NFL Week 1 Sunday Night Football Betting Pick: How to Bet the Buccaneers’ Visit to Dallas

Dak Prescott Dallas Cowboys Seattle Seahawks
Quarterback Dak Prescott #4 of the Dallas Cowboys reacts with center Braylon Jones #62 of the Dallas Cowboys. Tom Pennington/Getty Images/AFP.

The Dallas Cowboys will welcome the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to Dallas for the first Sunday Night Football game of the year. Will Tom Brady continue to have success at an old age or will Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys earn a win?

Let’s see what the NFL odds tell us at the top sportsbooks!

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Dallas Cowboys

Sunday, September 11, 2022 – 08:20 PM EDT at AT&T Stadium

The first Sunday Night Football game of the year begins this week! The Dallas Cowboys will take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on their home field, looking to earn a small upset in Week 1.

Both teams will more than likely reach the postseason this year. After all, the two teams combined for 25 wins last season.

When the Buccaneers Have The Ball

Bucs’ Offense Analysis

Tom Brady will be under center for another season in the NFL. Brady will have Leonard Fournette as his main contributor in the backfield. He’ll also have plenty of talent to throw the ball, including Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Russell Gage, and Julio Jones.

We don’t really know what to expect out of Jones, but Brady is one of those quarterbacks who usually gets the best out of you as a receiver. Jones could be in for a huge season with Brady, for what it’s worth.

The offense never had an issue last season. The passing game was electric under Brady, even when most of his receivers were hurt. He’s got more depth at the position, and that should help him stay consistent. The offensive line could feature a rookie left guard in Luke Goedeke.

Robert Hainsey will also be at center to start the season. So there might be some concern with this offensive line, but I’m sure Brady will demand excellence from this group.

How Does the Offense Profile Against Dallas’ Defense?

On the defensive side, the Cowboys were terrible at stopping the run last season. They also struggled to make tackles and allowed many missed tackles. However, the defense against the pass was strong. The coverage earned plenty of interceptions, and the pass rush forced some of those.

The Buccaneers would love to get their running game going early against the Cowboys. If they can do that, Tampa Bay will be successful on the offensive end.

When the Cowboys Have the Ball

It’s unlikely that Michael Gallup plays Week 1 for the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday. Without Gallup, Dak Prescott will have Jalen Tolbert as his second wide receiver option in the game.

You don’t like to see that, especially going up against a Buccaneers team that has a lot of returners on the defense.

Prescott will still have Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard in his backfield, He’ll still have Dalton Schultz at tight end. You can also expect CeeDee Lamb to break out this season.

How Does the Offense Profile Against Tampa Bay’s Defense?

The Buccaneers were also really bad at tackling last season. And while they weren’t as bad against the run, Tampa Bay still has their struggles getting stops against the run. If the Cowboys can get Elliott going, Dallas is going to be in great shape.

Elliott regressed last year but there’s reason to believe that he can get back to the level he’s played at before.

Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: Game Prediction

The Buccaneers and Cowboys should have success rushing the football. Dallas certainly has the better options on the ground, however, Dallas was way worse with their rushing defense last season.

Still, I thought Dallas was more consistent in the passing game on defense. I’m also not sold on Tom Brady this season. It seems like his personal life is actually taking him over a bit. That could hurt his success this season if we’re being honest.

The Betting Pick

It’s never easy winning on the road. The Dallas Cowboys will be the home team and should end up putting together a better game plan. Dallas, again, probably won’t have Gallup, but other guys can step up and Dallas still has many weapons on the team.

I’m worried about the Tampa Bay offensive line. I don’t think they’ll hold up all game. So, therefore, I’ll take the Cowboys at +1.5 for my NFL picks.

It’s never a bad thing when thinking about taking a home underdog.

NFL Pick: Cowboys +1.5 (-110) at DraftKings