NCAA Football Week 1 Betting Lines and Trends

The start of another season of college football in early September inches closer and closer as we head into the final two weeks of July. Odds Shark has already posted a few early betting odds for some of the top matchups on the board in what should be a great start to another run to the top four spots in the nation for the College Football Playoff Rankings.

The following is Doc’s Sports brief preview of some of the pertinent betting trends for a few of the top matchups on the board in Week 1 of the 2015 college football season.

North Carolina Tar Heels vs. South Carolina Gamecocks

This ACC/SEC clash features a North Carolina team that came up one game short of a .500 record last season at 6-7 after dropping its last two games to NC State and Rutgers in the Quick Lane Bowl. South Carolina’s 2014 campaign ended with a 24-21 victory against Miami in the Independence Bowl to go 7-6 overall, but a 3-5 record in SEC play left the Gamecocks hungry for bigger and better things heading into the 2015 season.

The Tar Heels have been opened as 2.5-point road favorites in this Carolina border clash. While the total line is still off the board, recent betting trends tend to favor the “under” in this matchup. The total has stayed under in eight of North Carolina’s last 12 road games while staying under in four of South Carolina’s last five games at home.

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers

The Horned Frogs come into the 2015 college football season with high expectations after going a stellar 12-1 last season. That lone setback came against Baylor in a wild 61-58 loss in early October that eventually decided the Big 12 title last year. Minnesota lost three of its final four games in 2014, including a 33-17 defeat against Missouri on Jan. 1 in the Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl. The Golden Gophers still had to be encouraged with their 5-3 record in Big Ten play that included a 28-24 victory against Nebraska.

The betting spread in this contest has TCU favored by 14 points on the road. The Horned Frogs have successfully covered against the spread in 13 of their last 15 games. Minnesota is a healthy 4-1 ATS in its last five outings.

Louisville Cardinals vs. Auburn Tigers

Louisville’s first season in the ACC after coming over from the American Athletic Conference was a mixed bag at 5-3. The Cardinals, for the most part, beat the teams they were supposed to, but against the better teams in the conference (Florida State, Clemson and Virginia) they went 0-3. Last season the Auburn Tigers made their presence felt in the stacked SEC West Division with a 4-4 record in conference play that included big wins against LSU and Ole Miss. The Tigers lost a heartbreaker in the Outback Bowl in a 34-31 overtime defeat to Wisconsin to finish 8-5 on the year.

The Cardinals have been opened as 10.5-point neutral-site underdogs against Auburn with the game being played at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta on Saturday, Sept. 5. Louisville has now won 20 of its last 25 games SU and it is 5-1 ATS in its last six games played away from home. Auburn is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games.

Texas Longhorns vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

The Longhorns battled their way to a 6-6 record in the regular season that included a 5-4 record in Big 12 play, but they ended their season on a down note with a 31-7 rout at the hands of Arkansas in the Texas Bowl. They went just 1-5 against ranked teams last year. Notre Dame started the 2014 season with six straight wins, but it was all downhill from there with just one win in its final six regular-season contests. The Fighting Irish ended the year on a high note with a 31-28 victory against LSU in the Music City Bowl to go 8-5.

Texas comes into this season’s opener as a 10-point road underdog. This game could be another one to watch as far as the total line. The total has stayed under in five of the Longhorns last six games overall, and it has stayed under in seven of their last eight games on the road. Notre Dame is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home.

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