their defense, which has been solid as they 9th in total yards allowed, 10th vs the pass, 12th vs the run and 3rd in points allowed, giving up just 16.8 ppg. They will need the defense to really show up in this one.
Trends: The Seahawks have gone 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 10 and 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, but just 3-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. The Over is 21-8 in their last 29 games in November, while the Under is 7-3 in their last 10 games following a straight up win.
Breaking Down The New England Patriots
The New England Patriots lost their 4th game of the year, which was the last game that they were without Tom Brady. In that game they were shutout 16-0 at home by the Bills, which was his the first game they were shutout at home since 1993. Last week they had their bye week and prior to that game they got revenge on the Bills with a 41-25 win on the road. The Pats have now won their last 4 games in a row and have outscored their foes by 16.3 ppg over that stretch. Tom Brady has been awesome since his return as he has thrown for 1319 yards with 12 TDs and no INTs in his four games. You can bet that he is playing angry right now and with him on the field this is clearly the best team in the league right now. Overall, the Pats rank 7th in total offense, 9th in passing, 8th in rushing and 6th in scoring, putting up 27.1 ppg, including putting up 34 ppg in their last 4 games. On defense, the Patriots are very average in terms of yards allowed, as they rank 15th in total defense, 18th vs the pass and 15th vs the run, but they don’t allow many points as they are 2nd in points allowed, giving up just 16.5 ppg.
Trends: The Patriots have gone 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game and 21-8-2 ATS in their last 31 home games, but just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November. The Over is 21-7 in their last 28 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game, while the Under is 4-0 in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
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