Free pick courtesy of Sports Money Profit System
The Boston Red Sox missed the playoffs the past two seasons but have come back with a vengeance this year and are right now technically the “best” team in the league so far. The Red Sox own a league best 18-7 record and have won five consecutive games! They are 7-3 in their last 10 games, 7-2 on the road this season and they currently have a 3 game lead in the AL East.
As a team the Red Sox are hitting .272 with David Ortiz hitting .516, Dustin Pedroia hitting .330, Daniel Nava hitting .310, and Shane Victorino is hitting .292. There isn’t a spot in this batting order that isn’t capable of producing hits and getting men on base.
The Red Sox this season are turning into the Yankees of old as they make teams pay for allowing players on base. Each and every Red Sox batter is a threat to hit it out of the park and the fact that they have already hit 23 home runs as a team supports that.
The Red Sox opponents are hitting just .221 and the Boston pitching staff has a combined ERA of 3.39. In seasons past it has been the pitching that has truly let the Red Sox down. Both Clay Buchholz and Jon Lester struggled to find any kind of rhythm last season. This season however, those two have been the stars of the Red Sox pitching rotation.
For Game 1 in Toronto, the Red Sox start Jon Lester who has been on fire thus far this year. For the season Lester has allowed 25 hits and 8 earned runs while striking out 28 over 31.2 innings for a 2.27 ERA! Tonight Lester will look to join both Buchholz and Tampa’s Matt Moore as April’s only 5-0 pitchers.
The Blue Jays are a team with a good squad that has struggled to start the season. The Jays have lost four in a row and are just 2-8 in their last 10 games! As a team the Blue Jays are hitting .229 with Melky Cabrera hitting .250, J.P Arencibia hitting .242, and Edwin Encarnacion hitting .227.
The Blue Jays opponents are hitting .263 and the Toronto pitching staff has a combined ERA of 4.46. Brandon Morrow gets the start for the Jays tonight and Morrow is still looking for his first win of the season. Morrow has allowed 33 hits and 16 earned runs while striking out 19 over 27.1 innings of work for a 0-2 record and a 5.27 ERA so far this season.
Toronto is 7-20 in their last 27 games against the AL East and only 6-18 in their last 24 games as an underdog. Boston on the other hand is 4-0 in their last four road games, 13-3 in their last 16 games overall, and 7-3 in Lester’s last 10 road starts. There is good value backing the Red Sox tonight who I feel are the better team and have the better pitcher.
Take Boston Red Sox on the moneyline (-118) against Toronto Blue Jays risking 2% (Lester and Morrow must start)
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