NFL Week 4 Sunday Night Football Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Pick

Mike Evans Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFl player
Mike Evans #13 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers makes a reception during the second quarter against the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl LV on February 07, 2021, in Tampa, Florida. Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images/AFP

Here at The RX, we look into the potentially high-scoring clash between two of the greatest quarterbacks around. 

Yes, the GOAT, Tom Brady, keeps buying time in Tampa and this week looks to keep a tight hold of one of the challengers to his title, Patrick Mahomes, as the Chiefs come to town. Let’s break down this matchup.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sunday, October 02, 2022 – 08:20 PM EDT at Raymond James Stadium

Spread: Chiefs -2.5 (-110)

Over/Under: 45.5 (-110)


This Sunday Night Football match looks like an interesting battle between two sides that suffered the first losses of the season on Sunday.   

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers lost, at home, against Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers in Week 3 so Brady will be determined to beat the young pretender, Patrick Mahomes. 

Mahomes was overshadowed on Sunday afternoon by a resurgent Matt Ryan, now with the Indianapolis Colts. 

Kansas City Chiefs – Team Analysis 

Sunday night wasn’t the finest for the Kansas City Chiefs. Patrick Mahomes featured in an altercation with offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy.  

The Colts also had the chance to recover from a four-point deficit at the interval and Patrick Mahomes’ numbers would suggest the altercation affected him, as he had a poor completion rate having made only 20 from 35 throws. 

As we know, the Chiefs were slow to find their stride last season, and I am wondering if this season will be the same in Kansas as Andy Reid takes his time to strike the right balance. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Team Analysis 

It was a similar tale of woe for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers who lost their unbeaten tag with a home field loss to the Green Bay Packers in an attritional contest.  It came as something of a disappointment to new head coach Todd Bowles who had made a bright start to his reign after stepping into the shoes of Bruce Arians. 

Bowles strengths lay in his defensive abilities, and it remains to be seen how good the play calling will be for Tom Brady who continues to repel father time at the age of forty-five.

Last week, like so often in his long and illustrious career, the result of the match hinged on the reliable throwing arm of Tom Brady with seconds to spare, but unusually he failed to convert.   

There comes a time in every great sportsman’s career when age catches up with them so don’t be surprised if it’s soon for Brady.  That said, offensively, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are still one of the best-equipped teams with Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Breshad Perriman yet to hit their stride. 

Will the Young Pretender Dethrone the GOAT? 

Firstly, both sides lost their opening matches of the regular season and will be keen to re-establish their Super Bowl credentials quickly.  I think it would be fair to surmise that neither side has been at their best in their last two matches yet with two of the best quarterbacks ever and a slew of attacking options, points should not be any problem. 

Yes, we are a little unsure over Todd Bowles’s capabilities and if we will see a tighter Buccaneers in the coming months, but we know Andy Reid knows how to get the scoreboard ticking over as he did in NFL Week 1 when the Chiefs scored over 40 points in Arizona 

The Pick

With uncertainties in mind as to which team will come out on top on Sunday Night Football, and the weather set fair in Florida on Sunday evening, the safest play for your NFL picks is to go over the total points at 45 in what should be an open attacking contest. 

NFL Pick: Over 45 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbooks