Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys NFL NFC Divisional Playoffs Betting Preview

Screen Shot 2017-01-12 at 3.35.50 PMThe Divisional Playoffs will conclude when Green Bay Packers travel to AT&T Stadium to rumble with the Dallas Cowboys. The Packers earned a right to move on with a 38-13 home win over the Giants, while the Cowboys had a stellar year allowing them to grab the number one seed in the NFC. This Sunday contest has a start time of 4:40 pm EST.

Vegas odds have the Cowboys listed as 4 point favorites, while the total has been set at 51.5. This contest will be televised on FOX with a start time of 4:40 pm EST.

Breaking Down The Green Bay Packers

The Green Bay Packers were sitting at 4-6 on the year and felt that they had to win out to get into the playoffs, Well, they did just that as they won their final six games of the year and then followed that up with a 38-13 drubbing of the Giants in the wildcard round. This team is very hot and their experience could very well give them an edge here over a Dallas team that has been led by a couple of rookies this year. The Packers did allow the giants to throw for 295 yards in the game, but a lot of that was at garbage time. They really played strong on defense when the outcome was still in question. That defense will really need to be on its toes vs one of the best offenses in the league. The Packers come in ranked 22nd in total defense, 31st vs the pass, 8th vs the run and 21st in points allowed, giving up 24.2 ppg. They will look to take away Elliott with their strong run defense and that means that Prescott will have to make plays to beat them. On offense, there hasn’t been a hotter QB down the stretch than Aaron Rodgers, who threw for at least 300 yards in six of his last nine games and he threw for 362 yards against a very strong Giants defense. In his last eight games, he has thrown for 22 TDs and no INTs. Amazing. For the year he threw for 4428 yards with 40 TDs and just 7 INTs, while posting a QBR of 104.2, which was 4th in the league. The Pack comes in at 8th in total offense, 7th in passing 20th in rushing and 4th in scoring, putting up 27.0 ppg.

Trends: The Packers have gone 6-1 ATS in their last 7 playoff road games and 36-15 ATS in their last 51 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game, but just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Dallas. The Over is 5-0 in their last 5 games following a straight up win and 6-1 in their last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Breaking Down The Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys had a great year as they went 13-3 overall and won the NFC East. For a long while it was just the Giants that beat the Cowboys this year, but then they fell in their season finale against the Eagles. It was a meaningless game and they rested plenty of starters in that game. This team is now fresh and rather healthy and anxious to get their playoffs started, but they will be facing one of the hottest teams with the hottest QB in the league in this one. The Cowboys will be ready. They have been led this year by a rookie QB and a rookie RB and they come in ranked 5th in total offense, 23rd in passing, 2nd in rushing and 5th in scoring, putting up 26.3 ppg. Their ground game has been great with Ezekiel Elliott, who has run for 1631 yards to lead the league. He could have a tough time in this one vs a good Packers run defense and if he is stopped, then Dak Prescott will have to make plays. He was strong this year as he posted a QBR of 104.9, which was 3rd in the league. He has been cool under pressure all year, but this is now the playoffs and we will see if that composure holds up. The defense really has its work cut out as they are facing a very good offense. Rodgers did throw for 294 yards in the first meeting between these teams, but Dallas won that game 30-16. The Cowboys come in ranked 14th in total yards, 26th vs the pass, 1st vs the run and 5th in points allowed, giving up just 19.1 ppg. Tat pass defense is a little misleading as they have allowed a lot of garbage yards this year when the game was not in doubt.  

Trends: The Cowboys have gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game and the host is 10-4 ATS the last 14 games in this series, but they are just 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games on fieldturf and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 playoff games. The Under is 6-1 in their last 7 games in January and 7-2 in their last 9 games following a straight up loss.

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