MNF action when the 4-4 Buffalo Bills of the AFC East rumble with the 4-2-1 Seattle Seahawks of the NFC West at CenturyLink Field. Buffalo suffered a home loss at the hands of the Patriots last week, 41-25, while Seattle loss to New Orleans on the road, 25-20. This MNF contest will be televised on ESPN with a start time of 8:30 pm EDT.
Vegas odds have the Seahawks listed as 7 point favorites, while the total has been set at 44.
Breaking Down The Buffalo Bills
The Buffalo Bills have had a decent year, but the Pats showed them in their last game that they still have a way to go before competing for the division Title. The Bills did beat the Pats in New England earlier in the year, but that was without Brady. Last week Brady threw for 315 yards and four TDs on this defense and Buffalo lost by 16. The Bills did run for 167 yards in the game and put up 25 points, but it wasn’t nearly enough. The Bills offense hasn’t been great this year, but they can run the ball as they are 2nd in the league in that department, compared to ranking 31st in passing. LeSean McCoy has been the key for the running game with 598 yards so far. But he did miss the New England game and is questionable for this one. They do have a nice stable of backs and Mike Gillislee had a nice game vs the Pats with 85 yards. Overall this offense is 25th in total yards and 8th in scoring, putting 26.5 ppg. On defense this year, the Bills have been rather average as they come in ranked 16th in total yards, 13th vs the pass, 25th vs the run and 13th in points allowed, giving up just 21.5 ppg.
Trends: The Bills have gone 5-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November, but just 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Over is 8-2 in their last 10 games following a straight up loss, while the Under is 10-3 in their last 13 games in November.
Breaking Down The Seattle Seahawks
It has been a weird season for the Seahawks so far. They lead the division at 4-2-1, but that tie was a 6-6 game in Arizona and overall they just haven’t looked that good, especially for a first place team. The Seahawks have really struggled on the offensive side of the ball this year, especially their ground attack which rates 28th in the league. This is a team that likes to run the ball and play solid defense, but without Lynch this year and injuries to their RB corps, they just haven’t been able to get that ground game going. Instead they have had to rely on their passing game with is 14th in the league. Russell Wilson has been solid passing the ball, but what is missing is his running as he has just 44 yards on the ground so far after rushing for 533 yards last year and 849 the year before. THat has hurt the running game. Overall this offense is 23rd in yards allowed and 29th in scoring, putting up just 18.7 ppg. A big reason why they are at the top of the division is their defense as they come in ranked 6th in total yards allowed, 9th vs the pass, 7th vs the run and 2nd in points allowed, giving up just 15.6 ppg thus far.
Trends: The Seahawks have gone 20-5-2 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 Monday games, but just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf and 1-4 ATS their last five games in the series. The Over is 5-1 in their last 6 games in Week 9, while the Under is 9-4 in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
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