The Brooklyn Nets might be a value NBA pick without Kevin Durant – but the Phoenix Suns will be a tough out this Tuesday.
Brooklyn Nets vs. Phoenix Suns
Tuesday, February 01, 2022 – 10:00 PM EST at Footprint Center
These are tough times for the Brooklyn Nets. They were on top of the Eastern Conference standings not too long ago – and they’re still +325 favorites at Bet365 to win the championship. But things started going south on January 15 when Kevin Durant sprained his left knee. The Nets have lost five of seven since Durant last played, falling to sixth in the East as we go to press.
But have they covered? Without their best player, Brooklyn (29-20 SU, 20-28-1 ATS) are a break-even team at 3-3-1 ATS heading into Tuesday’s matchup with the first-place Phoenix Suns (40-9 SU, 27-22 ATS). BetMGM
One Out of Three Ain’t Bad
The theory here is that recreational bettors are prone to overvaluing superstars like Durant and Irving, which means they’re willing to pay inflated prices on the opposition when said superstars aren’t playing. Having two of them out at the same time might be too much of a challenge, though. Brooklyn went 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS in their five games with Irving and without Durant.
There’s a third superstar who needs our attention. James Harden missed the last two games with a strained right hand, and is listed as questionable for Tuesday despite practicing Monday. The first game Harden missed was at home, where Brooklyn lost 124-118 to the Denver Nuggets and pushed as 6-point underdogs. The second was on the road with Irving, who dropped 32 points on the Golden State Warriors (–10.5) in a 110-106 win for the Dubs. The Nets should retain some betting value as long as one of their Big Three is good to go. Just not all three.
Castles Made of Sand
Back in the desert, the Suns are missing a few players themselves. Deandre Ayton (right ankle) and Jae Crowder (left wrist) have both been ruled out for this game; Cameron Payne (right wrist) is gone for at least another week, and Landry Shamet (right ankle) reportedly won’t play Tuesday. None of these gentlemen has the same cachet as Durant, Irving
The Nets would have even more betting value here if their bench weren’t compromised. LaMarcus Aldridge (left ankle) will miss at least Tuesday’s game, if not more, and Paul Millsap is away from the team as they work on a trade. However, Brooklyn have both Nicolas Claxton and James Johnson back in the lineup, so they’ve still got some beef in the frontcourt. They should be able to hold their own against the short-handed Suns. Bet accordingly.
NBA Pick: Nets +7.5 (–110) at BetMGM