Saints vs. Seahawks NFL Week 7 Monday Night Football Picks

Geno Smith #7 of the Seahawks hands off to Alex Collins #41 against the Steelers during Week 6. Justin K. Aller/Getty Images/AFP

The Saints will be traveling to Seattle on Monday night to take on the Seahawks after having two weeks to prepare. Meanwhile, the Hawks are still smarting after their overtime loss to the Steelers. Let’s see which team is poised to cover in this one as we keep cashing our NFL picks!

New Orleans Saints vs. Seattle Seahawks

Monday, October 25, 2021 – 08:20 PM EDT at Lumen Field

New Orleans should be well-rested and ready to roll after getting two weeks off as they prepare to invade Seattle for this Monday night matchup. When they last took the field, the Saints were busy notching a 33-22 win over Washington and Jameis Winston was busy eviscerating the WFT’s secondary with four touchdowns strikes and a total of 279 passing yards.

The biggest change in Winston since his days as the Tampa Bay starter is the conservative approach he has taken (or has been forced to take by his new coaching staff) vis a vis the passing game which has led to a dramatic reduction in interceptions – touchdowns as well.

The old Winston would heave the ball and hope it would result in a magnificent touchdown pass but it could just as likely become a head-scratching interception. He would throw as many of one as the other which is why the Bucs decided to part ways with their former No. 1 overall pick.

In his last performance, he did have a pick and a fumble after a Chase Young sack but he also had four deep balls that hit the mark resulting in touchdowns. “Turnovers are going to happen — you just don’t want the trickle-down effect to happen,” said Winston, who completed 15 of his 30 passes “We played efficient football. We made plays when we needed it.”

Efficient? Now, this certainly is a new Jameis Winston but how long he will continue to bury his itch for passing early and often is a question yet to be answered. And he may feel liberated without Taysom Hill breathing down his back after the backup quarterback and Swiss army-knife suffered a concussion in the win over Washington.

Sleepless in Seattle Without Wilson

Seattle lost its second consecutive game last week and it’s first without Russell Wilson starting under center. For those who have been residing on Jupiter over the last few weeks and missed the news, Russell Wilson is out for several weeks after injuring his right middle finger, which subsequently required surgery, in Seattle’s Week 5 loss to the Rams.

His backup, Geno Smith, was decent in relief last week in getting his first start in four years but his one touchdown pass and 209 passing yards weren’t enough to get the Hawks over the hump and past the Steelers as Seattle fell, 23-20, in overtime.

“I thought he played tough as hell,” Seattle coach Pete Carroll said of Smith. “He was clear and calm and poised exactly like you’d hope he’d be. The game was not too big for him at all.”

Wanna Make a Bet?

Seattle will have an easier time of it against the Saints this week than last against the Steelers. Naturally, the venue will be far more hospitable, and New Orleans’ porous secondary should allow the talented receiving duo of DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett plenty of room to roam. Now the question is, can Geno Smith get the ball to them? I think he can and it will pay off big time for the Hawks.

There is little doubt that Winston will be looking to exploit a relatively weak Seattle secondary but his receivers are not of the same caliber as those on the other side of the ball. He could also be missing some offensive linemen which could lead to Winston reverting to some bad habits.

I like Seattle’s chances for an outright upset and according to the current NFL odds they are getting a 4 ½ point head start which suits us just fine. We should note that the sharp money is coming in hot and heavy on the Seahawks as they opened as high as 6-point home hounds at a few shops earlier in the week. I’d rather have the better line but knowing we’ve got sophisticated company on our side will help me sleep better after making this bet.

NFL Pick: TBD

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