AFC West gridiron battle as the 6-2 Denver Broncos visit Oakland Coliseum to face the 6-2 Oakland Raiders. The Broncos enter off a 27-19 win over the Chargers at home, while the Raiders are off a 30-24 OT road win over the Buccaneers. This divisional clash will be televised on NBC with a start time of 8:25 pm EDT.
Vegas odds has the game listed as a Pick, while the total has been set at 43.5.
Breaking Down The Denver Broncos
The Denver Broncos come in at 6-2 on the year as they are looking to repeat as world Champs. This year there is no Peyton Manning, but they do have Trevor Siemian and their excellent defense. Siemian hasn’t been great, but he has done what has been asked of him and he has managed the offense well. He does have an 87.1 QBR, which is 24th in the league and he has made some mistakes, but they haven’t been costly ones that would cost his team a win. Overall this is not a good offensive team as they come in ranked 27th in total offense, 27th in passing, 20th in rushing and 13th in scoring, putting up 24.2 ppg. The Broncos are really led by their defense this year and that has allowed the offense to be conservative. Punting is not a bad thing for this team. The Broncos check in at 3rd in total defense, 1st against the pass, 24th vs the run and 5th in points allowed, giving up just 17 ppg. Yes they can struggle vs the run and if they do that vs this offense then they could be in trouble.
Trends: The Broncos have gone 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win, but just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 9. The Over is 45-21-2 in their last 68 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, while the Under is 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Breaking Down The Oakland Raiders
The Oakland Raiders are also 6-2 on the year and so far they are clearly the surprise of the league. Last year they won seven games, so are just one win of matching that and they still have half the season to go. One problem has been the fact that they are just 1-2 at home and 5-0 on the road. The Raiders have been led by their offense this year as Derek Carr has really progressed into one of the best QBs in the league. Carr has thrown for 2321 yards with 17 TDs and just 3 INTs and his QBR of 100.9 is 5th in the league. HIs favorite target is Amari Cooper, who is 4th in the league in receiving yards with 787. The Problem here is that they will be facing the top pass defense in the league. Overall, this offense is 5th in total yards, 4th in passing, 8th in rushing and 6th in scoring, putting up 26.9 ppg. That running game could have a very good showing vs a poor Denver run defense. The problem for this team really comes on the defensive side of the ball, but they will not be facing a good offense in this one. Still, they are 31st in total yards allowed, 28th vs the pass, 28th vs the run and 22nd in points allowed, giving up 25.4 ppg.
Trends: The Raiders have gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. the AFC, but just 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win and 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 games following a ATS win. The Over is 12-3 in their last 15 games following a straight up win, while the Under is 4-1 in their last 5 vs. the AFC West.
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