Mavericks vs. Jazz Free NBA Picks and Odds Breakdown

Danuel House Jr. #25 of the Utah Jazz handles the ball. Christian Petersen/Getty Images/AFP.

The Utah Jazz are worth a slight lean for your NBA picks when they host the Dallas Mavericks this Friday. Here’s why.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Utah Jazz

Friday, February 25, 2022 – 09:00 PM EST at Vivint Arena

Maybe the Dallas Mavericks know what they’re doing after all. Heads were scratched at the trade deadline when Dallas sent Kristaps Porzingis to the Washington Wizards for Spencer Dinwiddie and Davis Bertans, but the Mavs are 3-1 SU and ATS since they pulled the trigger.

They might even be the right NBA pick for Friday’s game against the Utah Jazz as 6-point road dogs at Caesars Sportsbook.

We’re leaning towards the other side instead. The Jazz (36-22 SU, 26-30-2 ATS) did their own reshuffling ahead of the February 10 deadline, except there weren’t nearly as many heads scratched over their moves – and they’re also 3-1 SU and ATS heading into this matchup. Combine that with Utah’s small-market betting value, and they should have a slight edge against Friday’s NBA odds.

The Mighty Quin

The Jazz have been playing at a pretty high level for about six years now, with head coach Quin Snyder establishing himself as one of the best minds in the sport. Is anyone really paying attention, though? Maybe a little more than usual; Donovan Mitchell is a public darling, and Mike Conley Jr. made his first All-Star team last year.

Speaking of Mitchell, there’s a slight chance he’ll be absent (or at least under the weather) for Friday’s contest after missing this year’s All-Star Game with an upper respiratory infection – not the coronavirus, according to Mitchell. Rudy Gay’s status is more uncertain, thanks to the sore right knee that cost him the last five games before the break, but otherwise, the Jazz are healthy and primed for a big playoff push.

House Hunting

Sadly, Joe Ingles will not be part of that push. The longtime Jazz fan-favorite, who’s out for the year with a torn ACL, was shipped to the Portland Trail Blazers in a three-way deal that got them Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Juancho Hernangomez (formerly with San Antonio) in return. That addresses Utah’s bench concerns heading into the postseason.

Their real coup may have been Danuel House Jr, whom the Jazz scooped up on the free-agent market. House was a useful player for the Houston Rockets before falling out of the rotation last year; he played very well for Utah through three successive 10-day contracts, earning a deal for the rest of the season and another shot at contributing to a deep playoff run.

Can Dinwiddie and/or Bertans do the same for Dallas? Their level of play since the trade has been just as disappointing as it was before – although we’re dealing with a small sample size of just two games each in a Mavs uniform. Their services are required, though, with Tim Hardaway Jr. (broken foot) out indefinitely. Make this one a small bet to reflect the small edge Utah appear to have, but bet accordingly.

NBA Pick: Jazz –6 (–110) at Caesars Sportsbook