The Mavs have been playing very well lately. They are playing their best basketball of the season right now, in fact. They have won 12 of their last 19 games, and the losses they have suffered during that stretch were mostly against better playoff-bound teams, and only one loss (to Oklahoma City) was by double digits.
They are 16-4 ATS in their last 20, which can match up with any or the hottest teams in the league right now. And just looking at this line we thought it looked pretty soft to begin with even before we looked at the game more in depth. We would think this number should be closer to 8 points.
Milwaukee is in a total freefall. This team has won only two of its last 11 games, and they have covered only one game during that stretch. This team has just not been able to play cohesive basketball for any decent stretch of the season, and they are in the worst form we have seen from them right now. They like to play the same style of basketball as Dallas, pushing the tempo and attacking the basket, but they just don’t so it as well as the Mavs, and we expect current form to hold for both of these teams.
Take Dallas -5.5 over Milwaukee