Editor’s note: This article was updated on August 26th, 2022.
Below, TheRx takes a first look at the college basketball odds to find out which teams are considered contenders and discuss their chances for a national title.
Make sure to check out the College Basketball Power Rankings at our sister site, OddsTrader, as well as several handicapping tools including its advanced College Basketball Computer Picks to help with your wagering decisions.
Between TheRx and OddsTrader there isn’t a better tandem of resources to inform and alert our readers of all the college hoop news.
Below you will find the odds for the top college basketball teams to win the national championship in 2023.
The RX’s Betting Edge
• The Cougars are a talented team that will be getting two big pieces of the puzzle back this season in Marcus Sasser and Tramon Mark, both of whom were injured early last year.
• The Wildcats not only have last season’s College Basketball Player of the Year, Oscar Tshiebwe, returning but they also have a slick-shooting addition in Iowa transfer CJ Frederick.
• All five Duke starters have NBA-level talent and three of them are the No. 1, 2, and 7 recruits in the nation.
• Baylor’s top recruit, Keyonte George, could be a top-three NBA lottery pick next year if his output reflects his vast potential.
|Team||Odds to Win National Championship|
TheRX’s Preseason Top 10
1. Gonzaga Bulldogs (+850)
• Last Year’s Record: 28-4
• 2022 March Madness: No. 1 Seed – Sweet 16 – Lost to Arkansas
The odds on the Zags have dropped recently to where they are now the co-favorites along with Houston to win the national championship. As you may recall, Gonzaga was one of the favorites to win it all last season but they were shocked by Arkansas in the Sweet 16 when they fell, 74-68, as 9 ½ point neutral site favorites.
The Southern Conference Player of the Year, Malachi Smith, will join the Bulldogs’ starting rotation and with several key members of last year’s team returning for another shot at the title, the Zags are definitely the team to beat.
Gonzaga’s Projected Starting Lineup:
• Nolan Hickman (5.1 PPG)
• Malachi Smith (19.9 PPG at Chattanooga)
• Rasir Bolton (11.2 PPG)
• Julian Strawther (11.8 PPG)
• Drew Timme (18.4 PPG)
2. Houston Cougars (+850)
• Last Year’s Record: 32-6
• 2022 March Madness: No. 5 Seed – Elite Eight – Lost to Villanova
The Cougars are a talented team that will be getting two big pieces of the puzzle back this season in Marcus Sasser and Tramon Mark, both of whom were injured in the early going and left a void in the lineup that was ultimately exposed when Houston was defeated by Villanova in the Elite Eight.
And if this Cougars’ squad wasn’t already stacked, Houston’s highest-rated recruit in its history, Jarace Walker, will also be suiting up this season.
Houston’s Projected Starting Lineup:
• Jamal Shead (10.0 PPG)
• Marcus Sasser (17.7 PPG)
• Tramon Mark (10.1 PPG)
• Jarace Walker (No. 10 in ESPN 100)
• J’Wan Roberts (3.2 PPG)
3. North Carolina Tar Heels (+1000)
• Last Year’s Record: 29-10
• 2022 March Madness: No. 8 Seed – Championship Game – Lost to Kansas
The Heels defied all expectations and battled their way to the national championship finals before bowing to the Kansas Jayhawks, 72-69, in a thrilling finish.
Caleb Love is expected to be a leader this year. He was a pleasant surprise last season, averaging nearly 16 points per game. The 6’4” sophomore guard has had an impressive offseason as well after recently being named MVP of Damian Lillard’s Formula Zero Camp.
North Carolina’s Projected Starting Lineup:
• Caleb Love (15.2 PPG)
• R.J. Davis (13.4 PPG)
• Leaky Black (4.9 PPG)
• Pete Nance (14.6 PPG)
• Armando Bacot (16.5 PPG)
4. Kentucky Wildcats (+1200)
• Last Year’s Record: 26-8
• 2022 March Madness: No. 2 Seed – First Round – Lost to St. Peters
The Wildcats not only have last season’s College Basketball Player of the Year, Oscar Tshiebwe, returning but they also have a slick-shooting addition in Iowa transfer CJ Fredrick.
Illinois State transfer Antonio Reeves is slated as a threat off the bench while Jacob Toppin could find himself in the starting lineup sooner than later.
Kentucky’s Projected Starting Lineup:
• Sahvir Wheeler (10.1 PPG)
• Cason Wallace (No. 20 in ESPN 100)
• Antonio Reeves (20.1 PPG at Illinois State)
• Chris Livingston (No. 12 in ESPN 100)
• Oscar Tshiebwe (17.4 PPG)
5. Duke Blue Devils (+1400)
• Last Year’s Record: 32-7
• 2022 March Madness: No. 2 Seed – Final Four – Lost to North Carolina
If we are talking about an embarrassment of riches then we are talking about Blue Devils’ basketball. All five Duke starters have NBA-level talent and three of them are the No. 1, 2, and 7 recruits in the nation.
