Free NCAA Pick: Notre Dame at Pittsburgh

Notre Dame’s roster has been shrinking and that lack of depth really showed in their last outing against Providence. Now they play on the road against Pittsburgh which will be their second road game in three days. The Fighting Irish looked winded for most of their game against the Friars and that lack of conditioning is what makes Pittsburgh the value play in this game.

A tired team is a team that will shoot poorly and lose the turnover margin, and the Irish did just that in their last game. They shot an abysmal 7% from beyond the three point line and 39 percent from the field. The had three more turnovers and three more fouls than the Friars and in return received a 17 point beat down.

This matchup against Pittsburgh falls into a system that is 29-12 (70.7%) ATS over the last five seasons. You want to play against road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points when they are playing with one or less days rest in a game involving two teams that have won between 60-80% of their games.

Play on Pittsburgh

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