Wildcard weekend will conclude with a battle between the New York Giants and the red-hot Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field. The Giants finished with an 11-5 record, while the 10-6 Packers won the NFC North finishing the season with six straight wins. The Giants were 3-4 in true road games, while the Packers were 6-2 at home. This contest has a start time of 4:40 pm EST.
Vegas odds have the Packers listed as 4.5 point favorites, while the total has been set at 44.5. This contest will be televised on FOX with a start time of 4:40 pm EST.
Breaking Down The New York Giants
The New York Giants dot off to a 2-3 start this year, but have since gone 11-2 and two of their 11 wins overall have come vs the Cowboys. They have been very solid and will now look to take down perhaps the hottest team in the NFC right now. It will not be easy, but if they are to take down the Packers, then it will have to come from their defense, which has turned into one of the best units in the league, especially down the stretch. The Giants allowed 21.8 ppg through their first 6 games this year, but since then they have allowed just 17.0 ppg and in their last four games they gave up just 11.8 ppg. That defense will really have to be on its toes here vs a hot offense and a hot QB. They did allow just 10 points to a very strong Washington offense, so they are capable of shutting down this offense. The Giants come in ranked 10th in total yards allowed, 23rd vs the pass, 4th vs the run and 2nd in points allowed, giving up 17.8 ppg. The Pass defense will have to be far better in this one. On offense, the Giants have yet to score over 28 points in a game and they come in ranked 25th in total yards, 17th in passing, 29th in rushing and 26th in scoring. They went 11-5 with those offensive rankings, which shows just how good their defense has been. Eli has thrown for 4027 yards with 26 TDs, but he also has 16 INTs and he can’t have those kind of mistakes vs the Packers if they hope to win the game.
Trends: The Giants have gone 5-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 43-18-2 ATS in their last 63 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. The Over is 5-2 in their last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game, while the Under is 10-4 in their last 14 games in January.
Breaking Down The Green Bay Packers
The Packers were just 4-6 on the year at one point and Aaron Rodgers was being booed, but those boos have now turned to cheers as the Packers have won their last six games in a row and have taken the NFC North Division title for the 5th time in their last six years. This is a hot team and Aaron Rodgers is a hot QB and that could be too much for the Giants to overcome, but that Giants defense is tough so anything is possible. Rodgers has thrown for 4428 yards with 40 TDs and just seven INTs on the year and he is 3-1 with a 98.2 QBR in four games vs the Giants in his career. He has thrown 11 TDs and just four INTs in those games. The Packers come in ranked 8th in total offense, 7th in passing, 20th in rushing and 4th in scoring, putting up 27.0 ppg. The Packers have scored at least 30 points in each of their last four games. On defense, the Packers have not been great this year and they have allowed 25.3 ppg over their last three games. The Giants have not been great on offense, but they do have enough weapons to do damage vs this defense. Green Bay comes in ranked 22nd in total yards allowed, 31st vs the pass, 8th vs the run and 21st in points allowed, giving up 24.2 ppg. That pass defense really has to step up vs Eli and Beckham, who can put up big numbers.
Trends: The Packers have gone 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win and 41-19-3 ATS in their last 63 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. The Over is 5-1 in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, while the Under is 10-4 in Packers last 14 home games.
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