Breaking Down Chicago vs. Cleveland Game 5

This Tuesday night at Quicken Loans Arena, the NBA’s Eastern Conference Semifinal showdown between the Chicago Bulls and the Cleveland Cavaliers continues with an all-important Game 5.Given all the drama that has already unfolded in this best-of-seven clash with each team winning once at home and once on the road, Tuesday’s matchup has the makings of another battle to the final buzzer between these two Central Division rivals.

Checking the current NBA betting odds, most books have Cleveland listed as a five-point favorite at home for Tuesday night with the total set at 191.5. The following betting report will break down all the key stats, facts and figures to help handicap the game.

Bulls vs. Cavaliers Game 5 Overview

The Bulls came into the playoffs as the No. 3 seed in the East, and they jumped out to a fast start in the opening round by winning their first three games against the No. 6 Milwaukee Bucks. While that series ended up going six games, Chicago made a huge statement in closing things out with a lopsided 120-66 victory as a 3.5-point road favorite in Game 6. The total stayed “under” the closing 189-point line to stay under in four of the six games.

Chicago kept things goings with a stunning 99-92 victory against Cleveland in Game 1 of this series as a 4.5-point underdog on the road, but it ran into a wall in Game 2 with a 106-91 loss as a 5.5-point road underdog. The Bulls returned home for the next two games, and that is when things really started to heat up between these two division rivals.

Derrick Rose nailed the game-winner at the buzzer for Chicago in Game 3 to give his team a 2-1 series edge in a 99-96 victory as a 2.5-point favorite, but LeBron James stole the show in Game 4 with a buzzer beater of his own to even the series up at two games apiece. The Bulls closed as three-point home underdogs in this past Sunday’s 86-84 loss. The total in this series has also been evenly split 2-2.

The No. 2 Cavaliers came into this conference semifinal matchup fresh off a four-game sweep of No. 7 Boston in their opening-round playoff series. They covered ATS in three of the four games against the Celtics, and the total stayed under in three of the four games as well.

Bulls vs. Cavaliers Game 5 Key Stats

ESPN’s stat page for Chicago had the Bulls averaging 100.8 points per game in the regular season while shooting 44.2 percent from the field and 35.3 percent from 3-point range. Through their first 10 playoff games this year, this scoring average has dropped slightly to 97.8 PPG, but they are holding their opponents to 91.1 PPG at the other end of the court. This is the best defensive effort in points allowed of any team left in the postseason.

Jimmy Butler has led the way for the Bulls with 22.6 PPG, but they have also gotten a huge effort from a healthy Rose, who is second in scoring with 21.4 points and first in assists with 6.5. Chicago has done a solid job under the boards against both Milwaukee and Cleveland with 47.3 rebounds a game. Joakim Noah and Pau Gasol have provided the bulk of the production in that department with a combined 21.1 rebounds a game.

Turning to Cleveland’s stat page in the postseason, it has been the King James’ show as expected. He has posted an average of 26.5 points, 10.1 rebounds and 7.8 assists through eight playoff games. Kyrie Irving has been hampered with minor injuries throughout these playoffs, but he has still managed to put up 20.9 PPG while shooting an effective 43.6 percent from 3-point range. The loss of Kevin Love for the remainder of the season has not been as severe as first expected with players such as Iman Shumpert and Tristan Thompson stepping up their game to help fill the void.

The Cavaliers averaged 103.1 PPG in the regular season. And while this number has dropped to 99.5 points in the postseason, the greater concern could be the team’s 42.4 percent shooting from the field as opposed to a shooting percentage of 45.8 prior to the start of these playoffs.

Bulls vs. Cavaliers Game 5 Betting Trends

Turning to betting trends for Tuesday’s Game 5, the Bulls come in with a 7-1 record ATS in their last eight games against a team with a SU winning record, and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games on the road. The total has stayed under in six of their last eight games following a SU loss.

The Cavaliers have failed to cover in seven of their last 10 games following a SU win, and they are just 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games against a division opponent. The total has stayed under in 12 of their last 14 home games against a team with a SU winning record on the road.

The home team in this matchup has gone 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings, and the total has stayed under in four of the last five games played in Cleveland.

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