One last Atlantic-10 confrontation on Friday night on ESPN2 and it’s between Richmond and St. Bonaventure. The Bonnie’s are playing with revenge, can they earn it?
On the surface, this matchup does not seem to have huge implications. However, St. Bonaventure’s is sitting as the No. 4 seed and seemingly would prefer to stay there as compared to dropping to No. 5.
Richmond on the other hand is locked in as the No. 6 seed.
Though most studying the NCAAB odds won’t place much stock on the outcome of this contest when these teams play in the A-10 tourney but rest assured, both head coaches with their teams coming off a loss in their past outing don’t want to enter play after consecutive setbacks.
Richmond Spiders vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies
Friday, March 04, 2022 – 07:00 PM EST at Reilly Center
Quality sportsbooks like Bet365 have St. Bonaventure as a four-point favorite with a total of 138.5. Richmond and the Bonnies have split the last dozen meetings in the state of New York, with the Spiders having a 7-5 ATS edge.
Richmond Has to Make Shots to Compete
We know some of you might be rolling your eyes about the subtitle, because when is it not true that more made baskets don’t help a team win? We understand.
Richmond (19-11, 13-16-1 ATS) however, is like hot lava or a tube of ice when it comes to shooting the basketball recently. Coach Chris Mooney’s club in their last seven games has either shot over 47% as a team or below 40% in the other contests, with nothing in between. As you might expect, this has directly impacted Richmond’s wins and losses in the same manner and they are 4-3 (3-3-1 ATS) in this period.
To knock off the Bonnies a second time, the Spiders have to be efficient in taking good shots, something they are capable of since they actually connect on a higher percentage away from home than in Virginia. (45.2% vs. 44.6%) Richmond is more than capable of staying in this skirmish, they just have to hit enough shots.
St. Bonaventure Looks to Get Back on Track
After below-average play for the talent and experience coming back most of the season, St. Bonaventure (19-8, 11-16-1 ATS) found its stride and put together a late-season rush with a seven-game winning streak, covering the first six of those wins.
They came up flat at St. Joseph’s winning 54-52 as a touchdown favorite, shooting only 38.5%. If the Bonnies were looking ahead to Virginia Commonwealth, it didn’t seem that way, as they were steamrolled 74-51, making a season-low 32.7% and allowing VCU to connect on over 50%.
What Bonnie’s backers want to know at this point is has their team gone back to how they were playing earlier, or was the last game an aberration and they bounce back tonight?
That is not something that is an easy answer, even probably true for coach Mark Schmidt. How St. Bonaventure plays is likely a prelude to their A-10 tournament chances.
What Is the Best Side to Be On?
With both teams averaging over 140 total points in home/road scenarios this season, it’s curious to see the total at 138.5. Granted, Richmond won the prior meeting 71-61 with the closing number at 137.5, so that might make sense.
Nevertheless, that was only the second time in 10 tries the Spiders covered the spread when the total was in the 130s this season.
When that is taken into consideration and St. Bonaventure is at 10-2 ATS after scoring 55 or fewer points in two straight games, for college basketball picks, we are taking the home-standing Bonnies to step on these Spiders and exact revenge.
NCAAB Pick: St. Bonaventure -4 (-110) at Bet365