NFL win totals posted

There is an old joke about a little boy swallowing three quarters, two dimes, three nickels and two pennies. Doctors operated on him for quite a while, but there was no change.

Change, however, is what the 2011-2012 NFL ‘over/under’ win totals are all about. Especially at the quarterback position.

Donovan McNabb is relocating to Minnesota, Matt Hasselbeck is on his way to Tennessee and  Kevin Kolb is now calling the signals for the Arizona Cardinals. Additionally, Denver QB Kyle Orton has been rumored to be on his way to Miami.

“The quarterback position certainly influences over/under season win totals,” commented Sports Club owner Pete Korner. “But this season has seen some important free agents change teams because of the lockout, and that will affect the win totals more than the quarterbacks.”

Though the Philadelphia Eagles were one of the more active clubs regarding signing some top-name free agents. Cantor Gaming has hung an ‘over/under’ total of  9 1/2 wins on the club, which is just below last season’s 10 wins.

The Eagles stunned the NFL when they swooped in and landed prize free agent Nnamdi Asomugha. The club also added former Packers DE Cullen Jenkins and former Titans QB Vince Young and DE Jason Babin.

Speaking of the Packers, the defending Super Bowl champs have been assigned a season total of 11 wins, which would be a slight improvement from the 10 wins they accumulated last season.

“On paper, the Packers seem like a better team than they were last year when they defeated the Steelers in the Super Bowl,” added Korner. ” If they can keep Jermichael Finley, Morgan Burnett, Ryan Grant, Nick Barnett, Mike Neal, Brandon Chillar and Brad Jones healthy, I see no reason they couldn’t repeat as champs.

The runner-up Steelers, with a 12-4 ledger last season, have an ‘over/under’ of 10 1/2 wins this year.

“Pittsburgh won 12 regular season game last season despite playing the first four games without suspended starting quarterback Ben Roethlisberger,” reminded Korner. “Once Roethlisberger finally was allowed to play,  he might have enjoyed one of his best on-field performances. He tossed a career-low five interceptions, though he was picked off four times during the postseason.”

The New England Patriots, with a league-best 14 wins last season, have also been given an 11-game ‘over/under’ win total this year. A playoff loss to the Jets ruined the Patriots’ Super Bowl hopes, so they believe they have some unfinished business.

“Though Tom Brady just turned 34, I believe he still has some lightning in that right arm,” said Korner. “After all, he did toss 36 touchdown passes to just four interceptions.  “In addition, New England’s physical offensive line helped running back BenJarvis Green-Ellis to a 1,000-yard season.

The New York Jets finished the 2010-11 campaign with a nifty 11-5 record, but they have been given an ‘over/under win total of just 9 1/2. Atlanta and Chicago are other squads that have seen their number lowered. The Falcons were an impressive 13-3 last season, but have been assigned a 10-win total this time. Chicago was 11-5 last year, but have been given a nine-win total this season.

There are several teams with sub-par season’s last year that have been assigned higher numbers for the current campaign.

The Dallas Cowboys managed to post a meager 6-10 ledger last year, but they have been assigned a nine-win total this time around.

“Betting on a team to improve by three wins with a relatively inexperienced head coach is a tall order,” commented Korner. “However, Jason Garnett did lead the Cowboys to a 5-3 record after taking over the club at the halfway mark last season after the team started a dismal 1-7.

The Detroit Lions were another team that finished last season’s campaign with a bang. The Lions, coming off an 0-16 campaign two seasons ago, started last season by dropping 10 of their first 12 games. However, the Lions finished the season with a four-game winning streak and did manage to defeat the Super Bowl champion Packers during the regular season. Detroit has been assigned an ‘over/under’ of eight wins after going 6-10 last season.

“Detroit’s season pretty much boils down to keeping Matt Stafford on the field,” concluded Korner. “Stafford played in just three games last year, so it should be interesting to see what the Lions could do if he played in all 16 contests.”

The NFL 2011-12 season win totals below are courtesy of Cantor Gaming.

Team Win total 2010
Pats 11 under-130 14-2
Packers 11 under-130 10-6
Steelers 10 1/2 over-125 12-4
Ravens 10 1/2 over-115 12-4
Falcons 10 over-120 13-3
Saints 10 under-130 11-5
Chargers 10 under-135 9-7
Jets 9 1/2 over-130 11-5
Colts 9 1/2 over-130 10-6
Eagles 9 1/2 over-130 10-6
Giants 9 over-125 10-6
Bears 9 under-120 11-5
Cowboys 9 under-125 6-10
Bucs 8 over-115 10-6
Texans 8 over-115 6-10
Lions 8 under-130 6-10
49ers 7 1/2 over-125 6-10
Chiefs 7 1/2 under-115 10-6
Dolphins 7 1/2 under-120 7-9
Rams 7 over-135 7-9
Raiders 7 under-120 8-8
Browns 7 under-130 5-11
Titans 7 under-135 6-10
Vikings 6 1/2 over-140 6-10
Redskins 6 1/2 over-125 6-10
Seahawks 6 1/2 over-115 7-9
Bengals 6 1/2 o/u-110 4-12
Jags 6 1/2 under-120 8-8
Broncos 5 1/2 over-125 4-12
Bills 5 1/2 over-120 4-12
Cards 5 1/2 under-125 5-11
Panthers 4 1/2 under-115 2-14


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