And if that isn’t enough, factor in Aussie import, Tyrese Proctor, who brings an enormous skillset to this team. If head coach Jon Scheyer can make the most out of all this talent, then it would hardly be surprising if Duke walked away as the eventual national champs this year.
Duke’s Projected Starting Lineup:
• Jeremy Roach (8.6 PPG)
• Dariq Whitehead (No. 2 in ESPN 100)
• Jacob Grandison (9.6 PPG at Illinois)
• Kyle Filipowski (No. 7 in ESPN 100)
• Dereck Lively (No. 1 in ESPN 100)
6. Kansas Jayhawks (+1400)
• Last Year’s Record: 32-6
• 2022 March Madness: No. 1 Seed – Championship Game – Defeated North Carolina
Like all the college basketball powerhouses, the Jayhawks saw a massive exodus of talent after winning the national championship last year. Fortunately, Bill Self has plenty of skilled players to fill the void.
Kevin McCullar, a transfer from Texas Tech, is a player who can defend, shoot and facilitate the transition game. This is another title-contending edition from Kansas.
Kansas’ Projected Starting Lineup:
• Dajuan Harris Jr. (5.4 PPG)
• Gradey Dick (No. 14 in ESPN 100)
• Kevin McCullar (10.1 PPG at Texas Tech)
• Jalen Wilson (11.0 PPG)
• Ernest Udeh (No. 23 in ESPN 100)
7. UCLA Bruins (+1500)
• Last Year’s Record: 27-8
• 2022 March Madness: No. 4 Seed – Sweet 16 – Lost to North Carolina
UCLA is loaded and the Pac-12 is theirs for the taking. Amari Bailey enters with plenty of buzz while Jaime Jaquez will be called upon to be the team leader.
The bench should be plenty deep to spell the starters without losing any momentum. This team will be fun to watch.
UCLA’s Projected Starting Lineup:
• Tyger Campbell (11.9 PPG)
• Amari Bailey (No. 5 in ESPN 100)
• Jaylen Clark (6.7 PPG)
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. (13.9 PPG)
• Adem Bona (No. 16 in ESPN 100)
8. Arkansas Razorbacks (+1700)
• Last Year’s Record: 28-9
• 2022 March Madness: No. 4 Seed – Elite Eight – Lost to Duke
Arkansas’s roster will be comprised of fresh new faces and although there is enough talent to go around, how they all coalesce in their new environment is a story that will unfold as the season progresses.
Fortunately, Arkansas will be getting an early opportunity to play together with a short slate of international competition that will take them overseas.
Arkansas’ Projected Starting Lineup:
• Anthony Black (No. 15 in ESPN 100)
• Nick Smith (No. 3 in ESPN 100)
• Ricky Council IV (12.0 PPG at Wichita State)
• Jordan Walsh (No. 11 in ESPN 100)
• Makhel Mitchell (10.7 PPG at Rhode Island)
9. Baylor Bears (+2000)
• Last Year’s Record: 27-7
• 2022 March Madness: No. 1 Seed – Second Round – Lost to North Carolina
There is plenty to like about this team and Baylor’s top recruit, Keyonte George, could be a top-three NBA lottery pick next year if his output reflects his vast potential.
The Bears will also welcome back Langston Love who tore his ACL in a scrimmage before the season began and has been rehabbing ever since.
Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua is another member of Baylor’s walking wounded and he should make a big difference in the paint when he does return.
Baylor’s Projected Starting Lineup:
• Keyonte George (No. 6 in ESPN 100)
• Adam Flagler (13.8 PPG)
• LJ Cryer (13.5 PPG)
• Jalen Bridges (8.4 PPG at West Virginia)
• Flo Thamba (6.2 PPG)
10. Arizona Wildcats (+2000)
• Last Year’s Record: 33-4
• 2022 March Madness: No. 1 Seed – Sweet 16 – Lost to Houston
Henri Veesaar is the wild card for Arizona. The 6’10” center from Estonia arrives in the desert with the credentials of a big man who has perimeter range and is a force in the paint.
Ranked 18th in this incoming freshman class, Kylan Boswell will likely start as a first option off the bench but could assume the starting role if the hype on him is real.
Arizona’s Projected Starting Lineup:
• Kerr Kriisa (9.7 PPG)
• Pelle Larsson (7.2 PPG)
• Courtney Ramey (9.4 PPG at Texas)
• Azuolas Tubelis (13.9 PPG)
• Oumar Ballo (6.8 PPG)