Patriots vs. Bills NFL Week 13 Monday Night Football Picks

Mac Jones #10 of the New England Patriots. Maddie Meyer/Getty Images/AFP

A Monday night showdown between two AFC East powerhouses, the New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills, should be a real treat for fans and bettors alike. Below we break it all down as we look to keep cashing our NFL picks!

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

Monday, December 06, 2021 – 08:15 PM EST at Highmark Stadium

There is no hotter team in the league than the New England Patriots and it all began just when everyone had them dead and buried. The dynasty was declared deceased, Tom Brady, and not Bill Belichick, proved to be the answer as to who was most responsible for the Patriots’ legendary two-decade run of unparalleled excellence, and fans outside of the New England area rejoiced. All was well in the NFL. Well, guess…who’s…back?!

Shady’s back, that’s who. Shady Bill, the Evil Genius, the Man Behind the Hoodie, or call him whatever you like (no expletives here) but he has his new gunslinger in Mac Jones and his rushing attack is a dual-headed monster with Damien Harris and Rhamondre Stevenson accompanied by a potent offensive line.

The Patriots have now reeled off six straight wins, and seven of their last eight, with a 35-29 overtime loss to Dallas breaking things up way back in Week 6. So yes, they are on fire and roll into Bills’ Mafia territory with a boatload of mojo and a bad attitude. They are out to prove that the only real gangsters are from just outside Boston as they prepare to steamroll their way into and out of Orchard Park.

Bills Rebound Down on the Bayou

Buffalo was coming off of a 41-15 waxing by the Indianapolis Colts only two weeks after getting stunned, 9-6, by the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars when they met the Saints in New Orleans last Sunday. But true to their mercurial nature, they looked like a different team and rolled over the Saints, 31-6, as Josh Allen passed for 260 yards and four touchdowns. Tight end Dawson Knox caught a pair of touchdowns while Stefon Diggs and Matt Breida each received an Allen TD pass.

The Bills’ game plan also included a fair bit of running the rock as Devin Singletary and Matt Breida carried a combined 24 times while Allen chipped in with 8 more of his own for a total of 32 carries and a combined 113 rushing yards.

“Coach always talks about playoff caliber and that’s the team we want to be,” Allen said. “We want to be the best versions of ourselves … every time we step on the field.”

Wanna Make a Bet?

During their six-game winning streak, the Patriots have scored 35.1 points and allowed 10.5 points per game. That’s an average margin of victory of nearly 25 points per game and the maturation process of Mac Jones has been evident and impressive.

We can see offensive coordinator, Josh McDaniels, gently stretching Jones’ targets downfield as the young quarterback becomes better equipped to hit long passes, no longer relegated solely to the dinks and dunks as he was before.

While everyone seems to be focused on the offenses, we should note that New England owns the No. 1 defense in the league in terms of points allowed, surrendering just 15.8 PPG, while Buffalo checks in at No. 2, allowing 16.5 points per game.

I suspect that the Patriots’ offensive game plan will be heavily focused on running the ball right through the Bills’ run-stop unit.

This will be a calculated attempt to keep Josh Allen off the field and chew the clock. The way the Patriots have been playing, I’m betting it will work and you should too as the NFL odds over at BetMGM are now giving us a solid field goal with the visitors and that’s all the additional incentive I needed to back the Pats.

NFL Pick: Patriots +3 (-115) at BetMGM