Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles NFL Week 12 MNF Betting Preview

Screen Shot 2016-11-25 at 5.50.34 PMMNF action as the slumping Green Bay Packers will look to break a four-game slide when they brawl with the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field. The Packers are at 4-6 and are off a 42-24 loss at Washington, while the 5-5 Eagles are off a 26-15 loss at Seattle. This game has a start time of 8:30 pm EST.

Vegas odds have the Eagles listed as 4 point favorites, while the total has been set at 47.5. This contest will be televised on ESPN with a start time of 8:30 pm EST.

Breaking Down The Green Bay Packers

This has been a bad year for the Packers and it keeps getting worse. They are now 4-6 on the year and have lost their last four games in a row, getting outscored by 22 and 18 in their last two games. Their defense has been a huge part of their struggles of late as they have allowed an average 38.3 ppg over their 4 game losing streak, after allowing just 20.5 ppg during their 4-2 start to the year. Many people boo Aaron Rodgers but this has not been all his fault. In the game vs the Skins he has a solid outing, but they defense had more holes in it than swiss cheese. Rodgers passed for 351 yards and 3 TDs with no INTs vs the Skins, but they defense allowed 514 yards of total offense. The offense for the Packers has now averaged 26.8 ppg in their last four games, which is very good, but the defense has just let them down. Overall, the Packers are 13th in total yards, 10th in passing, 19th in rushing and 11th in scoring, putting up 24.7 ppg. The defense for the Pack comes in ranked 18th in total yards allowed, 23rd vs the pass, 6th vs the run and 27th in points allowed, giving up 27.6 ppg. This is clearly not all Rodgers fault, especially since he has thrown 325 TDs and just 7 INTs.

Trends: The Packers have gone 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game, but just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points. The Over is 6-1 in their last 7 games following a straight up loss, while the Under is 14-6 in their last 20 vs. the NFC.

Breaking Down The Philadelphia Eagles

The Philadelphia Eagles come in at 5-5 on the year, after starting the season at 3-0. They have really struggled on the road, but have gone 4-0 at home so far and have outscored those 4 teams by an average of 17.5 ppg. The eagles are now in last place in what has become a very tough NFC East and if they don’t get back on track very soon, then they will miss out on the postseason. They are lucky to be getting a struggling Green Bay team here at home, so they do have a good shot at getting a win in this one. Carson Wentz started off hot, but he has struggled a bit of late as he has thrown just 4 TD passes to 6 INTs in his last 5 games. He hasn’t posted a QBR above 91.4 over that span and his QBR of 84.2 is 25th in the league. Overall this offense ranks 19th in total yards, 25t5h in passing, 7th in rushing and 13th in scoring, putting up 24.1 ppg. The Eagles strong ground attack vs the Packers strong run defense will be fun to watch. On defense, the Eagles have been very solid this year as they come in ranked 8th in total yards allowed, 19th vs the pass, 19th vs the run and 4th in points allowed, giving up just 18.6 ppg so far. It will be tested vs a good Green Bay offense.   

Trends: The Eagles have gone 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Monday games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass, but just 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 12. The Over is 9-0 in Eagles last 9 games in Week 12, while the Under is 6-1 the last 7 games in this series.

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