The NFC West-leading San Francisco 49ers continue to make money for their backers at an alarming pace. The 49ers own the best spread record in the NFL with a sparkling 10-1-1 ledger. That includes a nifty 6-0-1 mark in their first seven home encounters.
The latest success occurred last Sunday when the Niners blanked St. Louis 26-0 as 14-point home favorites. It was the largest spread the 49ers had to cover all season.
The combined 26 points dipped below the 38 ½-point closing total, which enabled the ‘under’ to cash in five of San Francisco’s last six games. In fact, the club’s defense has not allowed more than 20 points in any of its last eight games.
The recent stinginess has allowed the Niners to lead the league in average points allowed (13.4) and rushing yards allowed per game (71.8). They also rank fourth in total yards allowed per game at 303.4.
San Francisco has outscored its opponents 288 to 161 for a plus 127-point margin. Only the defending Super Bowl champion Green Bay Packers have a wider margin (plus 158).
Other NFL clubs having good pointspread success include Houston (8-3-1), Oakland (8-4), Green Bay (8-4) and New Orleans (8-4).
The St. Louis Rams are at the other end of the spectrum with a dismal 2-10 spread mark. That includes an identical 1-5 spread record at home and on the road.
The Rams are getting outscored 296-140 through their first 12 outings, and their 11.7 average points per game is the fewest in the league.
Other teams having problems covering the spread include the Chargers (3-9), Colts (3-9) and Browns (3-7-2).
The Jacksonville Jaguars lead the way with the most ‘under’ games, with 10 of their first 12 contests dipping below the closing total. The Miami Dolphins are close behind at 9-2-1, followed by the Chiefs and Falcons at 9-3.
The Buffalo Bills top the ‘over’ list at 8-3-1. The Jets, Ravens and Packers have all seen the ‘over’ go 8-4.
Home teams are 108-84 straight-up so far for a 56.2 winning percentage. Teams that closed in the favorite role are doing even better straight-up, going 130-62-0 for 67.1 percent. That’s broken down into road favorites (43-21) and home ‘chalk’ (87-41).
The spread marks are considerably lower, however, as favorites are just 93-91-7 (50.5 percent) so far. Road favorites are 95-89-8 for a 51.6 percent success rate.