Free play selection for September 29, 2012 from Doc’s Sports handicapper Jason Sharpe:
Take Arkansas +13.5 over Texas A&M (12pm ET)
Before the season this game may have been around Texas A&M -3 or so but now just a few weeks later it’s a solid 10 points higher. How did this happen?
Well, most of it has to do with an Arkansas team that seems to be way down compared to what most folks thought about them before the year. But have they fallen this far and this fast?
Their big loss to Alabama is almost a throw out as these days the Crimson Tide are crushing everything in their paths plus Arkansas was without their best player, quarterback Tyler Wilson in that game. You can also toss out the FCS win to start the year as typically nothing is learned in those kind of games.
Their three-point overtime loss to UL Monroe doesn’t look nearly as bad now that ULM has proven they can play with some of the top teams in the country. Keep in mind the Razorbacks were rolling along in that game with a 28-7 lead before they lost their starting quarterback to an injury. Probably safe to assume with Wilson at the helm the Razorbacks find a way to win that game.
This leads us to last week’s game against Rutgers. Turnovers were a big difference in that one as Arkansas was minus-2 for the game and just couldn’t get a big stop when they needed one. Overall though it wasn’t a disaster and the Razorbacks played okay against what is looking like a decent Rutgers squad.
As for Texas A&M, they come in here may be a tad bit over-hyped. The Aggies have only played three games so far under new head coach Kevin Sumlin and one of which was against a FCS weakling. It’s obvious this team is still a work in progress and we don’t have a whole lot to go off of right now.
Not sure they have all the pieces quite in place right now for Sumlin and what he wants to do here with he Aggies. They have a whole new staff and a new quarterback in place this year and still look to be learning things right now. Laying almost two touchdowns versus a team with a lot of solid players is asking a lot from the Aggies here.
Razorbacks should be able to keep things close here plus with a talent like Wilson a backdoor cover is always something to be looking at as the Razorbacks can score in a hurry especially of going up against a prevent defense. This is still a team with lots of pride and I don’t expect them to lay down here in this spot. Just no way they have fallen down to this level. Take Arkansas plus the points in this one.
My football weekend is ready to roll with seven games going on my weekly card. I am off to a fantastic start on the CFB gridiron thus far with a 15-9 start to the 2012 season. Have always beat the NFL but have a little bit of work ahead of me this year after a slow start out of the gates in that sport but have no fear as I have been down this road before and prevailed.
In fact, last year in the NFL, I crushed it the last three months of the season going 22-11 my last 33 plays overall in pro football including an undefeated NFL playoff run of 4-0. Don’t sign up too late and miss out on all the winning action.
Free play selection for September 29, 2012 from Doc’s Sports:
Take Connecticut -15.5 over Buffalo (12pm, ESPN3)
The Huskies are happy to be home after back-to-back road games and expect them to take care of business against Buffalo, a weak team from the MAC. Buffalo has not played a game since 9/19, and that was a poor performance losing to Kent State by a score of 23-7.
UConn has blown out another MAC team in UMass by 37 points, and that is about the margin of victory I expect today. Buffalo is just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games. UConn is 9-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games against teams with a losing record. Play the homer in this game.
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