I like Baylor to pull off the home win here over Oklahoma State. The Cowboys are just 16-30 ATS on the road against teams outscoring their opponents by 12+ ppg since 1997 and 5-15 ATS as a road underdog the last three years.
Oklahoma State is off an impressive 34 point win over Texas Tech, but that game was at home and the Red Raiders are not very good. The Cowboys have lost both their Big 12 road games, at Oklahoma by nine and at Kansas State by six. Now they take on a pretty good Baylor team that has a loss at Gonzaga and a loss at Kansas as the only real blips on the radar.
Baylor actually went on the road and beat the Cowboys last year, and when the two teams played at home last year the Bears won 106-65. I think they take care of business again this year and cover this small number.
Play on Baylor -4 over Oklahoma State