Free NCAA Pick: Canisius at Loyola Maryland

This matchup falls into a system to play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Loyola when they are revenging a same season loss vs an opponent, in a game involving two teams winning between 60% – 80% of their games. That system tightens up to 101-61 ATS when that favorite is playing at home and returning four starters from the previous season.

Canisius is 2-9 ATS versus good defensive teams that are allowing less than 64 points per game over the last 2 seasons. The Loyola Maryland defense is holding opponents to 62.9 points and they are a respectable 9-3 straight up on their home court.

With Canisius in the middle of a five game road stretch I expect to see them struggle tonight against the Greyhounds. These teams are tied for second in the MAAC and with a horrible Siena team on deck, Loyola has had all week to prepare for the Golden Griffins. Lay the points in this game as the Greyhounds bump Canisius down in conference standings.

Play on Loyola Maryland

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