Ravens vs. Dolphins NFL Week 10 Thursday Night Football Picks

Lamar Jackson #8 of the Baltimore Ravens reacts after a fourth quarter touchdown. Todd Olszewski/Getty Images/AFP.

The Baltimore Ravens will descend on the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium for Week 10’s installment of Thursday Night Football – a showdown that’s cornered with the visitors quite significantly on the NFL odds board.

Both the Ravens and Dolphins emerged winners in Week 9 of the NFL, but that’s the extent of the similarity between these franchises. Lamar Jackson and the Ravens are soaring behind a 6-2 record and eyeing a spot in the playoffs. By contrast, Tua Tagovailoa’s future is up in the air, while the Dolphins are a disappointing 2-7 and headed back to the drawing board.

It’s easy to understand why top sportsbooks opened with Baltimore as the favorites. The Ravens are in a better position to win this game, and they’ve got more talent, stability, and confidence than the Dolphins have right now.

That said, the Ravens are spotting the Dolphins a touchdown on the odds board. It’s a lot of points for the Ravens, who have been winning but not covering with similar frequency. So, it raises the question: Will the Ravens both win and cover as the -7 favorites?

Find out as we delve into this matchup further.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Miami Dolphins

Thursday, November 11, 2021 – 08:20 PM EST at Hard Rock Stadium

Ravens Rally

The Baltimore Ravens rallied to beat the Minnesota Vikings 34-31 on yet another Justin Tucker field goal in the dying seconds of the game. Baltimore’s kicker has nerves of steel and the most accurate foot in the league, both of which he put on full display as he kicked a 36-yard field goal to lift the Ravens to their sixth win of the season in a thrilling overtime victory at the M&T Bank Stadium.

Although the Ravens failed to come through for NFL picks against the spread as the closing touchdown favorites, they nevertheless got the all-important win. And in so doing, the Ravens remained in the AFC North driver’s seat ahead of their rivals the Cleveland Browns and Cincinnati Bengals (both at 5-4) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (4-3).

Minnesota got off to a fast start and took a 14-3 lead after the first quarter. The Ravens were flush off a bye week, and the rust showed as Jackson was out of sync with his offense and the defense came out with all the enthusiasm of a sloth.

John Harbaugh and the Ravens never panicked though. Jackson eventually found his form and the Ravens elevated their play across all facets, In the final minutes, the Ravens were up 31-24. The onus was on the defense to stop the Vikings. Alas, Kirk Cousins was able to march his side on their last possession to score the game-tying touchdown.

A wild overtime ensued, and although both sides had chances to take the win, the Ravens ultimately proved to be the better and more aggressive side. This time, the defense did step up to quash Cousins and the Vikings offense after Jackson threw a costly interception. On Baltimore’s second possession, they got the job done.

Lamar Jackson #8 of the Baltimore Ravens. Patrick Smith/Getty Images/AFP.

Jackson completed 27 of 41 passes for 266 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions. He also scampered for 100 yards or more in a game for the tenth time in his career, tying Michael Vick for the most by a quarterback in the NFL.

Dolphins Win the Battle of Losers

The Miami Dolphins beat the Houston Texans 17-9, coming through as the firm 4-point home chalk in the betting. The win snapped Miami’s seven-game losing streak but did little else. To be fair, it was an ugly win in every sense and more.

As two of the league’s stragglers and bottom-feeders, the clash between the Dolphins and Texans was the least compelling on the NFL betting slate. It was also the least informative when all was said and done.

One of the big question marks that hangs over Miami is Tagovailoa’s future. The second-year quarterback was ruled out of the game with a broken finger, although reports suggest he did want to play. The organization is keen to evaluate Tagovailoa, but his propensity to injury keeps him off the field far too often, and that’s only going to impact his assessment negatively, surely.

Backup Jacoby Brissett got to make his third start for the Dolphins this season. The veteran signal-caller filled in for Tagovailoa earlier this season (between Week 2 and 4) when he was nursing a rib injury, but this Sunday was his first win for the Dolphins.

The game featured nine sacks, four fumbles, multiple penalties, and five interceptions (two from Brissett). Suppose one side had to win, despite the chaos and undisciplined play on the day. Flores will take it, but he likely has more questions than answers.

NFL Predictions and Picks

The Dolphins are headed nowhere this season, and although they need to evaluate Tagovailoa, it’s uncertain whether the sophomore will start in a short week. According to Flores, Tagovailoa wasn’t able to make the requisite throws due to his injury at the weekend. Thus, he was relegated as the backup to Brissett on Sunday.

Even if Tagovailoa starts, it’s not going to make a huge difference against the Ravens. Indeed, the NFL odds are stacked against Miami, and so too the bettors as they’re backing the Ravens in early markets.

Baltimore is at another level, and Lamar Jackson and the Ravens have shown exceptional fight, spirit, and character in their wins. Yes, the Ravens were on the backfoot against the Vikings on Sunday, but that’s because Cousins and the Vikings are a modestly good team.

This is a mismatched affair that could turn into a veritable football clinic as Jackson and the Ravens school the Dolphins. So, if you can grab the Ravens at -7 for NFL picks, do so before the NFL line is bet up higher.

NFL Picks: Ravens -7 (-110) with DraftKings